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← Back to GamesOct 22, 2022Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Penn State by 7.6

Home Win Probability

Penn State 67%

Market (Bovada)

Penn State -5.5

Edge: Penn State -5.5 (2.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 22, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MinnesotaMinnesota
370717
Penn StatePenn State
01721745

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-310-317-324-1031-1038-1038-1745-17
Penn StateMinnesota

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20PSMINPSMINPSMINPSMINPSMINPSMINPSMINPSMINPSMINPSMINPSMINPSMINPSMINPUNT34ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT38ydPUNT629ydTO22ydFG4-3ydFG951ydPUNT31ydTD776ydPUNT58ydTD886ydPUNT30ydPUNT33ydTD990ydEND312ydPUNT520ydTD464ydTO641ydTD755ydPUNT32ydTD1167ydTD1469ydTD340ydDOWNS661ydPUNT513ydEND27yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Minnesota and Penn State
StatisticMinnesotaPenn State
Passing9-2224-33
Pass Yards175304
Rush Yards165175
Total Yards340479
Turnovers11
3rd Down2-135-11
Penalties8-524-35
Possession31:3028:30

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Minnesota
passing
Athan Kaliakmanis
9/22, 175 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Mohamed Ibrahim
30 CAR, 102 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Brevyn Spann-Ford
5 REC, 68 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Penn State
passing
Sean Clifford
23/31, 295 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Nicholas Singleton
13 CAR, 79 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Theo Johnson
5 REC, 75 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Sean Clifford pass complete to Parker Washington for 4 yds to the PnSt 29

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Nicholas Singleton run for 1 yd to the PnSt 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Sean Clifford pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 4 yds to the PnSt 34

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

PENN ST Penalty, False Start (Malick Meiga) to the PnSt 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Barney Amor punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the Minn 23

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, False Start (Nick Kallerup) to the Minn 18

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Minn 23

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.38

Mohamed Ibrahim run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 21

3rd & 12Penalty-5 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, False Start (Axel Ruschmeyer) to the Minn 16

3rd & 17Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.02

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 19

4th & 14Punt-4 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 52 yds , Parker Washington returns for a loss of 4 yards to the PnSt 25

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Nicholas Singleton run for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Sean Clifford pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 4 yds to the PnSt 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Sean Clifford pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 6 yds to the PnSt 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Barney Amor punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the Minn 29

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.92

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 10 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 42

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.74

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 12 yds to the PnSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the PnSt 44

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the PnSt 42

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PnSt 7

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the PnSt 9

2nd & 8Pass Interception Return+37 ydsPPA +0.07

Sean Clifford pass intercepted Justin Walley return for 37 yds to the PnSt 14

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the PnSt 12

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the PnSt 11

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, False Start (Aireontae Ersery) to the PnSt 16

3rd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.85

Mohamed Ibrahim run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 17

4th & 13Field Goal Good+35 yds

Matthew Trickett 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Kaytron Allen run for 1 yd to the PnSt 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Harrison Wallace III

3rd & 9Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.31

Sean Clifford pass complete to Theo Johnson for 25 yds to the Minn 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.10

Sean Clifford pass complete to Parker Washington for no gain to the Minn 49

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.02

Sean Clifford pass complete to Theo Johnson for 18 yds to the Minn 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Kaytron Allen run for 3 yds to the Minn 28

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the Minn 26

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the Minn 24

4th & 3Field Goal Good+41 yds

Jake Pinegar 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 7 yds to the Minn 32

2nd & 3Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.54

Trey Potts run for a loss of 5 yards to the Minn 27

3rd & 8Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.25

Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Daequan Hardy and Abdul Carter for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 26

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 50 yds , Parker Washington returns for no gain to the PnSt 24

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the PnSt 29

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.30

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Mitchell Tinsley

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Nicholas Singleton run for 4 yds to the PnSt 33

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.21

Kaytron Allen run for 5 yds to the PnSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Mitchell Tinsley

2nd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.85

Sean Clifford pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 22 yds to the Minn 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the Minn 38

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +3.64

Sean Clifford pass complete to Tyler Warren for 38 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Minn 31

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.09

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 10 yds to the Minn 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Daniel Jackson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, False Start (Aireontae Ersery) to the Minn 36

3rd & 15Penalty-5 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, False Start (Axel Ruschmeyer) to the Minn 31

3rd & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.06

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 2 yds to the Minn 33

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 53 yds, downed at the PnSt 14

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the PnSt 16

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.93

Kaytron Allen run for 10 yds to the PnSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.15

Kaytron Allen run for 13 yds to the PnSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Omari Evans run for 7 yds to the PnSt 46

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.30

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Theo Johnson

3rd & 3Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.76

Sean Clifford pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 30 yds to the PENNST 24 for a 1ST down MINNESOTA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jalen Logan-Redding) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Sean Clifford pass complete to Parker Washington for 6 yds to the Minn 18

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.49

Sean Clifford pass complete to Theo Johnson for 18 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Brevyn Spann-Ford

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the Minn 25

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Brevyn Spann-Ford

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Parker Washington at the PnSt 34

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Sean Clifford pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Sean Clifford pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Sean Clifford pass complete to Kaytron Allen for 3 yds to the PnSt 37

4th & 7Punt+53 yds

Barney Amor punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PENNST 20 MINNESOTA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Beanie Bishop) to the Minn 10

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Daniel Jackson

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Minn 12

3rd & 8Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.97

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Le'Meke Brockington for 33 yds to the Minn 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.98

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 13 yds to the PnSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.45

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 11 yds to the PnSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.28

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 16 yds to the PnSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the PnSt 11

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.11

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 8 yds to the PnSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Nicholas Singleton run for 6 yds to the PnSt 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.74

Sean Clifford pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 17 yds to the PnSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Clifford, Sean rush for 7 yards to the MINNESOTA45, PENALTY PENNST holding (Scruggs, Juice) 10 yards to the PENNST38, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.69

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 37

0th & 20End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Jake Pinegar kickoff for 65 yds , Quentin Redding return for 16 yds to the Minn 16

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Michael Brown-Stephens

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.80

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 19 yds to the Minn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.44

Mohamed Ibrahim run for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 32

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Le'Meke Brockington

3rd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Bryce Williams run for 4 yds to the Minn 36

4th & 9Punt0 yds

TEAM punt for 28 yds, downed at the PnSt 36

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.38

Nicholas Singleton run for 15 yds to the Minn 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Sean Clifford pass complete to Brenton Strange for 5 yds to the Minn 44

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.69

Sean Clifford pass complete to Parker Washington for 9 yds to the Minn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +2.97

Sean Clifford pass complete to Parker Washington for 35 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 1 yd to the Minn 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.39

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Bryce Williams for 19 yds to the Minn 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

PENN ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Xavier Copening) to the 50 yard line

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the PnSt 46

2nd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.11

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 12 yds to the PnSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Brevyn Spann-Ford

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return+35 ydsPPA -3.40

Athan Kaliakmanis pass intercepted Ji'Ayir Brown return for 35 yds to the PnSt 45

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Kaytron Allen run for no gain to the PnSt 45

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.20

Kaytron Allen run for 14 yds to the Minn 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Sean Clifford pass complete to Kaytron Allen for 6 yds to the Minn 35

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Sean Clifford pass complete to Parker Washington for 7 yds to the Minn 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Kaytron Allen run for no gain to the Minn 28

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Nicholas Singleton

3rd & 10Penalty+12 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Terell Smith) to the Minn 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Nicholas Singleton run for 16 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Michael Brown-Stephens

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 6 yds to the Minn 31

3rd & 4Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.62

Mohamed Ibrahim run for a loss of 4 yards to the Minn 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 40 yds, downed at the PnSt 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Sean Clifford pass complete to Kaytron Allen for 4 yds to the PnSt 37

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Kaytron Allen run for 4 yds to the PnSt 41

3rd & 2Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.18

Kaytron Allen run for 13 yds to the Minn 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kaytron Allen run for 5 yds to the Minn 41

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Kaytron Allen run for 4 yds to the Minn 37

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.56

Kaytron Allen run for 1 yd to the Minn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the Minn 34

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Sean Clifford pass complete to Theo Johnson for 5 yds to the Minn 29

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Nicholas Singleton run for no gain to the Minn 29

4th & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.57

Sean Clifford pass complete to Parker Washington for 9 yds to the Minn 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Sean Clifford pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 20 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Gabriel Nwosu kickoff for 56 yds , Quentin Redding return for 23 yds to the Minn 32

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Minn 34

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 7 yds to the Minn 40

4th & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.26

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Minn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Minn 45

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Trey Potts run for no gain to the Minn 45

3rd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Michael Brown-Stephens for 6 yds to the PnSt 49

4th & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.74

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 7 yds to the PnSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the PnSt 42

2nd & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.66

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 28 yds to the PnSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.61

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 13 yds to the PnSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Mohamed Ibrahim run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the PnSt 2

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 2 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Nicholas Singleton run for 1 yd to the Minn 39

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.02

Drew Allar pass complete to Theo Johnson for 9 yds to the Minn 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Nicholas Singleton run for 30 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Trey Potts run for 7 yds to the Minn 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +2.87

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Michael Brown-Stephens for 49 yds to the PnSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Trey Potts run for 4 yds to the PnSt 15

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Trey Potts run for 1 yd to the PnSt 14

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Bryce Williams run for no gain to the PnSt 14

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.62

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Daniel Jackson

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.94

Tank Smith run for 9 yds to the PnSt 23

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Tank Smith run for 2 yds to the PnSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tank Smith run for 4 yds to the PnSt 29

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.82

Tank Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Drew Allar pass incomplete to Liam Clifford

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Barney Amor punt for 40 yds, downed at the Minn 33

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Bryce Williams run for 4 yds to the Minn 37

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Bryce Williams run for 3 yds to the Minn 40

Situational Analysis

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
33%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
36%
14 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
0%
4 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Penn State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
43%
30 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
44%
9 plays
67%
12 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
80%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play