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← Back to GamesNov 27, 2022Week 13
Notre DameNotre Dame
27
-Final
38
USCUSC

House Prediction

Model Margin

Notre Dame by 1

Home Win Probability

USC 46%

Market (consensus)

USC -4.5

Edge: Notre Dame +4.5 (5.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 27, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Notre DameNotre Dame
0771327
USCUSC
10771438

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-010-010-717-724-731-1431-2138-27
USCNotre Dame

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20USCNDUSCNDUSCNDUSCNDNDUSCNDUSCNDUSCNDUSCNDUSCTD875ydPUNT34ydFG937ydDOWNS954ydPUNT615ydTD980ydTD1075ydEND25ydTO749ydTD774ydTD575ydTD1075ydTD775ydPUNT639ydTO410ydTD424ydTD656ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Notre Dame and USC
StatisticNotre DameUSC
Passing23-2618-22
Pass Yards318232
Rush Yards90204
Total Yards408436
Turnovers20
3rd Down5-78-12
Penalties4-396-55
Possession24:3735:23

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Notre Dame
passing
Drew Pyne
23/26, 318 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Audric Estime
6 CAR, 43 YDS
receiving
Michael Mayer
8 REC, 98 YDS, 2 TD
defense
USC
passing
Caleb Williams
18/22, 232 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Austin Jones
25 CAR, 154 YDS
receiving
Jordan Addison
3 REC, 45 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Austin Jones run for 7 yds to the USC 32

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Austin Jones run for 1 yd to the USC 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.29

Caleb Williams pass complete to Lake McRee for 31 yds to the NDame 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.35

Jordan Addison run for 13 yds to the NDame 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Caleb Williams run for 7 yds to the NDame 16

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Austin Jones run for 2 yds to the NDame 14

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.10

Austin Jones run for 3 yds to the NDame 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Tahj Washington 11 Yd pass from Caleb Williams (Denis Lynch Kick)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Logan Diggs run for 6 yds to the NDame 14

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Logan Diggs run for 2 yds to the NDame 16

3rd & 2Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.39

Logan Diggs run for a loss of 4 yards to the NDame 12

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jon Sot punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Michael Jackson III at the USC 49

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Austin Jones run for 5 yds to the NDame 46

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Jordan Addison

3rd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)+23 ydsPPA +2.32

Caleb Williams pass complete to Jordan Addison for 23 yds Jordan Addison fumbled, forced by Isaiah Foskey, recovered by USC Jordan Addison for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Caleb Williams pass complete to Kyle Ford for 5 yds to the NDame 18

2nd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.38

Caleb Williams pass complete to Austin Jones for 16 yds to the NDame 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.23

Darwin Barlow run for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 5

2nd & 0Penalty0 yds

Williams, Caleb pass incomplete to Addison, Jordan, PENALTY NOTREDAME pass interference (Mickey, Jaden) off-setting, PENALTY USC Ineligible Downfield on Pass off-setting, NO PLAY.

2nd & 0Penalty-15 yds

Williams, Mario pass incomplete to Williams, Caleb, PENALTY USC pass interference (Williams, Caleb) 15 yards to the NOTREDAME20, NO PLAY.

2nd & 0Sack-6 yds

Caleb Williams sacked by Isaiah Foskey for a loss of 6 yards to the NDame 26

3rd & 0Rush+12 yds

Austin Jones run for 12 yds to the NDame 14

4th & 14Field Goal Good+31 yds

Denis Lynch 31 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Drew Pyne pass complete to Michael Mayer for 5 yds to the NDame 24

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Logan Diggs run for 3 yds to the NDame 27

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.91

Logan Diggs run for 3 yds to the NDame 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Logan Diggs run for 4 yds to the NDame 34

2nd & 6Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.82

Drew Pyne pass complete to Audric Estime for 30 yds to the USC 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Audric Estime run for 5 yds to the USC 31

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Logan Diggs run for 3 yds to the USC 28

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Drew Pyne run for 1 yd to the USC 27

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.21

Mitchell Evans run for no gain to the USC 27

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Austin Jones run for 4 yds to the USC 31

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Brenden Rice

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.01

Caleb Williams pass complete to Michael Jackson III for 9 yds to the USC 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Terrell Bynum

2nd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.38

Caleb Williams sacked by Jayson Ademilola and Isaiah Foskey for a loss of 10 yards to the USC 30

3rd & 20Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.35

Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for 12 yds to the USC 42

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Caleb Williams punt for 58 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Drew Pyne pass complete to Lorenzo Styles for 7 yds to the NDame 27

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Audric Estime run for 1 yd to the NDame 28

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA +0.86

Logan Diggs run for 2 yds to the NDame 30 Logan Diggs fumbled, forced by Eric Gentry, recovered by NDame Logan Diggs for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Drew Pyne pass complete to Michael Mayer for 1 yd to the NDame 31

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.61

Audric Estime run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 30

3rd & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.83

Drew Pyne pass complete to Deion Colzie for 30 yds to the USC 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.85

Drew Pyne pass complete to Lorenzo Styles for no gain to the USC 40

2nd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.39

Chris Tyree run for 18 yds to the USC 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Michael Mayer 22 Yd pass from Drew Pyne (Blake Grupe Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 5 yds to the USC 30

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.13

Austin Jones run for 9 yds to the USC 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.46

Austin Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 37

2nd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.41

Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for 11 yds to the USC 48

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.07

Austin Jones run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Raleek Brown run for 2 yds to the NDame 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.77

Caleb Williams pass complete to Jordan Addison for 23 yds to the NDame 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.16

Austin Jones run for 12 yds to the NDame 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Austin Jones run for 2 yds to the NDame 11

2nd & 8Penalty+6 yds

Williams, Caleb pass incomplete to Washington, Tahj, PENALTY NOTREDAME offside declined, NO PLAY, PENALTY NOTREDAME holding (Henderson, Ramon) 6 yards to the NOTREDAME5, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN USC.

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Caleb Williams 5 Yd Run (Denis Lynch Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.65

Drew Pyne pass complete to Lorenzo Styles for 11 yds to the NDame 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.22

Drew Pyne sacked by Tuli Tuipulotu for a loss of 6 yards to the NDame 21

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Logan Diggs run for 2 yds to the NDame 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.97

Drew Pyne pass complete to Michael Mayer for 15 yds to the NDame 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.47

Drew Pyne pass complete to Michael Mayer for 20 yds to the USC 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Drew Pyne pass complete to Logan Diggs for 3 yds to the USC 35

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Logan Diggs run for 3 yds to the USC 32

3rd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Audric Estime run for 9 yds to the USC 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-3 ydsPPA -4.34

Drew Pyne run for a loss of 3 yards to the USC 26 Drew Pyne fumbled, recovered by USC Ralen Goforth

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.25

Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for 14 yds to the USC 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.75

Austin Jones run for 24 yds to the NDame 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.35

Austin Jones run for 13 yds to the NDame 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.78

Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 18 yds to the NDame 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.55

Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for no gain to the NDame 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Lake McRee

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Raleek Brown 5 Yd Run (Denis Lynch Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Audric Estime run for 5 yds to the NDame 30

2nd & 5Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.44

Audric Estime run for 24 yds to the USC 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.73

Drew Pyne pass complete to Lorenzo Styles for 16 yds to the USC 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Drew Pyne run for 7 yds to the USC 23

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.46

Deion Colzie 23 Yd pass from Drew Pyne (Blake Grupe Kick)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Austin Jones run for 6 yds to the USC 31

2nd & 4Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.47

Austin Jones run for 14 yds to the USC 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Austin Jones run for 2 yds to the USC 47

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Caleb Williams run for 4 yds to the NDame 49

3rd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.07

Caleb Williams pass complete to Raleek Brown for 12 yds to the NDame 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.34

Caleb Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 40

2nd & 13Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.76

Caleb Williams run for 19 yds to the NDame 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.21

Austin Jones run for 12 yds to the NDame 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Caleb Williams pass complete to Lake McRee for 6 yds to the NDame 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Caleb Williams 3 Yd Run (Denis Lynch Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Drew Pyne pass complete to Michael Mayer for 5 yds to the NDame 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.84

Drew Pyne pass complete to Michael Mayer for 6 yds to the NDame 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Lorenzo Styles

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.65

Drew Pyne pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 18 yds to the USC 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +0.91

Drew Pyne pass complete to Braden Lenzy for 25 yds to the USC 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

Pyne, Drew pass incomplete to Thomas, Jayden, PENALTY USC holding (Blackmon, Mekhi) 10 yards to the USC11, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME.

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Chris Tyree run for 6 yds to the USC 5

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.34

Logan Diggs 5 Yd Run (Blake Grupe Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Austin Jones run for 5 yds to the USC 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Austin Jones run for 4 yds to the USC 34

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

USC Penalty, False Start (Malcolm Epps) to the USC 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +4.00

Caleb Williams pass complete to Brenden Rice for 25 yds to the NOTREDAME 46 for a 1ST down NOTRE DAME Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Jaden Mickey) to the NDame 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.70

Austin Jones run for 9 yds to the NDame 22

2nd & 1Penalty-10 yds

Jones, Austin rush for 4 yards to the NOTREDAME18, PENALTY USC holding (Monheim, Jonah) 10 yards to the NOTREDAME32, NO PLAY.

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

USC Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the NDame 37

2nd & 16Penalty-10 yds

Williams, Caleb pass incomplete to Jones, Austin, PENALTY USC holding (Monheim, Jonah) 10 yards to the NOTREDAME47, NO PLAY.

2nd & 26Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.59

Caleb Williams pass complete to Jordan Addison for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 48

3rd & 27Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.81

Caleb Williams pass complete to Raleek Brown for 12 yds to the NDame 36

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Caleb Williams punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Brandon Joseph at the NDame 10

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Logan Diggs run for 5 yds to the NDame 15

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.34

Drew Pyne pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 5 yds to the NDame 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Michael Mayer

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return+11 ydsPPA -0.06

Drew Pyne pass intercepted Calen Bullock return for 11 yds to the NDame 24

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.21

Austin Jones run for a loss of 6 yards to the NDame 30

2nd & 16Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.12

Austin Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 31

3rd & 17Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.77

Austin Jones run for 15 yds to the NDame 16

4th & 2Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +3.25

Caleb Williams 16 Yd Run (Denis Lynch Kick)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Pyne, Drew pass complete to Diggs, Logan for 8 yards to the USC48, PENALTY NOTREDAME holding (Lugg, Josh) 10 yards to the NOTREDAME34, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Drew Pyne pass complete to Audric Estime for 1 yd to the NDame 35

2nd & 19Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.67

Drew Pyne pass complete to Logan Diggs for 15 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.21

Drew Pyne pass complete to Logan Diggs for 14 yds to the USC 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.77

Drew Pyne sacked by Solomon Byrd for a loss of 10 yards to the USC 46

2nd & 20Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.10

Drew Pyne pass complete to Deion Colzie for 22 yds to the USC 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Michael Mayer 24 Yd pass from Drew Pyne (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Austin Jones run for no gain to the NDame 46

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.45

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 48

Situational Analysis

Notre Dame

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
60%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
63%
8 plays
50%
6 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play

USC

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
65%
26 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
43%
7 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
100%
5 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play