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← Back to GamesOct 8, 2022Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Liberty by 21.1

Home Win Probability

Massachusetts 11%

Market (consensus)

Massachusetts +22.5

Edge: Massachusetts +22.5 (1.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 8, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LibertyLiberty
02114742
MassachusettsMassachusetts
7301424

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-710-1410-2110-3517-4224-42
MassachusettsLiberty

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MASLIBMASLIBMASLIBMASLIBMASLIBMASLIBMASLIBMASLIBLIBMASLIBMASLIBMASLIBMASLIBLIBMASLIBMASLIBPUNT56ydPUNT37ydPUNT3-19ydDOWNS47ydTD265ydPUNT535ydPUNT34ydDOWNS642ydPUNT34ydTD428ydPUNT518ydTD555ydFG1066ydTD461ydPUNT3-10ydEND1-3ydPUNT3-8ydPUNT36ydPUNT38ydPUNT33ydTD566ydTO31ydTD733ydPUNT612ydTD28ydTD873ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT628ydTD685ydEND622yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Liberty and Massachusetts
StatisticLibertyMassachusetts
Passing12-236-14
Pass Yards25988
Rush Yards194145
Total Yards453233
Turnovers11
3rd Down5-131-14
Penalties3-409-58
Possession30:1029:50

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Liberty
passing
Johnathan Bennett
9/18, 183 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Dae Dae Hunter
17 CAR, 78 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Demario Douglas
4 REC, 134 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Massachusetts
passing
Garrett Dzuro
5/7, 83 YDS
rushing
Gregory DeRosiers
7 CAR, 110 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jamir Roberts
1 REC, 45 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the UMass 20

1st & 20Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.16

Kay'Ron Adams run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 14

2nd & 21Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.46

Garrett Dzuro run for 25 yds to the UMass 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

T.Y. Harding run for 5 yds to the UMass 44

2nd & 5Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.14

Garrett Dzuro sacked by Durrell Johnson and Dennis Osagiede for a loss of 7 yards to the UMass 37

3rd & 12Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.44

Kay'Ron Adams run for a loss of 6 yards to the UMass 31

4th & 18Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 43 yds, downed at the Liber 26

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.00

Johnathan Bennett sacked by Nahji Logan for a loss of 3 yards to the Liber 23

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Johnathan Bennett pass incomplete

3rd & 13Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.28

Johnathan Bennett run for 10 yds to the Liber 33

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Aidan Alves punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Isaac Ross at the UMass 25

2nd & 5Sack-12 ydsPPA -1.35

Garrett Dzuro sacked by Javon Scruggs for a loss of 12 yards to the UMass 18

3rd & 17Sack-12 ydsPPA -0.08

Garrett Dzuro sacked by Stephen Sings V for a loss of 12 yards to the UMass 6

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Garrett Dzuro run for 5 yds to the UMass 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Johnathan Bennett pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Shedro Louis run for 6 yds to the UMass 36

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Johnathan Bennett pass incomplete

4th & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -2.03

Johnathan Bennett run for 1 yd to the UMass 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Garrett Dzuro pass complete to George Johnson III for 12 yds to the UMass 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+53 ydsPPA +4.10

Greg Desrosiers Jr. 53 Yd Run (Cameron Carson Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Dae Dae Hunter run for 1 yd to the Liber 31

2nd & 9Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +3.59

Nate Hampton pass complete to Demario Douglas for 39 yds to the UMass 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Dae Dae Hunter run for 1 yd to the UMass 29

2nd & 9Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.94

Nate Hampton sacked by Jalen Mackie for a loss of 6 yards to the UMass 35

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Nate Hampton pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Kay'Ron Adams run for 6 yds to the UMass 7

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Kay'Ron Adams run for 1 yd to the UMass 8

3rd & 3Penalty0 yds

MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) to the UMass 5

4th & 6Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Shedro Louis run for 3 yds to the UMass 40

2nd & 7Penalty0 yds

MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Offsides (Tanner Davis) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 8Penalty0 yds

QB Keeper HAMPTON, Nate rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the UMA7 (CUSHNIE, Marcus;MACKIE, Jalen), clock 01:15. PENALTY UMA Unnecessary Roughness on MACKIE, Jalen enforced half the distance from the goal, 4 yards from the UMA8 to the UMA4 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Johnathan Bennett run for 3 yds to the UMass 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Shedro Louis run for no gain to the UMass 1

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Nate Hampton pass incomplete

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.21

Shedro Louis run for no gain to the UMass 1

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Kay'Ron Adams run for 1 yd to the UMass 2

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.12

Kay'Ron Adams run for no gain to the UMass 2

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.02

Garrett Dzuro run for 3 yds to the UMass 5

4th & 6Punt+14 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 42 yds , Demario Douglas returns for 14 yds to the UMass 19 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Illegal Formation (TEAM) to the UMass 28

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Dae Dae Hunter run for 3 yds to the UMass 25

2nd & 7Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.41

Johnathan Bennett run for 15 yds to the UMass 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Dae Dae Hunter run for 9 yds to the UMass 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Dae Dae Hunter 1 Yd Run (Nick Brown Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Isaac Ross run for 2 yds to the UMass 13

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.92

Garrett Dzuro pass complete to George Johnson III for 12 yds to the UMass 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Garrett Dzuro run for 6 yds to the UMass 31

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.87

T.Y. Harding run for no gain to the UMass 31

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Gino Campiotti run for 3 yds to the UMass 34

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, False Start (Isaac Ross) to the UMass 29

4th & 6Punt+26 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 36 yds, downed at the MASS 35 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Defensive Holding (Zukudo Igwenagu) to the Liber 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.34

Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Shedro Louis for 21 yds to the UMass 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.74

Shedro Louis run for 9 yds to the UMass 25

2nd & 1Penalty-10 yds

LIBERTY Penalty, Offensive Holding (Noah Frith) to the UMass 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.88

Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Treon Sibley for 29 yds to the UMass 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Shedro Louis 1 Yd Run (Lawrence Brown Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +3.26

Garrett Dzuro pass complete to Jamir Roberts for 45 yds to the Liber 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.21

Garrett Dzuro pass complete to Isaac Ross for 11 yds to the Liber 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 4 yds to the Liber 15

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Garrett Dzuro pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Garrett Dzuro run for 5 yds to the Liber 10

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.65

Gino Campiotti run for 2 yds to the Liber 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 9

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, False Start (Jacquon Gibson) to the Liber 14

2nd & 14Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Garrett Dzuro run for 5 yds to the Liber 9

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Garrett Dzuro pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+28 yds

Cameron Carson 28 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+30 yds

CJ Kolodziey kickoff for 56 yds , Demario Douglas return for 30 yds to the Liber 39

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Johnathan Bennett run for 7 yds to the Liber 46

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.53

Dae Dae Hunter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 45

3rd & 4Pass Reception+51 ydsPPA +3.99

Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Demario Douglas for 51 yds to the UMass 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Michael Bollinger for 4 yds for a TD, (Nick Brown KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Garrett Dzuro pass complete to Greg Desrosiers Jr. for 3 yds to the UMass 28

2nd & 7Sack-12 ydsPPA -0.98

Garrett Dzuro sacked by Dennis Osagiede for a loss of 12 yards to the UMass 16

3rd & 19Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.04

Gino Campiotti run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 15

4th & 20Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 40 yds, downed at the Liber 45

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

[NH] Kneel down by LIB at LIB42 (team loss of 3), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+7 yds

CJ Kolodziey kickoff for 62 yds , Shedro Louis return for 7 yds to the Liber 10

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

Dae Dae Hunter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 9

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.14

Dae Dae Hunter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 8

3rd & 12Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.07

Johnathan Bennett sacked by Marcus Cushnie for a loss of 6 yards to the Liber 2

4th & 18Punt+9 yds

Aidan Alves punt for 48 yds , Isaac Ross returns for 9 yds to the Liber 41

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.19

Gino Campiotti sacked by Quinton Reese and Khristian Zachary for a loss of 6 yards to the Liber 47

2nd & 16Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Gino Campiotti run for 7 yds to the Liber 40

3rd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Gino Campiotti pass complete to Jacquon Gibson for 5 yds to the Liber 35

4th & 4Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 35 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Johnathan Bennett pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

Johnathan Bennett run for no gain to the Liber 20

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.18

Johnathan Bennett pass complete to CJ Yarbrough for 8 yds to the Liber 28

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Aidan Alves punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Isaac Ross at the UMass 27

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Gino Campiotti run for 3 yds to the UMass 30

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Gino Campiotti pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Gino Campiotti pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Demario Douglas at the Liber 34

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.98

Dae Dae Hunter run for 23 yds to the UMass 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the UMass 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.78

Dae Dae Hunter run for 18 yds to the UMass 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Dae Dae Hunter run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 6

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Shedro Louis run for 6 yds for a TD, (Nick Brown KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Gino Campiotti run for no gain to the UMass 25

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Gino Campiotti run for 1 yd to the UMass 26

3rd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA +0.07

Gino Campiotti pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.72

Dae Dae Hunter run for 9 yds to the UMass 24

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Johnathan Bennett pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.34

Dae Dae Hunter run for 11 yds to the UMass 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Dae Dae Hunter run for 8 yds to the UMass 5

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.15

Nate Hampton run for 4 yds to the UMass 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Penalty0 yds

HUNTER, Dae Dae rush up the middle for no gain to the UMA1 (WOODEN, Billy). PENALTY Before the snap, LIB Illegal Formation UMA Face mask , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Shedro Louis run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Shedro Louis run for 2 yds for a TD, (Nick Brown KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Jason Stricker kickoff for 57 yds , Greg Desrosiers Jr. return for 22 yds to the UMass 30

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 3 yds to the UMass 33

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 4 yds to the UMass 37

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.41

Kay'Ron Adams run for 3 yds to the UMass 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Gino Campiotti run for 2 yds to the UMass 42

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Gino Campiotti pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Gino Campiotti pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt-5 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 39 yds , Demario Douglas returns for a loss of 5 yards to the Liber 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.80

Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Cole Peterlin for 14 yds to the Liber 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Return Touchdown+22 ydsPPA -8.14

Jordan Mahoney 22 Yd Fumble Return (Cameron Carson Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

CJ Kolodziey kickoff for 58 yds , Shedro Louis return for 20 yds to the Liber 27

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Johnathan Bennett pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Johnathan Bennett pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +3.25

Johnathan Bennett run for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Johnathan Bennett pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Johnathan Bennett pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.88

Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Treon Sibley for 12 yds to the UMass 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.98

Dae Dae Hunter run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 39

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +4.07

Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Demario Douglas for 39 yds for a TD, (Nick Brown KICK)

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.22

Gino Campiotti sacked by Stephen Sings V for a loss of 10 yards to the UMass 15

2nd & 20Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.09

Isaac Ross run for 8 yds to the UMass 23

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Gino Campiotti pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 52 yds, downed at the Liber 25

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

T.J. Green run for 2 yds to the Liber 27

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.48

T.J. Green run for 10 yds to the Liber 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.36

T.J. Green run for 15 yds to the UMass 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Nate Hampton pass complete to T.J. Green for 5 yds to the UMass 43

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

T.J. Green run for 1 yd to the UMass 42

3rd & 4Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.00

Nate Hampton run for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 47

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Aidan Alves punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Isaac Ross at the UMass 15

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Gino Campiotti run for 6 yds to the UMass 21

2nd & 4Penalty+15 yds

LIBERTY Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the UMass 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+42 ydsPPA +2.87

Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 42 yds to the Liber 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Gino Campiotti run for 2 yds to the Liber 25

2nd & 8Penalty0 yds

CAMPIOTTI, Gino pass to the right incomplete intended for ORLANDO, Jacob broken up by COUTRAS, Tim at the LIB5, clock 05:05. PENALTY LIB Pass Interference on WASHINGTON, Aakil enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards to the LIB11 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Gino Campiotti run for 5 yds to the Liber 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 5 yds for a TD, (Cameron Carson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

T.J. Green run for 5 yds to the Liber 30

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Nate Hampton run for 2 yds to the Liber 32

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.51

T.J. Green run for 6 yds to the Liber 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Malik Caper run for 5 yds to the Liber 43

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Malik Caper run for 2 yds to the Liber 45

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Malik Caper run for 2 yds to the Liber 47

Situational Analysis

Liberty

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
28 plays
2nd
50%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
8 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Massachusetts

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
48%
23 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
17%
6 plays
14%
7 plays
100%
4 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
0%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play