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← Back to GamesSep 10, 2022Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ohio State by 34

Home Win Probability

Ohio State 97%

Market (consensus)

Ohio State -44.5

Edge: Arkansas State +44.5 (10.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 10, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Arkansas StateArkansas State
363012
Ohio StateOhio State
141021045

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-317-317-924-931-938-938-1245-12
Ohio StateArkansas State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ASOSASOSASOSASOSASOSASOSASOSASOSASOSASOSASOSASOSASASPUNT33ydTD896ydFG1156ydTD475ydPUNT36ydFG871ydFG550ydPUNT3-2ydFG1458ydTD375ydDOWNS617ydPUNT32ydEND12ydTD375ydPUNT3-5ydTD259ydPUNT35ydPUNT312ydFG1043ydTD775ydPUNT619ydPUNT31ydPUNT30ydPUNT832ydTO39ydEND938yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Arkansas State and Ohio State
StatisticArkansas StateOhio State
Passing25-4219-28
Pass Yards223370
Rush Yards53168
Total Yards276538
Turnovers01
3rd Down5-205-11
Penalties6-639-85
Possession37:4422:16

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Arkansas State
passing
James Blackman
20/34, 188 YDS
rushing
Champ Flemings
2 CAR, 20 YDS
receiving
Champ Flemings
10 REC, 105 YDS
defense
Ohio State
passing
C.J. Stroud
16/24, 351 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
TreVeyon Henderson
10 CAR, 87 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Marvin Harrison Jr.
7 REC, 184 YDS, 3 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Johnnie Lang run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 28

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Johnnie Lang run for no gain to the ArkSt 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

James Blackman pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Ryan Hanson punt for 68 yds, downed at the OhSt 4

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the OhSt 7

2nd & 7Rush+41 ydsPPA +3.04

TreVeyon Henderson run for 41 yds to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Miyan Williams run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 46

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.18

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.53

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Xavier Johnson for 4 yds to the ArkSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Xavier Johnson for 4 yds to the ArkSt 38

2nd & 6Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.86

TreVeyon Henderson run for a loss of 4 yards to the ArkSt 42

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +5.26

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 42 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)

3rd & 10Penalty-15 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Xavier Johnson) to the OhSt 20

3rd & 25Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Jayden Fielding kickoff for 69 yds , Johnnie Lang return for 21 yds to the ArkSt 32

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

James Blackman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

James Blackman pass complete to Champ Flemings for 4 yds to the ArkSt 36

3rd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.31

James Blackman pass complete to Marcel Murray for 2 yds to the ArkSt 38

4th & 4Penalty+15 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.28

Johnnie Lang run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 48

2nd & 11Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.02

James Blackman pass complete to Emmanual Stevenson for no gain to the OhSt 48

3rd & 11Penalty+15 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Denzel Burke) to the OhSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

James Blackman pass incomplete to Seydou Traore

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.96

James Blackman pass complete to Seydou Traore for 16 yds to the OhSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

James Blackman pass complete to Adam Jones for 6 yds to the OhSt 11

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Johnnie Lang run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 12

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

James Blackman pass incomplete to Reagan Ealy

4th & 5Field Goal Good+29 yds

Dominic Zvada 29 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

TreVeyon Henderson run for 7 yds to the OhSt 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +2.81

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 45 yds to the ArkSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.34

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 15 yds to the ArkSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

TreVeyon Henderson run for 8 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

James Blackman pass complete to Champ Flemings for 7 yds to the ArkSt 32

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

ARKANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (Jordan Rhodes) to the ArkSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

James Blackman pass incomplete to Khyheem Waleed

3rd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

James Blackman pass complete to Marcel Murray for 4 yds to the ArkSt 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Ryan Hanson punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Emeka Egbuka at the OhSt 23

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Miyan Williams run for 5 yds to the OhSt 28

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.97

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 8 yds to the OhSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.36

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Cade Stover for 35 yds to the ArkSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

ARKANSAS ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Trevian Thomas) to the ArkSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Miyan Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArkSt 16 for a 1ST down ARKANSAS ST Penalty, Personal Foul (8 Yards) to the ArkSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Penalty-5 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the ArkSt 13

1st & 13Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Miyan Williams run for 7 yds to the ArkSt 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Emeka Egbuka

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 yds

Noah Ruggles 24 yd FG GOOD

4th & 8Kickoff Return (Offense)+30 yds

Jayden Fielding kickoff for 65 yds , Johnnie Lang return for 30 yds to the ArkSt 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+58 ydsPPA +3.16

James Blackman pass complete to Champ Flemings for 58 yds to the OhSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

James Blackman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

ARKANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (Jeff Foreman) to the OhSt 17

2nd & 15Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Marcel Murray run for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 20

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

James Blackman pass incomplete to Marcel Murray

4th & 18Field Goal Good+38 yds

Dominic Zvada 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the OhSt 27

2nd & 8Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.68

TreVeyon Henderson run for a loss of 4 yards to the OhSt 23

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Emeka Egbuka

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Johnnie Lang at the ArkSt 25

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Johnnie Lang run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

James Blackman pass complete to Champ Flemings for 4 yds to the ArkSt 34

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.25

Champ Flemings run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.01

James Blackman pass complete to Champ Flemings for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

James Blackman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.82

James Blackman pass complete to Emmanual Stevenson for 11 yds to the OhSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Johnnie Lang run for 7 yds to the OhSt 32

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

James Blackman pass incomplete to Reagan Ealy

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.52

James Blackman pass complete to Champ Flemings for 2 yds to the OhSt 30

4th & 1Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.47

Champ Flemings run for 15 yds to the OhSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Marcel Murray run for 2 yds to the OhSt 13

2nd & 8Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.71

Johnnie Lang run for a loss of 4 yards to the OhSt 17

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

James Blackman pass incomplete to Jeff Foreman

4th & 12Field Goal Good+34 yds

Dominic Zvada 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.24

Miyan Williams run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 8 yds to the ArkSt 42

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +3.00

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 42 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

ARKANSAS ST Penalty, Illegal Block (-15 Yards) to the ArkSt 20

1st & 25Penalty+5 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the ArkSt 25

1st & 20Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

James Blackman run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 26

2nd & 19Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.38

James Blackman pass complete to Adam Jones for 25 yds to the OhSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Johnnie Lang run for 4 yds to the OhSt 45

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

James Blackman pass complete to Champ Flemings for 5 yds to the OhSt 40

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

AJ Mayer run for no gain to the OhSt 40

4th & 1Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.05

James Blackman sacked by Michael Hall Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the OhSt 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.90

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Miyan Williams for 1 yd to the OhSt 49

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Emeka Egbuka

3rd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

C.J. Stroud run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 47 yds, downed at the ArkSt 3

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Marcel Murray run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 5

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +3.24

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 44 yds to the ArkSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.52

TreVeyon Henderson run for 8 yds to the ArkSt 23

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.32

TreVeyon Henderson run for 23 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)

2nd & 2Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Jayden Fielding kickoff for 65 yds , Johnnie Lang return for 16 yds to the ArkSt 16

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.57

Johnnie Lang run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArkSt 14

2nd & 12Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.16

James Blackman pass complete to Champ Flemings for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkSt 13

3rd & 13Penalty+5 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Zach Harrison) to the ArkSt 18

3rd & 8Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.20

James Blackman sacked by Steele Chambers for a loss of 7 yards to the ArkSt 11

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Ryan Hanson punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Emeka Egbuka at the OhSt 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.00

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 8 yds to the OhSt 49

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+51 ydsPPA +3.65

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 51 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)

2nd & 2Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Jayden Fielding kickoff for 60 yds , Johnnie Lang return for 21 yds to the ArkSt 26

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.84

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkSt 25

2nd & 11Penalty+5 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jack Sawyer) to the ArkSt 30

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Marcel Murray run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 31

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

James Blackman pass incomplete to Jeff Foreman

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Ryan Hanson punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Emeka Egbuka at the OhSt 21

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

ARKANSAS ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Eddie Smith) to the OhSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Miyan Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 35

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Miyan Williams

3rd & 11Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.34

C.J. Stroud sacked by Jaden Harris and Thurman Geathers for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 33

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 38 yds, downed at the ArkSt 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

James Blackman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.95

Johnnie Lang run for 12 yds to the ArkSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

James Blackman pass complete to Reagan Ealy for 13 yds to the OhSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Marcel Murray run for 7 yds to the OhSt 39

2nd & 3Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.18

Johnnie Lang run for a loss of 5 yards to the OhSt 44

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.33

James Blackman pass complete to Champ Flemings for 12 yds to the OhSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.46

James Blackman pass complete to Seydou Traore for 1 yd to the OhSt 31

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

James Blackman pass incomplete to Reagan Ealy

3rd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

James Blackman pass complete to Champ Flemings for 3 yds to the OhSt 28

4th & 6Field Goal Good+45 yds

Dominic Zvada 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.39

Emeka Egbuka run for 27 yds to the ArkSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 45

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Miyan Williams run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 44

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.95

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 9 yds to the ArkSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Miyan Williams run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Xavier Johnson

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +3.60

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 30 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Johnnie Lang run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

James Blackman pass complete to Emmanual Stevenson for 5 yds to the ArkSt 31

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.37

James Blackman run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

James Blackman pass incomplete to Reagan Ealy

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Marcel Murray run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 37

3rd & 8Penalty+5 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the ArkSt 42

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Marcel Murray run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 44

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Ryan Hanson punt for 56 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.80

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the OhSt 16

2nd & 14Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Cade Stover for 5 yds to the OhSt 21

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Johnnie Lang at the ArkSt 32

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.53

Ja'Quez Cross run for a loss of 6 yards to the ArkSt 26

2nd & 16Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.17

AJ Mayer run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 27

3rd & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

AJ Mayer pass complete to Omari Walker for 5 yds to the ArkSt 32

4th & 10Punt+13 yds

Ryan Hanson punt for 54 yds , Emeka Egbuka returns for 13 yds to the OhSt 27

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Dallan Hayden run for 9 yds to the OhSt 36

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Dallan Hayden run for 3 yds to the OhSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Kyle McCord pass complete to Dallan Hayden for 3 yds to the OhSt 42

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Dallan Hayden run for 3 yds to the OhSt 45

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.20

Kyle McCord pass complete to Dallan Hayden for 10 yds to the ArkSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Kyle McCord pass complete to Xavier Johnson for 6 yds to the ArkSt 39

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.46

Dallan Hayden run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArkSt 41

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Gee Scott Jr.

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 35 yds, downed at the ArkSt 6

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Mike Sharpe II run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 8

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.22

AJ Mayer run for 7 yds to the ArkSt 15

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

AJ Mayer pass incomplete to Mike Sharpe II

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Ryan Hanson punt for 41 yds , JK Johnson returns for no gain to the OhSt 44 JK Johnson fumbled, recovered by ArkSt Jack Bullard

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Ja'Quez Cross run for 2 yds to the OhSt 42

2nd & 8Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.72

AJ Mayer pass complete to Ja'Quez Cross for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 45

3rd & 11Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.92

AJ Mayer pass complete to Jaden Milliner for 18 yds to the OhSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

AJ Mayer run for 4 yds to the OhSt 23

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

AJ Mayer pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.76

AJ Mayer pass complete to Miller McCrumby for 9 yds to the OhSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Mike Sharpe II run for 2 yds to the OhSt 12

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

AJ Mayer pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

AJ Mayer pass complete to Omari Walker for 6 yds to the OhSt 6

Situational Analysis

Arkansas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
29%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
38%
13 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
20%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
33%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

Ohio State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
67%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
80%
5 plays
17%
6 plays
20%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
4th