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← Back to GamesNov 12, 2022Week 11
ColoradoColorado
17
-Final
55
USCUSC
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

USC by 32.7

Home Win Probability

USC 96%

Market (consensus)

USC -34.5

Edge: Colorado +34.5 (1.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 12, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
ColoradoColorado
307717
USCUSC
224151455

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842562-39-323-326-326-1041-1048-1755-17
USCColorado

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20COLUSCCOLUSCCOLUSCCOLUSCCOLUSCCOLUSCCOLUSCUSCCOLUSCCOLUSCCOLUSCCOLUSCCOLPUNT520ydPUNT32ydPUNT57ydTO410ydSAF1-12ydPUNT3-5ydFG958ydTD1272ydTO3-5ydTD28ydPUNT3-1ydTD867ydPUNT523ydFG645ydDOWNS1038ydTD953ydTD260ydTO10ydTD871ydPUNT34ydTD563ydTD975ydTD1275ydEND427yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Colorado and USC
StatisticColoradoUSC
Passing11-2120-33
Pass Yards124346
Rush Yards135185
Total Yards259531
Turnovers21
3rd Down3-129-12
Penalties9-688-82
Possession25:3034:30

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Colorado
passing
JT Shrout
11/21, 124 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Alex Fontenot
20 CAR, 108 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jack Hestera
3 REC, 39 YDS
defense
USC
passing
Caleb Williams
14/26, 268 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Austin Jones
11 CAR, 74 YDS
receiving
Kyle Ford
3 REC, 73 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

COLORADO Penalty, Illegal Formation ( Yards) declined

2nd & 14Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.95

J.T. Shrout pass complete to R.J. Sneed II for 15 yds to the Colo 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Alex Fontenot run for 1 yd to the Colo 37

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Alex Fontenot run for 3 yds to the Colo 40

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

J.T. Shrout pass complete to R.J. Sneed II for 5 yds to the Colo 45

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Trent Carrizosa punt for 43 yds, downed at the USC 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Caleb Williams pass complete to Jordan Addison for 2 yds to the USC 14

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Aadyn Sleep-Dalton punt for 48 yds , Chase Penry returns for no gain to the Colo 33

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Alex Fontenot run for 3 yds to the Colo 36

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.35

J.T. Shrout run for 7 yds to the Colo 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Alex Fontenot run for 4 yds to the Colo 47

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete

3rd & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.37

J.T. Shrout sacked by Tuli Tuipulotu for a loss of 7 yards to the Colo 40

4th & 13Punt+1 yds

Trent Carrizosa punt for 39 yds , Michael Jackson III returns for 1 yd to the USC 22

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.17

Travis Dye run for 9 yds to the USC 31

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.18

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.77

Travis Dye run for 1 yd to the USC 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

COLORADO Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Nikko Reed) to the Colo 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Safety-12 ydsPPA -2.27

J.T. Shrout sacked by Tyrone Taleni and Tuli Tuipulotu for a loss of 12 yards for a SAFETY

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Cole Becker kickoff for 56 yds , Raleek Brown return for 26 yds to the USC 35

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Travis Dye run for 5 yds to the USC 40

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Travis Dye run for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 39

3rd & 6Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.94

Caleb Williams sacked by Quinn Perry for a loss of 9 yards to the USC 30

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Aadyn Sleep-Dalton punt for 38 yds, downed at the Colo 32

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Anthony Hankerson run for 4 yds to the Colo 36

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.87

Anthony Hankerson run for no gain to the Colo 36

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete

4th & 6Penalty+5 yds

(03:42) CARRIZOSA, Trent punt 36 yards to the USC28, JACKSON III, Michael return 5 yards to the USC33 (LYLE, Anthony), out of bounds, clock 03:33. PENALTY USC Offsides on MCCUTCHIN, Latrell enforced 5 yards from the COL36 to the COL41. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.21

Alex Fontenot run for 4 yds to the Colo 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+37 ydsPPA +1.68

Alex Fontenot run for 37 yds to the USC 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Alex Fontenot run for 7 yds to the USC 11

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Alex Fontenot run for 1 yd to the USC 10

4th & 2Field Goal Good+28 yds

Cole Becker 28 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Cole Becker kickoff for 65 yds , Raleek Brown return for 28 yds to the USC 28

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(01:16) WILLIAMS, Caleb pass to the left complete for 13 yards to RICE, Brenden caught at the USC39 and advanced to the USC41 (CHANDLER-SEMEDO, Josh), clock 01:02. PENALTY USC Holding on MONHEIM, Jonah enforced 10 yards from the USC28 to the USC18 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.15

Travis Dye run for 1 yd to the USC 19

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 19Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.87

Caleb Williams pass complete to Kyle Ford for 24 yds to the USC 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Travis Dye run for no gain to the USC 43

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-13 ydsPPA -1.68

Caleb Williams run for a loss of 13 yards to the USC 30 Caleb Williams fumbled, recovered by USC Caleb Williams

3rd & 23Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +4.54

Caleb Williams pass complete to Kyle Ford for 42 yds to the Colo 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

(12:51) WILLIAMS, Caleb pass to the left complete for 8 yards to BYNUM, Terrell caught at the COL27 and advanced to the COL20 (MACK, Jeremy), clock 12:47. PENALTY USC Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on MONHEIM, Jonah declined USC Pass Interference on FORD, Kyle enforced 15 yards to the COL43 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 25Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Caleb Williams pass complete to Austin Jones for 5 yds to the Colo 38

2nd & 20Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.17

Caleb Williams pass complete to Lake McRee for 18 yds to the Colo 20

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Austin Jones run for 7 yds to the Colo 13

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Austin Jones run for 1 yd to the Colo 12

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 9Penalty+10 yds

(10:18) WILLIAMS, Caleb pass up the middle incomplete intended for BYNUM, Terrell thrown to the COL0, clock 10:13. PENALTY COL Pass Interference on STRIKER, Jaylen enforced 10 yards to the COL2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Caleb Williams run for 2 yds for a TD, (Alex Stadthaus KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Alex Stadthaus kickoff for 62 yds , Nikko Reed return for 10 yds to the Colo 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 6 yds to the Colo 19

2nd & 4Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.81

Alex Fontenot run for a loss of 6 yards to the Colo 13

3rd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.11

J.T. Shrout sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the Colo 8

1st & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the Colo 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Caleb Williams run for 4 yds for a TD, (Alex Stadthaus KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+32 yds

Alex Stadthaus kickoff for 62 yds , Nikko Reed return for 32 yds to the Colo 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Jack Hestera for 5 yds to the Colo 40

2nd & 5Penalty-15 yds

(07:12) SHROUT, J.T. pass to the right incomplete intended for LEMONIOUS-CRAIG, Montana broken up by BLACKMON, Mekhi at the COL42, clock 07:07. PENALTY COL Chop Block enforced 15 yards from the COL40 to the COL25 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Alex Fontenot run for 2 yds to the Colo 27

3rd & 18Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.07

Anthony Hankerson run for 7 yds to the Colo 34

4th & 11Punt+1 yds

Trent Carrizosa punt for 34 yds , Michael Jackson III returns for 1 yd to the USC 33

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Caleb Williams run for 7 yds to the USC 40

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.22

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.86

Caleb Williams pass complete to Kyle Ford for 7 yds to the USC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 5 yds to the Colo 48

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the Colo 45

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.17

Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the Colo 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.86

Caleb Williams pass complete to Brenden Rice for 9 yds to the Colo 32

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +2.38

Caleb Williams pass complete to Brenden Rice for 32 yds for a TD, (Alex Stadthaus KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Alex Stadthaus kickoff for 62 yds , Nikko Reed return for 11 yds to the Colo 2

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.53

Anthony Hankerson run for 8 yds to the Colo 15

2nd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.13

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Jack Hestera for 8 yds to the Colo 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.57

J.T. Shrout pass complete to R.J. Sneed II for 7 yds to the Colo 30

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt+4 yds

Trent Carrizosa punt for 36 yds , Michael Jackson III returns for 4 yds to the USC 38

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.12

Caleb Williams pass complete to Austin Jones for 11 yds to the USC 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.28

Caleb Williams pass complete to Brenden Rice for 29 yds to the Colo 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

(00:14) WILLIAMS, Caleb sacked for a loss of 8 yards at the COL30 (MONTGOMERY, Jamar), clock 00:09. PENALTY COL Offsides on MONTGOMERY, Jamar enforced 5 yards from the COL22 to the COL17 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 5Field Goal Good+34 yds

Denis Lynch 34 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Cole Becker kickoff for 61 yds , Tahj Washington return for 21 yds to the USC 2

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Austin Jones run for 5 yds to the USC 20

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.47

Austin Jones run for 5 yds to the USC 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Austin Jones run for 6 yds to the USC 31

3rd & 4Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.60

Caleb Williams run for 17 yds to the USC 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.82

Austin Jones run for 12 yds to the Colo 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Austin Jones run for 5 yds to the Colo 35

2nd & 5Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.51

Caleb Williams sacked by Josh Chandler-Semedo and Chance Main for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 38

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

4th & 8Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.35

Caleb Williams sacked by Jamar Montgomery for a loss of 9 yards to the Colo 47

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

J.T. Shrout run for 2 yds to the Colo 49

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Alex Fontenot run for 5 yds to the USC 46

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.43

Alex Fontenot run for 5 yds to the USC 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +0.69

Alex Fontenot run for 27 yds to the USC 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Alex Fontenot run for 7 yds to the USC 7

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Alex Fontenot run for 1 yd to the USC 6

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.47

Alex Fontenot run for 3 yds to the USC 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Alex Fontenot run for 3 yds for a TD, (Cole Becker KICK)

0th & 0Penalty0 yds

USC Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the USC 2

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+40 yds

Cole Becker kickoff for 65 yds , Raleek Brown return for 40 yds to the USC 40

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Raleek Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 39

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+61 ydsPPA +6.08

Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 61 yds for a TD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+29 yds

Alex Stadthaus kickoff for 49 yds , Nikko Reed return for 29 yds to the Colo 45

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.72

J.T. Shrout pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Austin Jones run for 8 yds to the USC 37

2nd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.70

Austin Jones run for 10 yds to the USC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.80

Caleb Williams pass complete to Austin Jones for 11 yds to the Colo 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.48

Raleek Brown run for 22 yds to the Colo 20 USC Penalty, Offensive Holding (Michael Jackson III) to the Colo 40

1st & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.06

Raleek Brown run for 8 yds to the Colo 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

(02:07) WILLIAMS, Caleb pass to the right intercepted by TAYLOR, Tyrin at the COL2 intended for BYNUM, Terrell. Taylor return for 3 yards to the COL5, out of bounds, clock 01:59. PENALTY COL Offsides on THOMAS, Guy enforced 5 yards from the COL32 to the COL27 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.49

Austin Jones run for 7 yds to the Colo 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Austin Jones run for 8 yds to the Colo 12

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.16

Caleb Williams pass complete to Austin Jones for 12 yds for a TD, (Alex Stadthaus KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Alex Stadthaus kickoff for 65 yds , Nikko Reed return for 28 yds to the Colo 28

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Jack Hestera run for 2 yds to the Colo 30

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the Colo 32

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+13 yds

Trent Carrizosa punt for 44 yds , Michael Jackson III returns for 13 yds to the USC 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Miller Moss pass complete to Raleek Brown for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Raleek Brown run for 7 yds to the Colo 43

2nd & 3Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.49

Darwin Barlow run for 15 yds to the Colo 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Darwin Barlow run for 3 yds to the Colo 25

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.92

Miller Moss pass complete to Raleek Brown for 25 yds for a TD, (Alex Stadthaus KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.32

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Jack Hestera for 26 yds to the USC 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

J.T. Shrout run for 3 yds to the USC 46

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

J.T. Shrout run for 6 yds to the USC 40

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.70

Alex Fontenot run for 2 yds to the USC 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.45

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Alex Fontenot for 16 yds to the USC 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

J.T. Shrout run for 2 yds to the USC 20

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Alex Fontenot run for 3 yds to the USC 17

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.69

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Brady Russell for 9 yds to the USC 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

J.T. Shrout run for 8 yds for a TD, (Cole Becker KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Raleek Brown run for no gain to the USC 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Miller Moss pass complete to CJ Williams for 6 yds to the USC 31

3rd & 4Penalty+5 yds

COLORADO Penalty, Offsides (Mister Williams) to the USC 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.67

Raleek Brown run for 19 yds to the Colo 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Raleek Brown run for 7 yds to the Colo 38

2nd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.01

Miller Moss pass complete to CJ Williams for 3 yds to the Colo 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.45

Miller Moss run for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 39 Miller Moss fumbled, recovered by USC Darwin Barlow

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Miller Moss pass incomplete

3rd & 14Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.84

Miller Moss pass complete to Darwin Barlow for 20 yds to the Colo 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.18

Darwin Barlow run for 10 yds to the Colo 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Penalty-15 yds

USC Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Kyle Ford) to the Colo 24

1st & 24Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.45

Darwin Barlow run for 10 yds to the Colo 14

2nd & 14Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.41

Miller Moss pass complete to Darwin Barlow for 11 yds to the Colo 3

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Darwin Barlow run for 3 yds for a TD, (Alex Stadthaus KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Alex Stadthaus kickoff for 59 yds , Maurice Bell return for 19 yds to the Colo 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Chase Penry for 14 yds to the Colo 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.17

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Brady Russell for 13 yds to the USC 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete

Situational Analysis

Colorado

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
24 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
50%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays

USC

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
63%
30 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
57%
7 plays
33%
6 plays
57%
7 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
100%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play