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← Back to GamesNov 13, 2022Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Oregon State by 22.6

Home Win Probability

Oregon State 92%

Market (consensus)

Oregon State -11.5

Edge: Oregon State -11.5 (11.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 13, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
CaliforniaCalifornia
070310
Oregon StateOregon State
14710738

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-021-021-724-731-731-1038-10
Oregon StateCalifornia

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CALOSCALOSCALOSCALCALOSCALOSOSCALOSOSCALOSCALOSCALOSPUNT60ydTD1065ydTO10ydTD631ydPUNT30ydPUNT710ydTD33ydPUNT33ydMISS945ydDOWNS547ydTD415ydPUNT37ydPUNT3-5ydEND1-2ydFG938ydMISS630ydTD770ydFG1657ydTD1165ydPUNT611ydEND728yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing California and Oregon State
StatisticCaliforniaOregon State
Passing22-3418-27
Pass Yards147196
Rush Yards9166
Total Yards156362
Turnovers11
3rd Down4-137-15
Penalties5-302-24
Possession23:2236:38

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

California
passing
Jack Plummer
22/34, 147 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Jadyn Ott
8 CAR, 20 YDS
receiving
Jeremiah Hunter
6 REC, 63 YDS
defense
Oregon State
passing
Ben Gulbranson
15/23, 137 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Damien Martinez
23 CAR, 105 YDS
receiving
Tre'Shaun Harrison
8 REC, 79 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Ryan Cooper Jr.
1 TFL, 2 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jack Plummer pass complete to Jaydn Ott for 1 yd to the Cal 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Jack Plummer pass complete to J. Michael Sturdivant for 2 yds to the Cal 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.08

Jack Plummer pass complete to Monroe Young for 11 yds to the Cal 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

CALIFORNIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Cal 34

1st & 15Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jack Plummer pass complete to Jermaine Terry II for no gain fumbled, forced by Andrew Chatfield Jr., recovered by Cal

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Jaydn Ott run for 2 yds to the Cal 36

3rd & 13Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.42

Jack Plummer sacked by Alex Austin for a loss of 11 yards to the Cal 25

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Jamieson Sheahan punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Damien Martinez run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 40

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.86

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 5 yds to the OrgSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Ben Gulbranson run for 6 yds to the Cal 49

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.23

Jam Griffin run for no gain to the Cal 49

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Damien Martinez run for 2 yds to the Cal 47

4th & 2Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +3.23

Jack Colletto pass complete to Anthony Gould for 37 yds to the Cal 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Damien Martinez run for 3 yds to the Cal 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Damien Martinez for 6 yds to the Cal 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Ben Gulbranson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.92

Jack Plummer pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 5 yds to the Cal 26

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jam Griffin run for 4 yds to the Cal 22

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

run for 6 yds to the Cal 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Damien Martinez run for 5 yds to the Cal 11

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.61

Damien Martinez run for 6 yds to the Cal 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Jam Griffin run for 5 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Everett Hayes kickoff for 65 yds , Ashton Hayes return for 17 yds to the Cal 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Jack Plummer pass complete to Elijah Mojarro for 3 yds to the Cal 20

2nd & 7Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.55

Mavin Anderson run for a loss of 5 yards to the Cal 15

3rd & 12Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.04

Jack Plummer pass complete to Jaydn Ott for 2 yds to the Cal 17

4th & 10Punt+15 yds

Jamieson Sheahan punt for 46 yds , Anthony Gould returns for 15 yds to the Cal 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jake Overman for 5 yds to the Cal 43

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Damien Martinez run for 4 yds to the Cal 39

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

run for no gain to the Cal 39

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.76

Ben Gulbranson run for 1 yd to the Cal 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Jam Griffin pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Luke Loecher punt for 34 yds, downed at the Cal 4

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

DeCarlos Brooks run for 3 yds to the Cal 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Jack Plummer pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Jack Plummer pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+55 yds

Jamieson Sheahan punt for 48 yds , Anthony Gould returns for 55 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jaydn Ott run for 2 yds to the Cal 27

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Jaydn Ott run for 1 yd to the Cal 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Jack Plummer pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jamieson Sheahan punt for 52 yds, downed at the OrgSt 20

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Damien Martinez run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 25

2nd & 5Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.45

Damien Martinez run for 14 yds to the OrgSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

CALIFORNIA Penalty, Defensive Holding (Ethan Saunders) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Jam Griffin run for 8 yds to the Cal 42

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.05

Damien Martinez run for 5 yds to the Cal 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Damien Martinez run for 2 yds to the Cal 35

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+53 yds

Everett Hayes 53 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +2.54

Jack Plummer pass complete to J. Michael Sturdivant for 40 yds to the OrgSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Jack Plummer pass complete to Monroe Young for 6 yds to the OrgSt 19

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Jaydn Ott run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 16

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.77

Jaydn Ott run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 18

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.57

Jack Plummer pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.80

Damien Martinez run for 12 yds to the OrgSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Tyjon Lindsey for 5 yds to the OrgSt 35

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Damien Martinez run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 39

3rd & 1Fumble Return Touchdown+33 ydsPPA -8.27

Jeremiah Earby 33 Yd Fumble Return (Dario Longhetto Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Michael Luckhurst kickoff for 65 yds , Silas Bolden return for 18 yds to the OrgSt 0

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Damien Martinez run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 11

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Damien Martinez run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 16

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Luke Loecher punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -1.72

Jack Plummer pass complete to Jaydn Ott for a loss of 6 yards to the Cal 29

2nd & 16Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Jack Plummer pass complete to Monroe Young for 2 yds to the Cal 31

3rd & 14Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.18

Jack Plummer pass complete to Monroe Young for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 30

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Jamieson Sheahan punt for 53 yds, downed at the OrgSt 17

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Kneel down by GULBRANSON, Ben at OSU15 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+31 yds

Michael Luckhurst kickoff for 65 yds , Silas Bolden return for 31 yds to the OrgSt 31

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.24

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for a loss of 3 yards to the OrgSt 28

2nd & 13Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 6 yds to the OrgSt 34

3rd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.03

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 18 yds to the Cal 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Damien Martinez run for 1 yd to the Cal 47

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.55

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Anthony Gould for 12 yds to the Cal 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.87

Damien Martinez run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 36

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Damien Martinez run for 5 yds to the Cal 31

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+49 yds

Everett Hayes 49 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.99

Jack Plummer pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 11 yds to the OrgSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.06

Jack Plummer pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 24 yds to the OrgSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.45

Jack Plummer pass complete to J. Michael Sturdivant for no gain to the OrgSt 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Jack Plummer pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

CALIFORNIA Penalty, False Start (Ender Aguilar) to the OrgSt 30

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Jack Plummer pass incomplete

4th & 15Field Goal Missed+48 yds

Dario Longhetto 48 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+34 ydsPPA +2.68

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 34 yds Tre'Shaun Harrison fumbled, recovered by OrgSt Tyjon Lindsey for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Silas Bolden run for 7 yds to the Cal 19

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Damien Martinez run for no gain to the Cal 19

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Damien Martinez run for 6 yds to the Cal 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Damien Martinez run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 14

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 6 yds to the Cal 8

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.81

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 8 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jaydn Ott run for no gain to the Cal 25

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.93

Jaydn Ott run for 14 yds to the Cal 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Jaydn Ott run for no gain to the Cal 39

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Jack Plummer pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +3.15

Jack Plummer run for 15 yds to the OrgSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Jack Plummer pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 6 yds to the OrgSt 40

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.39

Jack Plummer pass complete to Jaydn Ott for 9 yds to the OrgSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Jack Plummer pass complete to J. Michael Sturdivant for 3 yds to the OrgSt 28

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

DeCarlos Brooks run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 25

3rd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)+12 ydsPPA +0.69

Jack Plummer pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 12 yds Jeremiah Hunter fumbled, recovered by Cal for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Jack Plummer pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 9 yds to the OrgSt 8

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.08

DeCarlos Brooks run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Jack Plummer pass incomplete

2nd & 5Penalty0 yds

CALIFORNIA Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Jack Plummer) to the OrgSt 29

3rd & 29Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.23

Jack Plummer pass complete to Keleki Latu for 11 yds to the OrgSt 18

4th & 18Field Goal Good+36 yds

Michael Luckhurst 36 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+33 yds

Michael Luckhurst kickoff for 63 yds , Silas Bolden return for 33 yds to the OrgSt 35

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Damien Martinez run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 38

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.75

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jack Velling for 13 yds to the Cal 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Jesiah Irish run for 7 yds to the Cal 42

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.14

Kanoa Shannon run for 5 yds to the Cal 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to John Dunmore for 5 yds to the Cal 32

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Damien Martinez run for 3 yds to the Cal 29

3rd & 2Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.66

Damien Martinez run for 15 yds to the Cal 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.61

Isaiah Newell run for 13 yds to the Cal 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Isaiah Newell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 2

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jack Velling for 2 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Everett Hayes kickoff for 60 yds , Ashton Hayes return for 20 yds to the Cal 3

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Jack Plummer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Damien Moore run for 5 yds to the Cal 20

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.95

Jack Plummer pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 5 yds to the Cal 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jack Plummer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Jack Plummer pass complete to Damien Moore for 1 yd to the Cal 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Jack Plummer pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt+6 yds

Jamieson Sheahan punt for 52 yds , Anthony Gould returns for 6 yds to the OrgSt 28

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.91

Isaiah Newell run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 27

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Kanoa Shannon run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 31

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.18

Tristan Gebbia pass complete to John Dunmore for 10 yds to the OrgSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Isaiah Newell run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 48

2nd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.77

Tristan Gebbia pass complete to John Dunmore for 12 yds to the Cal 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Kneel down by GEBBIA, Tristan at CAL42 (team loss of 2).

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Kneel down by GEBBIA, Tristan at CAL44 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

California

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
33%
18 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
20%
10 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
100%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Oregon State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
56%
27 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
38%
8 plays
33%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
67%
6 plays
4th
100%
3 plays