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← Back to GamesOct 8, 2022Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ohio State by 15.4

Home Win Probability

Michigan State 16%

Market (consensus)

Michigan State +27

Edge: Michigan State +27 (11.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 8, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Ohio StateOhio State
142114049
Michigan StateMichigan State
760720

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-77-1413-2113-2813-3513-4213-4920-49
Michigan StateOhio State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSOSMSOSOSMSOSMSOSMSOSMSOSMSOSMSOSMSOSMSOSMSOSTO424ydTD780ydPUNT38ydTD415ydTD375ydPUNT937ydTD898ydTD776ydTD875ydPUNT36ydTD991ydEND2-4ydTD996ydPUNT3-15ydTD1050ydPUNT33ydPUNT39ydPUNT35ydPUNT735ydTD880ydPUNT33ydPUNT32ydEND37yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Ohio State and Michigan State
StatisticOhio StateMichigan State
Passing23-2817-28
Pass Yards377195
Rush Yards2377
Total Yards614202
Turnovers11
3rd Down5-113-11
Penalties4-496-45
Possession37:1422:46

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Ohio State
passing
C.J. Stroud
21/26, 361 YDS, 6 TD, 1 INT
rushing
TreVeyon Henderson
19 CAR, 118 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Emeka Egbuka
5 REC, 143 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Tommy Eichenberg
0.5 TFL, 1 PD
Michigan State
passing
Payton Thorne
11/18, 113 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Elijah Collins
2 CAR, 9 YDS
receiving
Jayden Reed
4 REC, 67 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Jalen Berger run for 1 yd to the MchSt 36

2nd & 9Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.66

Payton Thorne pass complete to Jayden Reed for 20 yds to the OhSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Jalen Berger run for 3 yds to the OhSt 41

2nd & 7Penalty0 yds

Thorne, Payton pass incomplete to Reed, Jayden, PENALTY MICHIGANST illegal touching (Reed, Jayden) 0 yards to the OHIOST41, NO PLAY.

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.23

Payton Thorne pass intercepted, touchback. Lathan Ransom return for no gain

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.70

C.J. Stroud pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 18

2nd & 12Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.75

Emeka Egbuka run for 16 yds to the OhSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Emeka Egbuka

2nd & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +3.13

TreVeyon Henderson run for 26 yds to the MchSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.62

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 24 yds to the MchSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.56

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Cade Stover for a loss of 3 yards to the MchSt 19

2nd & 13Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +3.13

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 19 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Payton Thorne run for 8 yds to the MchSt 33

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Payton Thorne pass incomplete to Jayden Reed

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Payton Thorne pass incomplete to Maliq Carr

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Bryce Baringer punt for 57 yds, fair catch by Emeka Egbuka at the OhSt 10

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

TreVeyon Henderson run for 8 yds to the OhSt 18

2nd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Cade Stover for 4 yds to the OhSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the OhSt 25

2nd & 7Interception Return Touchdown+32 ydsPPA -7.47

C.J. Stroud pass intercepted for a TD Charles Brantley return for 32 yds for a TD, (Jack Stone KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

TreVeyon Henderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 24

2nd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.27

TreVeyon Henderson run for 7 yds to the OhSt 31

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+69 ydsPPA +6.61

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 69 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Jalen Berger run for a loss of 5 yards to the MchSt 20

2nd & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Payton Thorne pass complete to Tre Mosley for 5 yds to the MchSt 25

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Thorne, Payton pass incomplete to Coleman, Keon, PENALTY OHIOST pass interference 15 yards to the MICHIGANST40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGANST.

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.21

Payton Thorne pass complete to Tre Mosley for 14 yds to the OhSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Payton Thorne pass complete to Tre Mosley for 6 yds to the OhSt 40

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Payton Thorne pass incomplete to Tre Mosley

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.29

Elijah Collins run for 5 yds to the OhSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Payton Thorne pass complete to Tre Mosley for 4 yds to the OhSt 31

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.74

Payton Thorne run for no gain to the OhSt 31

3rd & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.38

Payton Thorne sacked by Michael Hall Jr. and Tommy Eichenberg for a loss of 7 yards to the OhSt 38

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Bryce Baringer punt for 36 yds, downed at the OhSt 2

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

TreVeyon Henderson run for 6 yds to the OhSt 8

2nd & 4Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.48

TreVeyon Henderson run for 13 yds to the OhSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.90

TreVeyon Henderson run for 12 yds to the OhSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Julian Fleming for 6 yds to the OhSt 39

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the OhSt 42

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

TreVeyon Henderson run for no gain to the OhSt 42

4th & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.51

TreVeyon Henderson run for 7 yds to the OhSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+51 ydsPPA +3.92

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Julian Fleming for 51 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Jayden Fielding kickoff for 65 yds , Tyrell Henry return for 24 yds to the MchSt 24

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Jalen Berger run for 6 yds to the MchSt 30

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.84

Payton Thorne run for no gain to the MchSt 30

3rd & 4Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.11

Payton Thorne pass complete to Jayden Reed for 24 yds to the OhSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Payton Thorne pass complete to Jayden Reed for 5 yds to the OhSt 41

2nd & 5Penalty-10 yds

Broussard, Jarek rush for 6 yards to the OHIOST35, PENALTY MICHIGANST holding 10 yards to the MICHIGANST49, NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Penalty+15 yds

Thorne, Payton pass complete to Bernard, Germie for loss of 1 yard to the MICHIGANST48, PENALTY OHIOST personal foul 15 yards to the OHIOST36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGANST.

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Payton Thorne pass complete to Tre Mosley for 3 yds to the OhSt 33

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Payton Thorne pass incomplete to Tyler Hunt

3rd & 7Penalty+15 yds

Thorne, Payton pass sacked for loss of 8 yards to the OHIOST41 (Hall Jr., Michael), PENALTY OHIOST personal foul 15 yards to the OHIOST18, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGANST.

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Payton Thorne pass complete to Jayden Reed for 18 yds for a TD, (Jack Stone PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Julian Fleming for 11 yds to the OhSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the OhSt 38

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.

3rd & 8Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.78

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 32 yds to the MchSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.23

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Julian Fleming for 13 yds to the MchSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

TreVeyon Henderson run for 6 yds to the MchSt 11

2nd & 4Penalty+5 yds

Stroud, C.J. pass incomplete to Egbuka, Emeka, PENALTY MICHIGANST personal foul 5 yards to the MICHIGANST6, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIOST.

1st & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.15

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Cade Stover for 5 yds to the MchSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

TreVeyon Henderson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)

2nd & 5Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Jayden Fielding kickoff for 60 yds , Tyrell Henry return for 22 yds to the MchSt 27

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Payton Thorne pass incomplete to Tyler Hunt

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Payton Thorne pass complete to Keon Coleman for 6 yds to the MchSt 33

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Payton Thorne pass incomplete to Maliq Carr

4th & 4Punt+1 yds

Bryce Baringer punt for 59 yds , Emeka Egbuka returns for 1 yd to the OhSt 9

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the OhSt 13

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the OhSt 18

3rd & 1Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.11

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 12 yds to the OhSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Xavier Johnson run for 8 yds to the OhSt 38

2nd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.69

TreVeyon Henderson run for 10 yds to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Emeka Egbuka run for 3 yds to the MchSt 49

2nd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.51

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 16 yds to the MchSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the MchSt 28

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +2.82

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 28 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)

2nd & 5Kickoff Return (Offense)+30 yds

Jayden Fielding kickoff for 59 yds , Tyrell Henry return for 30 yds to the MchSt 36

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.86

Payton Thorne sacked by Michael Hall Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the MchSt 29

2nd & 17Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MchSt 24

2nd & 22Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.13

Payton Thorne pass complete to Tre Mosley for 8 yds to the MchSt 32

0th & 22End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+7 yds

Jack Stone kickoff for 64 yds , Chip Trayanum return for 7 yds to the OhSt 42 OHIO ST Penalty, Illegal Block (4 Yards) to the OhSt 4

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

TreVeyon Henderson run for 1 yd to the OhSt 5

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Dallan Hayden run for 6 yds to the OhSt 11

3rd & 3Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.47

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 20 yds to the OhSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Xavier Johnson run for 7 yds to the OhSt 38

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.56

Dallan Hayden run for 6 yds to the OhSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.96

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 12 yds to the MchSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.87

C.J. Stroud sacked by Derrick Harmon for a loss of 4 yards to the MchSt 48

2nd & 14Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.35

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 14 yds to the MchSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Hayden, Dallan rush for no gain to the MICHIGANST34, PENALTY MICHIGANST personal foul 15 yards to the MICHIGANST19, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIOST.

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 19 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jalen Berger run for 2 yds to the MchSt 27

2nd & 8Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.76

Payton Thorne sacked by Jerron Cage for a loss of 7 yards to the MchSt 20

3rd & 15Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.11

Payton Thorne sacked by Michael Hall Jr. for a loss of 10 yards to the MchSt 10

4th & 25Punt0 yds

Bryce Baringer punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Dallan Hayden run for 3 yds to the MchSt 47

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.13

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 9 yds to the MchSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Xavier Johnson run for 8 yds to the MchSt 30

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Cade Stover

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Dallan Hayden run for 9 yds to the MchSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.21

Dallan Hayden run for 12 yds to the MchSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Emeka Egbuka

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Dallan Hayden run for 6 yds to the MchSt 3

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Mitch Rossi run for 1 yd to the MchSt 2

4th & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.85

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for 2 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)

4th & 3Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Jayden Fielding kickoff for 57 yds , Tyrell Henry return for 20 yds to the MchSt 28

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Jarek Broussard run for 2 yds to the MchSt 30

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Jarek Broussard run for 1 yd to the MchSt 31

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Noah Kim pass incomplete to Jayden Reed

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Bryce Baringer punt for 52 yds, downed at the OhSt 17

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Dallan Hayden run for 2 yds to the OhSt 19

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Dallan Hayden run for 3 yds to the OhSt 22

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Kyle McCord pass complete to Jayden Ballard for 4 yds to the OhSt 26

4th & 1Punt+8 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 53 yds , Jayden Reed returns for 8 yds to the MchSt 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Noah Kim pass incomplete to Cade McDonald

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jarek Broussard run for 5 yds to the MchSt 34

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Noah Kim pass incomplete to Cade McDonald

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Bryce Baringer punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Reis Stocksdale at the OhSt 17

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Dallan Hayden run for 2 yds to the OhSt 19

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.16

Dallan Hayden run for 11 yds to the OhSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Dallan Hayden run for 1 yd to the OhSt 31

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.94

Kyle McCord pass complete to Reis Stocksdale for 12 yds to the OhSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Dallan Hayden run for 2 yds to the OhSt 45

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Dallan Hayden run for 6 yds to the MchSt 49

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Dallan Hayden run for 1 yd to the MchSt 48

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 48 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Collins, Elijah rush for 2 yards to the MICHIGANST22, PENALTY MICHIGANST holding 10 yards to the MICHIGANST10, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Elijah Collins run for 4 yds to the MchSt 14

2nd & 16Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.20

Noah Kim pass complete to Germie Bernard for 23 yds to the MchSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Noah Kim pass complete to Montorie Foster for 5 yds Montorie Foster fumbled, forced by Jyaire Brown, recovered by MchSt Montorie Foster

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jordon Simmons run for 3 yds to the MchSt 45

3rd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.37

Noah Kim pass complete to Germie Bernard for 3 yds to the MchSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Jordon Simmons run for 3 yds to the OhSt 49

2nd & 7Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.71

Noah Kim pass complete to Montorie Foster for 24 yds to the OhSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Noah Kim pass complete to Montorie Foster for 25 yds for a TD, (Jack Stone KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

TC Caffey run for 2 yds to the OhSt 27

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Kyle McCord run for 1 yd to the OhSt 28

3rd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.27

Kyle McCord run for no gain to the OhSt 28 Kyle McCord fumbled, recovered by OhSt Kyle McCord

4th & 7Punt+10 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 55 yds , Cade McDonald returns for 10 yds to the MchSt 27

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Harold Joiner run for no gain to the MchSt 27

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Noah Kim pass complete to Germie Bernard for 2 yds to the MchSt 29

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Noah Kim pass incomplete to Germie Bernard

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Bryce Baringer punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Reis Stocksdale at the OhSt 22

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

TC Caffey run for 4 yds to the OhSt 26

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

TC Caffey run for 1 yd to the OhSt 27

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

TC Caffey run for 2 yds to the OhSt 29

Situational Analysis

Ohio State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
47%
34 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
67%
12 plays
100%
4 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays

Michigan State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
40%
20 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
4 plays
50%
8 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th