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← Back to GamesNov 12, 2022Week 11
WisconsinWisconsin
10
-Final
24
IowaIowa
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Iowa by 7.9

Home Win Probability

Iowa 67%

Market (consensus)

Iowa +1.5

Edge: Iowa +1.5 (9.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 12, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
WisconsinWisconsin
370010
IowaIowa
01401024

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-37-314-1021-1024-10
IowaWisconsin

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20IOWWISIOWWISIOWWISIOWWISIOWWISIOWWISIOWWISWISIOWWISIOWWISIOWWISIOWWISIOWWISIOWWISIOWWISIOWPUNT3-5ydPUNT32ydTO839ydFG1037ydPUNT60ydPUNT31ydPUNT56ydPUNT3-1ydTD217ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT34ydPUNT741ydPUNT63ydTD22ydTD775ydEND20ydTO44ydPUNT36ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT3-8ydPUNT36ydPUNT613ydPUNT612ydTD518ydPUNT611ydPUNT3-2ydDOWNS516ydFG1127ydTO2-3ydEND38yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Wisconsin and Iowa
StatisticWisconsinIowa
Passing16-3514-23
Pass Yards17694
Rush Yards5152
Total Yards227146
Turnovers31
3rd Down6-176-19
Penalties5-403-20
Possession26:2333:37

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Wisconsin
passing
Graham Mertz
16/35, 176 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Braelon Allen
17 CAR, 40 YDS
receiving
Keontez Lewis
3 REC, 71 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Iowa
passing
Spencer Petras
14/23, 94 YDS
rushing
Kaleb Johnson
22 CAR, 57 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Sam LaPorta
5 REC, 48 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 23

2nd & 12Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.33

Gavin Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the Iowa 20

3rd & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.07

Spencer Petras run for no gain to the Iowa 20

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 43 yds, downed at the Wisc 37

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the Wisc 39

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 49 yds, downed at the Iowa 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Spencer Petras pass complete to Diante Vines for 6 yds to the Iowa 18

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Kaleb Johnson run for no gain to the Iowa 18

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 8 yds to the Iowa 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.73

Gavin Williams run for 19 yds to the Iowa 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.09

Spencer Petras pass complete to Diante Vines for 15 yds to the Wisc 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Spencer Petras pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Spencer Petras pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.99

Spencer Petras sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the Wisc 49

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the Iowa 46

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 3 yds to the Iowa 43

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (Braelon Allen) to the Iowa 48

3rd & 7Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.66

Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 19 yds to the Iowa 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Braelon Allen run for no gain to the Iowa 29

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.57

Graham Mertz pass complete to Skyler Bell for 9 yds to the Iowa 20

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.15

Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the Iowa 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.45

Braelon Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 20

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

3rd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Isaac Guerendo run for 6 yds to the Iowa 14

4th & 5Field Goal Good+32 yds

Nate Van Zelst 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

IOWA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Iowa 20

1st & 15Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Spencer Petras pass complete to Kaleb Johnson for 3 yds to the Iowa 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Spencer Petras pass complete to Diante Vines for 4 yds to the Iowa 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.96

Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 10 yds to the Iowa 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.76

Leshon Williams run for a loss of 5 yards to the Iowa 32

2nd & 15Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.49

Spencer Petras sacked by Nick Herbig for a loss of 5 yards to the Iowa 27

3rd & 20Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.08

Spencer Petras pass complete to Gavin Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 25

4th & 22Punt+11 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 46 yds , Dean Engram returns for 11 yds to the Wisc 40

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the Wisc 41

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt+15 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 41 yds , Cooper DeJean returns for 15 yds to the Iowa 33

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Kaleb Johnson run for 9 yds to the Iowa 42

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Kaleb Johnson run for 4 yds to the Iowa 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(13:37) JOHNSON, Kaleb rush to the right for a gain of 9 yards to the WIS45 (WOHLER, Hunter), clock 13:34. PENALTY IOW Holding on STEPHENS, Beau enforced 10 yards from the IOW46 to the IOW36. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Spencer Petras pass incomplete

2nd & 20Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.37

Gavin Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the Iowa 33

3rd & 23Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Gavin Williams run for 6 yds to the Iowa 39

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Dean Engram at the Wisc 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.29

Isaac Guerendo run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 19

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

4th & 11Blocked Punt0 yds

punt blocked by Deontae Craig blocked by Deontae Craig

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.89

Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 13 yds to the Wisc 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Kaleb Johnson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Drew Stevens KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Graham Mertz pass complete to Isaac Guerendo for a loss of 3 yards to the Wisc 22

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt+11 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 33 yds , Cooper DeJean returns for 11 yds to the Wisc 44

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kaleb Johnson run for 4 yds to the Wisc 40

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Spencer Petras pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Spencer Petras pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 40 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.53

Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 19 yds to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the Wisc 40

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Isaac Guerendo run for 5 yds to the Wisc 45

3rd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)+16 ydsPPA +2.54

Graham Mertz pass complete to Skyler Bell for 16 yds Skyler Bell fumbled, recovered by Wisc Chimere Dike for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

Braelon Allen run for no gain to the Iowa 39

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 39 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kaleb Johnson run for 5 yds to the Iowa 25

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Kaleb Johnson run for 4 yds to the Iowa 29

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.78

Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the Iowa 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Leshon Williams run for 5 yds to the Iowa 36

2nd & 5Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.70

Spencer Petras sacked by Maema Njongmeta for a loss of 9 yards to the Iowa 27

3rd & 14Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.17

Spencer Petras sacked by Nick Herbig for a loss of 4 yards to the Iowa 23

4th & 18Punt+3 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 43 yds , Dean Engram returns for 3 yds to the Wisc 24

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Isaac Guerendo run for 2 yds to the Wisc 29

2nd & 8Interception Return Touchdown+32 ydsPPA -7.58

Cooper DeJean 32 Yd Interception Return (Drew Stevens Kick)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Braelon Allen run for 6 yds to the Wisc 31

2nd & 4Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.56

Graham Mertz run for 15 yds to the Wisc 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Graham Mertz sacked by Deontae Craig for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 44

2nd & 12Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.43

Isaac Guerendo run for 13 yds to the Iowa 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.65

Graham Mertz sacked by Lukas Van Ness for a loss of 8 yards to the Wisc 49

2nd & 18Penalty-5 yds

(01:03) MERTZ, Graham pass incomplete intended for GUERENDO, Isaac broken up by LEE, Logan at the WIS47, clock 01:00. PENALTY Before the snap, WIS Illegal Motion enforced 5 yards from the WIS49 to the WIS44. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 23Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 5 yds to the Wisc 49

3rd & 18Passing Touchdown+51 ydsPPA +6.69

Graham Mertz pass complete to Keontez Lewis for 51 yds for a TD, (Nate Van Zelst KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Gavin Williams run for no gain to the Iowa 25

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Gavin Williams run for no gain to the Iowa 25

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Drew Stevens kickoff for 58 yds , Isaac Guerendo return for 18 yds to the Wisc 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Graham Mertz pass complete to Skyler Bell for 8 yds to the Wisc 33

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.02

Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Braelon Allen run for 8 yds to the Wisc 44

2nd & 2Penalty-15 yds

(13:25) ALLEN, Braelon rush to the right for a gain of 1 yard to the WIS45 (HIGGINS, Jay), clock 13:22. PENALTY WIS Personal Foul on NELSON, Jack enforced 15 yards from the WIS44 to the WIS29. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 17Interception0 ydsPPA +0.00

Graham Mertz pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 43

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 6 yds to the Iowa 49

3rd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 30 yds, downed at the Wisc 20

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-14 ydsPPA -0.99

Graham Mertz run for a loss of 14 yards to the Wisc 6 Graham Mertz fumbled, recovered by Wisc Graham Mertz

2nd & 24Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.02

Braelon Allen run for 7 yds to the Wisc 13

3rd & 17Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Graham Mertz pass complete to Isaac Guerendo for 4 yds to the Wisc 17

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 56 yds, downed at the Iowa 27

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Spencer Petras pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Leshon Williams run for no gain to the Iowa 27

3rd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.29

Spencer Petras sacked by Kamo'i Latu for a loss of 8 yards to the Iowa 19

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Dean Engram at the Wisc 38

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Braelon Allen run for 6 yds to the Wisc 44

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt+15 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 43 yds , Cooper DeJean returns for 15 yds to the Iowa 28

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Kaleb Johnson run for no gain to the Iowa 28

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Spencer Petras pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.21

Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 11 yds to the Iowa 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Spencer Petras pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.05

Kaleb Johnson run for 9 yds to the Iowa 48

3rd & 1Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.03

Spencer Petras sacked by Jordan Turner for a loss of 7 yards to the Iowa 41

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 58 yds, downed at the Wisc 1

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Graham Mertz run for 2 yds to the Wisc 3

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the Wisc 6

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.44

Isaac Guerendo run for 5 yds to the Wisc 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.45

Isaac Guerendo run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 9

2nd & 12Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Graham Mertz pass complete to Isaac Guerendo for 4 yds to the Wisc 13

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt+41 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 46 yds , Cooper DeJean returns for 41 yds to the Wisc 18

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Kaleb Johnson run for 4 yds to the Wisc 14

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.73

Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 9 yds to the Wisc 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Kaleb Johnson run for 1 yd to the Wisc 4

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Kaleb Johnson run for 3 yds to the Wisc 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Spencer Petras run for 1 yd for a TD, (Drew Stevens KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Drew Stevens kickoff for 57 yds , Isaac Guerendo return for 11 yds to the Wisc 19 Isaac Guerendo fumbled, recovered by Wisc Isaac Guerendo

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the Wisc 20

3rd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.13

Graham Mertz pass complete to Keontez Lewis for 17 yds to the Wisc 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the Wisc 39

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (Trey Wedig) to the Wisc 34

3rd & 13Penalty0 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 48 yds, downed at the Iowa 22

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Kaleb Johnson run for 1 yd to the Iowa 23

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the Iowa 25

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Spencer Petras pass incomplete

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

(10:23) TAYLOR, Tory punt 57 yards to the WIS18, ENGRAM, Dean return 3 yards to the WIS21 (HEINZ, Jamison), clock 10:14. PENALTY Before the snap, IOW Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the IOW25 to the IOW20. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 12Punt+4 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 47 yds , Dean Engram returns for 4 yds to the Wisc 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Graham Mertz pass complete to Skyler Bell for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.19

Braelon Allen run for a loss of 5 yards to the Wisc 45

2nd & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Graham Mertz pass complete to Braelon Allen for 4 yds to the Wisc 49

3rd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Graham Mertz pass complete to Isaac Guerendo for 4 yds to the Iowa 47

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kaleb Johnson run for 5 yds to the Wisc 48

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.94

Kaleb Johnson run for 1 yd to the Wisc 47

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.63

Spencer Petras pass complete to Luke Lachey for 5 yds to the Wisc 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Leshon Williams run for no gain to the Wisc 42

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.90

Leshon Williams run for 9 yds to the Wisc 33

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.98

Leshon Williams run for no gain to the Wisc 33

4th & 1Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.52

Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 5 yds to the Wisc 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the Wisc 26

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Kaleb Johnson run for no gain to the Wisc 26

3rd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Kaleb Johnson run for no gain to the Wisc 26

4th & 8Field Goal Good+44 yds

Drew Stevens 44 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Drew Stevens kickoff for 62 yds , Isaac Guerendo return for 22 yds to the Wisc 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Graham Mertz pass complete to Keontez Lewis for 3 yds to the Wisc 28

2nd & 7Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.87

Graham Mertz sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the Wisc 22

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Leshon Williams run for 3 yds to the Wisc 19

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Leshon Williams run for 1 yd to the Wisc 18

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Leshon Williams run for 4 yds to the Wisc 14

Situational Analysis

Wisconsin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
24%
25 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
25%
12 plays
50%
8 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
67%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
33%
6 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Iowa

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
36%
22 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
14%
7 plays
22%
9 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
33%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play