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← Back to GamesOct 29, 2022Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

TCU by 16.5

Home Win Probability

West Virginia 13%

Market (consensus)

West Virginia +7

Edge: TCU -7 (9.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 29, 2022

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No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
TCUTCU
72101341
West VirginiaWest Virginia
7143731

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-714-1421-2124-2824-3131-3431-41
West VirginiaTCU

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TCUWVTCUWVTCUWVTCUWVTCUWVWVWVTCUWVTCUWVTCUWVTCUWVTCUWVPUNT946ydTD880ydTD367ydTD1075ydTD575ydTO825ydTD151ydTD1589ydTD773ydEND27ydTO40ydFG42ydPUNT33ydDOWNS954ydFG1484ydPUNT3-9ydFG526ydTD1278ydTO30ydPUNT3-3ydTD750ydTO215yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing TCU and West Virginia
StatisticTCUWest Virginia
Passing16-2823-39
Pass Yards341275
Rush Yards153155
Total Yards494430
Turnovers22
3rd Down5-129-17
Penalties6-677-50
Possession23:4436:16

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

TCU
passing
Max Duggan
16/28, 341 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Kendre Miller
12 CAR, 120 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Taye Barber
4 REC, 99 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Jamoi Hodge
2 TFL, 1 PD
West Virginia
passing
JT Daniels
23/39, 275 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
CJ Donaldson
19 CAR, 104 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Sam James
6 REC, 95 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Parker Grothaus kickoff for 65 yds , Derius Davis return for 19 yds to the TCU 19

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Kendre Miller run for 6 yds to the TCU 25

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.55

Max Duggan run for 6 yds to the TCU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.31

Max Duggan pass complete to Derius Davis for 27 yds to the WVirg 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Quentin Johnston

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Max Duggan pass complete to Derius Davis for 5 yds to the WVirg 37

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.39

Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 10 yds to the WVirg 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Emari Demercado run for 4 yds to the WVirg 23

2nd & 6Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.73

Max Duggan sacked by Jared Bartlett for a loss of 12 yards to the WVirg 35

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Blake Nowell

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Jordy Sandy punt for 35 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.56

JT Daniels pass complete to CJ Donaldson for no gain to the WVirg 20

2nd & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.18

JT Daniels pass complete to Treylan Davis for 16 yds to the TCU 36 for a 1ST down TCU Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the TCU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +1.22

JT Daniels pass complete to Sam James for 36 yds to the TCU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TCU 23

1st & 20Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.44

CJ Donaldson run for 11 yds to the TCU 12

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.57

CJ Donaldson run for 10 yds to the TCU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

CJ Donaldson run for 1 yd to the TCU 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

CJ Donaldson run for no gain to the TCU 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

CJ Donaldson 1 Yd Run (Casey Legg Kick)

3rd & 9Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Parker Grothaus kickoff for 65 yds , Derius Davis return for 28 yds to the WESTVIR 37 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (-5 Yards) to the TCU 33

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.44

Max Duggan run for 6 yds to the TCU 39 TCU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TCU 29

1st & 14Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.59

Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for no gain to the TCU 29

2nd & 14Passing Touchdown+71 ydsPPA +6.87

Taye Barber 71 Yd pass from Max Duggan (Griffin Kell Kick)

2nd & 14Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Luke Laminack kickoff for 65 yds , Jeremiah Aaron return for 25 yds to the WVirg 25

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

JT Daniels run for 3 yds to the WVirg 28

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.23

CJ Donaldson run for 8 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

JT Daniels pass complete to Kaden Prather for 7 yds to the WVirg 43

2nd & 3Rush+38 ydsPPA +1.83

CJ Donaldson run for 38 yds to the TCU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-9 ydsPPA -1.42

Sam James run for 1 yd to the TCU 18 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TCU 28

1st & 19Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.95

JT Daniels pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 15 yds to the TCU 13

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

JT Daniels pass complete to Reese Smith for 7 yds to the TCU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Justin Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the TCU 5

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

CJ Donaldson run for 4 yds to the TCU 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

CJ Donaldson 1 Yd Run (Casey Legg Kick)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

TCU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TCU 15

1st & 20Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.16

Max Duggan pass complete to Kendre Miller for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 14

2nd & 21Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.19

Max Duggan pass complete to Savion Williams for 11 yds to the TCU 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.17

Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 13 yds to the TCU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Kendre Miller run for 7 yds to the TCU 45

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+55 ydsPPA +4.24

Quentin Johnston 55 Yd pass from Max Duggan (Griffin Kell Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Justin Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the WVirg 27

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.29

Justin Johnson Jr. run for 8 yds to the WVirg 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-4 yds

WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-4 Yards) to the WVirg 31

1st & 14Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

JT Daniels pass complete to Reese Smith for 6 yds to the WVirg 37

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Justin Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the WVirg 42

3rd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.03

JT Daniels pass complete to Garrett Greene for 9 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

JT Daniels pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Justin Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the TCU 45

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard line

3rd & 11Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+20 ydsPPA -0.92

JT Daniels run for 20 yds to the TCU 49 JT Daniels fumbled, recovered by TCU Lwal Uguak , return for 19 yds to the TCU 49

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+51 ydsPPA +3.92

Kendre Miller 51 Yd Run (Griffin Kell Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Luke Laminack kickoff for 65 yds , Jeremiah Aaron return for 11 yds to the WVirg 11

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Sam James run for 3 yds to the WVirg 14

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

JT Daniels pass incomplete

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

TCU Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the WVirg 19

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.53

CJ Donaldson run for 2 yds to the WVirg 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.49

JT Daniels pass complete to Kaden Prather for 1 yd to the WVirg 22

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

JT Daniels pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +3.80

JT Daniels pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 35 yds to the TCU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

JT Daniels pass complete to Sam James for 6 yds to the TCU 37

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.16

CJ Donaldson run for 4 yds to the TCU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

JT Daniels pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

CJ Donaldson run for 4 yds to the TCU 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.11

JT Daniels pass complete to Kaden Prather for 16 yds to the TCU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

JT Daniels pass complete to Garrett Greene for 4 yds to the TCU 9

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Justin Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the TCU 5

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Justin Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the TCU 5

4th & 2Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.91

Justin Johnson Jr. 5 Yd pass from JT Daniels (Casey Legg Kick)

4th & 2Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Parker Grothaus kickoff for 59 yds , Derius Davis return for 21 yds to the TCU 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 2 yds to the TCU 29

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.86

Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 13 yds to the TCU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Max Duggan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Max Duggan pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.72

Max Duggan pass complete to Derius Davis for 28 yds to the WVirg 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Max Duggan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +3.37

Emani Bailey 30 Yd Run (Griffin Kell Kick)

2nd & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Luke Laminack kickoff for 64 yds , Jeremiah Aaron return for 19 yds to the WVirg 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

JT Daniels pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Justin Johnson Jr. run for 7 yds to the WVirg 27

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

JT Daniels pass complete to Sam James for 11 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

CJ Donaldson run for 3 yds to the WVirg 39

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

CJ Donaldson run for 1 yd to the WVirg 40

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

JT Daniels pass incomplete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton

4th & 6Penalty-15 yds

WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the WVirg 25

4th & 21Punt-3 yds

Oliver Straw punt for 55 yds , Noah Daniels returns for a loss of 3 yards to the TCU 17 Noah Daniels fumbled, recovered by WVirg Malachi Ruffin

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

CJ Donaldson run for no gain to the TCU 17

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

CJ Donaldson run for 4 yds to the TCU 13

3rd & 6Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.69

JT Daniels sacked by Dylan Horton for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 15

4th & 8Field Goal Good+33 yds

Casey Legg 33 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kendre Miller run for 3 yds to the TCU 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Max Duggan pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Max Duggan pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jordy Sandy punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WVirg 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.21

JT Daniels pass complete to Cortez Braham for 15 yds to the TCU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.75

JT Daniels pass complete to Sam James for 24 yds to the TCU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

CJ Donaldson run for 4 yds to the TCU 15

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

CJ Donaldson run for 2 yds to the TCU 13

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.52

JT Daniels pass complete to Kaden Prather for 5 yds to the TCU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.29

JT Daniels pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 1 yd to the TCU 7

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

JT Daniels run for 3 yds to the TCU 4

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

JT Daniels pass incomplete

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.02

JT Daniels pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Max Duggan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.30

Kendre Miller run for 9 yds to the TCU 13

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.33

Kendre Miller run for 3 yds to the TCU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+57 ydsPPA +3.84

Max Duggan pass complete to Savion Williams for 57 yds to the WVirg 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Max Duggan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.23

Emari Demercado run for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 30

3rd & 13Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.93

Max Duggan pass complete to Emari Demercado for 10 yds to the WVirg 20

4th & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.11

Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 11 yds to the WVirg 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Emari Demercado run for 2 yds to the WVirg 7

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Emari Demercado run for 5 yds to the WVirg 2 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Personal Foul (1 Yards) to the WVirg 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.27

Emari Demercado run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Quentin Johnston run for 2 yds to the WVirg 1

3rd & 1Rush-11 ydsPPA -1.32

Quentin Johnston run for a loss of 11 yards to the WVirg 12

4th & 12Field Goal Good+30 yds

Griffin Kell 30 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

JT Daniels pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.57

JT Daniels sacked by Jamoi Hodge for a loss of 9 yards to the WVirg 16

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

JT Daniels pass incomplete

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Oliver Straw punt for 38 yds, downed at the TCU 46

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.28

Kendre Miller run for 21 yds to the WVirg 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Kendre Miller run for 8 yds to the WVirg 25

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Max Duggan run for no gain to the WVirg 25

3rd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.31

Max Duggan run for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 28

4th & 5Field Goal Good+46 yds

Griffin Kell 46 Yd Field Goal

4th & 5Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Luke Laminack kickoff for 60 yds , Jeremiah Aaron return for 17 yds to the WVirg 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

JT Daniels pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

CJ Donaldson run for 6 yds to the WVirg 28

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.86

JT Daniels pass complete to Sam James for 10 yds to the WVirg 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.17

JT Daniels sacked by Dylan Horton for a loss of 10 yards to the WVirg 28

2nd & 20Penalty+12 yds

TCU Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (12 Yards) to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jaylen Anderson run for 5 yds to the WVirg 45

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.17

JT Daniels pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jaylen Anderson run for 4 yds to the WVirg 49

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.19

Justin Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

JT Daniels pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.81

JT Daniels pass complete to Sam James for 8 yds to the TCU 41

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.95

Justin Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the TCU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

TCU Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the TCU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.66

Reese Smith 23 Yd pass from JT Daniels (Casey Legg Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Max Duggan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Max Duggan pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.55

Max Duggan pass intercepted Malachi Ruffin return for no gain to the WVirg 16

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

JT Daniels pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.28

Jaylen Anderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 13

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

JT Daniels pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Oliver Straw punt for 37 yds, downed at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Kendre Miller run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 49

2nd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.81

Kendre Miller run for 8 yds to the WVirg 43

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.29

Max Duggan run for 5 yds to the WVirg 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Kendre Miller run for 3 yds to the WVirg 35

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Kendre Miller run for 2 yds to the WVirg 33

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Emari Demercado run for 4 yds to the WVirg 29

4th & 1Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +3.94

Max Duggan pass complete to Savion Williams for 29 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell KICK)

4th & 1Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Luke Laminack kickoff for 57 yds , Jeremiah Aaron return for 13 yds to the WVirg 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.18

JT Daniels pass complete to Jaylen Anderson for 15 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+37 ydsPPA -1.85

JT Daniels pass intercepted Bud Clark return for 37 yds to the WVirg 25

Situational Analysis

TCU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
35%
20 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
10 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays

West Virginia

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
31%
29 plays
100%
3 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
47%
17 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
43%
7 plays
100%
1 play
0%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play