Skip to main content
← Back to GamesNov 19, 2022Week 12

House Prediction

Model Margin

Notre Dame by 32

Home Win Probability

Notre Dame 96%

Market (consensus)

Notre Dame -20

Edge: Notre Dame -20 (12.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 19, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Boston CollegeBoston College
00000
Notre DameNotre Dame
17207044

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284210-017-020-023-037-044-0
Notre DameBoston College

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDBCNDBCNDBCNDBCNDBCNDBCNDBCBCBCNDBCNDBCNDBCFG667ydTO30ydTD520ydPUNT37ydTD881ydTO441ydFG1057ydTO518ydFG715ydTO617ydTD442ydPUNT34ydTD449ydEND2-6ydPUNT35ydTO20ydTD847ydDOWNS1033ydDOWNS1149ydPUNT824ydPUNT35ydEND935yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Boston College and Notre Dame
StatisticBoston CollegeNotre Dame
Passing9-2213-25
Pass Yards117156
Rush Yards56281
Total Yards173437
Turnovers51
3rd Down6-148-13
Penalties3-202-20
Possession29:0031:00

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Boston College
passing
Emmett Morehead
9/22, 117 YDS, 3 INT
rushing
Alex Broome
7 CAR, 25 YDS
receiving
Zay Flowers
3 REC, 46 YDS
defense
Notre Dame
passing
Drew Pyne
13/25, 156 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Logan Diggs
15 CAR, 122 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Michael Mayer
5 REC, 64 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+51 ydsPPA +3.40

Logan Diggs run for 51 yds to the BC 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.15

Drew Pyne pass complete to Michael Mayer for 12 yds to the BC 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Logan Diggs run for 4 yds to the BC 8

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Drew Pyne pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Drew Pyne pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+26 yds

Blake Grupe 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Emmett Morehead pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Emmett Morehead pass incomplete

3rd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA +0.28

Emmett Morehead pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Logan Diggs run for 5 yds to the BC 15

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.49

Logan Diggs run for 9 yds to the BC 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Logan Diggs run for 4 yds to the BC 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Logan Diggs run for 1 yd to the BC 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Logan Diggs run for 1 yd for a TD, (Blake Grupe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Alex Broome run for 4 yds to the BC 39

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Emmett Morehead pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Emmett Morehead run for 3 yds to the BC 42

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Danny Longman punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Matt Salerno at the NDame 19

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Audric Estime run for 4 yds to the NDame 23

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.00

Drew Pyne pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 9 yds to the NDame 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Drew Pyne pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Drew Pyne pass complete to Chris Tyree for 2 yds to the NDame 34

3rd & 8Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.43

Drew Pyne pass complete to Deion Colzie for 23 yds to the BC 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +0.79

Drew Pyne pass complete to Logan Diggs for 28 yds to the BC 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.62

Drew Pyne pass complete to Michael Mayer for 14 yds to the BC 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Drew Pyne pass complete to Matt Salerno for 1 yd for a TD, (Blake Grupe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Pat Garwo III run for 2 yds to the BC 36

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Emmett Morehead pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +3.99

Emmett Morehead pass complete to Zay Flowers for 39 yds to the NDame 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.30

Emmett Morehead pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Drew Pyne pass complete to Chris Tyree for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 19

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Audric Estime run for 6 yds to the NDame 25

3rd & 5Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.90

Drew Pyne pass complete to Michael Mayer for 23 yds to the NDame 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.04

Audric Estime run for 17 yds to the BC 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Drew Pyne pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.00

Audric Estime run for 12 yds to the BC 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Drew Pyne pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Drew Pyne pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Drew Pyne pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+41 yds

Blake Grupe 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Emmett Morehead pass complete to Zay Flowers for 9 yds to the BC 34

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.28

Alex Broome run for no gain to the BC 34

3rd & 1Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.09

Emmett Morehead pass complete to Alex Broome for 14 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Emmett Morehead pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.65

Emmett Morehead sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the BC 43

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Chris Tyree run for no gain to the BC 43

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Logan Diggs run for 9 yds to the BC 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.49

run for 2 yds to the BC 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Chris Tyree run for 5 yds to the BC 27

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Drew Pyne pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Drew Pyne run for 4 yds to the BC 23

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Josh Lugg) to the BC 28

4th & 6Field Goal Good+46 yds

Blake Grupe 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Alex Broome run for 3 yds to the BC 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Emmett Morehead pass complete to Zay Flowers for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.02

Emmett Morehead pass complete to Alex Broome for 11 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Emmett Morehead pass complete to Jeremiah Franklin for 6 yds to the BC 43

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.46

Emmett Morehead pass complete to George Takacs for 3 yds to the BC 46

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-4 ydsPPA -1.89

Emmett Morehead run for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 42 Emmett Morehead fumbled, recovered by NDame Marist Liufau

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Logan Diggs run for 3 yds to the BC 39

2nd & 7Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.05

Logan Diggs run for 26 yds to the BC 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Lorenzo Styles run for 6 yds to the BC 7

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.36

Audric Estime run for 7 yds for a TD, (Blake Grupe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Alex Broome run for 4 yds to the BC 39

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Emmett Morehead pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Emmett Morehead pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+28 yds

Danny Longman punt for 38 yds , Matt Salerno returns for 28 yds to the BC 49

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.10

Chris Tyree run for 26 yds to the BC 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Drew Pyne pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.55

Drew Pyne pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 11 yds to the BC 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Chris Tyree run for 12 yds for a TD, (Blake Grupe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Pat Garwo III run for 5 yds to the BC 28

2nd & 5Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.21

Emmett Morehead sacked by Isaiah Foskey for a loss of 11 yards to the BC 17

0th & 5End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Pat Garwo III run for 5 yds to the BC 30

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Pat Garwo III run for no gain to the BC 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Emmett Morehead pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt+2 yds

Danny Longman punt for 20 yds , Matt Salerno returns for 2 yds to the BC 48

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Emmett Morehead pass incomplete

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -1.85

Emmett Morehead pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.52

Logan Diggs run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 49

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Logan Diggs run for 3 yds to the BC 46

3rd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.46

Audric Estime run for 9 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Audric Estime run for 1 yd to the BC 36

2nd & 9Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.07

Lorenzo Styles run for 21 yds to the BC 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Chris Tyree run for 9 yds to the BC 6

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Drew Pyne pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.50

Audric Estime run for 6 yds for a TD, (Blake Grupe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Pat Garwo III run for 5 yds to the BC 30

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Pat Garwo III run for 2 yds to the BC 32

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.61

Zay Flowers run for 7 yds to the BC 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Pat Garwo III run for 1 yd to the BC 40

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (Jack Conley) to the BC 35

2nd & 14Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Emmett Morehead pass complete to George Takacs for 5 yds to the BC 40

3rd & 9Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.80

Emmett Morehead pass complete to Taji Johnson for 32 yds to the NDame 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Emmett Morehead run for 4 yds to the NDame 24

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Pat Garwo III run for 4 yds to the NDame 20

3rd & 2Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.29

Emmett Morehead sacked by Xavier Watts for a loss of 9 yards to the NDame 29

4th & 11Penalty-5 yds

BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Delay Of Game (Jaelen Gill) to the NDame 34

4th & 16Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.87

Emmett Morehead sacked by Jordan Botelho and Justin Ademilola for a loss of 8 yards to the NDame 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.88

Drew Pyne pass complete to Michael Mayer for 10 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Drew Pyne pass complete to Michael Mayer for 5 yds to the BC 43

2nd & 5Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.22

Logan Diggs run for a loss of 5 yards to the BC 48

3rd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +3.02

Drew Pyne pass complete to Matt Salerno for 19 yds to the BC 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Logan Diggs run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 30

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Drew Pyne pass incomplete

3rd & 11Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.68

Logan Diggs run for 14 yds to the BC 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Audric Estime run for 9 yds to the BC 7

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Drew Pyne pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

Audric Estime run for no gain to the BC 7

4th & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -4.10

Chris Tyree run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 9

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.57

Alex Broome run for 8 yds to the BC 17

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Alex Broome run for 3 yds to the BC 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Alex Broome run for 3 yds to the BC 23

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Cam Barfield run for 2 yds to the BC 25

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.39

Emmett Morehead run for 7 yds to the BC 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Cam Barfield run for 3 yds to the BC 35

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.98

Cam Barfield run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 33

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Emmett Morehead pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Danny Longman punt for 38 yds, downed at the NDame 29

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Audric Estime run for no gain to the NDame 29

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Gi'Bran Payne run for 2 yds to the NDame 31

3rd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Gi'Bran Payne run for 3 yds to the NDame 34

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jon Sot punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jaelen Gill at the BC 25

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Cam Barfield run for 3 yds to the BC 28

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.23

Cam Barfield run for 8 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Cam Barfield run for 3 yds to the BC 39

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Cam Barfield run for 3 yds to the BC 42

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Cam Barfield run for 3 yds to the BC 45

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.24

Cam Barfield run for 3 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Cam Barfield run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, Personal Foul (Jason Onye) to the NDame 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.81

Cam Barfield run for a loss of 6 yards to the NDame 40

Situational Analysis

Boston College

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
27%
22 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
0%
7 plays
11%
9 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
50%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
80%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Notre Dame

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
52%
27 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
63%
8 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play