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← Back to GamesOct 15, 2022Week 7
Iowa StateIowa State
21
-Final
24
TexasTexas
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Texas by 12.2

Home Win Probability

Texas 78%

Market (consensus)

Texas -15.5

Edge: Iowa State +15.5 (3.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 15, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Iowa StateIowa State
707721
TexasTexas
0143724

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-717-717-1417-2124-21
TexasIowa State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ISTEXISTEXISTEXISTEXISTEXISTEXISTEXISTEXISTEXISTEXPUNT33ydMISS40ydPUNT34ydPUNT4-2ydTD1184ydDOWNS633ydTO953ydTD980ydPUNT617ydTD980ydEND13ydFG1375ydMISS947ydPUNT33ydTD262ydPUNT720ydTD1373ydTD1175ydTO843ydEND59yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Iowa State and Texas
StatisticIowa StateTexas
Passing25-3617-26
Pass Yards329172
Rush Yards74191
Total Yards403363
Turnovers20
3rd Down9-156-13
Penalties6-404-30
Possession28:4331:17

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Iowa State
passing
Hunter Dekkers
25/36, 329 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Hunter Dekkers
8 CAR, 30 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Xavier Hutchinson
10 REC, 154 YDS
defense
Texas
passing
Quinn Ewers
17/26, 172 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Bijan Robinson
28 CAR, 135 YDS
receiving
Xavier Worthy
8 REC, 72 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Hunter Dekkers run for 1 yd to the IowSt 26

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 21

2nd & 14Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Deon Silas run for 4 yds to the IowSt 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jirehl Brock for 3 yds to the IowSt 28

4th & 7Blocked Punt0 yds

TEAM punt blocked by Keilan Robinson blocked by Keilan Robinson

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Bijan Robinson run for no gain to the IowSt 21

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Ja'Tavion Sanders

3rd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.76

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for no gain to the IowSt 21

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+39 yds

Bert Auburn 39 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 4 yds to the IowSt 25

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Hunter Dekkers run for 4 yds to the IowSt 29

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Deon Silas run for 1 yd to the IowSt 30

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

IOWA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 25

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Tyler Perkins punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Xavier Worthy at the Texas 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.69

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 24 yds to the IowSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.45

Bijan Robinson run for a loss of 4 yards to the IowSt 39

2nd & 14Penalty-10 yds

TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the IowSt 49

2nd & 24Fumble Recovery (Own)-16 ydsPPA -0.99

Quinn Ewers run for a loss of 16 yards to the Texas 35 Quinn Ewers fumbled, recovered by Texas Quinn Ewers

3rd & 40Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.00

Roschon Johnson run for 4 yds to the Texas 39

4th & 36Punt0 yds

Daniel Trejo punt for 45 yds, downed at the IowSt 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.06

Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 16 yds to the IowSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.91

Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 21 yds to the Texas 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.80

Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 17 yds to the Texas 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Cartevious Norton run for 2 yds to the Texas 28

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

IOWA ST Penalty, Illegal Procedure (-5 Yards) to the Texas 33

2nd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Deon Silas run for 4 yds to the Texas 29

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.36

Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 11 yds to the Texas 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to Jaylin Noel

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.30

Hunter Dekkers run for 8 yds to the Texas 10

3rd & 2Penalty+5 yds

TEXAS Penalty, Defensive Offside (Keondre Coburn) to the Texas 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Cartevious Norton run for no gain to the Texas 5

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Cartevious Norton run for no gain to the Texas 5

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Jaylin Noel 5 Yd pass from Hunter Dekkers (Jace Gilbert Kick)

3rd & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Keegan Shackford kickoff for 50 yds , Keilan Robinson return for 12 yds to the Texas 27

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Bijan Robinson run for 7 yds to the Texas 34

2nd & 3Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ja'Tavion Sanders for 18 yds to the IowSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -2.36

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Bijan Robinson for a loss of 6 yards to the Texas 46

2nd & 16Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.89

Bijan Robinson run for 9 yds to the IowSt 45

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Roschon Johnson run for 5 yds to the IowSt 40

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.91

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 7 yds to the IowSt 47

2nd & 3Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.15

Hunter Dekkers pass complete to DeShawn Hanika for 20 yds to the Texas 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Deon Silas run for 1 yd to the Texas 32

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 4 yds to the Texas 28

3rd & 5Penalty+5 yds

TEXAS Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Texas 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Deon Silas run for 3 yds to the Texas 20

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.27

Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 9 yds to the Texas 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Hunter Dekkers run for 7 yds to the Texas 4

2nd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.62

Deon Silas run for a loss of 3 yards to the Texas 7

3rd & 6Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.16

Hunter Dekkers pass intercepted, touchback. Jaylan Ford return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Bijan Robinson run for 2 yds to the Texas 22

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.28

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ja'Tavion Sanders for 13 yds to the Texas 35 for a 1ST down IOWA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Bijan Robinson run for 3 yds to the IowSt 47

3rd & 7Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 22 yds to the IowSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Bijan Robinson run for 7 yds to the IowSt 18

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Bijan Robinson run for 3 yds to the IowSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Xavier Worthy 15 Yd pass from Quinn Ewers (Bert Auburn Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Will Stone kickoff for 62 yds , Jaylin Noel return for 12 yds to the IowSt 15

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to Jaylin Noel

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to Jaylin Noel

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.48

Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 14 yds to the IowSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Jirehl Brock run for 2 yds to the IowSt 31

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 6 yds to the IowSt 37

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 32

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Tyler Perkins punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Xavier Worthy at the Texas 20

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.11

Bijan Robinson run for 25 yds to the Texas 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ja'Tavion Sanders for 6 yds to the IowSt 49

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.97

Roschon Johnson run for 1 yd to the IowSt 48

3rd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.39

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Bijan Robinson for 3 yds to the IowSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Bijan Robinson run for 7 yds to the IowSt 38

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.01

Bijan Robinson run for 3 yds to the IowSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Bijan Robinson run for 4 yds to the IowSt 31

2nd & 6Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.16

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Bijan Robinson for 26 yds to the IowSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Jordan Whittington 5 Yd pass from Quinn Ewers (Bert Auburn Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Will Stone kickoff for 64 yds , Jaylin Noel return for 17 yds to the IowSt 18

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Deon Silas run for 3 yds to the IowSt 21

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Keegan Shackford kickoff for 65 yds , Keilan Robinson return for 22 yds to the TEXAS 43 TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Texas 12

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Bijan Robinson run for 8 yds to the Texas 20

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.18

Bijan Robinson run for 7 yds to the Texas 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.92

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 21 yds to the Texas 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.15

Roschon Johnson run for 9 yds to the IowSt 43

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.15

Roschon Johnson run for 7 yds to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Bijan Robinson run for 1 yd to the IowSt 35

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.86

Bijan Robinson run for 10 yds to the IowSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

IOWA ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the IowSt 20

1st & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 1 yd to the IowSt 19

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.04

Roschon Johnson run for 5 yds to the IowSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Roschon Johnson run for 1 yd to the IowSt 13

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+31 yds

Bert Auburn 31 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to Jaylin Noel

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to Jaylin Noel

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.98

Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 11 yds to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.10

Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 27 yds to the Texas 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.31

Deon Silas run for 10 yds to the Texas 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Deon Silas run for 1 yd to the Texas 26

2nd & 9Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.19

Hunter Dekkers sacked by Moro Ojomo for a loss of 8 yards to the Texas 34

3rd & 17Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 6 yds to the Texas 28

4th & 11Field Goal Missed+46 yds

Jace Gilbert 46 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.01

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 26

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Bijan Robinson run for 2 yds to the Texas 28

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Quinn Ewers run for 3 yds to the Texas 31

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Daniel Trejo punt for 31 yds, downed at the IowSt 38

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Cartevious Norton run for 8 yds to the IowSt 46

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+54 ydsPPA +3.92

Jaylin Noel 54 Yd pass from Hunter Dekkers (Drake Nettles Kick)

2nd & 2Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Keegan Shackford kickoff for 61 yds , Keilan Robinson return for 18 yds to the Texas 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.75

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 10 yds to the Texas 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Bijan Robinson run for 6 yds to the Texas 38

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Bijan Robinson run for 3 yds to the Texas 41

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.00

Bijan Robinson run for 1 yd to the Texas 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Casey Cain

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Quinn Ewers pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Daniel Trejo punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the IowSt 27

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Deon Silas run for 1 yd to the IowSt 28

2nd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.38

Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 1 yd to the IowSt 29

3rd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.86

Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 18 yds to the IowSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.80

Hunter Dekkers pass complete to DeShawn Hanika for 11 yds to the Texas 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 5 yds to the Texas 37

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Eli Sanders run for 3 yds to the Texas 34

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.66

Cartevious Norton run for 3 yds to the Texas 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.42

Eli Sanders run for a loss of 3 yards to the Texas 34

3rd & 13Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.30

Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 21 yds to the Texas 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Jirehl Brock run for 2 yds to the Texas 11

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +3.01

Hunter Dekkers 11 Yd Run (Jace Gilbert Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Bijan Robinson run for 5 yds to the Texas 30

2nd & 5Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.61

Bijan Robinson run for 14 yds to the Texas 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.08

Roschon Johnson run for 14 yds to the IowSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.57

Roschon Johnson run for 16 yds to the IowSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Bijan Robinson run for 4 yds to the IowSt 22

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.50

Bijan Robinson run for no gain to the IowSt 22

3rd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.84

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Bijan Robinson for 13 yds to the IowSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Roschon Johnson run for 7 yds to the IowSt 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Bijan Robinson run for 1 yd to the IowSt 1

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.46

Bijan Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 3

4th & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.92

Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 3 yds for a TD, (Bert Auburn KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Hunter Dekkers run for 3 yds to the IowSt 28

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Cartevious Norton run for 2 yds to the IowSt 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Hunter Dekkers pass complete to DeShawn Hanika for 3 yds to the IowSt 33

4th & 2Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.89

Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 15 yds to the IowSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.26

Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 20 yds to the Texas 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA -4.13

Hunter Dekkers run for 4 yds to the Texas 28 Hunter Dekkers fumbled, forced by Anthony Cook, recovered by Texas Jaylan Ford

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Bijan Robinson run for 4 yds to the Texas 32

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Bijan Robinson run for 5 yds to the Texas 37

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.03

Roschon Johnson run for 2 yds to the Texas 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.30

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 38

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.74

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 37

Situational Analysis

Iowa State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
37%
27 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
17%
12 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
88%
8 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Texas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
55%
29 plays
2nd
33%
6 plays
43%
7 plays
17%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
100%
1 play
43%
7 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays