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← Back to GamesOct 1, 2022Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Wisconsin by 4.1

Home Win Probability

Wisconsin 61%

Market (consensus)

Wisconsin -6.5

Edge: Illinois +6.5 (2.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 1, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
IllinoisIllinois
7717334
WisconsinWisconsin
730010

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-710-710-1410-2110-2410-34
WisconsinIllinois

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WISILLWISILLWISILLWISILLWISILLWISILLILLILLWISILLWISILLWISILLWISILLWISTD753ydPUNT537ydTO31ydTD716ydFG1045ydPUNT511ydTO414ydTD647ydPUNT38ydPUNT620ydPUNT3-1ydEND2-3ydTD1075ydFG4-10ydPUNT32ydTD470ydDOWNS48ydFG940ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT38ydDOWNS520ydDOWNS514ydUncategorized1151yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Illinois and Wisconsin
StatisticIllinoisWisconsin
Passing18-2417-33
Pass Yards167206
Rush Yards1372
Total Yards304208
Turnovers03
3rd Down3-134-14
Penalties8-7510-78
Possession33:5926:01

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Illinois
passing
Tommy DeVito
18/24, 167 YDS
rushing
Chase Brown
25 CAR, 129 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Brian Hightower
5 REC, 59 YDS
defense
Jartavius Martin
1 TFL, 1 PD
Wisconsin
passing
Graham Mertz
17/32, 206 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Chez Mellusi
7 CAR, 16 YDS
receiving
Chimere Dike
5 REC, 76 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+38 yds

Fabrizio Pinton kickoff for 56 yds , Isaac Guerendo return for 38 yds to the Wisc 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.16

Graham Mertz pass complete to Skyler Bell for 19 yds to the Illin 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.40

Braelon Allen run for a loss of 4 yards to the Illin 38

2nd & 14Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.26

Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 12 yds to the Illin 26

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.41

Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the Illin 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Braelon Allen run for no gain to the Illin 23

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Graham Mertz pass complete to Isaac Guerendo for 2 yds to the Illin 21

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +3.37

Graham Mertz pass complete to Isaac Guerendo for 21 yds for a TD, (Nate Van Zelst KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Chase Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +3.64

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Brian Hightower for 35 yds to the Wisc 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Wisc 40

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Tommy DeVito pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Tommy DeVito run for 2 yds to the Wisc 38

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 35 yds, downed at the Wisc 3

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Chez Mellusi run for 3 yds to the Wisc 6

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.25

Chez Mellusi run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 4

3rd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA +0.31

Graham Mertz pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.56

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the Wisc 19

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Tommy DeVito pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.58

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 13 yds to the Wisc 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.15

Chase Brown run for 5 yds to the Wisc 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Chase Brown run for no gain to the Wisc 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Chase Brown run for no gain to the Wisc 1

4th & 1Penalty0 yds

DEVITO, Tommy pass to the right incomplete intended for HIGHTOWER, Brian broken up by SHAW, Jay at the WIS0, clock 04:38. PENALTY WIS Pass Interference on SHAW, Jay enforced half the distance from the goal, 0 yards to the WIS1 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Tommy DeVito run for 1 yd for a TD, (Caleb Griffin KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Fabrizio Pinton kickoff for 55 yds , Isaac Guerendo return for 24 yds to the Wisc 34

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the Wisc 37

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.55

Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 9 yds to the Wisc 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.77

Graham Mertz pass complete to Jack Eschenbach for 10 yds to the Illin 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.65

Braelon Allen run for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 47

2nd & 13Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.45

Graham Mertz sacked by Isaac Darkangelo for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard line

3rd & 16Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.81

Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 25 yds to the Illin 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the Illin 24

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Isaac Guerendo run for 3 yds to the Illin 21

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+39 yds

Nate Van Zelst 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 32

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.58

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Brian Hightower for 9 yds to the Illin 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Chase Brown run for 4 yds to the Illin 45

2nd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Brian Hightower for 2 yds to the Illin 47

3rd & 4Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.05

Tommy DeVito sacked by Keeanu Benton for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 46

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, False Start (Kendall Smith) to the Illin 41

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(12:09) ALLEN, Braelon rush to the left for no gain to the WIS22 (NICHOLSON, Tahveon), clock 12:03. PENALTY WIS Holding on BEACH, Tyler enforced 10 yards from the WIS22 to the WIS12. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.87

Graham Mertz pass complete to Keontez Lewis for 22 yds to the Wisc 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds to the Wisc 36

3rd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA -0.31

Graham Mertz pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.82

Chase Brown run for 18 yds to the Wisc 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

(09:56) DEVITO, Tommy pass to the right incomplete intended for BRYANT, Pat thrown to the WIS13, clock 09:50. PENALTY WIS Pass Interference on SHAW, Jay enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards to the WIS15 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Tommy DeVito pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 5 yds to the Wisc 9

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Tommy DeVito run for 4 yds to the Wisc 5

4th & 1Penalty0 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, Offsides ( Yards) to the Wisc 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.39

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Chase Brown for no gain to the Wisc 2 ILLINOIS Penalty, Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on ADAMS, Isaiah enforced (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 7

1st & 7Penalty-5 yds

(08:11) WILLIAMS, Isaiah pass to the right complete for 7 yards to CASE, Kody caught at the WIS2 and advanced to the WIS0, TOUCHDOWN ILL, score nullified by penalty, clock 08:06. PENALTY Before the snap, ILL Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the WIS7 to the WIS12. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 12Penalty+10 yds

DEVITO, Tommy pass to the right incomplete intended for BRYANT, Pat thrown to the WIS2, clock 08:02. PENALTY WIS Pass Interference on CLARK, Justin enforced 10 yards to the WIS2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Wisc 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Tommy DeVito 1 Yd Run (Caleb Griffin Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Will McManus kickoff for 64 yds , Isaac Guerendo return for 18 yds to the Wisc 19

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Chez Mellusi run for 3 yds to the Wisc 22

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Chez Mellusi run for 5 yds to the Wisc 27

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Braelon Allen pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 56 yds, downed at the Illin 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.02

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Brian Hightower for 9 yds to the Illin 26

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Chase Brown run for no gain to the Illin 26

3rd & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.84

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Brian Hightower for 4 yds to the Illin 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Illin 31

2nd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.53

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for no gain to the Illin 31

3rd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 6 yds to the Illin 37

4th & 3Punt+13 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 28 yds ILLINOIS Penalty, Kick Catch Interference on LEITZSEY, Tailon enforced (-15 Yards) to the Wisc 42

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(02:24) GUERENDO, Isaac rush to the right for a gain of 15 yards to the ILL43 (MARTIN, Jartavius), clock 02:17. PENALTY WIS Holding on ESCHENBACH, Jack enforced 10 yards from the WIS42 to the WIS32. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

2nd & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Graham Mertz run for 3 yds to the Wisc 35

3rd & 17Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Graham Mertz pass complete to Jack Eschenbach for 6 yds to the Wisc 41

4th & 11Punt+3 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 55 yds , Isaiah Williams returns for 3 yds to the Illin 7

0th & 12End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Chase Brown run for 6 yds to the Illin 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.28

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Pat Bryant for 12 yds to the Illin 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.49

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Pat Bryant for 22 yds to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Tommy DeVito pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Chase Brown run for 7 yds to the Wisc 28

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.04

Reggie Love III run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 29

4th & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.65

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 6 yds to the Wisc 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.20

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Michael Marchese for 20 yds to the Wisc 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Wisc 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Tommy DeVito 1 Yd Run (Caleb Griffin Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Will McManus kickoff for 60 yds , Isaac Guerendo return for 11 yds to the Wisc 16 Isaac Guerendo fumbled, recovered by Illin Michael Marchese

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Chase Brown run for no gain to the Wisc 16

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Tommy DeVito pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.57

Tommy DeVito sacked by Keeanu Benton for a loss of 10 yards to the Wisc 26

4th & 20Field Goal Good+44 yds

Caleb Griffin 44 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Will McManus kickoff for 60 yds , Isaac Guerendo return for 16 yds to the Wisc 21

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the Wisc 23

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt+11 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 58 yds , Isaiah Williams returns for 11 yds to the Illin 30

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Chase Brown run for 4 yds to the Illin 34

2nd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.91

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Pat Bryant for 15 yds to the Illin 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Pat Bryant for 2 yds to the Wisc 49

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+49 ydsPPA +4.57

Chase Brown 49 Yd Run (Caleb Griffin Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Will McManus kickoff for 55 yds , Chimere Dike return for 20 yds to the WISCONSIN 45 ILLINOIS Penalty, Offsides Personal Foul on JENNINGS, Terrell enforced ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds to the Wisc 47

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Chez Mellusi run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Chimere Dike run for 3 yds to the Illin 47

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.25

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Illin 48

2nd & 9Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.04

Chase Brown run for 17 yds to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+6 yds

(03:23) DEVITO, Tommy pass up the middle complete for 6 yards to WASHINGTON, Casey to the WIS29 (HALLMAN, Ricardo), clock 03:10. PENALTY WIS Pass Interference on HALLMAN, Ricardo enforced at the spot of the foul for 6 yards to the WIS29 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Reggie Love III run for 3 yds to the Wisc 26

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Reggie Love III run for 6 yds to the Wisc 20

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.18

Reggie Love III run for 3 yds to the Wisc 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.50

Chase Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 19

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Chase Brown run for no gain to the Wisc 19

3rd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Chase Brown for 6 yds to the Wisc 13

4th & 6Field Goal Good+31 yds

Caleb Griffin 31 Yd Field Goal

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Will McManus kickoff for 62 yds , Chimere Dike return for 21 yds to the Wisc 24

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.91

Graham Mertz sacked by Keith Randolph Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the Wisc 21

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 36

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 38

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 4 yds to the Illin 42

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.73

Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 21 yds to the Wisc 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Graham Mertz run for 4 yds to the Wisc 45

2nd & 6Sack0 ydsPPA -1.11

Graham Mertz sacked by Jer'Zhan Newton and Gabe Jacas for a loss of 5 yards to the Wisc 40 ILLINOIS Penalty, Offsides (Gabe Jacas) to the Wisc 45

3rd & 6Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.15

Graham Mertz sacked by TeRah Edwards for a loss of 5 yards to the Wisc 40

4th & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.08

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.43

Chase Brown run for 12 yds to the Wisc 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.93

Chase Brown run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wisc 31

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Reggie Love III run for 2 yds to the Wisc 29

3rd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Reggie Love III run for 3 yds to the Wisc 26

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.49

Tommy DeVito pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Graham Mertz pass complete to Jack Eschenbach for 6 yds to the Wisc 33

2nd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.53

Graham Mertz pass complete to Jack Eschenbach for 4 yds to the Wisc 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.92

Graham Mertz sacked by Alec Bryant for a loss of 7 yards to the Wisc 30

2nd & 17Penalty+15 yds

(04:16) MERTZ, Graham pass to the left incomplete intended for DIKE, Chimere broken up by WITHERSPOON, Devon at the WIS47, clock 04:08. PENALTY ILL Unsportsmanlike Conduct on WITHERSPOON, Devon enforced 15 yards from the WIS30 to the WIS45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

(04:08) MERTZ, Graham pass to the left incomplete intended for SCHIPPER, Brady thrown to the WIS49, clock 04:03. PENALTY WIS Personal Foul on NELSON, Jack enforced 15 yards from the WIS45 to the WIS30 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 25Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.90

Graham Mertz pass complete to Markus Allen for 12 yds to the Wisc 42

2nd & 13Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Graham Mertz pass complete to Dean Engram for 7 yds to the Wisc 49

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.12

Graham Mertz pass complete to Jack Eschenbach for 6 yds to the Illin 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 9 yds to the Illin 36

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

3rd & 6Penalty+10 yds

MERTZ, Graham pass to the right incomplete intended for DIKE, Chimere thrown to the ILL34, clock 01:38. PENALTY ILL Pass Interference on NICHOLSON, Tahveon enforced at the spot of the foul for 10 yards to the ILL31 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Graham Mertz pass complete to Markus Allen for 9 yds to the Illin 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (Tanor Bortolini) to the Illin 41

Situational Analysis

Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
25%
4 plays
100%
1 play
27%
22 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
60%
10 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Wisconsin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
26%
19 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
33%
9 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play