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← Back to GamesSep 10, 2022Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Illinois by 2.5

Home Win Probability

Illinois 53%

Market (consensus)

Illinois -4

Edge: Virginia +4 (1.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 10, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
VirginiaVirginia
30003
IllinoisIllinois
1473024

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-37-321-324-3
IllinoisVirginia

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ILLVIRILLVIRILLVIRILLVIRILLVIRILLVIRILLVIRILLVIRILLVIRILLVIRILLVIRILLVIRILLVIRILLVIRILLVIRILLTO213ydPUNT33ydTO425ydFG48ydPUNT39ydPUNT3-16ydPUNT33ydPUNT3-2ydTD357ydPUNT36ydTD469ydPUNT417ydTO896ydMISS972ydPUNT32ydPUNT38ydTO33ydDOWNS48ydEND2-3ydPUNT31ydMISS1035ydPUNT35ydFG1049ydPUNT3-10ydMISS724ydTO634ydPUNT67ydTO654ydPUNT37ydDOWNS1037ydEND2-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Virginia and Illinois
StatisticVirginiaIllinois
Passing13-3517-25
Pass Yards180196
Rush Yards42198
Total Yards222394
Turnovers34
3rd Down0-165-14
Penalties5-4010-71
Possession26:0933:51

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Virginia
passing
Brennan Armstrong
13/32, 180 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Jay Woolfolk
1 CAR, 31 YDS
receiving
Lavel Davis
2 REC, 67 YDS
defense
Illinois
passing
Tommy DeVito
17/25, 196 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Chase Brown
20 CAR, 146 YDS
receiving
Patrick Bryant
2 REC, 60 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Chase Brown run for 13 yds to the Illin 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Brian Hightower) to the Illin 48 for a 1ST down

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Dontayvion Wicks

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Perris Jones run for 3 yds to the Illin 45

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Dontayvion Wicks

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Daniel Sparks punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Williams at the Illin 7

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Isaiah Williams

3rd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.88

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 11 yds to the Illin 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 9

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+12 ydsPPA -0.61

Chase Brown run for 12 yds to the Illin 32 Chase Brown fumbled, recovered by Virg Langston Long

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Perris Jones run for 4 yds to the Illin 36

2nd & 14Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UVA False Start (Devine,Derek) 5 yards from ILL36 to ILL41. NO PLAY.

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Lavel Davis Jr.

3rd & 19Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.44

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 17 yds to the Illin 24

4th & 2Field Goal Good+42 yds

Brendan Farrell 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Illin 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Chase Brown for 3 yds to the Illin 26

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Tommy DeVito run for 3 yds to the Illin 29

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the Virg 32

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.28

run for 27 yds to the Virg 5

2nd & 37Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.06

Perris Jones run for 16 yds to the Virg 21

3rd & 21Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.05

Brennan Armstrong sacked by Seth Coleman for a loss of 5 yards to the Virg 16

4th & 26Punt0 yds

Daniel Sparks punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Williams at the Illin 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 3 yds to the Illin 36

2nd & 13Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Luke Ford for 3 yds to the Illin 39

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Luke Ford for 3 yds to the Illin 42

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 46 yds , Billy Kemp IV returns for no gain for a TD Billy Kemp IV fumbled, recovered by Illin Matthew Bailey for a TD, (Caleb Griffin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Perris Jones run for 3 yds to the Virg 28

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UVA False Start (Leech,Jonathan) 5 yards from UVA28 to UVA23. NO PLAY.

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Dontayvion Wicks

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Keytaon Thompson

4th & 12Punt+20 yds

Daniel Sparks punt for 54 yds , Isaiah Williams returns for 20 yds to the Illin 43

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.17

Chase Brown run for 15 yds to the Virg 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Virg 39

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.59

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Michael Marchese for 39 yds for a TD, (Caleb Griffin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Brennan Armstrong run for 2 yds to the Virg 27

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Brennan Armstrong run for 2 yds to the Virg 25

3rd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Brennan Armstrong run for 6 yds to the Virg 31

4th & 4Punt+10 yds

Daniel Sparks punt for 38 yds , Isaiah Williams returns for 10 yds to the Illin 31

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY ILL False Start 5 yards from ILL40 to ILL35. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.36

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Luke Ford for 9 yds to the Illin 40

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY ILL False Start 5 yards from ILL40 to ILL35. NO PLAY.

2nd & 6Penalty+15 yds

VIRGINIA Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Antonio Clary) to the Virg 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +2.26

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Pat Bryant for 43 yds to the Virg 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Tip Reiman for 2 yds for a TD, (Caleb Griffin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.97

Brennan Armstrong run for 12 yds to the Virg 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Mike Hollins run for no gain to the Virg 35

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Dontayvion Wicks

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Mike Hollins for 5 yds to the Virg 40

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Daniel Sparks punt for 56 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Chase Brown run for 5 yds to the Illin 9

2nd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.49

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 11 yds to the Illin 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Tip Reiman for 12 yds to the Illin 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+36 ydsPPA +2.65

Chase Brown run for 36 yds to the Virg 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Isaiah Williams run for 1 yd to the Virg 31

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Reggie Love III run for 8 yds to the Virg 23

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Reggie Love III run for 6 yds to the Virg 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+17 yds

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Pat Bryant for 17 yds Pat Bryant fumbled, recovered by Virg Fentrell Cypress II

1st & 10Pass Reception+62 ydsPPA +4.02

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Lavel Davis Jr. for 62 yds to the Illin 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Perris Jones run for 3 yds to the Illin 30

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Perris Jones run for 4 yds to the Illin 26

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Dontayvion Wicks

4th & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.28

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 3 yds to the Illin 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Dontayvion Wicks

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Mike Hollins run for no gain to the Illin 23

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Dontayvion Wicks

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+41 yds

Brendan Farrell 41 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Illin 24

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Jonah Morris

3rd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.14

Tommy DeVito run for 1 yd to the Illin 25

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the Virg 28

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Xavier Brown run for 5 yds to the Virg 33

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Xavier Brown run for 3 yds to the Virg 36

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Brennan Armstrong run for no gain to the Virg 36

4th & 2Punt+24 yds

Daniel Sparks punt for 46 yds , Isaiah Williams returns for 24 yds to the Illin 42

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.88

Chase Brown run for 10 yds to the Virg 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Chase Brown run for no gain to the Virg 48

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -2.06

Tommy DeVito sacked by Kam Butler for a loss of 7 yards to the Illin 45 Tommy DeVito fumbled, recovered by Virg Jahmeer Carter , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Xavier Brown run for 1 yd to the Illin 44

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Xavier Brown for 7 yds to the Illin 37

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.08

Mike Hollins run for no gain to the Illin 37

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.20

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Dontayvion Wicks

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Chase Brown run for 4 yds to the Illin 41

2nd & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.81

Tommy DeVito sacked by Chico Bennett Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the Illin 34

0th & 6End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 2 yds to the Virg 27

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Perris Jones run for 1 yd to the Virg 28

3rd & 7Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Armstrong,Brennan pass complete short left to Hollins,Mike for 0 yards to the UVA28 PENALTY UVA Holding (Taylor,Logan) 10 yards from UVA28 to UVA18. NO PLAY.

3rd & 17Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.07

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Mike Hollins for 8 yds to the Virg 26

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Brendan Farrell punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Virg 48

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Virg 46

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Virg 44

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Tommy DeVito run for 4 yds to the Virg 40

4th & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +2.12

Chase Brown run for 5 yds to the Virg 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Tommy DeVito run for 6 yds to the Virg 29

2nd & 4Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.17

Chase Brown run for 13 yds to the Virg 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Virg 13

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Casey Washington

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Michael Marchese

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+31 yds

Caleb Griffin 31 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Xavier Brown run for no gain to the Virg 20

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 5 yds to the Virg 25

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Lavel Davis Jr.

4th & 5Punt+3 yds

Brendan Farrell punt for 32 yds , Isaiah Williams returns for 3 yds to the Illin 46

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Chase Brown run for 5 yds to the Virg 49

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.73

Chase Brown run for 6 yds to the Virg 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Chase Brown run for 6 yds to the Virg 37

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Reggie Love III run for no gain to the Virg 37

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.21

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Brian Hightower for 8 yds to the Virg 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.90

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Casey Washington for 24 yds to the Virg 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Isaiah Williams

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Tip Reiman

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Casey Washington

4th & 5Field Goal Good+23 yds

Caleb Griffin 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Brennan Armstrong sacked by Jer'Zhan Newton for a loss of 4 yards to the Virg 21

2nd & 14Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Lavel Davis Jr. for 5 yds to the Virg 26

3rd & 9Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.32

Brennan Armstrong sacked by Gabe Jacas for a loss of 11 yards to the Virg 15

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Brendan Farrell punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Williams at the Illin 49

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Reggie Love III run for 5 yds to the Virg 46

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Reggie Love III run for 2 yds to the Virg 44

3rd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.51

Reggie Love III run for 9 yds to the Virg 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Chase Hayden run for 3 yds to the Virg 32

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Michael Marchese for 4 yds to the Virg 28

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Chase Hayden run for 1 yd to the Virg 27

4th & 2Field Goal Missed+45 yds

Caleb Griffin 45 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Dontayvion Wicks

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Armstrong,Brennan pass incomplete short left to Wicks,Dontayvion PENALTY ILL Personal Foul (Barnes,Tarique) 15 yards from UVA27 to UVA42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.21

Mike Hollins run for 15 yds to the Illin 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Grant Misch

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 9 yds to the Illin 34

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Demick Starling

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UVA False Start (Furnish,Ty) 5 yards from ILL34 to ILL39. NO PLAY.

4th & 6Interception0 ydsPPA -1.49

Brennan Armstrong pass intercepted

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Shotgun Love III,Reggie rush right for 0 yards to the ILL24, End Of Play PENALTY ILL Illegal Block in Back (Adams,Isaiah) 10 yards from ILL24 to ILL14. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Reggie Love III run for 2 yds to the Illin 12

2nd & 22Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.68

Tommy DeVito run for 18 yds to the Illin 30

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.41

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Brian Hightower for 5 yds to the Illin 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Chase Hayden run for 3 yds to the Illin 38

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Chase Hayden run for 2 yds to the Illin 40

3rd & 5Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.09

Tommy DeVito sacked by Nick Jackson for a loss of 9 yards to the Illin 31

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the Virg 24

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.00

Brennan Armstrong run for 12 yds to the Virg 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.86

Brennan Armstrong sacked by Keith Randolph Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the Virg 29

2nd & 17Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.91

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 18 yds to the Virg 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +1.45

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 31 yds to the Illin 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Dontayvion Wicks

2nd & 10Penalty+2 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, Personal Foul (Devon Witherspoon) to the Illin 2

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

PENALTY ILL False Start 1 yard from ILL02 to ILL01. NO PLAY.

1st & 11Penalty0 yds

PENALTY ILL False Start (Marchese,Michael). NO PLAY.

1st & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Tommy DeVito run for 3 yds to the Illin 4

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Reggie Love III run for 4 yds to the Illin 8

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.12

Reggie Love III run for 1 yd to the Illin 9

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the Illin 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.67

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Grant Misch for 8 yds to the Illin 34

2nd & 2Sack-12 ydsPPA -3.44

Brennan Armstrong sacked by Gabe Jacas for a loss of 12 yards to the Illin 46

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion+10 ydsPPA +1.09

Jay Woolfolk pass incomplete to Dontayvion Wicks for a 1ST down ILLINOIS Penalty, Defensive Holding (Jartavius Martin) to the Illin 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Jay Woolfolk pass incomplete to Dontayvion Wicks

2nd & 10Rush+31 ydsPPA +1.85

Jay Woolfolk run for 31 yds to the Illin 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Penalty+3 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Devon Witherspoon) to the Illin 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+3 yds

Mike Hollins run for 3 yds to the Illin 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jay Woolfolk pass incomplete to Lavel Davis Jr.

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Lavel Davis Jr.

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.95

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Dontayvion Wicks

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.35

run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 3

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.09

run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 2

Situational Analysis

Virginia

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
24 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
40%
10 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
0%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays

Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
48%
27 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
43%
7 plays
18%
11 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
29%
7 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play