Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 3, 2022Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ohio State by 9.4

Home Win Probability

Ohio State 75%

Market (consensus)

Ohio State -17

Edge: Notre Dame +17 (7.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 3, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Notre DameNotre Dame
370010
Ohio StateOhio State
707721

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-37-37-1014-1021-10
Ohio StateNotre Dame

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDOSNDOSNDOSNDOSNDOSNDOSOSNDOSNDOSNDOSNDOSFG571ydPUNT422ydPUNT39ydTD454ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT39ydTD1087ydPUNT635ydPUNT523ydMISS1155ydPUNT36ydEND1-1ydPUNT34ydPUNT620ydPUNT831ydPUNT623ydTD1070ydPUNT540ydTD1495ydPUNT3-11ydEND621yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Notre Dame and Ohio State
StatisticNotre DameOhio State
Passing10-1824-34
Pass Yards177223
Rush Yards76172
Total Yards253395
Turnovers00
3rd Down3-137-13
Penalties5-617-75
Possession27:0132:59

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Notre Dame
passing
Tyler Buchner
10/18, 177 YDS
rushing
Chris Tyree
6 CAR, 28 YDS
receiving
Lorenzo Styles Jr.
1 REC, 54 YDS
defense
Ohio State
passing
C.J. Stroud
24/34, 223 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
TreVeyon Henderson
15 CAR, 91 YDS
receiving
Emeka Egbuka
9 REC, 90 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Jayden Fielding kickoff for 61 yds , Chris Tyree return for 11 yds to the NDame 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+69 ydsPPA +4.05

Tyler Buchner pass complete to Lorenzo Styles for 54 yds to the OHIOST 31 for a 1ST down OHIO ST Penalty, Roughing Passer (J.T. Tuimoloau) to the OhSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Audric Estime run for 3 yds to the OhSt 13

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.51

Logan Diggs run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 15

3rd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Tyler Buchner run for 1 yd to the OhSt 14

4th & 8Field Goal Good+33 yds

Blake Grupe 33 Yd Field Goal

4th & 8Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Zac Yoakam kickoff for 65 yds , Emeka Egbuka return for 25 yds to the OhSt 25

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.71

TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the OhSt 29 for a 1ST down NOTRE DAME Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Jayson Ademilola) to the OhSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.08

C.J. Stroud sacked by Howard Cross III for a loss of 5 yards to the OhSt 39

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba

3rd & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.31

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 8 yds to the OhSt 47

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 48 yds, downed at the NDame 5

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.35

Audric Estime run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 3

2nd & 12Penalty-1 yds

Estime, Audric rush for 2 yards to the NOTREDAME5, PENALTY NOTREDAME false start (Styles, Lorenzo) 1 yards to the NOTREDAME2, NO PLAY.

2nd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.04

Tyler Buchner run for 6 yds to the NDame 8

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Tyler Buchner pass complete to Michael Mayer for 6 yds to the NDame 14

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jon Sot punt for 40 yds, downed at the OhSt 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Penalty+15 yds

Stroud, C.J. pass incomplete to Egbuka, Emeka, PENALTY NOTREDAME pass interference (Hart, Cam) 15 yards to the NOTREDAME35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIOST.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 4 yds to the NDame 31

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +3.78

Emeka Egbuka 31 Yd pass from C.J. Stroud (Noah Ruggles Kick)

3rd & 6Penalty+15 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, Personal Foul (Isaiah Foskey) to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyler Buchner pass complete to Michael Mayer for no gain to the NDame 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Tyler Buchner pass complete to Michael Mayer for 6 yds to the NDame 31

3rd & 4Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.69

Tyler Buchner sacked by Tommy Eichenberg for a loss of 7 yards to the NDame 24

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jon Sot punt for 48 yds, downed at the OhSt 28

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Miyan Williams run for 8 yds to the OhSt 36

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.22

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Miyan Williams run for 1 yd to the OhSt 37

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Deion Colzie at the NDame 13

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Audric Estime run for 8 yds to the NDame 21

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Audric Estime run for 6 yds to the NDame 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Audric Estime run for 2 yds to the NDame 29

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Tyler Buchner pass complete to Chris Tyree for 6 yds to the NDame 35

3rd & 2Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.24

Tyler Buchner pass complete to Matt Salerno for 31 yds to the OhSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.41

Tyler Buchner pass complete to Kevin Bauman for 22 yds to the OhSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Chris Tyree run for 5 yds to the OhSt 7

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Tyler Buchner run for 3 yds to the OhSt 4

3rd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.63

Tyler Buchner pass complete to Michael Mayer for 3 yds to the OhSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Audric Estime 1 Yd Run (Blake Grupe Kick)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Dawand Jones) to the OhSt 20

1st & 15Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.63

TreVeyon Henderson run for 9 yds to the OhSt 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the OhSt 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.85

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 21 yds to the NDame 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.82

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Cade Stover for 1 yd to the NDame 46

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr., broken up by Benjamin Morrison

3rd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 6 yds to the NDame 40

4th & 3Penalty0 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, Delay of Game declined

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 35 yds, downed at the NDame 5

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Logan Diggs run for 4 yds to the NDame 9

2nd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.62

Tyler Buchner run for 12 yds to the NDame 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Logan Diggs run for 7 yds to the NDame 28

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Logan Diggs run for no gain to the NDame 28

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Tyler Buchner pass incomplete to Michael Mayer

4th & 3Punt+4 yds

Jon Sot punt for 52 yds , Emeka Egbuka returns for 4 yds to the OhSt 24

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Miyan Williams run for 8 yds to the OhSt 32

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.01

Miyan Williams run for 3 yds to the OhSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.18

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 34

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Cade Stover for 6 yds to the OhSt 40

3rd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.51

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 12 yds to the NDame 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.56

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Cade Stover for 7 yds to the NDame 41

2nd & 3Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.43

TreVeyon Henderson run for 16 yds to the NDame 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Emeka Egbuka, broken up by Clarence Lewis

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the NDame 21

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Emeka Egbuka

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+39 yds

Noah Ruggles 39 Yard Field Goal Missed

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Chris Tyree run for 1 yd to the NDame 22

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Tyler Buchner pass incomplete to Braden Lenzy

3rd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Chris Tyree run for 5 yds to the NDame 27

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jon Sot punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Emeka Egbuka at the OhSt 24

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.77

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 23

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 4 yds to the OhSt 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.

4th & 6Punt+27 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Deion Colzie at the OHIOST 29 OHIO ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Jayden Ballard) to the NDame 44

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tyler Buchner pass incomplete to Lorenzo Styles

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Tyler Buchner pass incomplete to Jayden Thomas, broken up by Jack Sawyer

3rd & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +3.44

Tyler Buchner run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down OHIO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Lathan Ransom) to the OhSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.87

Audric Estime run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 36

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Tyler Buchner run for no gain to the OhSt 36

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Tyler Buchner pass incomplete to Braden Lenzy, broken up by Denzel Burke

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jon Sot punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Emeka Egbuka at the OhSt 7

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Miyan Williams run for 4 yds to the OhSt 11

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Miyan Williams run for 8 yds to the OhSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Miyan Williams run for 3 yds to the OhSt 22

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 5 yds to the OhSt 27

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.91

C.J. Stroud run for 3 yds to the OhSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Cade Stover

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jayden Ballard for 4 yds to the OhSt 34

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 4 yds to the OhSt 38

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Deion Colzie at the NDame 12

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Audric Estime run for 1 yd to the NDame 13

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Audric Estime run for 3 yds to the NDame 16

3rd & 6Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.71

Tyler Buchner pass complete to Michael Mayer for 17 yds Michael Mayer fumbled, recovered by NDame

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.10

Tyler Buchner sacked by Tommy Eichenberg for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 32

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Chris Tyree run for 3 yds to the NDame 35

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Tyler Buchner pass incomplete to Michael Mayer

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jon Sot punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Emeka Egbuka at the OhSt 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.51

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 16 yds to the OhSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Dawand Jones) to the OhSt 41

1st & 15Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.60

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 11 yds to the NDame 48

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.46

TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the NDame 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.91

TreVeyon Henderson run for 9 yds to the NDame 34

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

TreVeyon Henderson run for 1 yd to the NDame 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.87

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jayden Ballard for 10 yds to the NDame 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the NDame 19

2nd & 6Penalty-15 yds

Stroud, C.J. pass incomplete to Johnson, Xavier, PENALTY OHIOST illegal block (Henderson, TreVeyon) 15 yards to the NOTREDAME34, NO PLAY.

2nd & 21Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.97

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Xavier Johnson for 10 yds to the NDame 24

3rd & 11Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +3.78

Xavier Johnson 24 Yd pass from C.J. Stroud (Noah Ruggles Kick)

3rd & 11Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Jayden Fielding kickoff for 63 yds , Chris Tyree return for 11 yds to the NDame 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.42

Tyler Buchner pass complete to Braden Lenzy for 32 yds to the NDame 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.04

Chris Tyree run for 14 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Buchner, Tyler pass incomplete to Salerno, Matt, PENALTY NOTREDAME pass interference (Salerno, Matt) 15 yards to the NOTREDAME44, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Tyler Buchner run for 7 yds to the OhSt 49

2nd & 18Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Chris Tyree run for no gain to the OhSt 49

3rd & 18Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Tyler Buchner run for 2 yds to the OhSt 47

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Jon Sot punt for 42 yds, downed at the OhSt 5

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the OhSt 10

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

TreVeyon Henderson run for 7 yds to the OhSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 4 yds to the OhSt 21

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the OhSt 24

3rd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.65

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Miyan Williams for 12 yds to the OhSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Miyan Williams run for 4 yds to the OhSt 40

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.55

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 11 yds to the NDame 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Dawand Jones) to the OhSt 46

1st & 15Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.50

Miyan Williams run for 11 yds to the NDame 43

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.49

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 9 yds to the NDame 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Miyan Williams run for 5 yds to the NDame 29

2nd & 5Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.31

Miyan Williams run for 15 yds to the NDame 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.34

Miyan Williams run for 12 yds to the NDame 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Miyan Williams run for no gain to the NDame 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Miyan Williams 2 Yd Run (Noah Ruggles Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyler Buchner pass incomplete to Braden Lenzy

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Tyler Buchner pass incomplete to Michael Mayer, broken up by Steele Chambers

3rd & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.26

Tyler Buchner sacked by Michael Hall Jr. for a loss of 11 yards to the NDame 14

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Jon Sot punt for 75 yds, downed at the OhSt 11

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.55

TreVeyon Henderson run for 12 yds to the OhSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the OhSt 28

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the OhSt 32

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.98

C.J. Stroud run for 3 yds to the OhSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.32

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 33

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.52

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 32

Situational Analysis

Notre Dame

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
39%
18 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
29%
7 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
4th

Ohio State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
41%
27 plays
100%
3 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
67%
9 plays
29%
7 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
100%
1 play
100%
2 plays
4th