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← Back to GamesSep 24, 2022Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ohio State by 15.8

Home Win Probability

Ohio State 82%

Market (consensus)

Ohio State -18.5

Edge: Wisconsin +18.5 (2.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 24, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
WisconsinWisconsin
0701421
Ohio StateOhio State
211014752

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-021-028-731-738-745-1452-21
Ohio StateWisconsin

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OSWISOSWISOSWISOSWISOSWISOSWISOSWISOSWISOSWISOSWISOSWISOSWISTD688ydTO511ydTD216ydPUNT33ydTD770ydPUNT39ydTD867ydTD1072ydFG1368ydPUNT31ydTO420ydDOWNS47ydEND1-1ydPUNT43ydTD872ydPUNT46ydPUNT4-3ydPUNT32ydTD438ydTD1480ydTD575ydTD175ydPUNT934ydEND29yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Wisconsin and Ohio State
StatisticWisconsinOhio State
Passing12-2117-27
Pass Yards104281
Rush Yards192258
Total Yards296539
Turnovers11
3rd Down6-137-11
Penalties5-573-27
Possession26:5833:02

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Wisconsin
passing
Graham Mertz
11/20, 94 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Braelon Allen
23 CAR, 165 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Skyler Bell
4 REC, 55 YDS
defense
Ohio State
passing
C.J. Stroud
17/27, 281 YDS, 5 TD, 1 INT
rushing
TreVeyon Henderson
21 CAR, 121 YDS
receiving
Emeka Egbuka
6 REC, 118 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+5 yds

Jack Van Dyke kickoff for 58 yds , Chip Trayanum return for 5 yds to the OhSt 12

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the OhSt 15

2nd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.46

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 18 yds to the OhSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.95

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Cade Stover for 22 yds to the Wisc 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.50

TreVeyon Henderson run for 10 yds to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +1.76

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 33 yds to the Wisc 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Miyan Williams run for 2 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the Wisc 28

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Braelon Allen run for 6 yds to the Wisc 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Isaac Guerendo run for no gain to the Wisc 36

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return+30 ydsPPA -0.81

Graham Mertz pass intercepted Tanner McCalister return for 30 yds to the Wisc 16

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the Wisc 13

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.67

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Cade Stover for 13 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Isaac Guerendo run for a loss of 5 yards to the Wisc 20

2nd & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.21

Braelon Allen run for 8 yds to the Wisc 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Keontez Lewis

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Emeka Egbuka at the OhSt 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.23

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 13 yds to the OhSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.92

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 11 yds to the Wisc 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the Wisc 42

2nd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.90

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Cade Stover for 14 yds to the Wisc 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.23

TreVeyon Henderson run for 16 yds to the Wisc 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.32

TreVeyon Henderson run for 10 yds to the Wisc 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Cade Stover for 2 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Chez Mellusi run for 3 yds to the Wisc 38

2nd & 7Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.21

Graham Mertz sacked by Jack Sawyer for a loss of 3 yards to the Wisc 35

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.55

Graham Mertz pass complete to Skyler Bell for 9 yds to the Wisc 44

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OhSt 33

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Julian Fleming

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Miyan Williams run for 6 yds to the OhSt 39

3rd & 4Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.68

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 16 yds to the Wisc 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.63

Miyan Williams run for 14 yds to the Wisc 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Emeka Egbuka

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Miyan Williams run for 7 yds to the Wisc 24

3rd & 3Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.62

Miyan Williams run for 21 yds to the Wisc 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Miyan Williams run for 3 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Jayden Fielding kickoff for 63 yds , Isaac Guerendo return for 26 yds to the Wisc 28

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the Wisc 30

2nd & 8Penalty+7 yds

Mertz, Graham pass incomplete to Dike, Chimere, PENALTY OHIOST pass interference (Brown, Jyaire) 7 yards to the WISCONSIN37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WISCONSIN.

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 9 yds to the Wisc 46

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.77

Graham Mertz run for 11 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Chez Mellusi run for 1 yd to the OhSt 40

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Clay Cundiff, broken up by Josh Proctor

3rd & 9Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.39

Graham Mertz pass complete to Skyler Bell for 26 yds to the OhSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Braelon Allen run for 8 yds to the OhSt 6

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.16

Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the OhSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Graham Mertz run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nate Van Zelst KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Miyan Williams run for 5 yds to the OhSt 30

2nd & 5Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.51

Miyan Williams run for 25 yds to the Wisc 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Cade Stover, broken up by Kamo'i Latu

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Miyan Williams run for 7 yds to the Wisc 38

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Miyan Williams run for 2 yds to the Wisc 36

4th & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.82

Miyan Williams run for 9 yds to the Wisc 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

TreVeyon Henderson run for 6 yds to the Wisc 21

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the Wisc 18

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.15

Mitch Rossi run for 3 yds to the Wisc 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Cade Stover

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the Wisc 10

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the Wisc 7

4th & 2Field Goal Good+25 yds

Noah Ruggles 25 yd FG GOOD

4th & 2Kickoff Return (Offense)+38 yds

Jayden Fielding kickoff for 61 yds , Isaac Guerendo return for 38 yds to the Wisc 42

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Clay Cundiff

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Graham Mertz pass complete to Braelon Allen for 1 yd to the Wisc 43

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Skyler Bell

4th & 9Punt+67 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 57 yds for a touchback OHIO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Sonny Styles)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.83

TreVeyon Henderson run for 9 yds to the OhSt 19

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.11

TreVeyon Henderson run for 6 yds to the OhSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Julian Fleming for 5 yds to the OhSt 30

2nd & 5Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.02

C.J. Stroud pass intercepted John Torchio return for no gain to the OhSt 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Graham Mertz pass complete to Clay Cundiff for 3 yds to the OhSt 45

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Graham Mertz run for 3 yds to the OhSt 42

3rd & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Graham Mertz pass complete to Braelon Allen for 1 yd to the OhSt 41

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.67

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Skyler Bell, broken up by Tanner McCalister

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.34

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 40

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the Wisc 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Graham Mertz run for 3 yds to the Wisc 33

3rd & 2Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.90

Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the Wisc 38 WISCONSIN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Chimere Dike) to the Wisc 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Keontez Lewis

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Emeka Egbuka at the OhSt 28

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr., broken up by Nick Herbig

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.47

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 18 yds to the OhSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

TreVeyon Henderson run for 6 yds to the Wisc 48

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.22

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr., broken up by Ricardo Hallman

3rd & 4Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.45

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Julian Fleming for 31 yds to the Wisc 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the Wisc 14

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the Wisc 12

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.88

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Julian Fleming for 12 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)

3rd & 5Penalty+15 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Chimere Dike run for 4 yds to the Wisc 29

2nd & 6Rush-13 ydsPPA -1.16

Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the Wisc 31 WISCONSIN Penalty, Personal Foul (Logan Brown) to the Wisc 16

2nd & 19Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.67

Graham Mertz pass complete to Skyler Bell for 15 yds to the Wisc 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Skyler Bell

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 49

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Julian Fleming

2nd & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.80

TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the OhSt 44 OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the OhSt 46

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the OhSt 48

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Emeka Egbuka, broken up by Jordan Turner

4th & 13Punt+50 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Dean Engram at the OHIOST 4 WISCONSIN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Preston Zachman) to the Wisc 2

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.28

Braelon Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 1

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the Wisc 4

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Skyler Bell, broken up by Tyler Friday

4th & 8Punt+10 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 44 yds , Emeka Egbuka returns for 10 yds to the Wisc 38

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the Wisc 34

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.43

TreVeyon Henderson run for 7 yds to the Wisc 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.42

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Julian Fleming for 19 yds to the Wisc 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 8 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Jayden Fielding kickoff for 63 yds , Isaac Guerendo return for 18 yds to the Wisc 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Graham Mertz pass complete to Braelon Allen for 4 yds to the Wisc 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Graham Mertz pass complete to Skyler Bell for 5 yds to the Wisc 29

3rd & 1Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.54

Braelon Allen pass complete to Jack Eschenbach for 10 yds to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Braelon Allen run for 8 yds to the Wisc 47

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.42

Braelon Allen run for 9 yds to the OhSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the OhSt 40

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the OhSt 36

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.83

Braelon Allen run for 6 yds to the OhSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the OhSt 25

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Braelon Allen run for no gain to the OhSt 25

3rd & 5Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.27

Graham Mertz pass complete to Isaac Guerendo for 19 yds to the OhSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the OhSt 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Braelon Allen run for no gain to the OhSt 2

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Graham Mertz pass complete to Jackson Acker for 2 yds for a TD, (Nate Van Zelst KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

TreVeyon Henderson run for 11 yds to the OhSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.31

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Julian Fleming, broken up by Jay Shaw

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the Wisc 47

3rd & 7Penalty+15 yds

Stroud, C.J. pass incomplete to Harrison Jr., Marvin, PENALTY WISCONSIN pass interference (Shaw, Jay) 15 yards to the WISCONSIN32, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIOST.

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +2.87

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 32 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Braelon Allen run for 75 yds for a TD, (Nate Van Zelst KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Dallan Hayden run for 5 yds to the OhSt 30

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Dallan Hayden run for 2 yds to the OhSt 32

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.42

Dallan Hayden run for 5 yds to the OhSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Dallan Hayden run for 5 yds to the OhSt 42

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Dallan Hayden run for 3 yds to the OhSt 45

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.53

Dallan Hayden run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Kyle McCord run for 3 yds to the Wisc 47

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Dallan Hayden run for 3 yds to the Wisc 44

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Dallan Hayden run for 3 yds to the Wisc 41

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 41 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Chez Mellusi run for 3 yds to the Wisc 23

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Chez Mellusi run for 6 yds to the Wisc 29

Situational Analysis

Wisconsin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
35%
20 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
29%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Ohio State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
3 plays
59%
34 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
38%
8 plays
64%
11 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
80%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play