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← Back to GamesNov 5, 2022Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Minnesota by 11.6

Home Win Probability

Nebraska 19%

Market (consensus)

Nebraska +14.5

Edge: Nebraska +14.5 (2.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 5, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MinnesotaMinnesota
00101020
NebraskaNebraska
1000313

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-010-010-310-1010-1310-2013-20
NebraskaMinnesota

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NEBMINNEBMINNEBMINNEBMINNEBMINMINNEBMINNEBMINNEBMINNEBMINNEBMINNEBMINTD975ydPUNT3-9ydFG1150ydPUNT1030ydPUNT619ydPUNT3-13ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT621ydPUNT33ydEND2-3ydFG1046ydPUNT34ydPUNT440ydPUNT320ydTD686ydPUNT33ydFG947ydTO3-5ydTD733ydFG1267ydPUNT522ydDOWNS735ydEND2-5yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Minnesota and Nebraska
StatisticMinnesotaNebraska
Passing12-2011-26
Pass Yards175121
Rush Yards125146
Total Yards300267
Turnovers01
3rd Down3-115-16
Penalties2-182-10
Possession34:4125:19

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Minnesota
passing
Athan Kaliakmanis
6/12, 137 YDS
rushing
Mohamed Ibrahim
32 CAR, 128 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Daniel Jackson
5 REC, 88 YDS
defense
Nebraska
passing
Logan Smothers
5/10, 80 YDS
rushing
Anthony Grant
21 CAR, 115 YDS
receiving
Marcus Washington
2 REC, 63 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+36 ydsPPA +2.94

Anthony Grant run for 36 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Travis Vokolek for 4 yds to the Minn 35

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the Minn 34

3rd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.24

Anthony Grant run for 12 yds to the Minn 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Trey Palmer for 9 yds to the Minn 13

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the Minn 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Anthony Grant run for 6 yds to the Minn 5

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Anthony Grant run for 3 yds to the Minn 2

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.46

Chubba Purdy run for 2 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Brendan Franke kickoff for 63 yds , Quentin Redding return for 18 yds to the Minn 20

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 23

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Minn 24

3rd & 6Penalty0 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Trey Palmer

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Anthony Grant run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 4Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.17

Chubba Purdy run for 13 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Trey Palmer

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Trey Palmer for 6 yds to the Minn 31

3rd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.94

Chubba Purdy run for 11 yds to the Minn 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.19

Anthony Grant run for 11 yds to the Minn 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the Minn 7

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the Minn 6

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Travis Vokolek

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 yds

Timmy Bleekrode 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Brendan Franke kickoff for 64 yds , Quentin Redding return for 25 yds to the Minn 26

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Michael Brown-Stephens

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.69

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 11 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 40

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.46

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Michael Brown-Stephens for 8 yds to the Minn 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Tanner Morgan run for 1 yd to the Minn 49

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Michael Brown-Stephens for 7 yds to the Neb 44

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.07

Trey Potts run for 3 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Trey Potts run for 2 yds to the Neb 43

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Neb 44

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Brevyn Spann-Ford

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 13

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Anthony Grant run for 6 yds to the Neb 19

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.32

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Chancellor Brewington for 5 yds to the Neb 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.81

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Trey Palmer for 10 yds to the Neb 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.28

Chubba Purdy sacked by Cody Lindenberg for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 32

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Anthony Grant run for no gain to the Neb 32

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Alante Brown

4th & 12Punt+8 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 54 yds , Quentin Redding returns for 8 yds to the Minn 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Kristen Hoskins for 3 yds to the Minn 19

2nd & 13Fumble Recovery (Own)+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Tanner Morgan run for 3 yds to the Minn 16 Tanner Morgan fumbled, recovered by Minn Tanner Morgan

3rd & 16Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.07

Tanner Morgan sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the Minn 9

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Trey Palmer at the Minn 48

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY NEB False Start (Lutovsky,Henry) 5 yards from MIN48 to NEB47. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Rahmir Johnson run for 1 yd to the Neb 48

2nd & 14Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.25

Chubba Purdy sacked by Mariano Sori-Marin for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 44

3rd & 18Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.21

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Rahmir Johnson for 7 yds to the Minn 49

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 49 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Minn 24

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Minn 28

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.04

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Minn 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Morgan,Tanner pass incomplete short right to Brown-Stephens,Michael broken up by Buford Jr.,Marques PENALTY MIN Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Schmitz,John Michael) 5 yards from MIN32 to MIN27. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.67

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Michael Brown-Stephens for 12 yds to the Minn 39

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.74

Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the Minn 41

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.92

Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the Minn 41

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 20

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the Neb 19

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Anthony Grant run for 4 yds to the Neb 23

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Trey Palmer

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 56 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the Minn 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 3 yds to the Minn 24

2nd & 7Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.70

Tanner Morgan sacked by Ty Robinson for a loss of 6 yards to the Minn 18

0th & 7End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 8 yds to the Minn 33

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.02

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Le'Meke Brockington

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.50

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 16 yds to the Neb 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 9 yds to the Neb 39

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.22

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 7 yds to the Neb 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Neb 27

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Neb 29

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Le'Meke Brockington

4th & 7Field Goal Good+47 yds

Matthew Trickett 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Anthony Grant run for no gain to the Neb 25

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Chubba Purdy run for 4 yds to the Neb 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Marcus Washington

4th & 6Punt+14 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 61 yds , Quentin Redding returns for 14 yds to the Minn 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.05

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Dylan Wright for 38 yds to the Neb 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Neb 36

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Daniel Jackson

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Michael Brown-Stephens

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 9

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Anthony Grant run for 5 yds to the Neb 14

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Logan Smothers run for 2 yds to the Neb 16

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Logan Smothers pass incomplete to Oliver Martin

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 57 yds

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 57 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +3.42

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 45 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.54

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 16 yds to the Neb 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Neb 27

2nd & 12Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.83

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 13 yds to the Neb 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.08

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 11 yds to the Neb 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Anthony Grant run for 3 yds to the Neb 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Travis Vokolek

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Nate Boerkircher

4th & 7Punt+6 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 56 yds , Quentin Redding returns for 6 yds to the Minn 22

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 8 yds to the Minn 30

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 8 yds to the Minn 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 41

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.62

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 10 yds to the Neb 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.86

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Dylan Wright for 16 yds to the Neb 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Neb 31

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Michael Brown-Stephens

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Daniel Jackson

4th & 8Field Goal Good+49 yds

Matthew Trickett 49 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY NEB Delay Of Game 5 yards from NEB25 to NEB20. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Trey Palmer

2nd & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.15

Anthony Grant run for no gain to the Neb 20

3rd & 15Interception0 ydsPPA +0.29

Chubba Purdy pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Neb 31

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 8 yds to the Neb 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Neb 19

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Neb 14

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Neb 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Neb 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Logan Smothers run for 5 yds to the Neb 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.93

Logan Smothers pass complete to Trey Palmer for 7 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Anthony Grant run for 9 yds to the Neb 46

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.20

Anthony Grant run for 9 yds to the Minn 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Logan Smothers sacked by Lucas Finnessy for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 46

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Rahmir Johnson run for no gain to the Minn 46

3rd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Rahmir Johnson run for 1 yd to the Minn 45

4th & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.86

Logan Smothers pass complete to Marcus Washington for 32 yds to the Minn 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Anthony Grant run for no gain to the Minn 13

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Logan Smothers pass complete to Anthony Grant for 5 yds to the Minn 8

3rd & 5Penalty0 yds

NEBRASKA Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass ( Yards) declined

4th & 5Field Goal Good+26 yds

Timmy Bleekrode 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 28

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.42

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 10 yds to the Minn 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the Minn 38

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 3 yds to the Minn 41

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Minn 47

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 12

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Rahmir Johnson run for 1 yd to the Neb 13

2nd & 9Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.25

Logan Smothers sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 11

3rd & 11Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.74

Logan Smothers pass complete to Marcus Washington for 31 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Logan Smothers pass complete to Trey Palmer for 5 yds to the Neb 47

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.19

Logan Smothers pass incomplete to Chancellor Brewington

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Logan Smothers pass incomplete to Alante Brown

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Logan Smothers pass incomplete to Trey Palmer

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.52

Kneel down by Minnesota at NEB49 for loss of 2 yards.

2nd & 12Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.43

Kneel down by Minnesota at MIN48 for loss of 3 yards.

Situational Analysis

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
36%
28 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
60%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
58%
12 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th

Nebraska

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
48%
21 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
43%
7 plays
0%
5 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play