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← Back to GamesNov 5, 2022Week 10
MichiganMichigan
52
-Final
17
RutgersRutgers
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan by 26.7

Home Win Probability

Rutgers 6%

Market (consensus)

Rutgers +26.5

Edge: Michigan -26.5 (0.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 5, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MichiganMichigan
140281052
RutgersRutgers
7100017

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-77-1410-1417-1417-2117-3517-4517-52
RutgersMichigan

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MICRUTMICMICRUTMICRUTMICRUTMICRUTMICRUTMICRUTRUTMICRUTMICRUTMICRUTMICRUTMICRUTMICTD1275ydPUNT33ydTD517ydTD650ydFG861ydPUNT510ydPUNT3-9ydMISS930ydTD868ydDOWNS836ydPUNT3-1ydTD854ydTO2-4ydTD210ydTD10ydPUNT631ydPUNT34ydTO2-1ydTD331ydPUNT34ydFG861ydPUNT38ydPUNT35ydPUNT31ydTD958ydDOWNS49ydEND2-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Michigan and Rutgers
StatisticMichiganRutgers
Passing13-2714-29
Pass Yards151166
Rush Yards28214
Total Yards433180
Turnovers03
3rd Down7-173-13
Penalties3-205-45
Possession37:4122:19

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Michigan
passing
J.J. McCarthy
13/27, 151 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Blake Corum
20 CAR, 109 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Donovan Edwards
3 REC, 52 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Rutgers
passing
Gavin Wimsatt
14/29, 166 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Kyle Monangai
4 CAR, 17 YDS
receiving
Aron Cruickshank
7 REC, 62 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.89

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 35 yds to the Rutgr 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Andrel Anthony for 7 yds to the Rutgr 33

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Blake Corum run for no gain to the Rutgr 33

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 38

3rd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.89

J.J. McCarthy run for 12 yds to the Rutgr 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.17

Donovan Edwards run for 12 yds to the Rutgr 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Donovan Edwards run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 9

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 6

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.37

Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Blake Corum run for no gain to the Rutgr 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Blake Corum run for no gain to the Rutgr 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Blake Corum run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kyle Monangai run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Adam Korsak punt for 54 yds, downed at the Mich 18

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Donovan Edwards run for 6 yds to the Mich 24

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.52

Donovan Edwards run for 6 yds to the Mich 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Donovan Edwards run for 6 yds to the Mich 36

3rd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Blake Corum run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 35

4th & 5Blocked Punt Touchdown+7 ydsPPA -7.01

Timmy Ward 7 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Jude McAtamney Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+43 ydsPPA +2.76

Blake Corum run for 43 yds to the Rutgr 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Donovan Edwards run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 1

3rd & 0Penalty0 yds

RUTGERS Penalty, 12 Men on the Field ( Yards) to the Rutgr 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Blake Corum run for no gain to the Rutgr 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

J.J. McCarthy run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +4.00

Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Sean Ryan for 37 yds to the Mich 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.39

Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 16 yds to the Mich 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 1 yd to the Mich 19

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Rashad Rochelle run for 5 yds to the Mich 14

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+32 yds

Jude McAtamney 32 yd FG GOOD

4th & 4Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Jude McAtamney kickoff for 60 yds , A.J. Henning return for 17 yds to the RUTGERS 48 MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Mich 12

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.04

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Luke Schoonmaker for 13 yds to the Mich 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Donovan Edwards run for 2 yds to the Mich 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

4th & 8Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Mich 22

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Brad Robbins punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rutgr 35

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Aaron Young run for no gain to the Rutgr 35

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.50

Gavin Wimsatt sacked by Mike Morris for a loss of 9 yards to the Rutgr 26

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Adam Korsak punt for 36 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the Mich 38

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the Mich 39

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 6 yds to the Mich 45

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.69

Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Donovan Edwards run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 45

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.64

Donovan Edwards run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

A.J. Henning run for no gain to the Rutgr 38

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 5 yds to the Rutgr 33

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 32

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+50 yds

Jake Moody 50 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Chris Long for 2 yds to the Rutgr 34

3rd & 8Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +4.19

Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Chris Long for 48 yds to the Mich 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.35

Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for no gain to the Mich 18

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.24

Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Sean Ryan for 7 yds to the Mich 11

4th & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.66

Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 8 yds to the Mich 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Sean Ryan for 3 yds for a TD, (Jude McAtamney KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Jude McAtamney kickoff for 43 yds , Joe Taylor return for 10 yds to the Mich 32

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

RUTGERS Penalty, Roughing Passer (Aaron Lewis) to the Mich 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Donovan Edwards run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 47

2nd & 4Sack-11 ydsPPA -3.12

J.J. McCarthy sacked by Ifeanyi Maijeh for a loss of 11 yards to the Mich 42

3rd & 15Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.06

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 12 yds to the Rutgr 46

4th & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.64

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 7 yds to the Rutgr 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

J.J. McCarthy run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 35

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.28

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Luke Schoonmaker for 3 yds to the Rutgr 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

4th & 3Field Goal Missed+50 yds

Jake Moody 50 yd FG MISSED

0th & 3End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.29

Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Johnny Langan for no gain to the Rutgr 24

3rd & 11Penalty-10 yds

RUTGERS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Rutgr 14

3rd & 21Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.06

Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 10 yds to the Rutgr 24

4th & 11Punt+30 yds

Adam Korsak punt for 45 yds, downed at the RUTGERS 31 RUTGERS Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the Mich 46

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Cornelius Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.58

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 26 yds to the Rutgr 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Luke Schoonmaker

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 27

3rd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.21

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Tyler Morris for 9 yds to the Rutgr 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.51

Andrel Anthony run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 20

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Blake Corum run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 14

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.99

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 14 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Al-Shadee Salaam run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 21

2nd & 14Pass Interception Return+21 ydsPPA +0.09

Gavin Wimsatt pass intercepted Michael Barrett return for 21 yds to the Rutgr 10

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Blake Corum run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Blake Corum run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown+31 ydsPPA -7.92

Gavin Wimsatt pass intercepted for a TD Michael Barrett return for 31 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Al-Shadee Salaam run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.52

Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 28 yds to the Mich 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Kyle Monangai run for 8 yds to the Mich 36

2nd & 2Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.07

Gavin Wimsatt sacked by Kris Jenkins for a loss of 5 yards to the Mich 41

3rd & 7Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.56

Gavin Wimsatt sacked by Taylor Upshaw and Mike Morris for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 44

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Adam Korsak punt for 36 yds, downed at the Mich 8

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the Mich 12

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Brad Robbins punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Aron Cruickshank at the Rutgr 45

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Gavin Wimsatt run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 44

2nd & 11Pass Interception Return+29 ydsPPA -1.34

Gavin Wimsatt pass intercepted Will Johnson return for 29 yds to the Rutgr 31

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +1.38

Blake Corum run for 28 yds to the Rutgr 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.06

Donovan Edwards run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 6

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 6 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kyle Monangai run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+42 yds

Adam Korsak punt for 47 yds, downed at the RUTGERS 24 RUTGERS Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Mich 29

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Donovan Edwards run for 1 yd to the Mich 30

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Donovan Edwards run for 1 yd to the Mich 31

3rd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.04

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 8 yds to the Mich 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+46 ydsPPA +2.30

Donovan Edwards run for 46 yds to the Rutgr 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Donovan Edwards run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 10

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+29 yds

Jake Moody 29 yd FG GOOD

4th & 5Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Jake Moody kickoff for 60 yds , Aron Cruickshank return for 18 yds to the Rutgr 23

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.01

Al-Shadee Salaam run for a loss of 6 yards to the Rutgr 17

2nd & 16Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.10

Al-Shadee Salaam run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 24

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Sean Ryan for 7 yds to the Rutgr 31

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Adam Korsak punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 44

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

C.J. Stokes run for 5 yds to the Mich 49

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Brad Robbins punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Aron Cruickshank at the Rutgr 7

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Aaron Young run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 8

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt-2 yds

Adam Korsak punt for 48 yds , A.J. Henning returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 42

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

C.J. Stokes run for 3 yds to the Mich 45

2nd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.64

Davis Warren run for 12 yds to the Rutgr 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.59

Tavierre Dunlap run for 15 yds to the Rutgr 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Davis Warren run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 21

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Isaiah Gash run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 19

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.16

C.J. Stokes run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

C.J. Stokes run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 8

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.43

C.J. Stokes run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Isaiah Gash run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Jake Moody kickoff for 63 yds , Rashad Rochelle return for 18 yds to the Rutgr 20

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Parker Day run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 22

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Parker Day run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 27

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Parker Day run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 29

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.05

Parker Day run for no gain to the Rutgr 29

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 30

2nd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.19

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 32

Situational Analysis

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play
50%
30 plays
2nd
33%
6 plays
38%
8 plays
64%
11 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
17%
6 plays
75%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
3 plays
0%
1 play

Rutgers

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
12%
17 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
22%
9 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
56%
9 plays
100%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays