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← Back to GamesSep 11, 2022Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

TCU by 7.8

Home Win Probability

TCU 73%

Market (consensus)

TCU -40

Edge: Tarleton State +40 (32.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 11, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Tarleton State
0710017
TCUTCU
211714759

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428425628-038-759-17
TCUTarleton State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TSTCUTSTCUTCUTSTCUTSTCUTSTCUTSTCUTSTSTCUTSTCUTSTCUTSTCUTSTCUTSTO10ydTD862ydPUNT30ydMISS730ydTD411ydPUNT3-5ydTD450ydPUNT539ydTD780ydTD675ydTD663ydPUNT33ydFG1264ydEND24ydTD784ydTD1166ydFG1245ydTD263ydPUNT35ydTD663ydTO22ydTO533ydPUNT519ydPUNT430ydUncategorized313yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Tarleton State and TCU
StatisticTarleton StateTCU
Passing11-2628-34
Pass Yards210450
Rush Yards85180
Total Yards295630
Turnovers21
3rd Down4-117-12
Penalties4-203-20
Possession25:1834:42

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Tarleton State
passing
Beau Allen
11/25, 210 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Braelon Bridges
9 CAR, 32 YDS
receiving
Darius Cooper
6 REC, 117 YDS, 1 TD
defense
TCU
passing
Max Duggan
23/29, 390 YDS, 5 TD
rushing
Kendre Miller
13 CAR, 56 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jordan Hudson
5 REC, 76 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.61

Beau Allen pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 10 yds to the TCU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Adrian Guzman kickoff for 49 yds , Taye Barber return for 22 yds to the TCU 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.82

Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 12 yds to the trlst 40 for a 1ST down

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Quentin Johnston, broken up by Jalen Carr

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Max Duggan run for 2 yds to the trlst 33

4th & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.92

Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 12 yds to the trlst 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Kendre Miller run for 2 yds to the trlst 19

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.84

Max Duggan pass complete to Derius Davis for 19 yds for a TD, (Griffin Kell PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kendre Miller run for 5 yds to the trlst 35

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+40 yds

Luke Laminack kickoff for 60 yds , Deangelo Rosemond return for 40 yds to the trlst 45

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Luke Laminack kickoff for 65 yds , Deangelo Rosemond return for 16 yds to the trlst 16

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+43 yds

Adrian Guzman kickoff for 43 yds , Taye Barber return for no gain to the TCU 34 , Derius Davis return for 14 yds to the TCU 34

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Adrian Guzman kickoff for 39 yds , Taye Barber return for 11 yds to the TCU 37

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Luke Laminack kickoff for 64 yds , Deangelo Rosemond return for 22 yds to the trlst 23

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jake Walrath punt for 22 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Beau Allen pass incomplete to Darius Cooper, broken up by Dylan Horton

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

pass incomplete to Darius Cooper

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Beau Allen pass incomplete to Gabe Douglas, broken up by Tre'Vius Hodges-Tomlinson

4th & 13Field Goal Missed+36 yds

Luke Laminack 36 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Kendre Miller run for 7 yds to the trlst 40

2nd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.25

Kendre Miller run for 10 yds to the trlst 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.27

Max Duggan pass complete to Savion Williams for 16 yds to the trlst 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Emari Demercado run for 1 yd to the trlst 13

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Emari Demercado run for 1 yd to the trlst 12

3rd & 8Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.21

Max Duggan sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the trlst 17

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.78

Jared Wiley 6 Yd pass from Max Duggan (Derius Davis Run for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Max Duggan pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 4 yds to the trlst 7

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Emari Demercado run for 1 yd to the trlst 6

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Jake Walrath punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Deangelo Rosemond run for a loss of 2 yards to the trlst 23

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Deangelo Rosemond run for 2 yds to the trlst 25

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Beau Allen pass incomplete to Darius Cooper, broken up by Abraham Camara

4th & 10Penalty-5 yds

TARLETON ST Penalty, false start (DeJuan Miller) to the trlst 20

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Kendre Miller run for 1 yd for a TD, (Luke Laminack KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +1.79

Max Duggan pass complete to Blake Nowell for 44 yds to the trlst 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Kendre Miller run for 1 yd to the trlst 5

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Max Duggan run for 4 yds to the trlst 1

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jake Walrath punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.15

Beau Allen pass complete to Darius Cooper for 24 yds to the trlst 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.73

Beau Allen pass complete to Jaden Smith for 11 yds to the TCU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

pass incomplete to Ontario Douglas

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Ontario Douglas run for 3 yds to the TCU 37

3rd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Beau Allen pass complete to Ontario Douglas for 1 yd to the TCU 36

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -0.95

TCU Penalty, Offensive holding (Wes Harris) to the TCU 10

1st & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Emari Demercado run for 3 yds to the TCU 13

2nd & 17Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.91

Max Duggan pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 31 yds to the TCU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.96

Max Duggan pass complete to Quincy Brown for 12 yds to the trlst 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Max Duggan pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 5 yds to the trlst 39

2nd & 5Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.11

Max Duggan pass complete to Chase Curtis for 37 yds to the trlst 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Quincy Brown 2 Yd pass from Max Duggan (Luke Laminack Kick)

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Darius Cooper 21 Yd pass from Beau Allen (Adrian Guzman Kick)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Deangelo Rosemond run for 8 yds to the trlst 33

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Deangelo Rosemond run for 1 yd to the trlst 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Deangelo Rosemond run for 3 yds to the trlst 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

pass incomplete to Darius Cooper

2nd & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +3.48

Beau Allen pass complete to Jaden Smith for 42 yds to the TCU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Sam Jackson 1 Yd Run (Luke Laminack Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Kendre Miller run for 1 yd to the TCU 38

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Sam Jackson pass complete to Trent Battle for 3 yds to the TCU 41

3rd & 6Penalty+5 yds

TARLETON ST Penalty, off-side (Javier Duran) to the TCU 46

3rd & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.92

Kendre Miller run for 14 yds to the trlst 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85
2nd & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +3.10

Sam Jackson pass complete to Gunnar Henderson for 39 yds to the trlst 1 for a 1ST down

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Beau Allen pass incomplete to Gabe Douglas, broken up by George Ellis III

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jake Walrath punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Beau Allen run for 3 yds to the trlst 48

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Beau Allen pass incomplete to Darius Cooper, broken up by Abraham Camara

3rd & 4Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.59

Max Duggan pass complete to Kendre Miller for 21 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Max Duggan pass complete to Blake Nowell for 8 yds to the trlst 47

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.27

pass incomplete to Blake Nowell

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.13

Kendre Miller run for 2 yds to the trlst 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Max Duggan pass complete to Derius Davis for 4 yds to the trlst 41

2nd & 6Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.00

Max Duggan pass complete to Geor'Quarius Spivey for 23 yds to the trlst 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35
2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Derius Davis, broken up by Segun Ijiyera

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

pass incomplete to Blair Conwright

4th & 10Field Goal Good+36 yds

Luke Laminack 36 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Kendre Miller run for 7 yds to the TCU 25

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.88

Max Duggan run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 24

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ontario Douglas run for 4 yds to the trlst 29

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ontario Douglas run for 5 yds to the TCU 35

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Deangelo Rosemond 1 Yd Run (Adrian Guzman Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.89

Beau Allen pass complete to Darius Cooper for 14 yds to the trlst 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

pass incomplete to Darius Cooper

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Deangelo Rosemond run for 1 yd to the trlst 31

3rd & 9Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.75

Beau Allen pass complete to Jaden Smith for 29 yds to the TCU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85
2nd & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +3.10

Beau Allen pass complete to Darius Cooper for 39 yds to the TCU 1 for a 1ST down

2nd & 14Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +3.12

Quincy Brown 17 Yd pass from Max Duggan (Luke Laminack Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.79

Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 20 yds to the trlst 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kendre Miller run for 5 yds to the trlst 41

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

pass incomplete to Jared Wiley

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Taye Barber, broken up by Josh Kemp

4th & 5Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.90

Max Duggan pass complete to Gunnar Henderson for 17 yds to the trlst 24 for a 1ST down TARLETON ST Penalty, off-side. (Zechariah Hopkins) to the trlst 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Kendre Miller run for 1 yd to the trlst 23

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.26

Max Duggan pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 7 yds to the trlst 16

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.21

Max Duggan run for 3 yds to the trlst 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion-5 ydsPPA -0.66

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Jared Wiley, broken up by Qua'Shawn Washington TCU Penalty, inelgible downfield on pass (-5 Yards) to the trlst 18

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Emari Demercado run for 1 yd to the trlst 17

4th & 10Field Goal Good+47 yds

Adrian Guzman 47 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Deangelo Rosemond run for 9 yds to the trlst 34

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.28
3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Beau Allen run for 2 yds to the trlst 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Braelon Bridges run for 7 yds to the trlst 43

2nd & 3Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.02

Beau Allen pass complete to Darius Cooper for 13 yds to the TCU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TARLETON ST Penalty, false start (Darius Cooper) to the TCU 49

1st & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.13

Beau Allen pass complete to Jaden Smith for 10 yds to the TCU 39

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Braelon Bridges run for 2 yds to the TCU 37

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.05

Braelon Bridges run for 7 yds to the TCU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56
2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

pass incomplete to Darius Cooper

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

pass incomplete to Darius Cooper

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +2.79

Jordan Hudson 29 Yd pass from Max Duggan (Luke Laminack Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.26

Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 34 yds to the trlst 29 for a 1ST down

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jake Walrath punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Beau Allen pass complete to Darius Cooper for 6 yds to the trlst 31

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Braelon Bridges run for a loss of 1 yard to the trlst 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Beau Allen pass incomplete to Jaden Smith, broken up by Josh Newton

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Emani Bailey run for 4 yds to the TCU 41

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Emani Bailey run for 6 yds to the trlst 45

2nd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Sam Jackson pass complete to Blair Conwright for 8 yds to the trlst 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.05

Emani Bailey 37 Yd Run (Luke Laminack Kick)

2nd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA -0.37

Beau Allen pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Derrel Kelley III run for 2 yds to the trlst 25

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Trent Battle run for 4 yds to the trlst 34

2nd & 6Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.54

Sam Jackson run for 13 yds to the trlst 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.12

Sam Jackson run for 11 yds to the trlst 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Trent Battle run for 5 yds to the trlst 5

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -4.56

Trent Battle run for 5 yds to the trlst 20 Trent Battle fumbled, recovered by trlst Blake Smith

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jake Walrath punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Ontario Douglas run for a loss of 1 yard to the trlst 19

2nd & 11Penalty+5 yds

TCU Penalty, delay of game (George Ellis III) to the trlst 24

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.23

Ontario Douglas run for 11 yds to the trlst 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Ontario Douglas run for 1 yd to the trlst 36

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Braelon Bridges run for 3 yds to the trlst 39

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Alaka'I Yuen pass incomplete to Kyle Weber, broken up by Marvin Covington

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jordy Sandy punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.93

Corey Wren run for 22 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Corey Wren run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Josh Hoover pass complete to Chase Jackson for 2 yds to the trlst 48

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Corey Wren run for 1 yd to the trlst 47

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.83

Braelon Bridges run for 9 yds to the trlst 19

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.24

Braelon Bridges run for 4 yds to the trlst 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Braelon Bridges run for 1 yd to the trlst 23

Situational Analysis

Tarleton State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
39%
23 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
22%
9 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
4th

TCU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
63%
32 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
40%
10 plays
50%
6 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play