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← Back to GamesNov 5, 2022Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ohio State by 40.5

Home Win Probability

Northwestern 1%

Market (consensus)

Northwestern +37.5

Edge: Ohio State -37.5 (3.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 5, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Ohio StateOhio State
077721
NorthwesternNorthwestern
70007

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-77-147-21
NorthwesternOhio State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OSNOROSNOROSNOROSNOROSNOROSNOROSNORNOROSNOROSNOROSNOROSNOROSNORPUNT3-4ydPUNT34ydPUNT828ydTD980ydPUNT39ydPUNT36ydDOWNS49ydDOWNS719ydPUNT415ydPUNT631ydPUNT45ydPUNT3-6ydTD646ydEND6-4ydDOWNS720ydTD645ydPUNT736ydPUNT832ydDOWNS1660ydPUNT38ydPUNT37ydTD562ydDOWNS514ydDOWNS718ydEND16yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Ohio State and Northwestern
StatisticOhio StateNorthwestern
Passing10-2610-17
Pass Yards7679
Rush Yards207206
Total Yards283285
Turnovers00
3rd Down4-159-20
Penalties3-204-27
Possession23:3436:26

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Ohio State
passing
C.J. Stroud
10/26, 76 YDS
rushing
Miyan Williams
26 CAR, 111 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Marvin Harrison Jr.
5 REC, 51 YDS
defense
Northwestern
passing
Brendan Sullivan
10/14, 79 YDS
rushing
Evan Hull
30 CAR, 122 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Malik Washington
6 REC, 49 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Adam Stage kickoff for 56 yds , Xavier Johnson return for 21 yds to the OhSt 30

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Williams, Miyan rush for 6 yards to the OHIOST36, PENALTY OHIOST holding (Jones, Matthew) 10 yards to the OHIOST20, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Emeka Egbuka run for 6 yds to the OhSt 26

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Julian Fleming

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Julian Fleming

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 34 yds, downed at the Nwest 40

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Evan Hull run for 3 yds to the Nwest 43

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the Nwest 44

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete to Malik Washington

4th & 6Punt+51 yds

Luke Akers punt for 56 yds for a touchback NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Miyan Williams run for 2 yds to the OhSt 27 for a 1ST down NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Defensive Holding (Devin O'Rourke) to the OhSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Miyan Williams run for 2 yds to the OhSt 39

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Gee Scott Jr.

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

C.J. Stroud run for 7 yds to the OhSt 46

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.25

Miyan Williams run for 3 yds to the OhSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Julian Fleming

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Miyan Williams run for 4 yds to the Nwest 47

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Julian Fleming

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 47 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.96

Cam Porter run for 13 yds to the Nwest 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Malik Washington for 7 yds to the Nwest 40

2nd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.89

Cam Porter run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.75

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 12 yds to the OhSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Brendan Sullivan run for 8 yds to the OhSt 30

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Evan Hull run for 3 yds to the OhSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Evan Hull run for 8 yds to the OhSt 19

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Evan Hull run for 3 yds to the OhSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Evan Hull 16 Yd Run (Adam Stage Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Julian Fleming for 7 yds to the OhSt 32

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Dawand Jones) to the OhSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.43

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Cade Stover for 7 yds to the OhSt 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Miyan Williams run for no gain to the OhSt 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 37 yds, downed at the Nwest 29

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Evan Hull run for 9 yds to the Nwest 38

2nd & 1Penalty-10 yds

Hull, Evan rush for loss of 1 yard to the NORTHWSTRN37, PENALTY NORTHWSTRN holding (Schmidt, Charlie) 10 yards to the NORTHWSTRN28, NO PLAY.

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Brendan Sullivan run for 3 yds to the Nwest 31

3rd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Evan Hull for 4 yds to the Nwest 35

4th & 4Punt+18 yds

Luke Akers punt for 52 yds , Emeka Egbuka returns for 18 yds to the OhSt 31

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Miyan Williams run for 2 yds to the OhSt 33

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.52

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 7 yds to the OhSt 40

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Miyan Williams run for no gain to the OhSt 40

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Miyan Williams run for no gain to the OhSt 40

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Brendan Sullivan run for 3 yds to the OhSt 37

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Cam Porter for 4 yds to the OhSt 33

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.83

Brendan Sullivan run for 6 yds to the OhSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the OhSt 25

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the OhSt 23

3rd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.11

Evan Hull run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 25

4th & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -2.58

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Malik Washington for 4 yds to the OhSt 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.18

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 15 yds to the OhSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Julian Fleming

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Julian Fleming

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Cade Stover

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 64 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Evan Hull run for 3 yds to the Nwest 23

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Evan Hull run for 3 yds to the Nwest 26

3rd & 4Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.34

Evan Hull run for 17 yds to the Nwest 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Evan Hull run for no gain to the Nwest 43

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Brendan Sullivan run for 3 yds to the Nwest 46

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Evan Hull run for 5 yds to the OhSt 49

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 31 yds, downed at the OhSt 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.71

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 11 yds to the OhSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.95

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 28

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Emeka Egbuka

4th & 11Penalty-5 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the OhSt 23

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 77 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Evan Hull run for 2 yds to the Nwest 22

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -0.46

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 20 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Nwest Brendan Sullivan

3rd & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.17

Cam Porter run for a loss of 6 yards to the Nwest 14

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 32 yds, downed at the Nwest 46

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Miyan Williams run for 2 yds to the Nwest 44

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Miyan Williams run for 5 yds to the Nwest 39

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Miyan Williams run for 2 yds to the Nwest 37

4th & 1Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.03

C.J. Stroud run for 16 yds to the Nwest 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

C.J. Stroud run for 6 yds to the Nwest 15

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.44

Emeka Egbuka 15 Yd Run (Noah Ruggles Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Evan Hull run for 4 yds to the Nwest 29

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the Nwest 33

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.44

Brendan Sullivan run for 6 yds to the Nwest 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.25

TEAM run for a loss of 10 yards to the Nwest 29

2nd & 20Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.24

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Nwest 25

3rd & 24Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.05

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Nwest 21

0th & 23End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Evan Hull run for 2 yds to the Nwest 27

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Evan Hull run for 5 yds to the Nwest 32

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.32

Evan Hull run for 4 yds to the Nwest 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Evan Hull run for 9 yds to the Nwest 45

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.44

Evan Hull run for no gain to the Nwest 45

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Brendan Sullivan run for no gain to the Nwest 45

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Evan Hull run for no gain to the Nwest 45

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Miyan Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 46

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Julian Fleming

3rd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.81

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 12 yds to the Nwest 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Emeka Egbuka

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Miyan Williams run for 7 yds to the Nwest 27

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +3.22

Miyan Williams 27 Yd Run (Noah Ruggles Kick)

3rd & 3Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Jayden Fielding kickoff for 64 yds , Evan Hull return for 17 yds to the Nwest 18

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.44

Cam Porter run for 19 yds to the Nwest 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Cam Porter run for 6 yds to the Nwest 43

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.98

Andrew Clair run for 1 yd to the Nwest 44

3rd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.01

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Malik Washington for 9 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Cam Porter run for 3 yds to the OhSt 44

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.55

Malik Washington run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 46

3rd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.87

Brendan Sullivan run for no gain to the OhSt 46

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OhSt 16

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Miyan Williams run for 2 yds to the OhSt 18

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Cade Stover for 5 yds to the OhSt 23

3rd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.49

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 11 yds to the OhSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Julian Fleming

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.14

Miyan Williams run for 12 yds to the OhSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Cade Stover

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.58

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 2 yds to the OhSt 48

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nwest 4

1st & 10Penalty-2 yds

NORTHWESTERN Penalty, False Start (Vincent Picozzi) to the Nwest 2

1st & 12Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.47

Evan Hull run for 9 yds to the Nwest 11

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.38

Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the Nwest 12

3rd & 2Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.07

Brendan Sullivan run for 15 yds to the Nwest 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the Nwest 28

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Evan Hull run for 2 yds to the Nwest 30

3rd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.21

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Malik Washington for 11 yds to the Nwest 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the Nwest 42

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete to Malik Washington

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.77

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Cam Porter for 10 yds to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.76

Cam Porter run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 49

2nd & 13Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Malik Washington for 5 yds to the OhSt 46

3rd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.29

Brendan Sullivan run for 8 yds to the OhSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Cam Porter run for no gain to the OhSt 38

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Brendan Sullivan run for 2 yds to the OhSt 36

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete to Genson Hooper Price

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.53

Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete to Donny Navarro III

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Miyan Williams run for 5 yds to the OhSt 41

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

C.J. Stroud run for 3 yds to the OhSt 44

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 45 yds, downed at the Nwest 11

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the Nwest 12

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Evan Hull run for 4 yds to the Nwest 16

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Evan Hull run for 2 yds to the Nwest 18

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 44 yds, downed at the OhSt 38

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.11

Miyan Williams run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Miyan Williams run for 1 yd to the Nwest 49

2nd & 9Rush+44 ydsPPA +2.83

C.J. Stroud run for 44 yds to the Nwest 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

C.J. Stroud run for 3 yds to the Nwest 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Miyan Williams run for 2 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)

2nd & 7Kickoff Return (Offense)+3 yds

Jayden Fielding kickoff for 26 yds , Declan Carr return for 3 yds to the Nwest 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.09

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Malik Washington for 13 yds to the OhSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Brendan Sullivan run for 1 yd to the OhSt 44

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Donny Navarro III

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Jacob Gill

4th & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Jacob Gill

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Miyan Williams run for 4 yds to the OhSt 48

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Miyan Williams run for 4 yds to the Nwest 48

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.40

Miyan Williams run for 6 yds to the Nwest 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Miyan Williams run for 1 yd to the Nwest 41

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Miyan Williams run for no gain to the Nwest 41

3rd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Miyan Williams run for 7 yds to the Nwest 34

4th & 2Rush-4 ydsPPA -2.49

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Nwest 38

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Evan Hull run for 6 yds to the Nwest 44

Situational Analysis

Ohio State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
33%
21 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
58%
12 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
43%
7 plays
0%
1 play
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
50%
4 plays

Northwestern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
43%
28 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
20%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
8%
13 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
44%
9 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
0%
3 plays