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← Back to GamesSep 10, 2022Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Minnesota by 28.8

Home Win Probability

Minnesota 96%

Market (consensus)

Minnesota -41

Edge: Western Illinois +41 (12.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 10, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Western Illinois
300710
MinnesotaMinnesota
1417211062

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567014-021-328-331-338-345-352-355-362-10
MinnesotaWestern Illinois

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MINWIMINWIMINWIMINWIMINWIMINWIWIMINWIMINWIMINWIMINWIMINWIMINWIMINTO220ydDOWNS45ydTD1260ydPUNT36ydTD465ydFG846ydTD1275ydPUNT37ydTD796ydPUNT34ydFG653ydDOWNS516ydPUNT34ydTD669ydTO10ydTD363ydPUNT619ydTD667ydPUNT52ydFG1143ydPUNT30ydTD578ydTD575ydPUNT31ydPUNT35ydEND24yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Western Illinois and Minnesota
StatisticWestern IllinoisMinnesota
Passing16-3218-25
Pass Yards159372
Rush Yards35307
Total Yards194679
Turnovers11
3rd Down1-137-11
Penalties9-633-28
Possession20:4739:13

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Western Illinois
passing
Nick Davenport
8/15, 125 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Henry Ogala
2 CAR, 17 YDS
receiving
Jafar Armstrong
5 REC, 72 YDS
defense
Minnesota
passing
Tanner Morgan
14/18, 287 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Mohamed Ibrahim
23 CAR, 130 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Chris Autman-Bell
5 REC, 118 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Michael Brown-Stephens for 18 yds to the Minn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -2.53

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Michael Brown-Stephens for 2 yds Michael Brown-Stephens fumbled, recovered by WIll Bryce Cross

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Henry Ogala run for 3 yds to the Minn 42

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jay Parker run for 4 yds to the Minn 38

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Henry Ogala pass incomplete

4th & 3Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.97

Henry Ogala pass complete to Jafar Armstrong for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 40

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the Minn 40

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Minn 45

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.97

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mohamed Ibrahim for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.94

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 17 yds to the WIll 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Mohamed Ibrahim run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIll 34

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Bryce Williams for 9 yds to the WIll 25

4th & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.13

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the WIll 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the WIll 18

2nd & 7Penalty0 yds

MORGAN, Tanner pass to the left incomplete intended for AUTMAN-BELL, Chris thrown to the WIU0. PENALTY WIU Holding on ROSS, JJ enforced half the distance from the goal, 9 yards from the WIU18 to the WIU9 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Trey Potts run for 8 yds to the WIll 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the WIll 1

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Henry Ogala pass complete to Erin Collins for 8 yds to the WIll 33

2nd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.45

Erin Collins run for a loss of 2 yards to the WIll 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Henry Ogala pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jack Beulke punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the Minn 35

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.42

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +1.28

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Michael Brown-Stephens for 35 yds to the WIll 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Trey Potts 15 Yd Run (Matthew Trickett Kick)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WIll 20

1st & 15Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.52

Nick Davenport pass complete to Jafar Armstrong for 38 yds to the Minn 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Jay Parker run for no gain to the Minn 42

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Nick Davenport run for 6 yds to the Minn 36

3rd & 4Penalty0 yds

WESTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Nick Davenport pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Nick Davenport run for 6 yds to the Minn 15

4th & 4Penalty+15 yds

DAVENPORT, Nick pass to the right incomplete intended for MCKINNEY, Donald thrown to the UMN40, clock 02:05. PENALTY UMN Roughing the Passer on CARTER, Trill enforced 15 yards from the UMN36 to the UMN21 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 18Field Goal Good+47 yds

Mason Laramie 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 28

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Mason Laramie kickoff for 63 yds , Quentin Redding return for 23 yds to the Minn 25

2nd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.71

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 13 yds to the Minn 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 8 yds to the Minn 49

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.36

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 9 yds to the WIll 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.55

Trey Potts run for 15 yds to the WIll 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the WIll 23

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the WIll 18

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.15

Tanner Morgan run for 3 yds to the WIll 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+7 yds

WESTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, Defensive Holding (Cam Washington) to the WIll 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Trey Potts run for 3 yds to the WIll 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Tanner Morgan 1 Yd Run (Matthew Trickett Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jaylin Jackson run for no gain to the WIll 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Nick Davenport pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.15

Nick Davenport run for 7 yds to the WIll 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Nick Davenport punt for 64 yds, downed at the Minn 4

2nd & 11Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.86

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 17 yds to the Minn 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Mohamed Ibrahim run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 19

2nd & 11Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.68

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 15 yds to the Minn 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Trey Potts run for 10 yds to the Minn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+54 ydsPPA +3.16

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 54 yds to the WIll 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-2 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-2 Yards) to the Minn 3

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Trey Potts 2 Yd Run (Matthew Trickett Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Nick Davenport pass complete to Jaylin Jackson for 6 yds to the WIll 31

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.10

Erin Collins run for a loss of 2 yards to the WIll 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.31

Nick Davenport pass complete to Erin Collins for no gain to the WIll 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jack Beulke punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the Minn 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +2.70

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Le'Meke Brockington for 36 yds to the WIll 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.24

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 10 yds to the WIll 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the WIll 19

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the WIll 16

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

4th & 3Field Goal Good+34 yds

Matthew Trickett 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Henry Ogala pass complete to Jafar Armstrong for 14 yds to the WIll 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Henry Ogala pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Henry Ogala pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, False Start (Jaylin Jackson) to the WIll 34

3rd & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.15

Ludovick Choquette run for 7 yds to the WIll 41

0th & 8End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Henry Ogala pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Henry Ogala pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Henry Ogala pass complete to Jay Parker for 4 yds to the WIll 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Henry Ogala pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jack Beulke punt for 40 yds, downed at the Minn 31

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 14 yds to the Minn 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.14

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 16 yds to the WIll 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.38

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 11 yds to the WIll 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +0.88

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 23 yds to the WIll 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the WIll 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Mohamed Ibrahim 1 Yd Run (Matthew Trickett Kick)

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.92

Henry Ogala pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 8 yds to the Minn 45

2nd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.54

Trey Potts run for 10 yds to the WIll 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+45 ydsPPA +3.48

Brevyn Spann-Ford 45 Yd pass from Tanner Morgan (Matthew Trickett Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Ludovick Choquette run for 3 yds to the WIll 18

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Henry Ogala pass complete to Jaylin Jackson for 3 yds to the WIll 21

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, False Start (Tyler Keinath) to the WIll 16

3rd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.54

Henry Ogala pass complete to Jafar Armstrong for 14 yds to the WIll 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Ludovick Choquette run for 1 yd to the WIll 31

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Ludovick Choquette run for 5 yds to the WIll 36

3rd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.71

Jafar Armstrong run for a loss of 2 yards to the WIll 34

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Dragan Kesich kickoff for 65 yds , Jay Parker return for 15 yds to the WIll 15

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jack Beulke punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

POTTS, Trey rush to the right for a gain of 4 yards to the UMN37 (WATTS, Cole), out of bounds. PENALTY UMN Holding on FILIAGA, Chuck enforced 10 yards from the UMN33 to the UMN23 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jack Beulke punt for 33 yds

1st & 20Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.05

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Clay Geary for 26 yds to the Minn 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Trey Potts run for 5 yds to the WIll 46

2nd & 5Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.12

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Clay Geary for 21 yds to the WIll 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Trey Potts run for 4 yds to the WIll 21

2nd & 6Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.80

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Dylan Wright for 20 yds to the WIll 1 for a 1ST down

2nd & 6Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.80

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Dylan Wright for 20 yds to the WIll 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Athan Kaliakmanis 1 Yd Run (Matthew Trickett Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jafar Armstrong run for no gain to the WIll 25

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.93

Henry Ogala run for 14 yds to the WIll 39 for a 1ST down

2nd & 23Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Henry Ogala pass incomplete

3rd & 23Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.04

Henry Ogala pass complete to Ludovick Choquette for 1 yd to the WIll 27

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Jack Beulke punt for 44 yds, downed at the Minn 29

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.02

Bryce Williams run for 11 yds to the Minn 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Bryce Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 39

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Cole Kramer pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.40

Cole Kramer pass complete to Clay Geary for 18 yds to the WIll 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Bryce Williams run for 3 yds to the WIll 40

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Bryce Williams run for 5 yds to the WIll 35

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.76

Cole Kramer run for 5 yds to the WIll 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Cole Kramer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Preston Jelen run for 2 yds to the WIll 28

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Cole Kramer pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+46 yds

Matthew Trickett 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Erin Collins run for no gain to the WIll 39

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Nick Davenport pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Nick Davenport pass incomplete

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+35 yds

Dragan Kesich kickoff for 61 yds , Jay Parker return for 35 yds to the WIll 39

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jack Beulke punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the Minn 22

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jack Beulke punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the Minn 22

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Bryce Williams run for 4 yds to the Minn 26

2nd & 6Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.36

Bryce Williams run for 22 yds to the Minn 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

KALIAKMANIS, Athan pass up the middle incomplete intended for WHITE, Ike thrown to the WIU22. PENALTY WIU Pass Interference on WEST, Eli enforced 15 yards to the WIU37 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the WIll 35

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Bryce Williams run for 5 yds to the WIll 30

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +3.38

Preston Jelen 30 Yd Run (Matthew Trickett Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Nick Davenport pass complete to Naseim Brantley for 12 yds to the WIll 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.24

Nick Davenport run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIll 36

2nd & 11Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.05

Nick Davenport pass complete to Donald McKinney for 23 yds to the Minn 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.65

Nick Davenport pass complete to Jafar Armstrong for 8 yds to the Minn 33

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +2.59

Naseim Brantley 33 Yd pass from Nick Davenport (Mason Laramie Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jordan Nubin run for no gain to the Minn 35

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Jordan Nubin run for 3 yds to the Minn 38

3rd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.60

Max Grand run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 36

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Naseim Brantley at the WIll 18

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Naseim Brantley at the WIll 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Nick Davenport pass complete to Naseim Brantley for 5 yds to the WIll 23

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Nick Davenport pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Nick Davenport pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Nick Davenport pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jack Beulke punt for 48 yds, downed at the Minn 29

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Max Grand run for 2 yds to the Minn 31

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Max Grand run for 2 yds to the Minn 33

Situational Analysis

Western Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
18 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
40%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
0%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
53%
36 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
75%
4 plays
71%
7 plays
63%
8 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play