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← Back to GamesOct 15, 2022Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Illinois by 3.3

Home Win Probability

Illinois 54%

Market (consensus)

Illinois +4.5

Edge: Illinois +4.5 (7.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 15, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MinnesotaMinnesota
077014
IllinoisIllinois
767626

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-010-010-713-720-1423-1426-14
IllinoisMinnesota

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ILLMINILLMINILLMINILLMINMINILLMINILLMINILLMINILLMINILLMINILLTD975ydTO743ydPUNT39ydPUNT34ydFG1574ydTD880ydFG1972ydEND1-2ydTD14ydTD775ydPUNT515ydPUNT37ydPUNT618ydFG1575ydPUNT718ydFG1468ydTO1-5ydPUNT4-1ydTO317ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Minnesota and Illinois
StatisticMinnesotaIllinois
Passing6-1825-32
Pass Yards38252
Rush Yards142220
Total Yards180472
Turnovers30
3rd Down2-76-17
Penalties2-206-56
Possession19:5640:04

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Minnesota
passing
Tanner Morgan
4/12, 21 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Mohamed Ibrahim
15 CAR, 127 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Brevyn Spann-Ford
4 REC, 32 YDS
defense
Illinois
passing
Tommy DeVito
25/32, 252 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Chase Brown
41 CAR, 180 YDS
receiving
Isaiah Williams
9 REC, 62 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Pat Bryant for 8 yds to the Illin 33

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Chase Brown run for 6 yds to the Illin 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 41

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.61

Chase Brown run for 8 yds to the Illin 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.86

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Chase Brown for 8 yds to the Minn 43

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Reggie Love III run for 3 yds to the Minn 46

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 4 yds to the Minn 42

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.96

Tommy DeVito run for 2 yds to the Minn 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +3.19

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Chase Brown for 40 yds for a TD, (Fabrizio Pinton KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Will McManus kickoff for 61 yds , Quentin Redding return for 16 yds to the Minn 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mohamed Ibrahim for 2 yds to the Minn 22

2nd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.51

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 13 yds to the Minn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 38

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 4 yds to the Minn 42

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Daniel Jackson

2nd & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.48

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 19 yds to the Illin 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.95

Tanner Morgan pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Illin 11

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 2 yds to the Illin 13

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 4 yds to the Illin 17

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the Minn 42

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 45

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Minn 46

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Dylan Wright

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Hank Beatty at the Illin 13

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Chase Brown run for 4 yds to the Illin 17

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.82

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 10 yds to the Illin 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 29

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.47

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Casey Washington for 9 yds to the Illin 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.41

Chase Brown run for 16 yds to the Minn 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Minn 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.12

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 15 yds to the Minn 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Pat Bryant

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Minn 26

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Minn 24

4th & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.53

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 7 yds to the Minn 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Isaiah Williams run for 3 yds to the Minn 14

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Minn 17

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Pat Bryant for 4 yds to the Minn 13

4th & 6Field Goal Good+31 yds

Fabrizio Pinton 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Will McManus kickoff for 62 yds , Quentin Redding return for 17 yds to the Minn 20

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 7 yds to the Minn 27

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Minn 29

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.70

Tanner Morgan run for 1 yd to the Minn 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Tanner Morgan run for 4 yds to the Minn 34

2nd & 6Rush+44 ydsPPA +3.19

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 44 yds to the Illin 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.13

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 11 yds to the Illin 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Illin 9

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.69

Tanner Morgan run for 9 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Dragan Kesich kickoff for 60 yds , Peyton Vining return for 18 yds to the Illin 23

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Chase Brown run for 6 yds to the Illin 29

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.56

Chase Brown run for 5 yds to the Illin 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 20Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Chase Brown run for 6 yds to the Illin 30

2nd & 14Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.19

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Brian Hightower for 12 yds to the Illin 42

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.27

Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.83

Tommy DeVito run for 10 yds to the Minn 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Minn 45

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.33

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Pat Bryant for 9 yds to the Minn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Chase Hayden run for 1 yd to the Minn 35

2nd & 19Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.91

Chase Brown run for 14 yds to the Minn 31

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Michael Marchese

4th & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.01

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Pat Bryant for 12 yds to the Minn 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Chase Brown run for 7 yds to the Minn 12

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Minn 11

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.77

Chase Brown run for 6 yds to the Minn 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Chase Brown run for no gain to the Minn 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Luke Ford

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Brian Hightower

4th & 5Field Goal Good+23 yds

Fabrizio Pinton 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Will McManus kickoff for 63 yds , Quentin Redding return for 17 yds to the Minn 19

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.66

Kneel down by Minnesota at MINN17 for loss of 2 yards.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Chase Brown run for 4 yds to the Illin 29

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Chase Brown run for 7 yds to the Illin 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Tip Reiman for 8 yds to the Illin 44

2nd & 2Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.97

Chase Brown run for 17 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +1.45

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Brian Hightower for 35 yds to the Minn 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Minn 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Tommy DeVito run for 5 yds for a TD, (Fabrizio Pinton KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Dylan Wright

2nd & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.60

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 21 yds to the Minn 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Minn 44

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Daniel Jackson

3rd & 12Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.64

Tanner Morgan sacked by Gabe Jacas for a loss of 4 yards to the Minn 40

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 38 yds , Hank Beatty returns for no gain to the Illin 22

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 24

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Brian Hightower

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Chase Brown for 5 yds to the Illin 29

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Minn 30

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Brevyn Spann-Ford

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.32

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 4 yds to the Minn 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Bryce Williams

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Minn 35

3rd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.28

Tanner Morgan run for 7 yds to the Minn 42

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Hank Beatty at the Illin 20

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Illin 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 3 yds to the Illin 24

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.38

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Pat Bryant for 7 yds to the Illin 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Chase Brown run for 5 yds to the Illin 36

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.13

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Brian Hightower for 8 yds to the Illin 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Tip Reiman

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Chase Brown run for 7 yds to the Minn 49

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.82

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Pat Bryant for 10 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Isaiah Williams run for 3 yds to the Minn 42

2nd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Chase Hayden run for 4 yds to the Minn 38

3rd & 9Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.06

Chase Brown run for 14 yds to the Minn 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Devito,Tommy pass incomplete short right to Bryant,Pat, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY MINN Pass Interference (Walley,Justin) 15 yards from MINN24 to MINN09, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Minn 10

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 5 yds to the Minn 5

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Brian Hightower

4th & 5Field Goal Good+23 yds

Fabrizio Pinton 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Will McManus kickoff for 44 yds , Derik LeCaptain return for 17 yds to the Minn 38

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Illin 44

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Brevyn Spann-Ford

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Tanner Morgan run for 6 yds to the Illin 38

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.82

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 4 yds to the Illin 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.67

Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Jer'Zhan Newton for a loss of 10 yards to the Illin 44

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Daniel Jackson

3rd & 20Penalty0 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Trill Carter) declined

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 44 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 18

2nd & 12Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.69

Chase Brown run for 11 yds to the Illin 29

3rd & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.24

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Casey Washington for 7 yds to the Illin 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Illin 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.08

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 12 yds to the Illin 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.16

Chase Hayden run for 23 yds to the Minn 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Minn 25

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Chase Brown run for 4 yds to the Minn 21

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Minn 19

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.71

Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Minn 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Chase Hayden run for 1 yd to the Minn 17

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Minn 20

3rd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.39

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Pat Bryant for 8 yds to the Minn 12

4th & 4Field Goal Good+30 yds

Fabrizio Pinton 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+9 yds

Fabrizio Pinton kickoff for 48 yds , Quentin Redding return for 9 yds to the Minn 26

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MINN False Start (Ersery,Aireontae) 5 yards from MINN26 to MINN21. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Interception0 ydsPPA -0.22

Athan Kaliakmanis pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Chase Hayden run for 3 yds to the Minn 49

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Chase Hayden run for 4 yds to the Illin 47

3rd & 19Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.22

Chase Brown run for 8 yds to the Illin 47

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the Minn 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.84

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 11 yds to the Minn 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 6 yds to the Minn 39

2nd & 4Interception0 ydsPPA -1.96

Athan Kaliakmanis pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.14

Kneel down by Illinois at ILLINI29 for loss of 2 yards.

Situational Analysis

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
28%
18 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
50%
8 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
34%
32 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
83%
6 plays
47%
15 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
17%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
100%
2 plays