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← Back to GamesOct 29, 2022Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Iowa by 26.4

Home Win Probability

Iowa 94%

Market (consensus)

Iowa -11.5

Edge: Iowa -11.5 (14.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 29, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NorthwesternNorthwestern
007613
IowaIowa
101031033

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-010-013-020-023-726-733-13
IowaNorthwestern

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20IOWNORIOWNORIOWNORIOWNORNORIOWNORIOWNORIOWNORIOWNORFG963ydPUNT62ydTD1459ydPUNT1224ydFG1585ydPUNT3-8ydTD650ydTO27ydPUNT1122ydPUNT32ydTD834ydFG1039ydPUNT33ydFG1064ydPUNT73ydTD336ydTD1575yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northwestern and Iowa
StatisticNorthwesternIowa
Passing23-3021-30
Pass Yards159220
Rush Yards18178
Total Yards177398
Turnovers10
3rd Down7-175-11
Penalties4-402-13
Possession28:1631:44

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northwestern
passing
Brendan Sullivan
23/30, 159 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Evan Hull
11 CAR, 32 YDS
receiving
Bryce Kirtz
5 REC, 35 YDS
defense
Iowa
passing
Spencer Petras
21/30, 220 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Kaleb Johnson
13 CAR, 93 YDS
receiving
Nico Ragaini
4 REC, 66 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.93

Arland Bruce IV run for 8 yds to the Iowa 34

2nd & 2Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.39

Kaleb Johnson run for 18 yds to the Nwest 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.78

Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 15 yds to the Nwest 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.72

Kaleb Johnson run for 9 yds to the Nwest 24

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.40

Kaleb Johnson run for 7 yds to the Nwest 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Spencer Petras run for 2 yds to the Nwest 15

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Spencer Petras pass complete to Brody Brecht for 6 yds to the Nwest 9

3rd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.56

Gavin Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 11

4th & 4Field Goal Good+29 yds

Drew Stevens 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Evan Hull run for 6 yds to the Nwest 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.66

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Evan Hull for 7 yds to the Nwest 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the Nwest 39

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Evan Hull run for 3 yds to the Nwest 42

3rd & 6Sack-15 ydsPPA -1.20

Brendan Sullivan sacked by Deontae Craig for a loss of 15 yards to the Nwest 27

4th & 21Punt+4 yds

Luke Akers punt for 36 yds , Arland Bruce IV returns for 4 yds to the Iowa 41

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.40

Kaleb Johnson run for no gain to the Iowa 41 IOWA Penalty, Illegal use of the hands on ELSBURY, Tyler enforced (-10 Yards) to the Iowa 26

1st & 20Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Spencer Petras pass complete to Leshon Williams for 6 yds to the Iowa 37

2nd & 14Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.24

Spencer Petras pass complete to Diante Vines for 11 yds to the Iowa 48

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Spencer Petras run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.26

Spencer Petras run for 3 yds to the Nwest 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Spencer Petras pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.55

Spencer Petras pass complete to Brody Brecht for 7 yds to the Nwest 40

3rd & 3Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.45

Spencer Petras pass complete to Monte Pottebaum for 17 yds to the Nwest 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Brody Brecht run for 4 yds to the Nwest 19

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 17

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Spencer Petras pass complete to Leshon Williams for 8 yds to the Nwest 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Leshon Williams run for 3 yds to the Nwest 6

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kaleb Johnson run for 5 yds to the Nwest 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Spencer Petras run for 1 yd for a TD, (Drew Stevens KICK)

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Evan Hull run for a loss of 5 yards to the Nwest 20

2nd & 15Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.09

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Marshall Lang for 17 yds to the Nwest 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Anthony Tyus III for 12 yds to the Nwest 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Evan Hull for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Evan Hull for 5 yds to the Iowa 45

3rd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.76

Brendan Sullivan run for 10 yds to the Iowa 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Evan Hull for 6 yds to the Iowa 29

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the Iowa 27

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.41

Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the Iowa 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Andrew Clair for 3 yds to the Iowa 22

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

(11:14) CLAIR, Andrew rush to the left for no gain to the IOW22 (MOSS, Riley), clock 11:13. PENALTY NWU Holding enforced 10 yards from the IOW22 to the IOW32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 17Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.62

Brendan Sullivan sacked by Ethan Hurkett for a loss of 10 yards to the Iowa 42

3rd & 27Rush-9 ydsPPA -0.58

Brendan Sullivan run for a loss of 9 yards to the Nwest 49

4th & 36Punt+10 yds

Luke Akers punt for 44 yds , Arland Bruce IV returns for 10 yds to the IOWA 41 IOWA Penalty, Illegal Block (Jay Higgins) to the Iowa 4

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.41

Leshon Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 7

2nd & 12Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.80

Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the Iowa 9 for a 1ST down NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Defensive Holding (Adetomiwa Adebawore) to the Iowa 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Spencer Petras pass complete to Leshon Williams for 5 yds to the Iowa 24

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.66

Leshon Williams run for 6 yds to the Iowa 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Leshon Williams run for 3 yds to the Iowa 33

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Spencer Petras pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.14

Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 20 yds to the Nwest 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.80

Kaleb Johnson run for 17 yds to the Nwest 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.70

Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 31

2nd & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.90

Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 11 yds to the Nwest 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.30

Nico Ragaini run for 12 yds to the Nwest 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Spencer Petras pass incomplete

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the Nwest 6

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Spencer Petras pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 yds

Drew Stevens 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the Nwest 26

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

NORTHWESTERN Penalty, False Start (Peter Skoronski) to the Nwest 21

2nd & 14Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Evan Hull for 6 yds to the Nwest 27

3rd & 8Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.37

Brendan Sullivan sacked by Logan Lee for a loss of 10 yards to the Nwest 17

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Luke Akers punt for 33 yds, downed at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.79

Spencer Petras pass complete to Arland Bruce IV for 13 yds to the Nwest 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Spencer Petras pass complete to Brody Brecht for 5 yds to the Nwest 32

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.32

Leshon Williams run for 10 yds to the Nwest 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.12

Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 10 yds to the Nwest 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Leshon Williams run for 6 yds to the Nwest 6

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.35

Spencer Petras pass complete to Luke Lachey for 6 yds for a TD, (Drew Stevens KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Evan Hull run for 7 yds to the Nwest 32

2nd & 3Interception0 ydsPPA -1.53

Brendan Sullivan pass intercepted

0th & 3End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Evan Hull run for 8 yds to the Nwest 33

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the Nwest 34

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.56

Brendan Sullivan run for 1 yd to the Nwest 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Evan Hull run for 3 yds to the Nwest 38

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Donny Navarro III for 6 yds to the Nwest 44

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Andrew Clair run for no gain to the Nwest 44

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.13

Brendan Sullivan run for 2 yds to the Nwest 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Brendan Sullivan sacked by Lukas Van Ness for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 44

2nd & 12Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Genson Hooper Price for 3 yds to the Nwest 47

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Luke Akers punt for 53 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the Iowa 22

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Spencer Petras pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Spencer Petras pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 12 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Malik Washington run for no gain to the Iowa 34

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.98

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Duke Olges for 14 yds to the Iowa 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Brendan Sullivan run for 2 yds to the Iowa 18

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.50

Evan Hull run for 10 yds to the Iowa 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Brendan Sullivan run for 1 yd to the Iowa 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Malik Washington for 6 yds to the Iowa 1

4th & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Duke Olges for 1 yd for a TD, (Adam Stage KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Spencer Petras pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.63

Spencer Petras pass complete to Diante Vines for 11 yds to the Iowa 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kaleb Johnson run for 4 yds to the Iowa 40

2nd & 6Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.83

Kaleb Johnson run for 15 yds to the Nwest 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 43

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.18

Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 12 yds to the Nwest 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.24

Arland Bruce IV run for a loss of 4 yards to the Nwest 35

2nd & 14Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Spencer Petras pass complete to Arland Bruce IV for 6 yds to the Nwest 29

3rd & 8Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.34

Spencer Petras sacked by Xander Mueller for a loss of 7 yards to the Nwest 36

4th & 15Field Goal Good+54 yds

Drew Stevens 54 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Malik Washington for 6 yds to the Nwest 30

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -1.14

Evan Hull run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 27 Evan Hull fumbled, recovered by Nwest Brendan Sullivan

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+7 yds

Luke Akers punt for 51 yds , Arland Bruce IV returns for 7 yds to the Iowa 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 5 yds to the Iowa 34

2nd & 5Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.67

Leshon Williams run for 14 yds to the Iowa 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Spencer Petras pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Leshon Williams run for 3 yds to the Nwest 49

3rd & 7Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.75

Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 20 yds to the Nwest 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.90

Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 24 yds to the Nwest 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 2 yds to the Nwest 3

2nd & 3Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.67

Leshon Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the Nwest 7

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Spencer Petras pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+25 yds

Drew Stevens 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.15

Brendan Sullivan sacked by Noah Shannon for a loss of 7 yards to the Nwest 18

2nd & 17Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.29

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Malik Washington for 10 yds to the Nwest 28

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Brendan Sullivan run for 5 yds to the Nwest 33

4th & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.95

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 5 yds to the Nwest 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.81

Brendan Sullivan sacked by Seth Benson for a loss of 5 yards to the Nwest 33

2nd & 15Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.52

Brendan Sullivan sacked by Joe Evans for a loss of 5 yards to the Nwest 28

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete

4th & 20Punt+19 yds

Luke Akers punt for 42 yds , Arland Bruce IV returns for 19 yds to the Nwest 47 NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Nwest 36

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Kaleb Johnson run for 8 yds to the Nwest 28

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.23

Kaleb Johnson run for 5 yds to the Nwest 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.66

Arland Bruce IV run for 23 yds for a TD, (Drew Stevens KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Cole Freeman run for 4 yds to the Nwest 29

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Anthony Tyus III run for 5 yds to the Nwest 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Anthony Tyus III run for 3 yds to the Nwest 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 10 yds to the Nwest 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Anthony Tyus III run for 4 yds to the Iowa 49

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Anthony Tyus III run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.34

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 8 yds to the Iowa 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.67

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 8 yds to the Iowa 34

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Anthony Tyus III run for no gain to the Iowa 34

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.69

Andrew Clair run for 4 yds to the Iowa 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.22

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Genson Hooper Price for 12 yds to the Iowa 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Andrew Clair run for 5 yds to the Iowa 13

2nd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Andrew Clair for 2 yds to the Iowa 11

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.54

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 4 yds to the Iowa 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Raymond Niro III for 7 yds for a TD

Situational Analysis

Northwestern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
40%
25 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
71%
7 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
4 plays

Iowa

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
48%
29 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
86%
7 plays
50%
8 plays
100%
4 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play