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← Back to GamesOct 22, 2022Week 8
PurduePurdue
24
-Final
35
WisconsinWisconsin
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Purdue by 4.9

Home Win Probability

Wisconsin 39%

Market (consensus)

Wisconsin -1.5

Edge: Purdue +1.5 (6.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 22, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
PurduePurdue
0371424
WisconsinWisconsin
21014035

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284214-021-021-328-328-1035-1735-24
WisconsinPurdue

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WISPURPURWISPURWISPURWISPURWISPURPURWISPURWISPURPURWISPURWISPURWISPURWISTD676ydTD35ydMISS966ydTD880ydPUNT619ydPUNT32ydDOWNS530ydPUNT526ydFG1371ydPUNT625ydEND26ydTO31ydTD214ydPUNT30ydPUNT614ydPUNT514ydTD421ydTD475ydTD1281ydPUNT537ydTO742ydPUNT36ydTD987ydEND23yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Purdue and Wisconsin
StatisticPurdueWisconsin
Passing31-4613-21
Pass Yards320203
Rush Yards111178
Total Yards431381
Turnovers31
3rd Down5-162-8
Penalties4-409-82
Possession35:0025:00

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Purdue
passing
Aidan O'Connell
31/46, 320 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Devin Mockobee
23 CAR, 108 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Charlie Jones
10 REC, 105 YDS
defense
Wisconsin
passing
Graham Mertz
13/21, 203 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Braelon Allen
16 CAR, 113 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Skyler Bell
4 REC, 87 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Chris Van Eekeren kickoff for 41 yds , Jackson Acker return for no gain to the Wisc 24

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the Wisc 29

2nd & 5Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.64

Graham Mertz pass complete to Skyler Bell for 27 yds to the Prdue 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Braelon Allen run for 6 yds to the Prdue 38

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Chimere Dike

3rd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Graham Mertz run for 9 yds to the Prdue 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +2.79

Skyler Bell 29 Yd pass from Graham Mertz (Nate Van Zelst Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the Prdue 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 4 yds to the Prdue 30

3rd & 5Interception Return Touchdown+31 ydsPPA -7.26

John Torchio 31 Yd Interception Return (Nate Van Zelst Kick)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Devin Mockobee run for 9 yds to the Prdue 34

2nd & 1Rush+30 ydsPPA +1.81

Devin Mockobee run for 30 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 8 yds to the Wisc 28

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Devin Mockobee run for no gain to the Wisc 28

3rd & 2Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.60

Devin Mockobee run for 13 yds to the Wisc 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Devin Mockobee run for 4 yds to the Wisc 11

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the Wisc 9

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Payne Durham

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+26 yds

Mitchell Fineran 26 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.96

Graham Mertz pass complete to Skyler Bell for 13 yds to the Wisc 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the Wisc 38

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Braelon Allen run for 9 yds to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Graham Mertz pass complete to Keontez Lewis for 6 yds to the Prdue 47

2nd & 4Rush+41 ydsPPA +1.67

Braelon Allen run for 41 yds to the Prdue 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the Prdue 3

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Jack Eschenbach

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Chimere Dike 3 Yd pass from Graham Mertz (Nate Van Zelst Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to TJ Sheffield

3rd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.89

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 10 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 5 yds to the Prdue 40

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

King Doerue run for 2 yds to the Prdue 42

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to King Doerue for 2 yds to the Prdue 44

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jack Ansell punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dean Engram at the Wisc 16

1st & 10Penalty-8 yds

Mertz,Graham rush right for 3 yards gain to the WIS19, out of bounds at WIS19 PENALTY WIS Holding (Furtney,Michael) 8 yards from WIS16 to WIS08. NO PLAY.

1st & 18Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.17

Isaac Guerendo run for 8 yds to the Wisc 16

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Isaac Guerendo run for 2 yds to the Wisc 18

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Chimere Dike

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Charlie Jones at the Prdue 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.59

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 23 yds to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 7 yds to the Wisc 28

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the Wisc 26

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.28

Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the Wisc 28

4th & 3Penalty0 yds

PURDUE Penalty, Illegal Shift (Reese Taylor) declined

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.85

Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 20 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

Shotgun Mertz,Graham pass incomplete short right to Allen,Braelon QB hurried by Jenkins,Kydran PENALTY PUR Roughing The Passer (Jenkins,Kydran) 15 yards from WIS50 to PUR35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the Prdue 30

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY WIS False Start (Wedig,Trey) 5 yards from PUR30 to PUR35. NO PLAY.

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Keontez Lewis

3rd & 10Penalty0 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Charlie Jones at the Prdue 10

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun O'Connell,Aidan pass incomplete short right to Jones,Charlie PENALTY WIS Pass Interference (Hallman,Ricardo) 15 yards from PUR10 to PUR25, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Kobe Lewis run for 10 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

O'Connell,Aidan pass incomplete short right to Jones,Charlie PENALTY PUR Chop Block (Holstege,Spencer) 15 yards from PUR35 to PUR20. NO PLAY.

1st & 25Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.10

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 7 yds to the Prdue 27

2nd & 18Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.72

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 12 yds to the Prdue 39

3rd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.89

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Deion Burks for 16 yds to the Wisc 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Devin Mockobee run for 8 yds to the Wisc 37

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the Wisc 36

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Payne Durham

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.66

Devin Mockobee run for 3 yds to the Wisc 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.30

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Deion Burks for 14 yds to the Wisc 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Charlie Jones

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Payne Durham

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to TJ Sheffield

4th & 10Field Goal Good+36 yds

Mitchell Fineran 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the Wisc 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.39

Graham Mertz pass complete to Jaylan Franklin for 19 yds to the Wisc 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.98

Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 13 yds to the Prdue 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Braelon Allen run for no gain to the Prdue 42

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Keontez Lewis

3rd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.79

Graham Mertz sacked by Jack Sullivan for a loss of 8 yards to the 50 yard line

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 1

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the Prdue 2

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Devin Mockobee run for 5 yds to the Prdue 7

0th & 9End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the Prdue 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete

3rd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA +0.07

Aidan O'Connell pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Chimere Dike

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.86

Braelon Allen 14 Yd Run (Nate Van Zelst Kick)

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.18

Aidan O'Connell sacked by Rodas Johnson for a loss of 8 yards to the Prdue 17

2nd & 18Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.09

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Deion Burks for no gain to the Prdue 17

3rd & 18Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.06

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 8 yds to the Prdue 25

4th & 10Punt+6 yds

Jack Ansell punt for 44 yds , Dean Engram returns for 6 yds to the Wisc 22

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.75

Braelon Allen run for 10 yds to the Wisc 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the Wisc 36

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.39

Graham Mertz pass complete to Dean Engram for 9 yds to the Wisc 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Isaac Guerendo run for 2 yds to the Wisc 47

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Graham Mertz pass complete to Isaac Guerendo for 4 yds to the Prdue 49

3rd & 4Penalty-15 yds

Shotgun Mertz,Graham pass complete short middle to Dike,Chimere for 9 yards to the PUR40, End Of Play PENALTY WIS Pass Interference (Eschenbach,Jack) 15 yards from PUR49 to WIS36. NO PLAY.

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Isaac Guerendo

4th & 19Punt+10 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 20 , Charlie Jones returns for 10 yds to the Prdue 20

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Devin Mockobee run for 7 yds to the Prdue 27

2nd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 7 yds to the Prdue 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Devin Mockobee run for 5 yds to the Prdue 39

2nd & 5Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.66

Aidan O'Connell sacked by Jake Chaney for a loss of 5 yards to the Prdue 34

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Charlie Jones

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jack Ansell punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Devin Mockobee run for 5 yds to the Wisc 16

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.24

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 8 yds to the Wisc 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Devin Mockobee run for no gain to the Wisc 8

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 8 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Graham Mertz run for 3 yds to the Wisc 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.19

Graham Mertz pass complete to Skyler Bell for 18 yds to the Wisc 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Isaac Guerendo

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+54 ydsPPA +5.34

Isaac Guerendo 54 Yd Run (Nate Van Zelst Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Gavin Lahm kickoff for 60 yds , Deion Burks return for 24 yds to the WISCONSIN 41 PURDUE Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Prdue 19

1st & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Kobe Lewis run for no gain to the Prdue 19

2nd & 11Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.46

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Paul Piferi for 23 yds to the Prdue 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Kobe Lewis for 1 yd to the Prdue 43

2nd & 9Penalty0 yds

PURDUE Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Aidan O'Connell) to the Prdue 35

3rd & 17Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.63

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Kobe Lewis for 12 yds to the Prdue 47

4th & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +3.20

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 11 yds to the Wisc 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.48

Kobe Lewis run for 12 yds to the Wisc 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.88

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Mershawn Rice for 29 yds to the Wisc 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Kobe Lewis run for no gain to the Wisc 1

2nd & 1Rush+1 yds

Kobe Lewis run for 1 yd to the Wisc 2

3rd & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Mershawn Rice for 1 yd to the Wisc 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+2 yds

PENALTY WIS Offside (Paez,Gio) 2 yards from WIS03 to WIS03. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Skyler Bell run for 1 yd to the Wisc 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +3.69

Graham Mertz pass complete to Braelon Allen for 39 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the Prdue 30

2nd & 5Penalty-10 yds

Allen,Braelon rush middle for 4 yards gain to the PUR26 (Sydnor,Khordae) PENALTY WIS Holding (Dike,Chimere) 10 yards from PUR30 to PUR40. NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Graham Mertz pass complete to Isaac Guerendo for 3 yds to the Prdue 37

3rd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Isaac Guerendo run for 1 yd to the Prdue 38

4th & 13Penalty0 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, Delay Of Game ( Yards) declined

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Devin Mockobee run for no gain to the Prdue 8

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 6 yds to the Prdue 14

3rd & 4Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.56

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 18 yds to the Prdue 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Charlie Jones

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.35

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 15 yds to the Prdue 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Devin Mockobee run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Interception0 ydsPPA -2.49

Aidan O'Connell pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the Wisc 41

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Isaac Guerendo run for 4 yds to the Wisc 45

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Isaac Guerendo run for 3 yds to the Wisc 48

4th & 4Punt+6 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 13 , Charlie Jones returns for 6 yds to the Prdue 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 5 yds to the Prdue 18

2nd & 5Penalty+12 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun O'Connell,Aidan pass incomplete short right to Jones,Charlie broken up by Smith,Alexander, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY WIS Pass Interference (Smith,Alexander) 12 yards from PUR18 to PUR30, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.68

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Tyrone Tracy for 18 yds to the Prdue 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 3 yds to the Wisc 49

2nd & 7Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.76

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 27 yds to the Wisc 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Mershawn Rice for 6 yds to the Wisc 16

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Andrew Sowinski

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Andrew Sowinski for 6 yds to the Wisc 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+9 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, Defensive Holding (Jake Chaney) to the Wisc 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Aidan O'Connell run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the Prdue 48

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Kneel down by Wisconsin at PUR49 for loss of 1 yards.

Situational Analysis

Purdue

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
55%
29 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
6 plays
20%
5 plays
50%
10 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Wisconsin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
50%
22 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
67%
6 plays
56%
9 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
0%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
4th