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← Back to GamesDec 10, 2022Week 15
NavyNavy
17
-Final
20
ArmyArmy

House Prediction

Model Margin

Army by 8.6

Home Win Probability

Army 71%

Market (consensus)

Army +2.5

Edge: Army +2.5 (11.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 10, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QOTFinal
NavyNavy
0370717
ArmyArmy
07031020

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-37-37-1010-1017-17
ArmyNavy

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NAVARMNAVARMNAVARMNAVARMNAVARMNAVNAVARMNAVARMNAVARMNAVARMNAVARMNAVARMNAVARMARMNAVNAVARMPUNT1137ydPUNT36ydPUNT719ydPUNT32ydFG49ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT35ydPUNT618ydPUNT33ydDOWNS46ydTD3-4ydEND432ydPUNT730ydPUNT37ydPUNT7-14ydTD177ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT39ydPUNT714ydPUNT33ydPUNT527ydPUNT33ydFG734ydPUNT620ydEND1-2ydTD125ydTD125ydUncategorized724ydFG43yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Navy and Army
StatisticNavyArmy
Passing1-42-12
Pass Yards2528
Rush Yards259125
Total Yards284153
Turnovers10
3rd Down4-174-17
Penalties8-656-50
Possession32:2627:27

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Navy
passing
Xavier Arline
1/1, 25 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Xavier Arline
28 CAR, 102 YDS
receiving
Maquel Haywood
1 REC, 25 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Army
passing
Cade Ballard
2/10, 28 YDS
rushing
Tyhier Tyler
23 CAR, 62 YDS
receiving
Braheam Murphy
2 REC, 28 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Xavier Arline run for 2 yds to the Navy 27

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Daba Fofana run for 7 yds to the Navy 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Daba Fofana run for 2 yds to the Navy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Vincent Terrell Jr. run for 2 yds to the Navy 38

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Xavier Arline run for 7 yds to the Navy 45

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.28

Daba Fofana run for 4 yds to the Navy 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -2.00

Xavier Arline run for a loss of 4 yards to the Navy 45

2nd & 14Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.83

Xavier Arline run for 17 yds to the Army 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Army 43

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Maquel Haywood run for 5 yds to the Army 38

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.43

Maquel Haywood run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 40

3rd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Xavier Arline run for 2 yds to the Army 38

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 38 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Tyhier Tyler run for 1 yd to the Army 21

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Tyhier Tyler run for 4 yds to the Army 25

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Cade Ballard run for 1 yd to the Army 26

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Billy Boehlke punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Amin Hassan at the Navy 43

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

Arline, Xavier pass incomplete to Puailoa-Rojas, Kai, PENALTY ARMY holding 10 yards to the ARMY47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NAVY.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Xavier Arline run for no gain to the Army 47

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.79

Vincent Terrell Jr. run for 8 yds to the Army 39

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Daba Fofana run for 1 yd to the Army 38

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.70

Xavier Arline run for 1 yd to the Army 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.56

Daba Fofana run for a loss of 4 yards to the Army 41

2nd & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Daba Fofana run for no gain to the Army 41

3rd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Xavier Arline run for 3 yds to the Army 38

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 34 yds, downed at the Army 4

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the Army 6

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Cade Ballard pass incomplete to Cole Caterbone

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Cade Ballard pass incomplete to Ay'Jaun Marshall

4th & 8Punt+9 yds

Billy Boehlke punt for 38 yds , Amin Hassan returns for 9 yds to the Army 35

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Vincent Terrell Jr. run for 2 yds to the Army 33

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Daba Fofana run for 1 yd to the Army 32

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Daba Fofana run for 6 yds to the Army 26

4th & 1Field Goal Good+44 yds

Bijan Nichols 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Tyhier Tyler run for a loss of 4 yards to the Army 21

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Cade Ballard pass incomplete to Isaiah Alston

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Cade Ballard pass incomplete to Tyson Riley

4th & 14Punt+10 yds

Billy Boehlke punt for 55 yds , Amin Hassan returns for 10 yds to the Navy 34

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Xavier Arline run for 7 yds to the Navy 41

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.01

Anton Hall Jr. run for 1 yd to the Navy 42

3rd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.22

Daba Fofana run for a loss of 3 yards to the Navy 39

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Cameron Jones at the Army 27

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Tyhier Tyler run for 6 yds to the Army 33

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Tyhier Tyler run for 3 yds to the Army 36

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.40

Tyhier Tyler run for 6 yds to the Army 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Braheam Murphy run for no gain to the Army 42

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Tyhier Tyler pass incomplete to Braheam Murphy

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Cade Ballard run for 3 yds to the Army 45

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Billy Boehlke punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Amin Hassan at the Navy 9

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Xavier Arline run for 2 yds to the Navy 11

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.18

Daba Fofana run for 1 yd to the Navy 12

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.11

Vincent Terrell Jr. run for no gain to the Navy 12

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 29 yds, downed at the Navy 41

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ARMY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Navy 46

1st & 15Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.85

Tyhier Tyler run for 9 yds to the Navy 37

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Tyhier Tyler run for no gain to the Navy 37

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Tyhier Tyler run for 4 yds to the Navy 33

4th & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -2.58

Tyhier Tyler run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 35

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Xavier Arline run for 2 yds to the Navy 37

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Navy 32

2nd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Xavier Arline run for 4 yds to the Navy 36

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Navy 31

3rd & 14Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Navy 26

3rd & 19Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Daba Fofana run for 5 yds to the Navy 31

4th & 14Blocked Punt+31 yds

Riley Riethman punt blocked by Noah Short, Jabril Williams return for 31 yds for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Xavier Arline run for 4 yds to the Navy 19

2nd & 6Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.59

Xavier Arline run for 28 yds to the Navy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Maasai Maynor pass incomplete to Jayden Umbarger

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Tyhier Tyler run for 13 yds to the Army 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Tyhier Tyler run for 3 yds to the Army 41

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Tyhier Tyler pass incomplete to Braheam Murphy

3rd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.65

Cade Ballard run for 11 yds to the Navy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Cade Ballard run for no gain to the Navy 48

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Ay'Jaun Marshall run for no gain to the Navy 48

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Markel Johnson run for 3 yds to the Navy 45

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Billy Boehlke punt for 45 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Xavier Arline run for 4 yds to the Navy 24

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.58

Xavier Arline run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 23

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Xavier Arline run for 4 yds to the Navy 27

4th & 3Punt+19 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 32 yds , Cameron Jones returns for 19 yds to the Navy 40

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Tyhier Tyler run for 10 yds to the Navy 30 ARMY Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the Navy 40

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ARMY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Navy 45

1st & 15Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.17

Tyhier Tyler run for 11 yds to the Navy 34

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.84

Tyhier Tyler run for no gain to the Navy 34

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.98

Tyhier Tyler run for 5 yds to the Navy 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Tyhier Tyler run for no gain to the Navy 29

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Markel Johnson run for 5 yds to the Navy 24

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

ARMY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Navy 29

3rd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-25 ydsPPA -3.30

TEAM run for a loss of 25 yards to the Army 46 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Army Markel Johnson

4th & 35Punt+8 yds

Billy Boehlke punt for 39 yds , Amin Hassan returns for 8 yds to the Navy 23

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+77 ydsPPA +6.21

Anton Hall Jr. run for 77 yds for a TD (Bijan Nichols KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Cade Ballard pass incomplete to Tyhier Tyler

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Tyhier Tyler run for no gain to the Army 25

3rd & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.20

Cade Ballard sacked by John Marshall for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 23

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Billy Boehlke punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Amin Hassan at the Navy 36

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Xavier Arline run for 3 yds to the Navy 39

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Vincent Terrell Jr. run for 5 yds to the Navy 44

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Xavier Arline run for 1 yd to the Navy 45

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 49 yds, downed at the Army 6

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Braheam Murphy run for 7 yds to the Army 13

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Tyhier Tyler run for 1 yd to the Army 14

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Tyhier Tyler run for 1 yd to the Army 15

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.74

Tyson Riley run for 4 yds to the Army 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.90

Tyhier Tyler sacked by Colin Ramos and Mbiti Williams Jr. for a loss of 10 yards to the Army 9

2nd & 20Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.16

Ay'Jaun Marshall run for 11 yds to the Army 20

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Cade Ballard pass incomplete to Braheam Murphy

4th & 9Punt+12 yds

Billy Boehlke punt for 45 yds , Amin Hassan returns for 12 yds to the Navy 47

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Xavier Arline run for 2 yds to the Navy 49

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.08

Anton Hall Jr. run for no gain to the Navy 49

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Xavier Arline run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Army 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.32

Cade Ballard pass complete to Braheam Murphy for 26 yds to the Navy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.31

Tyhier Tyler run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 49

2nd & 11Penalty+15 yds

Ballard, Cade pass incomplete to Alston, Isaiah, PENALTY NAVY pass interference 15 yards to the NAVY34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARMY.

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Murphy, Braheam rush for no gain to the NAVY34, PENALTY ARMY illegal block 15 yards to the NAVY49, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Cade Ballard pass incomplete to Isaiah Alston

2nd & 25Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Cade Ballard pass complete to Braheam Murphy for 2 yds to the Navy 47

3rd & 23Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Cade Ballard pass incomplete to Braheam Murphy

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Billy Boehlke punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Navy 5

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Anton Hall Jr. run for 1 yd to the Navy 6

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.12

Xavier Arline run for 1 yd to the Navy 7

3rd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Maquel Haywood run for 6 yds to the Navy 13

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Navy 8

4th & 7Punt+5 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 51 yds , Cameron Jones returns for 5 yds to the Army 46

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Markel Johnson run for 5 yds to the Navy 49

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Cade Ballard run for 4 yds to the Navy 45

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.88

Markel Johnson run for 2 yds to the Navy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Ballard, Cade pass incomplete to Marshall, Ay'Jaun, PENALTY NAVY pass interference 15 yards to the NAVY28, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARMY.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Cade Ballard run for 4 yds to the Navy 24

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Ay'Jaun Marshall run for 3 yds to the Navy 21

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Cade Ballard run for 1 yd to the Navy 20

4th & 2Field Goal Good+37 yds

Quinn Maretzki 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Xavier Arline run for no gain to the Navy 25

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Xavier Arline run for 1 yd to the Navy 26

3rd & 9Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.22

Maquel Haywood run for 13 yds to the Navy 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Daniel Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 38

2nd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Anton Hall Jr. run for 7 yds to the Navy 45

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Maasai Maynor pass incomplete to Daniel Jones

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 48 yds, downed at the Army 7

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.38

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 5

0th & 10End of Regulation0 yds

End of 4th Quarter

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Markel Johnson run for 25 yds for a TD (Quinn Maretzki KICK)

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Xavier Arline pass complete to Maquel Haywood for 25 yds for a TD (Bijan Nichols KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Xavier Arline run for 4 yds to the Army 21

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Daniel Jones run for no gain to the Army 21

3rd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.66

Xavier Arline run for 6 yds to the Army 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.87

Anton Hall Jr. run for 11 yds to the Army 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Xavier Arline run for 2 yds to the Army 2

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

Xavier Arline run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 3

3rd & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -4.38

Anton Hall Jr. run for 2 yds to the Army 1 Anton Hall Jr. fumbled, forced by Austin Hill, recovered by Army Darius Richardson

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Markel Johnson run for no gain to the Navy 25

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Tyson Riley run for 2 yds to the Navy 23

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Cade Ballard run for 1 yd to the Navy 22

4th & 7Field Goal Good+39 yds

Quinn Maretzki 39 yd FG GOOD

Situational Analysis

Navy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
19%
21 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
36%
11 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
33%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Army

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
30%
20 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
5 plays
13%
8 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
13%
8 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays