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← Back to GamesOct 1, 2022Week 5

House Prediction

Model Margin

Army by 13.7

Home Win Probability

Army 79%

Market (consensus)

Army -8.5

Edge: Army -8.5 (5.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 1, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Georgia StateGeorgia State
31401431
ArmyArmy
007714

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-30-100-177-1714-1714-31
ArmyGeorgia State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20GSARMGSARMGSARMGSARMGSARMGSARMGSARMGSARMGSARMGSARMGSFG1347ydTO941ydDOWNS1560ydPUNT611ydTD438ydDOWNS739ydTD664ydTO1254ydEND314ydTD875ydMISS862ydTD1380ydTO126ydDOWNS1050ydPUNT37ydDOWNS617ydTD362ydTO10ydTD260ydDOWNS513ydEND2-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Georgia State and Army
StatisticGeorgia StateArmy
Passing8-121-8
Pass Yards15711
Rush Yards299354
Total Yards456365
Turnovers13
3rd Down5-109-15
Penalties4-340-0
Possession21:0538:55

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Georgia State
passing
Darren Grainger
8/12, 157 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Tucker Gregg
16 CAR, 124 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ja'Cyais Credle
2 REC, 75 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Army
passing
Cade Ballard
1/7, 11 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Tyhier Tyler
19 CAR, 110 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Tyrell Robinson
1 REC, 11 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 10 yds to the GeoSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Tucker Gregg run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 42

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.77

Tucker Gregg run for 9 yds to the Army 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Tucker Gregg run for 8 yds to the Army 41

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds to the Army 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Jamari Thrash

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.16

Darren Grainger run for 12 yds to the Army 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the Army 24

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.43

Tucker Gregg run for 11 yds to the Army 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY GSU False Start (Broadway,Bryson) 5 yards from AWP13 to AWP18. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.02

Darren Grainger sacked by Leo Lowin for a loss of 6 yards to the Army 24

2nd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Robert Lewis

3rd & 21Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA -0.16

run for 4 yds to the Army 28 fumbled, recovered by GeoSt Darren Grainger

4th & 25Field Goal Good+46 yds

Michael Hayes 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tyson Riley run for 5 yds to the Army 30

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Tyson Riley run for 2 yds to the Army 32

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.61

Tyhier Tyler run for 7 yds to the Army 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Tyhier Tyler run for 4 yds to the Army 43

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the Army 47

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.42

Tyhier Tyler run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Tyson Riley run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 41

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Tyson Riley run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -3.86

Tyson Riley run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 34 Tyson Riley fumbled, recovered by GeoSt Jordan Veneziale

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Ja'Cyais Credle

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.14

Jamyest Williams run for 12 yds to the GeoSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Jamyest Williams run for 8 yds to the Army 46

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Jamyest Williams run for 2 yds to the Army 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Grainger,Darren rush left for 11 yards gain to the AWP33, out of bounds at AWP33 PENALTY GSU Holding (Broadway,Bryson) 10 yards from AWP44 to GSU46. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.17

Jamyest Williams run for 10 yds to the Army 44

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Jamyest Williams run for 2 yds to the Army 42

3rd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.06

Darren Grainger run for 8 yds to the Army 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Jamyest Williams run for 3 yds to the Army 31

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Jamyest Williams run for 1 yd to the Army 30

3rd & 6Penalty-4 yds

PENALTY GSU False Start (Cristobal,Luis) 4 yards from AWP30 to AWP34. NO PLAY.

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Jamyest Williams run for 3 yds to the Army 31

3rd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jamyest Williams run for 4 yds to the Army 31

4th & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.31

Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 17 yds to the Army 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Marcus Carroll run for 5 yds to the Army 9

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the Army 7

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the Army 5

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.17

Tucker Gregg run for 1 yd to the Army 6

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Tyhier Tyler run for 7 yds to the Army 13

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Tyson Riley run for 2 yds to the Army 15

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.34

Hayden Reed run for 2 yds to the Army 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Tyrell Robinson run for 1 yd to the Army 18

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Tyhier Tyler pass incomplete to Isaiah Alston

3rd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.10

Tyrell Robinson run for 1 yd to the Army 17

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Billy Boehlke punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Army 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.48

Darren Grainger pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 18 yds to the Army 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the Army 16

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the Army 13

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.77

Darren Grainger run for 13 yds for a TD, (Michael Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.89

Cade Ballard run for 21 yds to the Army 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Hayden Reed run for 3 yds to the Army 49

2nd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.51

Cade Ballard run for 13 yds to the GeoSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Cade Ballard pass incomplete to Isaiah Alston

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 34

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Tyrell Robinson run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 36

4th & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.53

Cade Ballard run for no gain to the GeoSt 36

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jamyest Williams run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 39

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Jamyest Williams run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 42

3rd & 4Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.74

Darren Grainger pass complete to Kris Byrd for 18 yds to the Army 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Jamari Thrash

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 7 yds to the Army 33

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +3.57

Jamyest Williams run for 33 yds for a TD, (Michael Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Tyrell Robinson run for 12 yds to the Army 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Cade Ballard run for 9 yds to the Army 46

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.09

Cade Ballard run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Tyrell Robinson run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 47

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Cade Ballard run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 40

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.66

Jakobi Buchanan run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Cade Ballard pass incomplete to Ay'Jaun Marshall

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Tyrell Robinson run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 33

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.93

Cade Ballard run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Hayden Reed run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 22

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Cade Ballard pass incomplete to Isaiah Alston

3rd & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -3.90

Tyrell Robinson run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 21 Tyrell Robinson fumbled, recovered by GeoSt Jordan Veneziale

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Marcus Carroll run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 29

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.08

Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Darren Grainger run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 35

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Hayden Reed run for 2 yds to the Army 27

2nd & 8Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.97

Ay'Jaun Marshall run for 15 yds to the Army 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Tyhier Tyler run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 49

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+36 ydsPPA +1.03

Tyhier Tyler run for 36 yds to the GeoSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jakobi Buchanan run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 5

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Tyhier Tyler run for 1 yd for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 13 yds to the GeoSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.48

Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 17 yds to the Army 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.63

Tucker Gregg run for 14 yds to the Army 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.28

Darren Grainger run for 16 yds to the Army 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the Army 17

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds to the Army 14

3rd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Darren Grainger run for 1 yd to the Army 13

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+30 yds

Michael Hayes 30 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Markel Johnson run for 7 yds to the Army 27

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Tyhier Tyler run for 8 yds to the Army 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Jakobi Buchanan run for 7 yds to the Army 42

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.53

Tyhier Tyler run for 6 yds to the Army 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Hayden Reed run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 49

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tyhier Tyler run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 45

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.39

Hayden Reed run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.49

Tyrell Robinson run for 15 yds to the GeoSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jakobi Buchanan run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 20

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.20

Jakobi Buchanan run for 11 yds to the GeoSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Tyhier Tyler run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 8

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Tyhier Tyler run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 5

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Tyhier Tyler run for 5 yds for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+26 ydsPPA -0.92

Jamyest Williams run for 26 yds to the Army 49 Jamyest Williams fumbled, recovered by Army Leo Lowin

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Hayden Reed run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 48

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Tyhier Tyler run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 45

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.59

Markel Johnson run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

GEORGIA ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Justin Abraham) to the GeoSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Hayden Reed run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 15

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.58

Jakobi Buchanan run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Cade Ballard run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Cade Ballard run for no gain to the GeoSt 1

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.21

Jakobi Buchanan run for no gain to the GeoSt 1

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 3

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 6

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Darren Grainger run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 8

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Michael Hayes punt for 46 yds , Tyrell Robinson returns for no gain to the Army 45 Tyrell Robinson fumbled, recovered by Army Braheam Murphy

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Tyhier Tyler run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 47

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Markel Johnson run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Tyhier Tyler run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 39

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Tyhier Tyler run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 42

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Tyhier Tyler run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 43

4th & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.65

Austin Hill run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 38

4th & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.65

Austin Hill run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 38

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 40

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 43

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+57 ydsPPA +5.98

Darren Grainger pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 57 yds for a TD, (Michael Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.92

Cade Ballard pass intercepted

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

ARMY Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Tucker Gregg run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 44

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+56 ydsPPA +4.92

Tucker Gregg run for 56 yds for a TD, (Michael Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Cade Ballard pass complete to Tyrell Robinson for 11 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Tyrell Robinson run for 1 yd to the Army 35

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Cade Ballard run for 3 yds to the Army 38

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Cade Ballard pass incomplete to Cole Caterbone

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.03

Cade Ballard pass incomplete to Isaiah Alston

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.98

Darren Grainger run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 39

2nd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.45

Darren Grainger run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 41

Situational Analysis

Georgia State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
44%
25 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
44%
9 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Army

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
52%
31 plays
2nd
38%
8 plays
33%
6 plays
40%
10 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
86%
7 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays