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← Back to GamesOct 29, 2022Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Illinois by 15.4

Home Win Probability

Nebraska 15%

Market (consensus)

Nebraska +7.5

Edge: Illinois -7.5 (7.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 29, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
IllinoisIllinois
6143326
NebraskaNebraska
36009

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-63-69-69-209-239-26
NebraskaIllinois

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ILLNEBILLNEBILLNEBILLNEBILLNEBILLNEBILLNEBNEBILLNEBILLNEBILLNEBILLNEBILLNEBILLTD575ydTO644ydPUNT36ydPUNT35ydPUNT37ydFG973ydPUNT936ydTD593ydPUNT3-2ydTO3-1ydTD211ydPUNT37ydTD1172ydEND1-2ydPUNT622ydTO214ydTO30ydFG1370ydPUNT48ydPUNT523ydTO15ydFG42ydPUNT36ydPUNT1025ydPUNT3-12ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Illinois and Nebraska
StatisticIllinoisNebraska
Passing20-2211-24
Pass Yards179188
Rush Yards18860
Total Yards367248
Turnovers14
3rd Down7-152-12
Penalties8-723-30
Possession38:1321:47

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Illinois
passing
Tommy DeVito
20/22, 179 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Chase Brown
32 CAR, 149 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Isaiah Williams
9 REC, 93 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Nebraska
passing
Casey Thompson
7/15, 172 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Anthony Grant
12 CAR, 61 YDS
receiving
Travis Vokolek
1 REC, 56 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Chase Brown run for 4 yds to the Illin 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.27

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Tip Reiman for 20 yds to the Illin 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Tommy DeVito run for 4 yds to the Neb 46

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +4.98

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 46 yds for a TD, (Fabrizio Pinton PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.71

Casey Thompson pass complete to Anthony Grant for 19 yds to the Neb 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Casey Thompson run for 3 yds to the Neb 47

2nd & 7Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.96

Anthony Grant run for 22 yds to the Illin 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Trey Palmer

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Travis Vokolek

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.78

Casey Thompson pass intercepted Jartavius Martin return for no gain to the Illin 17

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, False Start (Alex Pihlstrom) to the Illin 12

1st & 15Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.23

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 11

2nd & 16Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.04

Chase Brown run for 6 yds to the Illin 17

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 6 yds to the Illin 23

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Trey Palmer at the Neb 34

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Brody Belt

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Anthony Grant run for 4 yds to the Neb 38

3rd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Casey Thompson pass complete to Anthony Grant for 1 yd to the Neb 39

4th & 5Punt+24 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 51 yds , Isaiah Williams returns for 24 yds to the Illin 34

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Josh McCray run for 4 yds to the Illin 38

2nd & 6Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.31

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Hank Beatty for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 35

3rd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Tommy DeVito run for 6 yds to the Illin 41

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 19

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the Neb 20

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Casey Thompson pass complete to Nate Boerkircher for 4 yds to the Neb 24

3rd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.08

Casey Thompson pass complete to Alante Brown for 15 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Trey Palmer

2nd & 10Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +3.39

Casey Thompson pass complete to Chancellor Brewington for 45 yds to the Illin 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Casey Thompson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.29

Anthony Grant run for 8 yds to the Illin 8

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Anthony Grant run for no gain to the Illin 8

4th & 2Field Goal Good+26 yds

Timmy Bleekrode 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.71

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Tip Reiman for 19 yds to the Illin 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 46

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.76

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 12 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Neb 41

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Chase Brown run for 8 yds to the Neb 33

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.60

Chase Brown run for 8 yds to the Neb 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Tommy DeVito run for no gain to the Neb 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 3 yds to the Neb 22

3rd & 7Sack-12 ydsPPA -3.04

Isaiah Williams sacked by Quinton Newsome for a loss of 12 yards to the Neb 34

4th & 19Penalty-5 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, False Start (Hunter Whitenack) to the Neb 39

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 32 yds, downed at the Neb 7

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.38

Jaquez Yant run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 5

2nd & 12Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.20

Casey Thompson pass complete to Alante Brown for 32 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jaquez Yant run for no gain to the Neb 37

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Casey Thompson run for 7 yds to the Neb 44

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+56 ydsPPA +5.62

Casey Thompson pass complete to Travis Vokolek for 56 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Chase Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 6 yds to the Illin 30

3rd & 5Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.59

Tommy DeVito sacked by Isaac Gifford for a loss of 7 yards to the Illin 23

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Trey Palmer at the Neb 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Rahmir Johnson

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.52

Anthony Grant run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 29

3rd & 11Pass Interception Return+37 ydsPPA +0.08

Casey Thompson pass intercepted Sydney Brown return for 37 yds to the Neb 11

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.58

Chase Brown run for 10 yds to the Neb 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Chase Brown run for 1 yd for a TD, (Caleb Griffin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Logan Smothers pass complete to Trey Palmer for 1 yd to the Neb 26

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Logan Smothers run for 7 yds to the Neb 33

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.68

Logan Smothers run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Williams at the Illin 28

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Chase Brown run for 9 yds to the Illin 37

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.03

Chase Brown run for 5 yds to the Illin 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.51

Chase Brown run for 21 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Reggie Love III run for 2 yds to the Neb 35

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Casey Washington for 8 yds to the Neb 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Reggie Love III run for 5 yds to the Neb 22

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Neb 19

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.25

Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Neb 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Luke Ford for 15 yds to the Neb 2 ILLINOIS Penalty, Illegal Block (Tip Reiman) to the Neb 12

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Pat Bryant

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.51

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Chase Brown for 12 yds for a TD, (Caleb Griffin KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 23

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Anthony Grant for 7 yds to the Neb 32

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.23

Chubba Purdy run for 3 yds to the Neb 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.56

Chubba Purdy run for 2 yds to the Illin 37 for a 1ST down ILLINOIS Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Illin 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Chancellor Brewington

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

NEBRASKA Penalty, False Start (Trent Hixson) to the Neb 47

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Trey Palmer

3rd & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Anthony Grant run for no gain to the Neb 47

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 44 yds, downed at the Illin 9

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.57

Chase Brown run for 8 yds to the Illin 17

2nd & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+6 ydsPPA -0.75

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 6 yds Isaiah Williams fumbled, recovered by Neb Quinton Newsome

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Trey Palmer

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Chubba Purdy run for no gain to the Illin 23

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return+22 ydsPPA -3.37

Chubba Purdy pass intercepted Sydney Brown return for 10 yds to the Illin 13 ILLINOIS Penalty, Personal Foul (12 Yards) to the Illin 12

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Illin 13

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Chase Brown run for 5 yds to the Illin 18

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Casey Washington for 8 yds to the Illin 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Chase Brown run for 5 yds to the Illin 31

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Reggie Love III for 3 yds to the Illin 34

3rd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.19

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Brian Hightower for 3 yds to the Illin 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.51

Chase Brown run for 17 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.49

Chase Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 48

2nd & 12Penalty-10 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Isaiah Adams) to the Illin 42

2nd & 22Rush+31 ydsPPA +4.01

Tommy DeVito run for 16 yds to the NEBRASKA 42 for a 1ST down NEBRASKA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Neb 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Neb 24

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Neb 21

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Neb 18

4th & 1Field Goal Good+36 yds

Caleb Griffin 36 yd FG GOOD

4th & 1Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Caleb Griffin kickoff for 65 yds , Tommi Hill return for 18 yds to the Neb 18

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Anthony Grant run for 10 yds to the Neb 28 NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Neb 18

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Anthony Grant run for no gain to the Neb 18

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.36

Anthony Grant run for 8 yds to the Neb 26

3rd & 2Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.43

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Chancellor Brewington for no gain to the Neb 26

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Williams at the Illin 27

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Reggie Love III run for 3 yds to the Illin 30

2nd & 7Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.25

Tommy DeVito run for 18 yds to the Illin 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Chase Brown run for 5 yds to the Neb 47

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.17

Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Tip Reiman

3rd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Chase Brown for 2 yds to the Neb 45

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard line

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 50 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -0.61

Anthony Grant run for 5 yds to the Neb 25 Anthony Grant fumbled, forced by Jartavius Martin, recovered by Illin Jer'Zhan Newton

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Chase Brown run for no gain to the Neb 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.77

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Chase Brown for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 26

3rd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Neb 23

4th & 8Field Goal Good+41 yds

Caleb Griffin 41 yd FG GOOD

4th & 8Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Caleb Griffin kickoff for 60 yds , Zach Weinmaster return for 14 yds to the Neb 19

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Trey Palmer

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.31

Jaquez Yant run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 17

3rd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.12

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Marcus Washington for 8 yds to the Neb 25

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Williams at the Illin 23

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -1.04

Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Illin 26 ILLINOIS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Illin 16

1st & 17Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Illin 19

2nd & 14Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.32

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 9 yds to the Illin 28

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.47

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 6 yds to the Illin 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Chase Brown run for 6 yds to the Illin 40

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Chase Brown run for no gain to the Illin 40

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.90

Chase Brown run for 6 yds to the Illin 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Reggie Love III run for no gain to the Illin 46

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Reggie Love III run for 3 yds to the Illin 49

3rd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.93

Reggie Love III run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 48

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 52 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.86

Chubba Purdy sacked by Kenenna Odeluga for a loss of 6 yards to the Neb 14

2nd & 16Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Anthony Grant run for 4 yds to the Neb 18

3rd & 12Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.13

Chubba Purdy sacked by Jer'Zhan Newton for a loss of 10 yards to the Neb 8

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 55 yds, downed at the Illin 37

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.24

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 36

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.66

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 35

Situational Analysis

Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
41%
27 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
29%
7 plays
50%
10 plays
80%
5 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
57%
7 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th

Nebraska

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
14%
21 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
50%
12 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
4th