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← Back to GamesOct 1, 2022Week 5
MichiganMichigan
27
-Final
14
IowaIowa
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan by 2

Home Win Probability

Iowa 41%

Market (consensus)

Iowa +10.5

Edge: Iowa +10.5 (8.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 1, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MichiganMichigan
767727
IowaIowa
0001414

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-70-100-130-207-2014-27
IowaMichigan

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MICIOWMICIOWMICIOWMICIOWIOWMICIOWMICIOWMICIOWMICIOWMICIOWMICTD1175ydPUNT36ydPUNT835ydPUNT749ydFG1354ydPUNT715ydFG1261ydEND16ydPUNT3-1ydTD1067ydPUNT511ydPUNT3-13ydTD744ydPUNT38ydDOWNS1378ydPUNT33ydDOWNS4-14ydTD328ydTD575ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Michigan and Iowa
StatisticMichiganIowa
Passing18-2421-31
Pass Yards155246
Rush Yards17235
Total Yards327281
Turnovers00
3rd Down4-114-11
Penalties5-505-59
Possession33:4426:16

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Michigan
passing
J.J. McCarthy
18/24, 155 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Blake Corum
29 CAR, 133 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Luke Schoonmaker
4 REC, 45 YDS
defense
Iowa
passing
Spencer Petras
21/31, 246 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Leshon Williams
8 CAR, 34 YDS
receiving
Luke Lachey
4 REC, 84 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the Mich 29

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Blake Corum run for 7 yds to the Mich 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 7 yds to the Mich 43

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.51

J.J. McCarthy run for 6 yds to the Mich 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.87

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 14 yds to the Iowa 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 3 yds to the Iowa 34

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Blake Corum run for 6 yds to the Iowa 28

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.32

Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the Iowa 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Ronnie Bell

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.62

Donovan Edwards run for 10 yds to the Iowa 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Ronnie Bell run for 16 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Jake Moody kickoff for 57 yds , Kaleb Johnson return for 13 yds to the Iowa 21

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Leshon Williams run for 5 yds to the Iowa 26

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Kaleb Johnson run for 1 yd to the Iowa 27

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Sam LaPorta

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 52 yds , A.J. Henning returns for no gain to the Mich 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.90

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Luke Schoonmaker for 12 yds to the Mich 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Blake Corum run for 7 yds to the Mich 40

2nd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.45

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Luke Schoonmaker for 5 yds to the Mich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Blake Corum run for 6 yds to the Iowa 49

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.42

Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the Iowa 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.12

J.J. McCarthy run for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 15Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 3 yds to the Iowa 47

3rd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

J.J. McCarthy run for 3 yds to the Iowa 44

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Brad Robbins punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Arland Bruce IV at the Iowa 9

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Leshon Williams run for 3 yds to the Iowa 12

2nd & 7Penalty+10 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Holding (Rod Moore) to the Iowa 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.26

Spencer Petras pass complete to Luke Lachey for 26 yds to the Iowa 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.37

Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 8 yds to the Mich 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Luke Lachey

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Brody Brecht

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Sam LaPorta

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 42 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the Mich 25

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 9 yds to the Mich 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 7 yds to the Mich 41

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.45

Donovan Edwards run for 5 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.89

Donovan Edwards run for 12 yds to the Iowa 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Roman Wilson

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Blake Corum run for 7 yds to the Iowa 35

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the Iowa 33

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.47

Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the Iowa 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Donovan Edwards run for 2 yds to the Iowa 28

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 4 yds to the Iowa 24

3rd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.10

Blake Corum run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 26

4th & 6Field Goal Good+44 yds

Jake Moody 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 8 yds to the Iowa 33

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the Iowa 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

IOWA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Gennings Dunker) to the Iowa 25

1st & 20Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +3.05

Spencer Petras pass complete to Brody Brecht for 19 yds to the Iowa 44

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the Iowa 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

IOWA Penalty, Tripping (Connor Colby) to the Iowa 31

1st & 25Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.76

Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 11 yds to the Iowa 42

2nd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the Iowa 44

3rd & 12Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.64

Spencer Petras pass complete to Gavin Williams for a loss of 4 yards to the Iowa 40

4th & 16Punt+13 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 51 yds , A.J. Henning returns for 13 yds to the Mich 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Blake Corum for 8 yds to the Mich 30

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.00

Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the Mich 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.79

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Blake Corum for 1 yd to the Mich 34

2nd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.94

Blake Corum run for 11 yds to the Mich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.56

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Andrel Anthony for 29 yds to the Iowa 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -1.51

J.J. McCarthy run for 3 yds to the Iowa 23 MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Darrius Clemons) to the Iowa 33

2nd & 17Penalty+4 yds

McCarthy, J.J. pass incomplete to Bell, Ronnie, PENALTY IOWA pass interference 4 yards to the IOWA29, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGAN.

1st & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Ronnie Bell

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Blake Corum run for 8 yds to the Iowa 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 3 yds to the Iowa 12

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.27

Blake Corum run for 6 yds to the Iowa 15 for a 1ST down

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Luke Schoonmaker

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Delay of Game (TEAM) to the Iowa 17

4th & 12Field Goal Good+35 yds

Jake Moody 35 yd FG GOOD

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Roman Wilson

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Leshon Williams run for 6 yds to the Iowa 31

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.20

Spencer Petras sacked by Mason Graham for a loss of 9 yards to the Iowa 16

2nd & 19Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.11

Spencer Petras pass complete to Leshon Williams for 8 yds to the Iowa 24

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Brody Brecht

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 43 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the Mich 33

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the Mich 37

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the Mich 42

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.20

Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the Mich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.23

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Luke Schoonmaker for 18 yds to the Iowa 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.31

Ronnie Bell run for 10 yds to the Iowa 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the Iowa 25

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.45

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Luke Schoonmaker for 10 yds to the Iowa 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Donovan Edwards run for no gain to the Iowa 15

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the Iowa 12

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.99

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 12 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Kaleb Johnson run for 12 yds to the Iowa 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the Iowa 39

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the Iowa 41 MICHIGAN Penalty, Illegal Block (3 Yards) to the Iowa 26

2nd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Nico Ragaini

3rd & 21Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.09

Spencer Petras sacked by Mikeq Morris and TEAM for a loss of 8 yards to the Iowa 18

4th & 29Punt+2 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 53 yds , A.J. Henning returns for 2 yds to the Mich 20 MICHIGAN Penalty, Illegal Block (TEAM) to the Mich 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.25

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 3 yds to the Mich 24

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)-21 ydsPPA -0.82

J.J. McCarthy sacked by Deontae Craig for a loss of 21 yards to the Mich 3 J.J. McCarthy fumbled, forced by TEAM, recovered by Mich Donovan Edwards , return for 0 yards

3rd & 28Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the Mich 8

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Brad Robbins punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 44

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Kaleb Johnson run for 6 yds to the Mich 38

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Kaleb Johnson run for 3 yds to the Mich 35

3rd & 1Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.84

Spencer Petras pass complete to Monte Pottebaum for 17 yds to the Mich 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Nico Ragaini

2nd & 10Penalty-15 yds

IOWA Penalty, Personal Foul (Logan Jones) to the Mich 33

2nd & 25Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Spencer Petras pass complete to Arland Bruce IV for 3 yds to the Mich 30

3rd & 22Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +4.27

Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 28 yds to the Mich 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Drew Stevens KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the Mich 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.43

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 7 yds to the Mich 34

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Blake Corum run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Brad Robbins punt for 50 yds, downed at the Iowa 17

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Kaleb Johnson run for 1 yd to the Iowa 18

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.09

Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 10 yds to the Iowa 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.76

Spencer Petras pass complete to Luke Lachey for 34 yds to the Mich 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Spencer Petras pass complete to Arland Bruce IV for 4 yds to the Mich 34

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.04

Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 35

3rd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.50

Leshon Williams run for 9 yds to the Mich 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 7 yds to the Mich 19

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Kaleb Johnson run for no gain to the Mich 19

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.37

Leshon Williams run for 5 yds to the Mich 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 6 yds to the Mich 8

2nd & 4Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.38

Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for no gain to the Mich 8

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the Mich 6

4th & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -4.07

Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 1 yd to the Mich 5

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the Mich 7

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.15

Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the Mich 8

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Ronnie Bell

4th & 7Punt+1 yds

Brad Robbins punt for 51 yds , Arland Bruce IV returns for 1 yd to the Iowa 42

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.40

Spencer Petras sacked by Mike Morris for a loss of 9 yards to the Iowa 33

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Leshon Williams

3rd & 19Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.16

Spencer Petras sacked by Taylor Upshaw and Eyabi Anoma for a loss of 5 yards to the Iowa 28

4th & 24Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.37

Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Brody Brecht

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the Iowa 24

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the Iowa 20

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.86

Blake Corum run for 20 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.71

Spencer Petras pass complete to Brody Brecht for 19 yds to the Iowa 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Brody Brecht

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.39

Spencer Petras pass complete to Alec Wick for 17 yds to the Mich 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the Mich 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.80

Spencer Petras pass complete to Luke Lachey for 19 yds to the Mich 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Spencer Petras pass complete to Luke Lachey for 5 yds for a TD, (Drew Stevens KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Drew Stevens kickoff for 40 yds , R.J. Moten return for no gain to the Mich 25

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 23

Situational Analysis

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
45%
31 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
60%
5 plays
80%
5 plays
55%
11 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
60%
5 plays
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Iowa

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
52%
21 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
80%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play