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← Back to GamesOct 13, 2022Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Baylor by 6.8

Home Win Probability

West Virginia 30%

Market (consensus)

West Virginia +3

Edge: Baylor -3 (3.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 13, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
BaylorBaylor
3217940
West VirginiaWest Virginia
710141243

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-37-1016-2317-1724-2424-3131-3131-3740-3743-40
West VirginiaBaylor

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BAYWVBAYWVBAYWVBAYWVBAYBAYWVBAYWVWVBAYWVBAYWVBAYWVBAYWVBAYWVBAYPUNT35ydTD865ydFG1471ydPUNT626ydTD585ydPUNT34ydTD370ydFG1369ydTD342ydTD575ydPUNT33ydPUNT425ydEND115ydTD1075ydTD1374ydTD875ydTD674ydDOWNS930ydTO227ydTD672ydTO849ydTO1-5ydFG40ydFG861ydEND424yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Baylor and West Virginia
StatisticBaylorWest Virginia
Passing21-3724-37
Pass Yards421283
Rush Yards169217
Total Yards590500
Turnovers41
3rd Down4-117-13
Penalties2-125-46
Possession29:3530:25

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Baylor
passing
Blake Shapen
14/22, 326 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Richard Reese
13 CAR, 57 YDS
receiving
Gavin Holmes
7 REC, 210 YDS, 1 TD
defense
West Virginia
passing
JT Daniels
24/37, 283 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Tony Mathis
22 CAR, 163 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Kaden Prather
8 REC, 109 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Craig Williams run for 2 yds to the Bayl 27

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Blake Shapen run for 3 yds to the Bayl 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Blake Shapen pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt+4 yds

Issac Power punt for 39 yds , Preston Fox returns for 4 yds to the WVirg 35

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Tony Mathis Jr. run for 12 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

JT Daniels pass complete to Brian Polendey for 6 yds to the Bayl 47

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.49

JT Daniels pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 6 yds to the Bayl 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Tony Mathis Jr. run for 1 yd to the Bayl 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.47

JT Daniels pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 7 yds to the Bayl 33

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.72

Tony Mathis Jr. run for 7 yds to the Bayl 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.52

JT Daniels pass complete to Kaden Prather for 19 yds to the Bayl 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Tony Mathis Jr. 7 Yd Run (Casey Legg Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Richard Reese run for 5 yds to the Bayl 12

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Qualan Jones run for 2 yds to the Bayl 14

3rd & 3Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.98

Blake Shapen pass complete to Drake Dabney for 23 yds to the Bayl 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.51

Blake Shapen pass complete to Monaray Baldwin for 17 yds to the WVirg 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Jordan Nabors pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Qualan Jones run for 4 yds to the WVirg 42

3rd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.86

Qualan Jones run for 10 yds to the WVirg 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Richard Reese run for 2 yds to the WVirg 30

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Blake Shapen pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.33

Blake Shapen pass complete to Qualan Jones for 12 yds to the WVirg 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Blake Shapen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Richard Reese run for no gain to the WVirg 18

3rd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.44

Blake Shapen sacked by Lee Kpogba for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 22

4th & 14Field Goal Good+40 yds

John Mayers 40 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

JT Daniels pass complete to Garrett Greene for 7 yds to the WVirg 32

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Garrett Greene run for 1 yd to the WVirg 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.93

JT Daniels pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 11 yds to the WVirg 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Tony Mathis Jr. run for 1 yd to the WVirg 45

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Tony Mathis Jr. run for 6 yds to the Bayl 49

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.06

Tony Mathis Jr. run for no gain to the Bayl 49

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Oliver Straw punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Gavin Holmes at the Bayl 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Blake Shapen pass complete to Drake Dabney for 7 yds to the Bayl 22

2nd & 3Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.42

Craig Williams run for 18 yds to the Bayl 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+56 ydsPPA +3.07

Blake Shapen pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 56 yds to the WVirg 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Richard Reese run for 3 yds to the WVirg 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Ben Sims 1 Yd Run (John Mayers Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Justin Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the WVirg 30

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.86

Justin Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

JT Daniels pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+1 yds

Oliver Straw punt for 42 yds , Gavin Holmes returns for 1 yd to the Bayl 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.32

Blake Shapen pass complete to Ben Sims for 14 yds to the Bayl 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.40

Blake Shapen pass complete to Drake Dabney for 21 yds to the WVirg 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +2.97

Gavin Holmes 35 Yd pass from Blake Shapen (John Mayers Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

JT Daniels pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.54

JT Daniels pass complete to Kaden Prather for 10 yds to the WVirg 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Tony Mathis Jr. run for 2 yds to the WVirg 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.03

JT Daniels pass complete to Kaden Prather for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

JT Daniels pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Justin Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the 50 yard line

3rd & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.36

JT Daniels pass complete to Reese Smith for 30 yds to the Bayl 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Justin Johnson Jr. run for 6 yds to the Bayl 14

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Justin Johnson Jr. run for 6 yds to the Bayl 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Justin Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the Bayl 7

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Justin Johnson Jr. run for 6 yds to the Bayl 1

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Bayl 6

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

JT Daniels pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+23 yds

Casey Legg 23 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete to Sam James

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Richard Reese run for 5 yds to the Bayl 28

2nd & 5Pass Reception+46 ydsPPA +3.40

Blake Shapen pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 46 yds to the WVirg 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Return Touchdown+65 ydsPPA -11.28

Jasir Cox 65 Yd Fumble Return (Casey Legg Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Craig Williams run for 5 yds to the Bayl 30

2nd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.42

Richard Reese run for 12 yds to the Bayl 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Roughing the Passer on JEFFERSON, Jordan enforced (Jordan Jefferson) to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Blake Shapen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.95

Craig Williams 39 Yd pass from Blake Shapen (John Mayers Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

JT Daniels pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

JT Daniels run for 3 yds to the WVirg 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

JT Daniels pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Oliver Straw punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Gavin Holmes at the Bayl 27

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

pass incomplete to Kaden Prather

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.84

Blake Shapen pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 20 yds to the Bayl 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Blake Shapen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Blake Shapen run for 5 yds to the WVirg 48

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Blake Shapen pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Issac Power punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Preston Fox at the WVirg 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.84

Blake Shapen pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 20 yds to the Bayl 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.72

Tony Mathis Jr. run for 15 yds to the WVirg 25 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Garrett Greene run for 2 yds to the WVirg 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

JT Daniels pass complete to Tony Mathis Jr. for 9 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tony Mathis Jr. run for 4 yds to the WVirg 40

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.21

Tony Mathis Jr. run for 7 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.90

JT Daniels pass complete to Kaden Prather for 8 yds to the Bayl 45

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Tony Mathis Jr. run for 2 yds to the Bayl 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.91

JT Daniels pass complete to Sam James for 9 yds to the Bayl 34

2nd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA -0.24

Tony Mathis Jr. run for 10 yds to the Bayl 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

JT Daniels pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +3.12

Kaden Prather 24 Yd pass from JT Daniels (Casey Legg Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Richard Reese run for 2 yds to the Bayl 28

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Blake Shapen pass complete to Hal Presley for 7 yds to the Bayl 35

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Blake Shapen pass incomplete

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.71

Richard Reese run for 2 yds to the Bayl 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Blake Shapen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.88

Richard Reese run for 22 yds to the WVirg 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Richard Reese run for 1 yd to the WVirg 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.35

Blake Shapen pass complete to Qualan Jones for 25 yds to the WVirg 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.55

Qualan Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 7

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Qualan Jones run for 5 yds to the WVirg 2

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Kyron Drones pass incomplete

4th & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.85

Hal Presley 2 Yd pass from Kyron Drones (John Mayers Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

JT Daniels pass complete to Justin Johnson Jr. for 4 yds to the WVirg 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Justin Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the WVirg 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.47

JT Daniels pass complete to Kaden Prather for 5 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.28

JT Daniels pass complete to Sam James for 32 yds to the Bayl 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

JT Daniels pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Justin Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Bayl 30

3rd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.32

JT Daniels pass complete to Sam James for 11 yds to the Bayl 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Justin Johnson Jr. 19 Yd Run (Casey Legg Kick)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.84

Richard Reese run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 25

2nd & 11Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.00

Kyron Drones pass complete to Monaray Baldwin for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.03

Kyron Drones pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 20 yds to the WVirg 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.28

Kyron Drones pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 18 yds to the WVirg 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Qualan Jones run for 8 yds to the WVirg 4

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.08

Qualan Jones 4 Yd Run (John Mayers PAT blocked)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

JT Daniels pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

JT Daniels pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 9 yds to the WVirg 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Tony Mathis Jr. run for 3 yds to the WVirg 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

JT Daniels pass complete to Jeremiah Aaron for 6 yds to the WVirg 43

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.55

Tony Mathis Jr. run for 4 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

JT Daniels pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.58

JT Daniels pass complete to Preston Fox for 7 yds to the Bayl 46

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

JT Daniels pass complete to Preston Fox for 2 yds to the Bayl 44

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.66

Tony Mathis Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 45

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.30

Monaray Baldwin run for 20 yds to the WVirg 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+7 ydsPPA -4.03

Qualan Jones run for 7 yds to the WVirg 28 Qualan Jones fumbled, recovered by WVirg Jasir Cox

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.67

JT Daniels pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 18 yds to the WVirg 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Justin Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the WVirg 49

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Justin Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 48

3rd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.99

JT Daniels pass complete to Kaden Prather for 18 yds to the Bayl 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

JT Daniels pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +3.60

Tony Mathis Jr. 34 Yd Run (Casey Legg Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Kyron Drones pass complete to Drake Dabney for 11 yds to the Bayl 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Qualan Jones run for 3 yds to the Bayl 46

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Kyron Drones pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.83

Kyron Drones pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 15 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Richard Reese run for 8 yds to the WVirg 31

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

BAYLOR Penalty, False Start (Brooks Miller) to the WVirg 36

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Malachi Ruffin) to the WVirg 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Qualan Jones run for 2 yds to the WVirg 19

2nd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA -4.16

Kyron Drones pass intercepted

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Ja'Quay Hubbard) to the WVirg 14

1st & 15Interception0 ydsPPA +0.00

JT Daniels pass intercepted WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on POLENDEY, Brian ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.99

Richard Reese run for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 30

2nd & 14Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Kyron Drones pass complete to Ben Sims for 4 yds to the WVirg 26

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Kyron Drones pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+44 yds

John Mayers 44 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

JT Daniels pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.14

JT Daniels pass complete to Kaden Prather for 12 yds to the WVirg 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Tony Mathis Jr. run for 9 yds to the Bayl 45

2nd & 1Rush+37 ydsPPA +0.66

Tony Mathis Jr. run for 37 yds to the Bayl 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Tony Mathis Jr. run for 6 yds to the Bayl 2

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

Tony Mathis Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 3

3rd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Tony Mathis Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Bayl 5

4th & 5Field Goal Good+22 yds

Casey Legg 22 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Kyron Drones run for 7 yds to the Bayl 30

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Kyron Drones pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Kyron Drones pass incomplete

4th & 3Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.93

Kyron Drones run for 17 yds to the Bayl 47 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Baylor

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
55%
33 plays
2nd
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
12 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
3 plays

West Virginia

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
47%
34 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
20%
5 plays
67%
6 plays
73%
15 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play