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← Back to GamesSep 3, 2022Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Kansas State by 8.9

Home Win Probability

Kansas State 72%

Market (consensus)

Kansas State -27

Edge: South Dakota +27 (18.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 3, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
South Dakota
00000
Kansas StateKansas State
2077034

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-020-027-034-0
Kansas StateSouth Dakota

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20KSSDKSSDSDKSSDKSSDKSSDKSSDKSSDSDKSSDKSSDKSSDKSSDKSTD175ydPUNT39ydPUNT614ydTD3-3ydPUNT42ydDOWNS1026ydTO20ydTD563ydDOWNS537ydPUNT34ydPUNT3-2ydTD878ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT34ydUncategorized744ydPUNT3-1ydTD1163ydDOWNS1139ydPUNT30ydDOWNS622ydPUNT35ydPUNT55ydMISS1048ydDOWNS1471ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing South Dakota and Kansas State
StatisticSouth DakotaKansas State
Passing18-3415-19
Pass Yards13995
Rush Yards131297
Total Yards270392
Turnovers10
3rd Down5-165-14
Penalties9-754-34
Possession27:4132:19

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

South Dakota
passing
Carson Camp
18/34, 139 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Shomari Lawrence
14 CAR, 84 YDS
receiving
Jack Martens
2 REC, 35 YDS
defense
Kansas State
passing
Adrian Martinez
11/15, 53 YDS
rushing
Deuce Vaughn
18 CAR, 126 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Will Swanson
2 REC, 23 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Malik Knowles run for 75 yds for a TD, (Chris Tennant KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Carson Camp pass complete to Travis Theis for 2 yds to the SDako 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Carson Camp pass complete to Austin Goehring for 7 yds to the SDako 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Travis Theis run for no gain to the SDako 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

John Bickle punt for 61 yds, downed at the KanSt 5

4th & 1Punt0 yds

John Bickle punt for 61 yds, downed at the KanSt 5

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the KanSt 8

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kade Warner for 6 yds to the KanSt 14

3rd & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Malik Knowles for 7 yds to the KanSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Deuce Vaughn run for 6 yds to the KanSt 27

2nd & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.00

Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 24

3rd & 7Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.31

Deuce Vaughn run for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 19

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Ty Zentner punt for 49 yds

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Ty Zentner punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Carter Bell at the SDako 32

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Carson Camp pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH DAKOTA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SDako 27

2nd & 15Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.33

Carson Camp sacked by Felix Anudike-Uzomah for a loss of 4 yards to the SDako 23

3rd & 19Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.02

Carson Camp pass complete to JJ Galbreath for 6 yds to the SDako 29

4th & 13Blocked Punt Touchdown+17 ydsPPA -6.71

Desmond Purnell 17 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Chris Tennant Kick)

1st & 10Punt0 yds

John Bickle punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Shomari Lawrence run for 2 yds to the SDako 27

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

SOUTH DAKOTA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Austin Goehring) to the SDako 20

2nd & 15Penalty0 yds

SOUTH DAKOTA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Isaac Erbes) declined

3rd & 15Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.13

Carson Camp pass complete to Carter Bell for a loss of 2 yards to the SDako 25

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Deuce Vaughn run for 9 yds to the KanSt 41

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.85

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Sammy Wheeler for 10 yds to the SDako 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 48

1st & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 8 yds to the SDako 44

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the SDako 40

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.14

Adrian Martinez run for 5 yds to the SDako 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Malik Knowles for 2 yds to the SDako 33

3rd & 8Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Adrian Martinez sacked by Michael Scott for a loss of 1 yard to the SDako 34

4th & 9Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.61

Adrian Martinez sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the SDako 42

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Carson Camp pass incomplete

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -1.29

Carson Camp pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.04

Deuce Vaughn run for 11 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 4 yds to the SDako 48

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.17

Adrian Martinez run for 9 yds to the SDako 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.14

Deuce Vaughn run for 39 yds for a TD, (Chris Tennant PAT MISSED)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+35 yds

Ty Zentner kickoff for 59 yds , Wesley Eliodor return for 35 yds to the SDako 41

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +1.84

Travis Theis run for 29 yds to the KanSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.19

Carson Camp pass complete to Travis Theis for a loss of 4 yards Travis Theis fumbled, recovered by SDako

2nd & 14Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Travis Theis run for 5 yds to the KanSt 29

3rd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Travis Theis run for 8 yds to the KanSt 21

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -3.59

Travis Theis run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 22

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the KanSt 25

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

MARTINEZ, Adrian scrambles to the right for a gain of 2 yards to the KSU27 (HARDEN, Myles), out of bounds. PENALTY KSU Holding on BEEBE, Cooper enforced 10 yards from the KSU25 to the KSU15 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 17Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.06

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 2 yds to the KanSt 17

3rd & 15Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.11

Deuce Vaughn run for 9 yds to the KanSt 26

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Ty Zentner punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Carter Bell at the SDako 28

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Ty Zentner punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Carter Bell at the SDako 28

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.17

Travis Theis run for a loss of 4 yards to the SDako 24

2nd & 14Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.42

Carson Camp run for 9 yds to the SDako 33

3rd & 5Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.70

Carson Camp sacked by Brendan Mott for a loss of 7 yards to the SDako 26

4th & 12Punt0 yds

John Bickle punt for 52 yds, downed at the KanSt 22

4th & 12Punt0 yds

John Bickle punt for 52 yds, downed at the KanSt 22

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.42

Adrian Martinez run for 17 yds to the KanSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Deuce Vaughn run for 5 yds to the KanSt 44

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the KanSt 47

3rd & 2Penalty+15 yds

SOUTH DAKOTA Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Michael Scott) to the SDako 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.45

DJ Giddens run for 16 yds to the SDako 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Malik Knowles for 5 yds to the SDako 17

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.52

DJ Giddens run for 11 yds to the SDako 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Adrian Martinez run for 6 yds for a TD, (Chris Tennant KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Carson Camp pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Shomari Lawrence run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDako 24

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Carson Camp pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

John Bickle punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 45

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

BROOKS, Phillip rush to the right for no gain to the KSU45 (GANUES, Josiah), out of bounds. PENALTY KSU Holding on SWANSON, Will enforced 10 yards from the KSU45 to the KSU35 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Will Swanson for 5 yds to the KanSt 40

2nd & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Adrian Martinez run for 6 yds to the KanSt 46

3rd & 9Penalty+5 yds

SOUTH DAKOTA Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the SDako 49

3rd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.33

Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 49

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Ty Zentner punt for 44 yds, downed at the SDako 7

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.43

Travis Theis run for a loss of 4 yards to the SDako 3

2nd & 14Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.45

Carson Camp pass complete to Carter Bell for 13 yds to the SDako 16

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.52

run for 5 yds to the SDako 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.38

Shomari Lawrence run for 17 yds to the SDako 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.43

Carson Camp sacked by Jaylen Pickle for a loss of 2 yards to the SDako 36

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Shomari Lawrence run for 6 yds to the SDako 42

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.40

Carson Camp pass complete to Javion Phelps for 9 yds to the KanSt 49 for a 1ST down

0th & 6End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Carson Camp pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.58

Carson Camp sacked by Eli Huggins for a loss of 10 yards to the SDako 15

3rd & 20Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.06

Mike Mansaray run for 9 yds to the SDako 24

4th & 11Punt0 yds

John Bickle punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 37

4th & 11Punt0 yds

John Bickle punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 37

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Deuce Vaughn run for 9 yds to the KanSt 46

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.43

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.01

Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the KanSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Adrian Martinez run for 6 yds to the SDako 47

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the SDako 45

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Adrian Martinez run for no gain to the SDako 45

4th & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.52

Adrian Martinez run for 8 yds to the SDako 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the SDako 37

2nd & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.27

Deuce Vaughn run for 25 yds to the SDako 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.83

DJ Giddens run for 12 yds for a TD, (Chris Tennant KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Carson Camp pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.83

Carson Camp pass complete to Javion Phelps for 13 yds to the SDako 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Carson Camp pass complete to Austin Goehring for 3 yds to the SDako 41

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Carson Camp pass complete to Andrew Jacobs for 5 yds to the SDako 46

3rd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.67

Carson Camp pass complete to JJ Galbreath for 7 yds to the KanSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH DAKOTA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SDako 48

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Mike Mansaray run for 4 yds to the KanSt 48

2nd & 11Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.11

Carson Camp pass complete to JJ Galbreath for 19 yds to the KanSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

MANSARAY, Mike rush to the left for a gain of 3 yards to the KSU26 (SAVAGE, Kobe). PENALTY USD Holding on ELLINGSON, Caden enforced 10 yards from the KSU29 to the KSU39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.19

Shomari Lawrence run for 13 yds to the KanSt 26

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

LAWRENCE, Shomari rush to the left for a gain of 18 yards to the KSU8 (PAYNE, VJ). PENALTY USD Holding on ELLINGSON, Caden enforced 10 yards from the KSU26 to the KSU36 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Carson Camp pass incomplete

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Carson Camp pass incomplete

4th & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Carson Camp pass incomplete

4th & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Carson Camp pass incomplete

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.60

Adrian Martinez sacked by Micah Roane for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 32

2nd & 14Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kade Warner for 5 yds to the KanSt 37

3rd & 9Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kade Warner for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 36

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ty Zentner punt for 31 yds , returns for no gain to the SDako 33

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ty Zentner punt for 31 yds , returns for no gain to the SDako 35

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Carson Camp run for 5 yds to the SDako 40

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Carson Camp pass complete to Austin Goehring for 9 yds to the SDako 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Carson Camp pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Carson Camp pass complete to Shomari Lawrence for 6 yds to the KanSt 45

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Shomari Lawrence run for 3 yds to the KanSt 42

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.85

Travis Theis run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 43

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.85

Travis Theis run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 43

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

DJ Giddens run for 3 yds to the KanSt 46

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Jake Rubley pass complete to DJ Giddens for 3 yds to the KanSt 49

3rd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.12

Jake Rubley run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 48

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Ty Zentner punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Carter Bell at the SDako 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Carson Camp pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.34

Travis Theis run for 11 yds to the SDako 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Travis Theis run for 8 yds to the SDako 39

2nd & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)-14 ydsPPA -2.66

run for a loss of 14 yards to the SDako 25 fumbled, recovered by SDako Carson Camp

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Carson Camp pass incomplete

4th & 16Punt0 yds

John Bickle punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 27

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

DJ Giddens run for 6 yds to the KanSt 33

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Jake Rubley run for 3 yds to the KanSt 36

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.11

Jake Rubley run for 3 yds to the KanSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.50

Jake Rubley pass complete to Will Swanson for 18 yds to the SDako 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 19Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Jake Rubley pass complete to RJ Garcia II for 17 yds to the SDako 35

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA -0.06

DJ Giddens run for 9 yds to the SDako 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Jake Rubley run for 3 yds to the SDako 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jake Rubley pass complete to Christian Moore for 4 yds to the SDako 19

3rd & 3Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.61

Jake Rubley sacked by Michael Scott for a loss of 6 yards to the SDako 25

1st & 10Penalty-9 yds

RUBLEY, Jake pass to the right complete for 14 yards to MOORE, Christian caught at the USD29 and advanced to the USD29 (HILLIS, Stephen), out of bounds. PENALTY KSU Holding on HECHT, Sam enforced 9 yards from the USD43 to the KSU48 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+43 yds

Chris Tennant 43 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Shomari Lawrence run for 12 yds to the SDako 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

SOUTH DAKOTA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SDako 32

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Shomari Lawrence run for 3 yds to the SDako 35

2nd & 12Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.09

Carson Camp pass complete to Jack Martens for 22 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Carson Camp pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Shomari Lawrence run for 3 yds to the KanSt 40

3rd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.93

Carson Camp pass complete to Jack Martens for 13 yds to the KanSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Carson Camp pass complete to Jordan Sommerville for 1 yd to the KanSt 26

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Shomari Lawrence run for 2 yds to the KanSt 24

3rd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.92

Shomari Lawrence run for 13 yds to the KanSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Shomari Lawrence run for 4 yds to the KanSt 7

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Shomari Lawrence run for 2 yds to the KanSt 5

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Carson Camp pass incomplete

4th & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -3.99

Mike Mansaray run for 1 yd to the KanSt 4

4th & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -3.99

Mike Mansaray run for 1 yd to the KanSt 4

No play data available

Situational Analysis

South Dakota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
23%
22 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
50%
10 plays
75%
8 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
4th
0%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
3 plays

Kansas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
61%
23 plays
100%
3 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
17%
6 plays
43%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play