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← Back to GamesSep 3, 2022Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan by 27.6

Home Win Probability

Michigan 95%

Market (consensus)

Michigan -31

Edge: Colorado State +31 (3.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 3, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Colorado StateColorado State
00077
MichiganMichigan
1013141451

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-013-020-030-037-044-751-7
MichiganColorado State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MICCSMICCSMICCSMICCSMICCSMICCSMICCSCSCSMICCSMICCSMICCSPUNT34ydPUNT727ydTD280ydTO22ydFG40ydPUNT423ydFG1471ydPUNT37ydPUNT56ydPUNT3-6ydTD748ydDOWNS922ydFG631ydEND11ydTD620ydPUNT41ydTD860ydDOWNS733ydTD858ydTD975ydTD1472ydEND414yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Colorado State and Michigan
StatisticColorado StateMichigan
Passing16-2018-28
Pass Yards137206
Rush Yards82234
Total Yards219440
Turnovers20
3rd Down2-113-10
Penalties0-01-10
Possession29:3030:30

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Colorado State
passing
Clay Millen
16/20, 137 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
A'Jon Vivens
10 CAR, 35 YDS
receiving
Tory Horton
6 REC, 69 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Michigan
passing
Cade McNamara
9/18, 136 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Blake Corum
13 CAR, 76 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Roman Wilson
2 REC, 65 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the Mich 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Cornelius Johnson

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Cornelius Johnson

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Brad Robbins punt for 51 yds , Melquan Stovall returns for no gain to the ColSt 20

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

A'Jon Vivens run for 5 yds to the ColSt 25

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Clay Millen pass complete to Tory Horton for 8 yds to the ColSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Clay Millen pass complete to Tanner Arkin for 9 yds to the ColSt 42

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

A'Jon Vivens run for 3 yds to the ColSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Clay Millen pass complete to A'Jon Vivens for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 44

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

A'Jon Vivens run for 5 yds to the ColSt 49

3rd & 6Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.11

Clay Millen sacked by Mike Sainristil for a loss of 2 yards to the ColSt 47

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Paddy Turner punt for 33 yds, downed at the Mich 20

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.53

Blake Corum run for 19 yds to the Mich 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+61 ydsPPA +4.86

Roman Wilson 61 Yd pass from Cade McNamara (Jake Moody Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Clay Millen pass complete to A'Jon Vivens for 2 yds to the ColSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Interception Return+37 ydsPPA -0.47

Clay Millen pass intercepted Rod Moore return for 37 yds to the ColSt 13

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Cornelius Johnson

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Blake Corum run for no gain to the ColSt 13

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Erick All

4th & 10Field Goal Good+31 yds

Jake Moody 31 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.80

Clay Millen pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 20 yds to the ColSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Clay Millen pass complete to Tory Horton for 2 yds to the ColSt 47

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

A'Jon Vivens run for 1 yd to the ColSt 48

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Clay Millen pass incomplete to A'Jon Vivens

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Paddy Turner punt for 31 yds, downed at the Mich 21

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Donovan Edwards run for 6 yds to the Mich 27

2nd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.79

Cade McNamara pass complete to Luke Schoonmaker for 8 yds to the Mich 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Donovan Edwards run for 2 yds to the Mich 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.69

Cade McNamara pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 9 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the Mich 47

2nd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.01

Cade McNamara pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 15 yds to the ColSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

A.J. Henning run for 6 yds to the ColSt 32

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.18

Cade McNamara pass complete to Blake Corum for 9 yds to the ColSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Donovan Edwards run for 8 yds to the ColSt 15

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.14

Donovan Edwards run for 9 yds to the ColSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.75

Blake Corum run for a loss of 4 yards to the ColSt 10

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the ColSt 8

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Cade McNamara pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+26 yds

Jake Moody 26 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Clay Millen pass incomplete to Tory Horton

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Clay Millen run for 2 yds to the ColSt 27

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Clay Millen run for 5 yds to the ColSt 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Paddy Turner punt for 33 yds, downed at the Mich 35

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the Mich 40

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.95

Blake Corum run for 6 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the Mich 49

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Ronnie Bell

3rd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.45

Cade McNamara sacked by Mohamed Kamara for a loss of 8 yards to the Mich 41

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Brad Robbins punt for 43 yds , Melquan Stovall returns for no gain to the ColSt 16

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Avery Morrow run for 2 yds to the ColSt 18

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Clay Millen pass incomplete to Avery Morrow

3rd & 8Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.21

Clay Millen sacked by Eyabi Anoma for a loss of 8 yards to the ColSt 10

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Paddy Turner punt for 38 yds, downed at the ColSt 48

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Donovan Edwards run for 1 yd to the ColSt 47

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Donovan Edwards run for 4 yds to the ColSt 43

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.68

Donovan Edwards run for 7 yds to the ColSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Donovan Edwards run for 7 yds to the ColSt 29

2nd & 3Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.09

Blake Corum run for 19 yds to the ColSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the ColSt 7

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Blake Corum 7 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Avery Morrow run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.39

Clay Millen pass complete to Ty McCullouch for a loss of 3 yards to the ColSt 21

3rd & 14Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.03

Clay Millen pass complete to Ty McCullouch for 14 yds to the ColSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Clay Millen pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 3 yds to the ColSt 38

2nd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.81

Clay Millen run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Clay Millen pass complete to Tory Horton for 2 yds to the Mich 48

2nd & 8Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.57

Clay Millen sacked by Michael Barrett for a loss of 11 yards to the ColSt 41

3rd & 19Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.76

Clay Millen run for 12 yds to the Mich 47

4th & 7Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.72

Clay Millen sacked by R.J. Moten for a loss of 6 yards to the ColSt 47

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Donovan Edwards run for 5 yds to the ColSt 42

2nd & 5Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.90

Cade McNamara pass complete to Erick All for 22 yds to the ColSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Cade McNamara pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 4 yds to the ColSt 16

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Cornelius Johnson

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Roman Wilson

4th & 6Field Goal Good+34 yds

Jake Moody 34 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

A'Jon Vivens run for 1 yd to the ColSt 26

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

A'Jon Vivens run for 3 yds to the ColSt 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.42

Clay Millen pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 10 yds to the ColSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

A'Jon Vivens run for 2 yds to the ColSt 40

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Clay Millen pass complete to Tory Horton for 2 yds to the ColSt 42

3rd & 6Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.73

Clay Millen sacked by Kris Jenkins for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 41

4th & 7Fumble Return Touchdown+45 ydsPPA -7.10

DJ Turner 45 Yd Fumble Return (Jake Moody Kick)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

A'Jon Vivens run for 10 yds to the ColSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

A'Jon Vivens run for 6 yds to the ColSt 41

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

A'Jon Vivens run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 40

3rd & 5Sack-14 ydsPPA -1.16

Clay Millen sacked by Mason Graham and Rod Moore for a loss of 14 yards to the ColSt 26

4th & 19Punt+10 yds

Paddy Turner punt for 44 yds , A.J. Henning returns for 10 yds to the Mich 40

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.99

Blake Corum run for 11 yds to the ColSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Cade McNamara pass complete to Roman Wilson for 4 yds to the ColSt 45

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

C.J. Stokes run for 1 yd to the ColSt 44

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Cade McNamara pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 4 yds to the ColSt 40

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.86

Donovan Edwards run for 2 yds to the ColSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Luke Schoonmaker

2nd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.26

C.J. Stokes run for 18 yds to the ColSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

J.J. McCarthy 20 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Avery Morrow run for 9 yds to the ColSt 34

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Avery Morrow run for 4 yds to the ColSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.71

Clay Millen pass complete to Tory Horton for 21 yds to the Mich 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Avery Morrow run for 5 yds to the Mich 36

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Avery Morrow run for 2 yds to the Mich 34

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Avery Morrow run for no gain to the Mich 34

4th & 3Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.35

Clay Millen sacked by Mazi Smith and Jaylen Harrell for a loss of 8 yards to the Mich 42

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.37

J.J. McCarthy run for 18 yds to the ColSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Max Bredeson for 3 yds to the ColSt 37

2nd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.76

J.J. McCarthy run for 12 yds to the ColSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Andrel Anthony for 5 yds to the ColSt 20

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Alex Orji run for no gain to the ColSt 20

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.57

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to A.J. Henning for 7 yds to the ColSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.60

Donovan Edwards run for 12 yds to the ColSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Donovan Edwards 1 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

David Bailey run for 4 yds to the ColSt 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.14

Clay Millen pass complete to David Bailey for 8 yds to the ColSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

David Bailey run for 6 yds to the ColSt 43

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.98

David Bailey run for 1 yd to the ColSt 44

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.78

Clay Millen pass complete to Ty McCullouch for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

David Bailey run for 3 yds to the Mich 47

2nd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.22

David Bailey run for 11 yds to the Mich 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

David Bailey run for 2 yds to the Mich 34

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +3.40

Clay Millen pass complete to Tory Horton for 34 yds for a TD, (Cayden Camper KICK)

2nd & 8Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Henry Katleman kickoff for 61 yds , Joe Taylor return for 24 yds to the Mich 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.39

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to C.J. Stokes for 15 yds to the Mich 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

C.J. Stokes run for 3 yds to the Mich 46

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.48

Alan Bowman pass complete to Matthew Hibner for 10 yds to the ColSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

C.J. Stokes run for 2 yds to the ColSt 42

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Alan Bowman pass complete to Hunter Neff for 8 yds to the ColSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Tavierre Dunlap run for 4 yds to the ColSt 30

2nd & 6Penalty-10 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Reece Atteberry) to the ColSt 40

2nd & 16Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.07

Alan Bowman pass complete to Colston Loveland for 16 yds to the ColSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Alan Bowman pass complete to Peyton O'Leary for 4 yds to the ColSt 20

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

C.J. Stokes run for 5 yds to the ColSt 15

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

C.J. Stokes run for 6 yds to the ColSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Alan Bowman pass complete to Colston Loveland for 2 yds to the ColSt 7

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Isaiah Gash run for 3 yds to the ColSt 4

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Darrius Clemons

4th & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.98

Alex Orji run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jaylen Thomas run for 4 yds to the ColSt 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Jaylen Thomas run for 3 yds to the ColSt 32

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Jaylen Thomas run for 2 yds to the ColSt 34

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.95

Jaylen Thomas run for 5 yds to the ColSt 39 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Colorado State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
24 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
40%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
47%
30 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
56%
9 plays
58%
12 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
1 play
33%
6 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play