Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 17, 2022Week 3
UConnUConn
0
-Final
59
MichiganMichigan

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan by 35

Home Win Probability

Michigan 98%

Market (consensus)

Michigan -47.5

Edge: UConn +47.5 (12.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 17, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UConnUConn
00000
MichiganMichigan
172171459

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-017-024-031-038-045-052-059-0
MichiganUConn

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MICUCOMICUCOMICUCOMICUCOMICUCOMICUCOUCOMICUCOMICUCOMICUCOMICUCOMICUCOMICUCOMICTD472ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT32ydPUNT59ydTD854ydTO2-3ydFG515ydPUNT57ydTD318ydPUNT30ydPUNT45ydTD39ydPUNT32ydTD360ydDOWNS932ydMISS413ydPUNT724ydTD1183ydPUNT37ydTD1166ydDOWNS45ydTD630ydPUNT31ydPUNT37ydPUNT34ydEND630yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UConn and Michigan
StatisticUConnMichigan
Passing5-2021-26
Pass Yards24273
Rush Yards86192
Total Yards110465
Turnovers10
3rd Down2-149-13
Penalties5-454-24
Possession25:5334:07

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UConn
passing
Zion Turner
4/16, 17 YDS
rushing
Zion Turner
7 CAR, 42 YDS
receiving
Nathan Carter
1 REC, 9 YDS
defense
Michigan
passing
J.J. McCarthy
15/18, 214 YDS
rushing
Blake Corum
12 CAR, 71 YDS, 5 TD
receiving
Ronnie Bell
7 REC, 96 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Noe Ruelas kickoff for 63 yds , Roman Wilson return for 26 yds to the Mich 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.36

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to A.J. Henning for 6 yds to the Mich 34

2nd & 4Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +2.73

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 38 yds to the UConn 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Blake Corum run for 8 yds to the UConn 20

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.27

Blake Corum 20 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Zion Turner pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Nathan Carter run for 2 yds to the UConn 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.33

Zion Turner pass complete to Aaron Turner for a loss of 5 yards to the UConn 22

4th & 13Punt+4 yds

George Caratan punt for 55 yds , A.J. Henning returns for 4 yds to the Mich 27

4th & 13Punt+4 yds
1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.63

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 7 yds to the Mich 34

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.85

J.J. McCarthy run for a loss of 5 yards to the Mich 29

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Brad Robbins punt for 53 yds, downed at the UConn 18

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Cale Millen run for 3 yds to the UConn 21

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.93

Zion Turner pass complete to Aaron Turner for 8 yds to the UConn 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.22

Zion Turner run for a loss of 4 yards to the UConn 25 Zion Turner fumbled, recovered by UConn Zion Turner

2nd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Victor Rosa run for 2 yds to the UConn 27

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Zion Turner pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

George Caratan punt for 42 yds , A.J. Henning returns for no gain to the Mich 27 CONNECTICUT Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the Mich 46

4th & 12Punt0 yds
1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.38

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 9 yds to the MICHIGAN 45 MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Mich 45

1st & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the Mich 47

2nd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.01

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 15 yds to the UConn 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.43

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to A.J. Henning for 15 yds to the UConn 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.24

J.J. McCarthy run for 14 yds to the UConn 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the UConn 6

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the UConn 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Blake Corum 1 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Victor Rosa run for no gain to the UConn 25

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-3 ydsPPA -0.22

Victor Rosa run for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 22 Victor Rosa fumbled, recovered by Mich George Rooks

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.13

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to A.J. Henning for 12 yds to the UConn 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

A.J. Henning run for 3 yds to the UConn 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Ronnie Bell

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+26 yds

Jake Moody 26 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Zion Turner run for 5 yds to the UConn 30

2nd & 5Penalty-10 yds

CONNECTICUT Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UConn 20

2nd & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Victor Rosa run for 6 yds to the UConn 26

3rd & 9Penalty+4 yds

Turner, Zion pass incomplete, PENALTY MICHIGAN pass interference 4 yards to the UCONN30, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UCONN.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Zion Turner pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Robert Burns run for 2 yds to the UConn 32

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Zion Turner pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt+22 yds

TEAM punt for 8 yds , Kalel Mullings returns for 22 yds to the UConn 18

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Blake Corum run for 6 yds to the UConn 12

2nd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.47

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 11 yds to the UConn 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Blake Corum 1 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Nathan Carter run for no gain to the UConn 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Zion Turner pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Zion Turner pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

George Caratan punt for 46 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the Mich 29

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.02

C.J. Stokes run for 11 yds to the Mich 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.50

C.J. Stokes run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 38

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.75

C.J. Stokes run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 36

3rd & 14Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.28

J.J. McCarthy sacked by Brandon Bouyer-Randle for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 34

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Brad Robbins punt for 62 yds, downed at the UConn 4

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Nathan Carter run for 5 yds to the UConn 9

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Nathan Carter run for 2 yds to the UConn 11

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Victor Rosa run for 2 yds to the UConn 13

4th & 1Punt Return Touchdown+61 ydsPPA -6.80

A.J. Henning 61 Yd Punt Return (Jake Moody Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Zion Turner run for 2 yds to the UConn 27

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Cale Millen run for no gain to the UConn 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Zion Turner pass incomplete to Victor Rosa

4th & 8Punt0 yds

George Caratan punt for 33 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the Mich 40

4th & 8Punt0 yds

George Caratan punt for 33 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the Mich 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.89

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 28 yds to the UConn 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +1.93

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Luke Schoonmaker for 31 yds to the UConn 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Blake Corum 1 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Zion Turner pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Nathan Carter run for 3 yds to the UConn 28

3rd & 7Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.37

Zion Turner run for 14 yds to the UConn 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Zion Turner run for 2 yds to the UConn 44

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.63

Nathan Carter run for 9 yds to the Mich 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Zion Turner pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

CONNECTICUT Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UConn 48

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Zion Turner pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Zion Turner pass complete to Nathan Carter for 9 yds to the Mich 43

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Zion Turner pass incomplete

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Zion Turner pass incomplete

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.05

Cade McNamara sacked by Eric Watts for a loss of 5 yards to the Mich 38

2nd & 15Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.10

Cade McNamara pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 18 yds to the UConn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Field Goal Missed+62 yds

Jake Moody 62 yd FG MISSED

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Zion Turner run for 18 yds to the UConn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Victor Rosa run for 8 yds to the Mich 49

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.03

Victor Rosa run for 1 yd to the Mich 48

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

CONNECTICUT Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UConn 47

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.23

Victor Rosa run for 7 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Victor Rosa run for 5 yds to the Mich 41

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)-10 ydsPPA -3.05

Victor Rosa run for a loss of 10 yards to the UConn 49 Victor Rosa fumbled, recovered by UConn Dajon Harrison

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Zion Turner pass incomplete to Kevens Clercius

4th & 15Punt0 yds

George Caratan punt for 34 yds, downed at the Mich 17

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the Mich 19

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.16

Blake Corum run for 11 yds to the Mich 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

C.J. Stokes run for 1 yd to the Mich 31

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Erick All for 4 yds to the Mich 35

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.75

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 5 yds to the Mich 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.40

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 17 yds to the UConn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to A.J. Henning for 4 yds to the UConn 39

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

C.J. Stokes run for 5 yds to the UConn 34

3rd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.70

Isaiah Gash run for 11 yds to the UConn 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.14

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 12 yds to the UConn 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Blake Corum 11 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Zion Turner pass complete to Robert Burns for 5 yds to the UConn 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Victor Rosa run for 3 yds to the UConn 33

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.68

Victor Rosa run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 32

4th & 3Punt+3 yds

George Caratan punt for 37 yds , DJ Turner returns for 3 yds to the Mich 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Davis Warren pass complete to Colston Loveland for 5 yds to the Mich 39

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

C.J. Stokes run for 3 yds to the Mich 42

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.37

Isaiah Gash run for 3 yds to the Mich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tavierre Dunlap run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.95

Alex Orji run for 1 yd to the UConn 49

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.71

Isaiah Gash run for 5 yds to the UConn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Alex Orji pass complete to Tavierre Dunlap for 5 yds to the UConn 39

2nd & 5Rush+29 ydsPPA +0.81

Alex Orji run for 19 yds to the UConn 20 for a 1ST down CONNECTICUT Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the UConn 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

C.J. Stokes run for no gain to the UConn 10

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Davis Warren pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +3.08

Alex Orji 10 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Zion Turner run for 5 yds to the UConn 30

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Victor Rosa run for 2 yds to the UConn 32

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Dajon Harrison run for 2 yds to the UConn 34

4th & 1Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.20

Cale Millen run for a loss of 4 yards to the UConn 30

4th & 1Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.20

Cale Millen run for a loss of 4 yards to the UConn 30

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

C.J. Stokes run for 2 yds to the UConn 28

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Andy Maddox pass complete to Amorion Walker for 4 yds to the UConn 24

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.58

Isaiah Gash run for 5 yds to the UConn 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (-5 Yards) to the UConn 24

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Leon Franklin run for 2 yds to the UConn 22

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Leon Franklin run for 2 yds to the UConn 20

3rd & 11Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +3.54

Alan Bowman pass complete to Leon Franklin for 20 yds for a TD, (Tommy Doman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Victor Rosa run for 1 yd to the UConn 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Cale Millen pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Cale Millen pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

George Caratan punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jake Thaw at the Mich 36

4th & 9Punt0 yds

George Caratan punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jake Thaw at the Mich 36

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Danny Hughes run for 6 yds to the Mich 42

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.96

Henry Donohue run for 1 yd to the Mich 43

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Danny Hughes run for no gain to the Mich 43

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Victor Rosa at the UConn 16

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Victor Rosa at the UConn 16

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.62

Cale Millen run for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 13

2nd & 13Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.12

Cale Millen pass complete to Nigel Fitzgerald for 7 yds to the UConn 20

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Cale Millen pass incomplete to Robert Burns

4th & 6Punt0 yds

George Caratan punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jake Thaw at the Mich 43

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Henry Donohue run for 5 yds to the Mich 48

2nd & 5Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.35

Danny Hughes run for 16 yds to the UConn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UConn 41

1st & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Brandon Mann pass complete to Darrius Clemons for 7 yds to the UConn 34

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Danny Hughes run for 7 yds to the UConn 27

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.30

Danny Hughes run for 2 yds to the UConn 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.68

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 27

Situational Analysis

UConn

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
37%
19 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
4 plays
22%
9 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
0%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
3 plays
0%
2 plays

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
60%
30 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
67%
9 plays
43%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
100%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th