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← Back to GamesSep 3, 2022Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Nebraska by 0.1

Home Win Probability

Nebraska 48%

Market (consensus)

Nebraska -28.5

Edge: North Dakota +28.5 (28.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 3, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
North Dakota
0710017
NebraskaNebraska
70171438

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-714-717-1024-1731-1738-17
NebraskaNorth Dakota

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDNEBNDNEBNDNEBNDNEBNDNEBNEBNDNEBNDNEBNDNEBNDNEBNDNEBNDNEBNDPUNT1138ydTD887ydPUNT38ydTO17ydPUNT31ydPUNT316ydPUNT726ydMISS1261ydTD1680ydEND11ydTD675ydTO621ydFG518ydFG669ydTO3-1ydTD28ydTD575ydPUNT37ydPUNT3-14ydPUNT617ydTD1189ydDOWNS516ydTD633ydEND315yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing North Dakota and Nebraska
StatisticNorth DakotaNebraska
Passing24-3714-21
Pass Yards131193
Rush Yards175244
Total Yards306437
Turnovers12
3rd Down6-156-11
Penalties6-707-45
Possession36:0123:59

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

North Dakota
passing
Tommy Schuster
24/37, 131 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Isaiah Smith
10 CAR, 104 YDS
receiving
Bo Belquist
6 REC, 40 YDS
defense
Ted Mullin
0.5 TFL
Nebraska
passing
Casey Thompson
14/21, 193 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Anthony Grant
23 CAR, 189 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Trey Palmer
4 REC, 82 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 1 yd to the NDKTA 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Adam Zavalney

3rd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.22

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 13 yds to the NDKTA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tyler Hoosman run for 5 yds to the NDKTA 44

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Gaven Ziebarth run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 46

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.68

Tyler Hoosman run for 5 yds to the Neb 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Red Wilson for 7 yds to the Neb 42

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.09

Quincy Vaughn run for 4 yds to the Neb 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Bo Belquist

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Red Wilson for 4 yds to the Neb 34

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Isaiah Smith run for 2 yds to the Neb 32

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UND False Start (Lotysz,Peyton) 5 yards from NEB32 to NEB37. NO PLAY.

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Cade Peterson punt for 24 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 13

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Anthony Grant run for no gain to the Neb 13

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Nate Boerkircher

3rd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.94

Casey Thompson pass complete to Alante Brown for 21 yds to the Neb 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 8 yds to the Neb 42

2nd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Casey Thompson pass complete to Marcus Washington for 7 yds to the Neb 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.18

Casey Thompson pass complete to Marcus Washington for 24 yds to the NDKTA 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 8 yds to the NDKTA 19

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.25

Anthony Grant run for 19 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Isaiah Smith run for 3 yds to the NDKTA 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 5 yds to the NDKTA 33

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

Tyler Hoosman run for no gain to the NDKTA 33

4th & 2Blocked Punt+19 yds

punt blocked by Javin Wright blocked by Javin Wright

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Shotgun Thompson,Casey pass incomplete short left to Palmer,Trey, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UND Pass Interference (Hembry,Devin) 15 yards from NEB48 to UND37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -2.42

Casey Thompson sacked by Ben McNaboe for a loss of 8 yards to the NDKTA 45 Casey Thompson fumbled, recovered by NDKTA Devon Krzanowski , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Isaiah Smith

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Tyler Hoosman for 1 yd to the NDKTA 46

3rd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.62

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Isaiah Smith for no gain to the NDKTA 46

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Cade Peterson punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Garcia-Castaneda at the Neb 23

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Shotgun Thompson,Casey pass incomplete short left to Johnson,Rahmir PENALTY UND Roughing The Passer (Krzanowski,Devon) 15 yards from NEB23 to NEB38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

NEBRASKA Penalty, Illegal Shift ( Yards) declined

2nd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.24

Casey Thompson sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the Neb 28

3rd & 20Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.24

Ajay Allen run for 11 yds to the Neb 39

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Bo Belquist at the NDKTA 15

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

Tyler Hoosman run for no gain to the NDKTA 15

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 12 yds to the NDKTA 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY NEB Offside (Hill,Tommi) 5 yards from UND27 to UND32. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.37

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Garett Maag

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.37

Tyler Hoosman run for 11 yds to the NDKTA 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Jack Wright for 8 yds to the Neb 49

2nd & 2Penalty-15 yds

No Huddle Smith,Isaiah rush middle for 0 yards to the NEB49 (Reimer,Luke) PENALTY UND Face Mask (Lotysz,Peyton) 15 yards from NEB49 to UND36. NO PLAY.

2nd & 17Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Quincy Vaughn for 5 yds to the NDKTA 41

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Garett Maag

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Cade Peterson punt for 59 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Anthony Grant run for 7 yds to the Neb 27

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.34

Anthony Grant run for 5 yds to the Neb 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Anthony Grant run for 4 yds to the Neb 36

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the Neb 38

3rd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.46

Casey Thompson pass complete to Nate Boerkircher for 13 yds to the NDKTA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.71

Anthony Grant run for 12 yds to the NDKTA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the NDKTA 36

2nd & 9Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.98

Casey Thompson run for 14 yds to the NDKTA 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY NEB False Start (Corcoran,Turner) 5 yards from UND22 to UND27. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Ajay Allen run for 5 yds to the NDKTA 22

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Casey Thompson pass complete to Omar Manning for 3 yds to the NDKTA 19

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Omar Manning

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+37 yds

Timmy Bleekrode 37 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.69

Isaiah Smith run for 10 yds to the NDKTA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Adam Zavalney for 4 yds to the NDKTA 34

2nd & 6Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.22

Isaiah Smith run for 19 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Tommy Schuster run for 7 yds to the Neb 40

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Tyler Hoosman run for 6 yds to the Neb 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Red Wilson run for 3 yds to the Neb 31

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UND False Start (Ventrelli,Donny) 5 yards from NEB31 to NEB36. NO PLAY.

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Bo Belquist

3rd & 12Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.23

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Marcus Preston for 12 yds to the Neb 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Isaiah Smith run for 4 yds to the Neb 20

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Garett Maag for 6 yds to the Neb 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Isaiah Smith run for no gain to the Neb 14

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Tommy Schuster run for 2 yds to the Neb 12

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 7 yds to the Neb 5

4th & 1Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA +1.39

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Adam Zavalney for 2 yds to the Neb 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Tyler Hoosman run for 2 yds to the Neb 1

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Adam Zavalney for 1 yd for a TD, (Brady Stevens KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Casey Thompson run for 1 yd to the Neb 26

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.89

Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 35 yds to the NDKTA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Alante Brown

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Anthony Grant run for 7 yds to the NDKTA 33

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.78

Anthony Grant run for 4 yds to the NDKTA 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.18

Casey Thompson run for 10 yds to the NDKTA 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Casey Thompson pass complete to Nate Boerkircher for 19 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Isaiah Smith run for 5 yds to the NDKTA 20

2nd & 15Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Nick Kupfer for 3 yds to the NDKTA 23

3rd & 12Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.26

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Garett Maag for 15 yds to the NDKTA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Isaiah Smith run for 7 yds to the NDKTA 45

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.32

Tyler Hoosman run for 4 yds to the NDKTA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -1.80

Tommy Schuster sacked by Garrett Nelson for a loss of 3 yards to the NDKTA 46 Tommy Schuster fumbled, recovered by Neb Stephon Wynn Jr. , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.73

Anthony Grant run for 16 yds to the NDKTA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 28

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Marcus Washington

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Chancellor Brewington

4th & 8Field Goal Good+46 yds

Timmy Bleekrode 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Red Wilson for 6 yds to the NDKTA 31

2nd & 4Rush+63 ydsPPA +3.69

Isaiah Smith run for 63 yds to the Neb 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Isaiah Smith run for 1 yd to the Neb 5

2nd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Tyler Hoosman for 1 yd to the Neb 6

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Nick Kupfer

4th & 6Field Goal Good+23 yds

Brady Stevens 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Gabe Ervin Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.19

Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 1 yd to the Neb 16

3rd & 11Interception0 ydsPPA +0.27

Casey Thompson pass intercepted

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Tyler Hoosman run for 3 yds to the Neb 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Tyler Hoosman run for 5 yds for a TD, (Brady Stevens KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Brady Stevens kickoff for 55 yds , Zach Weinmaster return for 15 yds to the Neb 25

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Anthony Grant run for 6 yds to the Neb 31

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Anthony Grant run for 8 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the Neb 41

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.99

Casey Thompson pass complete to Omar Manning for 13 yds to the NDKTA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +3.54

Anthony Grant run for 46 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

PENALTY UND Personal Foul (Cooper,Aaron) 15 yards from NEB35 to NEB50. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Red Wilson run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 33

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Bo Belquist

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Isaiah Smith for 5 yds to the NDKTA 38

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Cade Peterson punt for 25 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Ajay Allen run for 2 yds to the Neb 35

2nd & 12Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Thompson,Casey rush right for 13 yards gain to the NEB48 (Lennon,Luke) PENALTY NEB Holding (Boerkircher,Nate) 10 yards from NEB35 to NEB25. NO PLAY.

2nd & 22Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.09

Ajay Allen run for 7 yds to the Neb 32

3rd & 15Penalty0 yds

NEBRASKA Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Casey Thompson) to the Neb 23

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Bo Belquist at the NDKTA 39

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Gaven Ziebarth run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 41

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Red Wilson for 7 yds to the NDKTA 48

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.99

Quincy Vaughn run for 1 yd to the NDKTA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

No Huddle Schuster,Tommy pass incomplete short left to Kupfer,Nick PENALTY NEB Holding (Buford Jr.,Marques) 10 yards from UND49 to NEB41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 2 yds to the Neb 39

2nd & 8Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.08

Tommy Schuster sacked by Ochaun Mathis for a loss of 5 yards to the Neb 44

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Garett Maag

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Cade Peterson punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 11

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.37

Casey Thompson pass complete to Anthony Grant for no gain to the Neb 11

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.14

Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the Neb 12

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY NEB False Start (Benhart,Bryce) 5 yards from NEB12 to NEB07. NO PLAY.

3rd & 14Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.40

Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 31 yds to the Neb 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.48

Anthony Grant run for 17 yds to the NDKTA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Casey Thompson pass complete to Alante Brown for 6 yds to the NDKTA 39

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.24

Anthony Grant run for 5 yds to the NDKTA 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Anthony Grant run for 3 yds to the NDKTA 31

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Ajay Allen run for 6 yds to the NDKTA 25

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.30

Ajay Allen run for 5 yds to the NDKTA 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Ajay Allen run for 6 yds to the NDKTA 14

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.43

Ajay Allen run for 14 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Brendan Franke kickoff for 60 yds , Marcus Preston return for 12 yds to the NDKTA 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Red Wilson for 6 yds to the NDKTA 23

2nd & 4Penalty+10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Schuster,Tommy pass incomplete short right to Kupfer,Nick PENALTY NEB Holding (Hill,Tommi) 10 yards from UND23 to UND33, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Jack Wright

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Max Gunderson

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Marcus Preston

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.19

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Nick Kupfer

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.26

Anthony Grant run for 11 yds to the NDKTA 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Anthony Grant run for 5 yds to the NDKTA 17

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Anthony Grant run for 6 yds to the NDKTA 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Ajay Allen run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 9

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Ajay Allen run for 4 yds to the NDKTA 5

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.71

Casey Thompson pass complete to Chancellor Brewington for 5 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Quincy Vaughn run for 5 yds to the NDKTA 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Gaven Ziebarth run for 4 yds to the NDKTA 34

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.34

Simon Romfo run for 6 yds to the NDKTA 40 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

North Dakota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
40%
25 plays
2nd
100%
4 plays
63%
8 plays
30%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Nebraska

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
55%
29 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
3 plays
80%
5 plays
36%
11 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
3 plays
4th