Skip to main content
← Back to GamesNov 5, 2022Week 10
Air ForceAir Force
13
-Final
7
ArmyArmy

House Prediction

Model Margin

Air Force by 5.8

Home Win Probability

Army 33%

Market (consensus)

Army +7

Edge: Army +7 (1.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 5, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Air ForceAir Force
307313
ArmyArmy
07007

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40140-37-37-107-13
ArmyAir Force

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20AFARMAFARMAFARMAFARMAFARMAFARMAFARMAFARMAFARMAFARMAFPUNT617ydPUNT925ydPUNT30ydDOWNS49ydFG619ydPUNT30ydMISS833ydTD668ydTO633ydPUNT413ydEND313ydPUNT3-4ydTD965ydPUNT6-2ydFG1658ydPUNT31ydPUNT532ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT615ydTO820ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Air Force and Army
StatisticAir ForceArmy
Passing6-134-14
Pass Yards9867
Rush Yards22678
Total Yards324145
Turnovers11
3rd Down6-144-14
Penalties5-404-20
Possession34:4925:11

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Air Force
passing
Haaziq Daniels
6/13, 98 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Brad Roberts
33 CAR, 135 YDS
receiving
David Cormier
4 REC, 89 YDS
defense
Army
passing
Jemel Jones
4/14, 67 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Jemel Jones
21 CAR, 37 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Isaiah Alston
2 REC, 34 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brad Roberts run for no gain to the AFA 25

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Zac Larrier run for 2 yds to the AFA 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.54

Haaziq Daniels pass complete to David Cormier for 16 yds to the AFA 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Brad Roberts run for 5 yds to the AFA 48

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Haaziq Daniels pass incomplete to David Cormier

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.01

Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Zac Larrier for 6 yds to the AFA 42

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Carson Bay punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Army 13

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tyhier Tyler run for 5 yds to the Army 18

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Jemel Jones run for 3 yds to the Army 21

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.66

Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the Army 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Jemel Jones run for 1 yd to the Army 25

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Tyson Riley run for 6 yds to the Army 31

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.18

Jemel Jones run for 3 yds to the Army 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Jemel Jones pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jemel Jones run for 4 yds to the Army 38

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Jemel Jones pass incomplete to Maurice Bellan

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Billy Boehlke punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Amari Terry at the AFA 27

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Brad Roberts run for no gain to the AFA 27

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

John Lee Eldridge III run for no gain to the AFA 27

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Haaziq Daniels pass incomplete to John Lee Eldridge III

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Carson Bay punt for 45 yds

4th & 10Blocked Punt+45 yds

Carson Bay punt blocked by Jackson Powell blocked by Jackson Powell

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Jemel Jones run for 3 yds to the Army 31

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Jemel Jones run for 3 yds to the Army 34

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Tyson Riley run for 3 yds to the Army 37

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jakobi Buchanan run for no gain to the Army 37

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the Army 34

2nd & 7Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.68

Brad Roberts run for 15 yds to the Army 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the Army 16

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

Brad Roberts run for no gain to the Army 16

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

DeAndre Hughes run for 2 yds to the Army 18

4th & 9Field Goal Good+35 yds

Matthew Dapore 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY AWP False Start (Filipowicz,Jackson) 5 yards from AWP25 to AWP20. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY AWP False Start (Lingenfelter,Joshua) 5 yards from AWP20 to AWP15. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.28

Jemel Jones run for 9 yds to the Army 24

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Jemel Jones run for 2 yds to the Army 26

3rd & 9Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.21

Jemel Jones sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 25

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Billy Boehlke punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Eian Castonguay at the AFA 35

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Haaziq Daniels run for 8 yds to the AFA 43

2nd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.59

Brad Roberts run for 10 yds to the Army 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Brad Roberts run for 7 yds to the Army 40

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Haaziq Daniels run for 5 yds to the Army 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Omar Fattah run for 3 yds to the Army 32

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Zac Larrier run for no gain to the Army 32

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Haaziq Daniels pass incomplete to Zac Larrier

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+49 yds

Matthew Dapore 49 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Tyson Riley run for 3 yds to the Army 35

2nd & 7Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.66

Jemel Jones pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 24 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +0.73

Jemel Jones pass complete to Ay'Jaun Marshall for 31 yds to the AFA 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Jemel Jones run for 3 yds to the AFA 7

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jemel Jones run for 4 yds to the AFA 3

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Jemel Jones run for 3 yds for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Brad Roberts run for 2 yds to the AFA 27

2nd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.68

Haaziq Daniels run for 12 yds to the AFA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.38

Haaziq Daniels pass complete to David Cormier for 16 yds to the Army 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Haaziq Daniels pass incomplete to Brandon Engel

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the Army 42

3rd & 7Interception0 ydsPPA -2.13

Haaziq Daniels pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.88

Jemel Jones pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 10 yds to the AFA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Jemel Jones run for 3 yds to the AFA 45

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Jemel Jones run for no gain to the AFA 45

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Jemel Jones pass incomplete to Cole Caterbone

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Billy Boehlke punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the AFA 7

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.37

Haaziq Daniels run for 8 yds to the AFA 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Brad Roberts run for 1 yd to the AFA 16

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Matthew Dapore kickoff for 58 yds , Maurice Bellan return for 17 yds to the Army 24

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jemel Jones run for 5 yds to the Army 19

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.12

Jemel Jones run for 1 yd to the Army 20

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Jemel Jones pass incomplete to Isaiah Alston

4th & 14Punt+4 yds

Billy Boehlke punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AFA 35 , Amari Terry returns for 4 yds to the AFA 35

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Brad Roberts run for 7 yds to the AFA 42

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.35

Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the AFA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Brad Roberts run for 5 yds to the Army 49

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Haaziq Daniels run for 3 yds to the Army 46

3rd & 2Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.57

Haaziq Daniels pass complete to David Cormier for 27 yds to the Army 19 for a 1ST down AIR FORCE Penalty, Personal Foul (Everett Smalley) to the Army 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the Army 31

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Haaziq Daniels pass incomplete to Brandon Engel

3rd & 7Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.31

Haaziq Daniels run for 14 yds to the Army 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Haaziq Daniels run for 17 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dapore KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Tyhier Tyler run for 8 yds to the Army 33

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Tyhier Tyler run for 1 yd to the Army 34

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.86

Jakobi Buchanan run for 1 yd to the Army 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-15 ydsPPA -2.07

Jemel Jones sacked by Trey Taylor for a loss of 15 yards to the Army 20

2nd & 25Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.03

Tyson Riley run for 3 yds to the Army 23

3rd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Jemel Jones pass incomplete to Isaiah Alston

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Billy Boehlke punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Amari Terry at the AFA 33

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Brad Roberts run for 5 yds to the AFA 38

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the AFA 41

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.54

Haaziq Daniels run for 5 yds to the AFA 46 for a 1ST down ARMY Penalty, Illegal Substitution ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Haaziq Daniels pass incomplete to David Cormier

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.99

Haaziq Daniels run for 11 yds to the Army 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY AFA False Start (Rillos,Caleb) 5 yards from AWP43 to AWP48. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.70

Brad Roberts run for 8 yds to the Army 40

2nd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.96

Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Amari Terry for 15 yds to the Army 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Brad Roberts run for 6 yds to the Army 19

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.03

Haaziq Daniels run for 6 yds to the Army 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the Army 9

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Brad Roberts run for 2 yds to the Army 7

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.80

Haaziq Daniels run for 6 yds to the Army 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY AFA False Start (Karas,Adam) 5 yards from AWP01 to AWP06. NO PLAY.

1st & 6Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY AFA False Start (Karas,Adam) 5 yards from AWP06 to AWP11. NO PLAY.

1st & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Haaziq Daniels run for 3 yds to the Army 14

2nd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Haaziq Daniels run for 2 yds to the Army 16

3rd & 16Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.27

Brad Roberts run for 7 yds to the Army 9

4th & 9Field Goal Good+26 yds

Matthew Dapore 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Ay'Jaun Marshall run for 2 yds to the Army 23

2nd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Jakobi Buchanan run for 5 yds to the Army 28

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Jemel Jones run for 2 yds to the Army 26

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Billy Boehlke punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Amari Terry at the AFA 31

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Daniels,Haaziq pass incomplete short left to Cormier,David PENALTY AFA Holding (Karas,Adam) 10 yards from AFA31 to AFA21. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Brad Roberts run for 6 yds to the AFA 27

2nd & 14Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.58

Haaziq Daniels pass complete to David Cormier for 30 yds to the Army 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Brad Roberts run for 5 yds to the Army 38

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Brad Roberts run for 2 yds to the Army 36

3rd & 3Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.29

Haaziq Daniels sacked by Leo Lowin for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 37

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Carson Bay punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Army 19

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Jemel Jones run for 3 yds to the Army 22

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Tyson Riley run for 2 yds to the Army 24

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY AWP False Start (Buckingham,Shayne) 5 yards from AWP24 to AWP19. NO PLAY.

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY AWP False Start (Lingenfelter,Joshua) 5 yards from AWP19 to AWP14. NO PLAY.

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Jemel Jones pass incomplete to Ay'Jaun Marshall

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Billy Boehlke punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Brad Roberts run for 5 yds to the AFA 44

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the AFA 48

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.07

Brad Roberts run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Brad Roberts run for 5 yds to the Army 45

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Brad Roberts run for 2 yds to the Army 43

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.20

Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the Army 46

4th & 6Punt+9 yds

Carson Bay punt for 31 yds , Cameron Jones returns for 9 yds to the Army 24

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Jemel Jones run for 7 yds to the Army 31

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jemel Jones pass incomplete to Braheam Murphy

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Jemel Jones pass complete to Tyson Riley for 2 yds to the Army 33

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.69

Tyson Riley run for 3 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jemel Jones pass incomplete to Veshe Daniyan

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Jemel Jones run for 8 yds to the Army 44

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Jemel Jones pass incomplete to Braheam Murphy

4th & 2Interception0 ydsPPA -0.59

Jemel Jones pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

run for 1 yd to the AFA 39

Situational Analysis

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
48%
25 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
100%
3 plays
11%
9 plays
40%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
100%
1 play
4th

Army

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
16 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
38%
8 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
33%
3 plays