Skip to main content
← Back to GamesNov 4, 2022Week 10

House Prediction

Model Margin

UConn by 19.2

Home Win Probability

UConn 85%

Market (consensus)

UConn -15

Edge: UConn -15 (4.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 4, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MassachusettsMassachusetts
370010
UConnUConn
767727

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-37-310-310-1013-1020-1027-10
UConnMassachusetts

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MASUCOMASUCOMASUCOMASUCOMASUCOMASUCOMASUCOMASUCOMASUCOMASMASUCOMASUCOTO832ydMISS46ydFG875ydTD175ydMISS940ydFG1452ydTD570ydPUNT527ydPUNT3-4ydFG630ydEND517ydPUNT33ydPUNT31ydPUNT515ydPUNT3-1ydTD442ydMISS965ydPUNT511ydTD1284ydDOWNS625ydPUNT37ydTO756ydEND232yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Massachusetts and UConn
StatisticMassachusettsUConn
Passing19-346-13
Pass Yards26660
Rush Yards103274
Total Yards369334
Turnovers20
3rd Down4-134-12
Penalties6-708-60
Possession29:4630:14

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Massachusetts
passing
Brady Olson
19/34, 266 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Ellis Merriweather
12 CAR, 33 YDS
receiving
Cam Sullivan-Brown
5 REC, 124 YDS, 1 TD
defense
UConn
passing
Zion Turner
6/13, 60 YDS
rushing
Victor Rosa
17 CAR, 87 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Justin Joly
2 REC, 33 YDS
defense
Durante Jones
0.5 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

UMASS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UMass 28

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the UMass 29

2nd & 14Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.68

Isaac Ross run for 17 yds to the UMass 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Brady Olson pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 5 yds to the UConn 49

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Brady Olson run for 4 yds to the UConn 45

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.88

Brady Olson run for 2 yds to the UConn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 9 yds to the UConn 34

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.37

Ellis Merriweather run for 4 yds to the UConn 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+45 ydsPPA -4.19

Ellis Merriweather run for a loss of 5 yards, Ellis Merriweather fumbled, recovered by UConn Jackson Mitchell , return for 45 yds to the UMass 20

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Victor Rosa run for 3 yds to the UMass 17

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Victor Rosa run for 4 yds to the UMass 13

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.54

Victor Rosa run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 14

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+32 yds

Noe Ruelas 32 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +3.41

Brady Olson pass complete to Cameron Sullivan-Brown for 45 yds to the UConn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.69

Brady Olson sacked by Collin McCarthy for 0 yards to the UConn 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Brady Olson pass complete to George Johnson III for 10 yds to the UConn 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.19

Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 15 yds to the UConn 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Brady Olson run for no gain to the UConn 10

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Ellis Merriweather run for 7 yds to the UConn 3

3rd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Brady Olson run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 5

4th & 5Field Goal Good+23 yds

Cameron Carson 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Devontae Houston run for 75 yds for a TD, (Noe Ruelas KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Gino Campiotti run for no gain to the UMass 25

2nd & 10Penalty+10 yds

Olson, Brady pass incomplete to Adams, Kay'Ron, PENALTY UCONN holding 10 yards to the MASS35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MASS.

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.01

Brady Olson pass complete to Jacob Orlando for no gain to the UMass 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.57

Brady Olson pass complete to Jacob Orlando for 17 yds to the UConn 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.76

Kay'Ron Adams run for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 49

2nd & 13Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.48

Brady Olson pass complete to Cameron Sullivan-Brown for 16 yds to the UConn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.87

Brady Olson pass complete to Greg Desrosiers Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 36

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Kay'Ron Adams run for 1 yd to the UConn 35

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Brady Olson pass incomplete to George Johnson III

4th & 10Missed Field Goal Return+43 yds

Cameron Carson 43 yd FG, MISSED, returned by Victor Rosa for 43 yds to the UConn 43

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Devontae Houston run for 1 yd to the UConn 44

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Zion Turner pass complete to Aaron Turner for 2 yds to the UConn 46

3rd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.62

Zion Turner pass complete to Kevens Clercius for 11 yds to the UMass 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.51

Aaron Turner run for 12 yds to the UMass 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Victor Rosa run for 6 yds to the UMass 25

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Zion Turner run for 2 yds to the UMass 23

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.35

Robert Burns run for 4 yds to the UMass 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Zion Turner run for 5 yds to the UMass 14

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Devontae Houston run for 4 yds to the UMass 10

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.24

Robert Burns run for 2 yds to the UMass 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Victor Rosa run for 3 yds to the UMass 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Zion Turner pass incomplete to Aaron Turner

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Zion Turner pass incomplete to Justin Joly

4th & 5Field Goal Good+23 yds

Noe Ruelas 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Ellis Merriweather run for 4 yds to the UMass 34

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Ellis Merriweather run for 4 yds to the UMass 38

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.50

Brady Olson run for 5 yds to the UMass 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Brady Olson run for 4 yds to the UMass 47

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+53 ydsPPA +4.63

Brady Olson pass complete to Cameron Sullivan-Brown for 53 yds for a TD, (Cameron Carson KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Turner, Zion pass incomplete to Harrison, Dajon, PENALTY MASS face mask 15 yards to the UCONN40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UCONN.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Robert Burns run for 2 yds to the UConn 42

2nd & 8Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.25

Robert Burns run for 18 yds to the UMass 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.05

Victor Rosa run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 41

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Zion Turner pass incomplete to Kevens Clercius

3rd & 11Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.71

Zion Turner sacked by Marcus Cushnie for a loss of 7 yards to the UMass 48

4th & 18Punt0 yds

George Caratan punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UMass 20

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-18 ydsPPA -1.01

TEAM run for a loss of 18 yards to the UMass 2 TEAM fumbled, recovered by UMass Kay'Ron Adams

2nd & 28Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.00

Kay'Ron Adams run for 4 yds to the UMass 6

3rd & 24Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.03

Kay'Ron Adams run for 10 yds to the UMass 16

4th & 14Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 22 yds, downed at the UMass 38

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Zion Turner run for 3 yds to the UMass 35

2nd & 7Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +0.83

Zion Turner pass complete to Justin Joly for 25 yds to the UMass 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Robert Burns run for 2 yds to the UMass 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Zion Turner pass incomplete to Aaron Turner

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Zion Turner pass incomplete to Jacob Flynn

4th & 8Field Goal Good+26 yds

Noe Ruelas 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Brady Olson pass complete to George Johnson III for 1 yd to the UMass 44

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Brady Olson pass incomplete to George Johnson III

3rd & 9Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.91

Ellis Merriweather run for 12 yds to the UConn 44 Ellis Merriweather fumbled, forced by Durante Jones, recovered by UMass

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Brady Olson pass complete to Cameron Sullivan-Brown for 9 yds to the UConn 35

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Olson, Brady pass incomplete to Gibson, Jacquon, PENALTY MASS illegal motion 5 yards to the UCONN40, NO PLAY.

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Brady Olson pass incomplete to Josiah Johnson

0th & 6End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Devontae Houston run for 1 yd to the UConn 20

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

CONNECTICUT Penalty, False Start (Devontae Houston) to the UConn 15

2nd & 14Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.12

Zion Turner run for 7 yds to the UConn 22

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.19

Aaron Turner run for no gain to the UConn 22

4th & 7Punt0 yds

George Caratan punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Isaac Ross at the UMass 30

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the UMass 31

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Brady Olson pass incomplete to Cameron Sullivan-Brown

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Brady Olson pass incomplete to George Johnson III

4th & 9Punt+1 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 33 yds , Victor Rosa returns for 1 yd to the UConn 37

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Robert Burns run for 5 yds to the UConn 42

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.02

Robert Burns run for 7 yds to the UConn 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Robert Burns run for 4 yds to the UMass 47

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

CONNECTICUT Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the UConn 48

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

Turner, Zion pass complete to Joly, Justin for 7 yards to the MASS45, PENALTY UCONN ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the UCONN43, NO PLAY.

2nd & 16Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Devontae Houston run for 2 yds to the UConn 45

3rd & 14Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Zion Turner pass complete to Aaron Turner for 7 yds to the UMass 48

4th & 7Punt0 yds

George Caratan punt for 38 yds , Isaac Ross returns for no gain to the UMass 10

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.51

Kay'Ron Adams run for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 5

2nd & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Kay'Ron Adams run for 4 yds to the UMass 9

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Brady Olson pass incomplete to Cameron Sullivan-Brown

4th & 11Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Victor Rosa at the UMass 42

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.68

Victor Rosa run for 7 yds to the UMass 35 for a 1ST down UMASS Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the UMass 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.42

Robert Burns run for 13 yds to the UMass 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Robert Burns run for 2 yds to the UMass 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Victor Rosa run for 5 yds for a TD, (Noe Ruelas KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brady Olson pass incomplete to Isaac Ross

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Ellis Merriweather run for 4 yds to the UMass 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.23

Brady Olson pass complete to Isaac Ross for 24 yds to the UConn 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Brady Olson pass incomplete to Onuma Dieke

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.79

Ellis Merriweather run for 8 yds to the UConn 39

3rd & 2Penalty+5 yds

CONNECTICUT Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the UConn 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Olson, Brady pass incomplete to Ross, Isaac, PENALTY UCONN pass interference 15 yards to the UCONN19, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MASS.

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Gino Campiotti run for 7 yds to the UConn 12

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Ellis Merriweather run for 2 yds to the UConn 10

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Brady Olson pass incomplete to Jaret Pallotta

4th & 1Field Goal Missed+27 yds

Cameron Carson 27 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Victor Rosa run for 6 yds to the UConn 26

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.49

Victor Rosa run for 5 yds to the UConn 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Devontae Houston run for no gain to the UConn 31

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Zion Turner pass incomplete to Kevens Clercius

3rd & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.23

Zion Turner sacked by Uchenna Ezewike for 0 yards to the UConn 31

4th & 10Punt+13 yds

George Caratan punt for 46 yds , Isaac Ross returns for 13 yds to the UMass 36

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the UMass 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Brady Olson pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 6 yds to the UMass 43

3rd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.08

Brady Olson run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 41

4th & 5Punt+16 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 39 yds , Victor Rosa returns for 16 yds to the UCONN 36 CONNECTICUT Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the UConn 26

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Victor Rosa run for no gain to the UConn 26

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Zion Turner pass incomplete to Aaron Turner

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Turner, Zion pass incomplete to Joly, Justin, PENALTY MASS pass interference 15 yards to the UCONN41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UCONN.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Devontae Houston run for 1 yd to the UConn 42

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Zion Turner run for 5 yds to the UConn 47

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.03

Zion Turner pass complete to Justin Joly for 8 yds to the UMass 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Victor Rosa run for 5 yds to the UMass 40

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Victor Rosa run for 7 yds to the UMass 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +0.71

Victor Rosa run for 26 yds to the UMass 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Penalty-5 yds

CONNECTICUT Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UMass 12

1st & 12Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.66

Victor Rosa run for 12 yds for a TD, (Noe Ruelas KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Brady Olson pass complete to Cameron Sullivan-Brown for 1 yd to the UMass 31

2nd & 9Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.72

Brady Olson pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 21 yds to the UConn 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Brady Olson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Brady Olson pass incomplete to George Johnson III

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Brady Olson pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 3 yds to the UConn 45

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Brady Olson pass incomplete to Ellis Merriweather

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.59

Victor Rosa run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 43

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Victor Rosa run for 2 yds to the UConn 45

3rd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Zion Turner pass complete to Kevens Clercius for 7 yds Kevens Clercius fumbled, recovered by UConn Noel Ofori-Nyadu

4th & 3Punt0 yds

George Caratan punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Isaac Ross at the UMass 11

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Brady Olson pass complete to Ellis Merriweather for 5 yds to the UMass 16

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Brady Olson pass incomplete to George Johnson III

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Brady Olson pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 4 yds to the UMass 20

4th & 1Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.03

Brady Olson pass complete to George Johnson III for 27 yds to the UMass 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.19

Brady Olson pass complete to Isaac Ross for 20 yds to the UConn 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Brady Olson pass incomplete to George Johnson III

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.46

Brady Olson pass intercepted Tre Wortham return for no gain to the UConn 23

1st & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +2.60

Cale Millen run for 15 yds to the UMass 38 for a 1ST down UMASS Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the UMass 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Camryn Edwards run for 2 yds to the UMass 45

Situational Analysis

Massachusetts

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
30%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
55%
11 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

UConn

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
42%
26 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
57%
7 plays
38%
8 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th