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← Back to GamesNov 12, 2022Week 11
Notre DameNotre Dame
35
-Final
32
NavyNavy

House Prediction

Model Margin

Notre Dame by 23.6

Home Win Probability

Navy 8%

Market (consensus)

Navy +17

Edge: Notre Dame -17 (6.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 12, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Notre DameNotre Dame
14210035
NavyNavy
6731632

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-146-2113-2116-3524-3532-35
NavyNotre Dame

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDNAVNDNAVNDNAVNDNAVNDNAVNDNAVNAVNDNAVNDNAVNDNAVNDNAVNDNAVNDTD967ydPUNT523ydTD682ydTD575ydTD1083ydTD780ydMISS723ydTO10ydTD341ydPUNT37ydTD137ydEND29ydFG1672ydPUNT3-6ydPUNT3-1ydTO34ydTD123ydPUNT6-1ydPUNT33ydPUNT38ydPUNT311ydPUNT31ydTD1188ydEND2-4yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Notre Dame and Navy
StatisticNotre DameNavy
Passing17-216-13
Pass Yards269108
Rush Yards66255
Total Yards335363
Turnovers11
3rd Down6-133-11
Penalties8-574-30
Possession29:2130:39

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Notre Dame
passing
Drew Pyne
17/21, 269 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Audric Estime
8 CAR, 49 YDS
receiving
Jayden Thomas
3 REC, 80 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Navy
passing
Xavier Arline
2/4, 57 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Daba Fofana
15 CAR, 133 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Mark Walker
3 REC, 67 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Evan Warren kickoff for 59 yds , Chris Tyree return for 27 yds to the NDame 33

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Drew Pyne run for 4 yds to the NDame 37

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Drew Pyne pass complete to Michael Mayer for 3 yds to the NDame 40

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Logan Diggs run for 2 yds to the NDame 42

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.06

Mitchell Evans run for 2 yds to the NDame 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Logan Diggs run for 3 yds to the NDame 47

2nd & 7Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.93

Drew Pyne pass complete to Braden Lenzy for 21 yds to the Navy 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Drew Pyne pass complete to Braden Lenzy for 4 yds to the Navy 28

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.00

Logan Diggs run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 30

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +3.92

Drew Pyne pass complete to Audric Estime for 30 yds for a TD, (Blake Grupe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Vincent Terrell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Navy 26

2nd & 9Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.01

Daba Fofana run for 15 yds to the Navy 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Xavier Arline run for 4 yds to the Navy 45

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Xavier Arline run for 1 yd to the Navy 46

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Xavier Arline run for 2 yds to the Navy 48

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Matt Salerno at the NDame 18

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Audric Estime run for 2 yds to the NDame 20

2nd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.30

Audric Estime run for 12 yds to the NDame 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Drew Pyne pass complete to Braden Lenzy for 4 yds to the NDame 36

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Drew Pyne pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 5 yds to the NDame 41

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.47

Logan Diggs run for 6 yds to the NDame 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Pyne, Drew pass incomplete to Thomas, Jayden, PENALTY NAVY roughing passer (Marshall, John) 15 yards to the NAVY38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME.

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +3.09

Drew Pyne pass complete to Braden Lenzy for 38 yds for a TD, (Blake Grupe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Vincent Terrell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Navy 26

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Vincent Terrell Jr. run for 4 yds to the Navy 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.73

Xavier Arline pass complete to Mark Walker for 34 yds to the NDame 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Xavier Arline pass incomplete to Maquel Haywood

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.73

Daba Fofana run for 36 yds for a TD, (Bijan Nichols PAT MISSED)

2nd & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Evan Warren kickoff for 63 yds , Chris Tyree return for 15 yds to the NDame 17

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the NDame 12

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.17

Audric Estime run for 1 yd to the NDame 13

2nd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.07

Audric Estime run for 2 yds to the NDame 15

3rd & 12Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.92

Drew Pyne pass complete to Deion Colzie for 29 yds to the NDame 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.16

Drew Pyne pass complete to Braden Lenzy for no gain to the NDame 44

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Jayden Thomas

3rd & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.82

Drew Pyne pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 38 yds to the Navy 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Jayden Thomas

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.25

Drew Pyne pass complete to Michael Mayer for 14 yds to the Navy 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.75

Audric Estime run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 5

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Drew Pyne pass complete to Chris Tyree for 5 yds for a TD, (Blake Grupe KICK)

2nd & 11Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Zac Yoakam kickoff for 63 yds , Maquel Haywood return for 18 yds to the Navy 20

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, False Start (Sam Glover) to the Navy 15

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Vincent Terrell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Navy 18

2nd & 12Rush+50 ydsPPA +4.21

Daba Fofana run for 50 yds to the NDame 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +0.82

Xavier Arline run for 26 yds to the NDame 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Xavier Arline run for 1 yd to the NDame 5

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Anton Hall Jr. run for 1 yd to the NDame 4

3rd & 0Penalty+2 yds

Arline, Xavier pass pass intercepted by Brown, DJ at the NOTREDAME0, Brown, DJ return 0 yards to the NOTREDAME0, PENALTY NOTREDAME holding (Brown, DJ) 2 yards to the NOTREDAME2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NAVY.

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Daba Fofana run for no gain to the NDame 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Xavier Arline run for 2 yds for a TD, (Bijan Nichols KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Logan Diggs run for 2 yds to the Navy 48

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Logan Diggs run for 7 yds to the Navy 41

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.91

Logan Diggs run for 6 yds to the Navy 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Logan Diggs run for 3 yds to the Navy 32

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.97

Chris Tyree run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 33

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Drew Pyne pass complete to Lorenzo Styles for 6 yds to the Navy 27

4th & 2Field Goal Missed+45 yds

Blake Grupe 45 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.14

Kai Puailoa-Rojas pass intercepted Clarence Lewis return for no gain to the Navy 41

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Drew Pyne run for 2 yds to the Navy 39

2nd & 8Rush+28 ydsPPA +1.19

Audric Estime run for 28 yds to the Navy 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Drew Pyne run for 11 yds for a TD, (Blake Grupe KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Zac Yoakam kickoff for 58 yds , Maquel Haywood return for 17 yds to the Navy 24

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Daba Fofana run for 4 yds to the Navy 28

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Daba Fofana run for 2 yds to the Navy 30

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Maquel Haywood run for 1 yd to the Navy 31

4th & 3Blocked Punt+6 yds

Riley Riethman punt blocked by Jack Kiser blocked by Jack Kiser

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.05

Drew Pyne pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 37 yds for a TD, (Blake Grupe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Xavier Arline run for 4 yds to the Navy 29

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Daba Fofana run for 5 yds to the Navy 34

0th & 6End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Zac Yoakam kickoff for 64 yds , Maquel Haywood return for 18 yds to the Navy 19

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Daba Fofana run for 3 yds to the Navy 22

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Daba Fofana run for 2 yds to the Navy 24

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Xavier Arline run for 4 yds to the Navy 28

4th & 1Penalty+10 yds

Arline, Xavier pass incomplete to Puailoa-Rojas, Kai, PENALTY NOTREDAME holding (Brown, DJ) 10 yards to the NAVY38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NAVY.

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Xavier Arline run for 7 yds to the Navy 45

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.77

Daba Fofana run for 2 yds to the Navy 47

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.60

Daniel Jones run for 9 yds to the NDame 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Daba Fofana run for 3 yds to the NDame 41

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.79

Maquel Haywood run for 7 yds to the NDame 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Daba Fofana run for 1 yd to the NDame 33

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Xavier Arline run for 5 yds to the NDame 28

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Anton Hall Jr. run for 1 yd to the NDame 27

4th & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.42

Anton Hall Jr. run for 8 yds to the NDame 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

Arline, Xavier pass sacked for loss of 13 yards to the NOTREDAME32 (Liufau, Marist), PENALTY NOTREDAME face mask (TEAM) 10 yards to the NOTREDAME9, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NAVY.

1st & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Vincent Terrell Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 10

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Daba Fofana run for 1 yd to the NDame 9

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Xavier Arline pass incomplete to Jayden Umbarger

4th & 9Field Goal Good+26 yds

Bijan Nichols 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Drew Pyne sacked by John Marshall for a loss of 5 yards to the NDame 20

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.13

Logan Diggs run for 1 yd to the NDame 21

3rd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Audric Estime run for 3 yds to the NDame 24

4th & 11Penalty-5 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Prince Kollie) to the NDame 19

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Jon Sot punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Amin Hassan at the Navy 39

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.46

Vincent Terrell Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 37

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Maquel Haywood run for 1 yd to the Navy 38

3rd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Daba Fofana run for no gain to the Navy 38

4th & 11Punt+1 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 40 yds , Matt Salerno returns for 1 yd to the NDame 23

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Logan Diggs run for 1 yd to the NDame 24

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Logan Diggs run for 3 yds to the NDame 27

3rd & 6Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.09

Drew Pyne pass intercepted John Marshall return for no gain to the NDame 23

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.66

Xavier Arline pass complete to Mark Walker for 23 yds for a TD, (X. Arline Run For Two-point Conversion)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+29 yds

Evan Warren kickoff for 44 yds , Audric Estime return for 29 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Michael Mayer

2nd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.76

Drew Pyne sacked by Clay Cromwell and Nicholas Straw for a loss of 5 yards to the NDame 45

3rd & 15Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.77

Drew Pyne pass complete to Deion Colzie for 21 yds to the Navy 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.03

Drew Pyne sacked by Colin Ramos and John Marshall for a loss of 7 yards to the Navy 41

2nd & 17Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Chris Tyree run for 2 yds to the Navy 39

3rd & 15Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.51

Drew Pyne sacked by Colin Ramos for a loss of 7 yards to the Navy 46

4th & 22Penalty-5 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the NDame 49

4th & 27Punt0 yds

Jon Sot punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Amin Hassan at the Navy 12

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.54

Xavier Arline sacked by Justin Ademilola and Prince Kollie for a loss of 4 yards to the Navy 8

2nd & 14Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.08

Xavier Arline run for 7 yds to the Navy 15

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Maasai Maynor pass incomplete to Maquel Haywood

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NDame 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Drew Pyne pass complete to Michael Mayer for 6 yds to the Navy 47

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Audric Estime run for 2 yds to the Navy 45

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Logan Diggs run for no gain to the Navy 45

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jon Sot punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Amin Hassan at the Navy 13

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Maynor, Maasai pass incomplete to Terrell Jr., Vincent, PENALTY NOTREDAME pass interference (Griffith, Houston) 15 yards to the NAVY28, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NAVY.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Maasai Maynor run for no gain to the Navy 28

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.59

Maasai Maynor run for a loss of 4 yards to the Navy 24

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Maasai Maynor pass incomplete to Mark Walker

4th & 14Punt+37 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 37 yds , Matt Salerno returns for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 38

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.91

Drew Pyne sacked by Rayuan Lane III for a loss of 6 yards to the NDame 32

2nd & 16Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.34

Logan Diggs run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 31

3rd & 17Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.16

Drew Pyne pass complete to Lorenzo Styles for 8 yds to the NDame 39

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jon Sot punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Amin Hassan at the Navy 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.46

Maasai Maynor pass complete to Mark Walker for 10 yds to the Navy 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.17

Daba Fofana run for 9 yds to the Navy 31

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, False Start (Sam Glover) to the Navy 26

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.22

Maasai Maynor run for 10 yds to the Navy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, False Start (Kip Frankland) to the Navy 31

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Maasai Maynor run for 1 yd to the Navy 32

2nd & 14Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.65

Maasai Maynor pass complete to Vincent Terrell Jr. for 15 yds to the Navy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Maasai Maynor pass incomplete to Mark Walker

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Maasai Maynor pass complete to Kai Puailoa-Rojas for 6 yds to the NDame 47

3rd & 4Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.99

Anton Hall Jr. run for 13 yds to the NDame 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, Illegal Formation (5 Yards) to the NDame 29

1st & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA -0.45

Anton Hall Jr. run for 9 yds to the NDame 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.99

Maasai Maynor pass complete to Maquel Haywood for 20 yds for a TD, (V. Terrell Jr. Run For Two-point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.35

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 44

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.42

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 46

Situational Analysis

Notre Dame

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
20%
20 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
40%
5 plays
56%
9 plays
0%
5 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
100%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Navy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
24%
21 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
60%
10 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
33%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play