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← Back to GamesOct 1, 2022Week 5
PurduePurdue
20
-Final
10
MinnesotaMinnesota
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Minnesota by 15.5

Home Win Probability

Minnesota 84%

Market (consensus)

Minnesota -9.5

Edge: Minnesota -9.5 (6.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 1, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
PurduePurdue
10001020
MinnesotaMinnesota
037010

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-70-103-1010-1010-1310-20
MinnesotaPurdue

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MINPURMINPURMINPURMINPURMINPURMINPURMINPURMINPURMINPURMINPURMINPURMINPURMINPURPUNT30ydTD1068ydTO426ydPUNT32ydDOWNS49ydFG44ydMISS665ydTO411ydFG624ydTO738ydPUNT37ydPUNT36ydTO543ydTO730ydEND418ydPUNT3-4ydTD852ydPUNT38ydPUNT611ydPUNT826ydPUNT423ydFG1270ydPUNT3-1ydTD270ydTO542ydEND310yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Purdue and Minnesota
StatisticPurdueMinnesota
Passing27-4018-33
Pass Yards199257
Rush Yards16047
Total Yards359304
Turnovers33
3rd Down4-144-12
Penalties4-553-30
Possession32:2227:38

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Purdue
passing
Aidan O'Connell
27/40, 199 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Devin Mockobee
11 CAR, 112 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Charlie Jones
6 REC, 55 YDS
defense
Minnesota
passing
Tanner Morgan
18/33, 257 YDS, 3 INT
rushing
Bryce Williams
11 CAR, 35 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Daniel Jackson
6 REC, 110 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Trey Potts run for a loss of 5 yards to the Minn 20

2nd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Trey Potts run for 5 yds to the Minn 25

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Dylan Downing run for 11 yds to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Dylan Downing run for 8 yds to the Minn 49

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Dylan Downing run for 3 yds to the Minn 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 4 yds to the Minn 42

3rd & 6Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.05

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Paul Piferi for 18 yds to the Minn 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.13

Devin Mockobee run for 10 yds to the Minn 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Devin Mockobee run for 4 yds to the Minn 10

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Deion Burks for 3 yds to the Minn 7

3rd & 3Penalty+5 yds

O'CONNELL, Aidan pass to the right incomplete intended for JONES, Charlie thrown to the UMN0. PENALTY UMN Pass Interference on SMITH, Terell enforced 5 yards to the UMN2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Dylan Downing run for 2 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Trey Potts for 8 yds to the Minn 33

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.02

Trey Potts run for 3 yds to the Minn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

MORGAN, Tanner pass to the left incomplete intended for WRIGHT, Dylan thrown to the PUR30. PENALTY PUR Pass Interference on TAYLOR, Reese enforced 15 yards to the PUR49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.14

Tanner Morgan pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-15 yds

O'CONNELL, Aidan pass to the left complete for 13 yards to SHEFFIELD, TJ caught at the UMN45 and advanced to the UMN40 (WALLEY, Justin). PENALTY PUR Pass Interference on DURHAM, Payne enforced 15 yards to the PUR32 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 25Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 5 yds to the Prdue 37

3rd & 20Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.56

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Deion Burks for 12 yds to the Prdue 49

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jack Ansell punt for 51 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Bryce Williams run for 1 yd to the Minn 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Bryce Williams for 7 yds to the Minn 28

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Trey Potts run for 1 yd to the Minn 29

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.05

Cole Kramer run for no gain to the Minn 29

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Dylan Downing run for no gain to the Minn 29

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Aidan O'Connell run for 4 yds to the Minn 25

4th & 6Field Goal Good+43 yds

Mitchell Fineran 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Trey Potts run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+66 ydsPPA +4.37

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 66 yds to the Prdue 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Trey Potts run for 3 yds to the Prdue 7

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.47

Trey Potts run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 10

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+28 yds

Matthew Trickett 28 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Kobe Lewis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 19

2nd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.21

Kobe Lewis run for 7 yds to the Prdue 26

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.20

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Tyrone Tracy for 5 yds to the Prdue 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -1.39

Aidan O'Connell pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Tanner Morgan run for 2 yds to the Prdue 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.80

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 21 yds to the Prdue 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Tanner Morgan sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 27

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+45 yds

Matthew Trickett 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Dylan Downing run for 2 yds to the Prdue 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.48

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 10 yds to the Prdue 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Dylan Downing run for 4 yds to the Prdue 41

2nd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.74

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Deion Burks for 14 yds to the Minn 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Aidan O'Connell sacked by Trill Carter for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 46

2nd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 9 yds to the Minn 37

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -3.28

Devin Mockobee run for no gain to the Minn 37 Devin Mockobee fumbled, recovered by Minn Jalen Logan-Redding

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.91

Bryce Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 34

3rd & 13Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.52

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 10 yds to the Minn 44

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 43 yds, downed at the Prdue 13

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Dylan Downing run for 1 yd to the Prdue 14

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Dylan Downing for 5 yds to the Prdue 19

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jack Ansell punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Trey Potts run for 2 yds to the Minn 48

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tanner Morgan run for 5 yds to the Prdue 47

3rd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.63

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 8 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +0.62

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 28 yds to the Prdue 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.48

Tanner Morgan pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Dylan Downing run for no gain to the Prdue 20

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.26

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for no gain to the Prdue 20

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, Personal Foul (Braelen Oliver) to the Prdue 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.11

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete

3rd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -1.02

Aidan O'Connell pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Bryce Williams run for 6 yds to the Minn 41

3rd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.39

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Bryce Williams for 12 yds to the Prdue 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Dragan Kesich kickoff for 63 yds , Deion Burks return for 20 yds to the Prdue 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 6 yds to the Prdue 28

2nd & 4Penalty-10 yds

DOWNING, Dylan rush to the left for a gain of 11 yards to the PUR39 (WALLEY, Justin;HOWDEN, Jordan). PENALTY PUR Holding on MILLER, Eric enforced 10 yards from the PUR28 to the PUR18 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 14Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Tyrone Tracy for 2 yds to the Prdue 20

3rd & 12Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.11

Aidan O'Connell sacked by Danny Striggow for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 18

4th & 14Punt+20 yds

Jack Ansell punt for 54 yds , Quentin Redding returns for 20 yds to the Minn 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.14

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 20 yds to the Prdue 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Bryce Williams run for 9 yds to the Prdue 23

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.46

Bryce Williams run for 3 yds to the Prdue 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.37

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for no gain to the Prdue 20

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 5 yds to the Prdue 15

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.07

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Michael Brown-Stephens for 10 yds to the Prdue 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Bryce Williams run for 4 yds to the Prdue 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Bryce Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 4 yds to the Prdue 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 4 yds to the Prdue 33

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt+4 yds

Jack Ansell punt for 53 yds , Quentin Redding returns for 4 yds to the Minn 18

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Bryce Williams run for 3 yds to the Minn 21

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Bryce Williams for 6 yds to the Minn 27

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.97

Bryce Williams run for 5 yds to the Minn 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Trey Potts run for 5 yds to the Minn 37

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

3rd & 5Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.90

Tanner Morgan sacked by Branson Deen and Kydran Jenkins for a loss of 8 yards to the Minn 29

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 37 yds, downed at the Prdue 34

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the Prdue 35

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 2 yds to the Prdue 37

3rd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.39

Aidan O'Connell run for 9 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Dylan Downing for 2 yds to the Prdue 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.51

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 9 yds to the Minn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

DOWNING, Dylan rush to the right for a gain of 3 yards to the UMN40 (STRIGGOW, Danny). PENALTY PUR Face mask on MBOW, Marcus enforced 15 yards from the UMN43 to the PUR42 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete

2nd & 25Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Deion Burks for 6 yds to the Prdue 48

3rd & 19Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.07

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Dylan Downing for 12 yds to the Minn 40

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jack Ansell punt for 40 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.14

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Michael Brown-Stephens for 15 yds to the Minn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Bryce Williams run for 3 yds to the Minn 38

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Bryce Williams run for 3 yds to the Minn 41

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Tanner Morgan run for 2 yds to the Minn 43

4th & 2Punt+11 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 46 yds , Charlie Jones returns for 11 yds to the Prdue 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Tyrone Tracy for 4 yds to the Prdue 26

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 8 yds to the Prdue 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Kobe Lewis for 3 yds to the Prdue 37

2nd & 7Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.76

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 28 yds to the Minn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.29

Devin Mockobee run for 11 yds to the Minn 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Devin Mockobee run for 6 yds to the Minn 18

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.54

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Dylan Downing for 9 yds to the Minn 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Dylan Downing run for 1 yd to the Minn 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+25 yds

Mitchell Fineran 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Bryce Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Charlie Jones at the Prdue 30

1st & 10Rush+68 ydsPPA +4.48

Devin Mockobee run for 68 yds to the Minn 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+64 yds

Chris Van Eekeren kickoff for 65 yds , Quentin Redding return for 64 yds to the MINNESOTA 1 MINNESOTA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Derik LeCaptain) to the Minn 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.16

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Michael Brown-Stephens for 28 yds to the Minn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 5 yds to the Minn 48

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.00

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Bryce Williams for 9 yds to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.71

Tanner Morgan pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Devin Mockobee run for 7 yds to the Minn 31

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Devin Mockobee run for 3 yds to the Minn 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Devin Mockobee run for no gain to the Minn 28

Situational Analysis

Purdue

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
32%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
30%
10 plays
80%
5 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
100%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
4th

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
32%
25 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
12 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play