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← Back to GamesOct 29, 2022Week 9
USCUSC
45
-Final
37
ArizonaArizona
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

USC by 14.6

Home Win Probability

Arizona 18%

Market (consensus)

Arizona +14

Edge: USC -14 (0.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 29, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
USCUSC
107141445
ArizonaArizona
10316837

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-37-1010-1013-1716-2423-3129-3829-4537-45
ArizonaUSC

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20USCARIUSCARIUSCARIUSCARIUSCARIUSCARIUSCARIUSCARIUSCARIUSCARIUSCARIUSCFG1047ydTD875ydTD1075ydFG750ydTD875ydFG1367ydMISS1036ydDOWNS828ydEND457ydFG774ydTD475ydPUNT423ydMISS558ydTO234ydTD147ydTD460ydPUNT35ydTD357ydTD975ydPUNT417ydTD1183ydTD1275ydEND510yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing USC and Arizona
StatisticUSCArizona
Passing31-4526-43
Pass Yards411380
Rush Yards210163
Total Yards621543
Turnovers01
3rd Down11-176-13
Penalties5-518-76
Possession30:5129:09

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

USC
passing
Caleb Williams
31/45, 411 YDS, 5 TD
rushing
Travis Dye
20 CAR, 113 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tahj Washington
7 REC, 118 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Max Williams
0.5 TFL, 1 PD
Arizona
passing
Jayden de Laura
26/43, 380 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jayden de Laura
8 CAR, 54 YDS
receiving
Dorian Singer
7 REC, 141 YDS, 3 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 5 yds to the USC 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the USC 34

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.25

Travis Dye run for 5 yds to the USC 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Caleb Williams pass complete to Kyle Ford for 5 yds to the USC 44

3rd & 5Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.96

Caleb Williams pass complete to Kyle Ford for 22 yds to the Ariz 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the Ariz 30

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

USC Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 35

2nd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Travis Dye run for 8 yds to the Ariz 27

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Caleb Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 28

4th & 4Field Goal Good+45 yds

Denis Lynch 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jonah Coleman run for 6 yds to the Ariz 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.82

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Michael Wiley for 18 yds to the Ariz 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Michael Wiley run for 7 yds to the USC 44

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.43

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 7 yds to the USC 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.33

Anthony Simpson run for 11 yds to the USC 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Dorian Singer for 3 yds to the USC 23

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.87

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Dorian Singer for 23 yds for a TD, (Tyler Loop KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Travis Dye run for 1 yd to the USC 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.20

Caleb Williams pass complete to Travis Dye for 17 yds to the USC 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 5 yds to the USC 48

3rd & 5Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.71

Caleb Williams pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 21 yds to the Ariz 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.70

Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 9 yds to the Ariz 22

2nd & 1Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA -0.05

Caleb Williams pass complete to Terrell Bynum for 15 yds to the Ariz 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 1 yd to the Ariz 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Kyle Ford

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Caleb Williams pass complete to Raleek Brown for 6 yds for a TD, (Denis Lynch KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

USC Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Ariz 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

DJ Williams run for 2 yds to the Ariz 42

3rd & 8Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.67

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 33 yds to the USC 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.61

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Dorian Singer for no gain to the USC 25

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+42 yds

Tyler Loop 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Caleb Williams pass complete to Terrell Bynum for 7 yds to the USC 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+46 ydsPPA +2.83

Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 46 yds to the Ariz 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Travis Dye run for 6 yds to the Ariz 16

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Caleb Williams pass complete to Brenden Rice for 7 yds to the Ariz 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Travis Dye run for 2 yds to the Ariz 7

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Caleb Williams run for 5 yds to the Ariz 2

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Caleb Williams pass complete to Brenden Rice for 2 yds for a TD, (Denis Lynch KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Michael Wiley run for 5 yds to the Ariz 30

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Michael Wiley run for 2 yds to the Ariz 32

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.51

Jayden de Laura run for 6 yds to the Ariz 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 3 yds to the Ariz 41

2nd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.08

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tanner McLachlan for 17 yds to the USC 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.57

Michael Wiley run for 6 yds to the USC 36 for a 1ST down USC Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the USC 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.33

Michael Wiley run for 17 yds to the USC 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Penalty+2 yds

USC Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (2 Yards) to the USC 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Michael Wiley run for 1 yd to the USC 1

2nd & 1Rush-7 ydsPPA -1.05

Michael Wiley run for a loss of 7 yards to the USC 8

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+25 yds

Tyler Loop 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Caleb Williams pass complete to Travis Dye for 2 yds to the USC 27

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Travis Dye run for 7 yds to the USC 34

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.25

Travis Dye run for 5 yds to the USC 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

ARIZONA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Jeremy Mercier) to the Ariz 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Caleb Williams pass complete to Josh Falo for 4 yds to the Ariz 42

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.79

Caleb Williams pass complete to Michael Jackson III for 8 yds to the Ariz 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the Ariz 30

2nd & 6Penalty-14 yds

USC Penalty, Offensive Holding (-14 Yards) to the Ariz 44

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 20Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Caleb Williams pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 5 yds to the Ariz 39

4th & 15Field Goal Missed+56 yds

Denis Lynch 56 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.09

Jayden de Laura run for 12 yds to the USC 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.76

Jayden de Laura run for 10 yds to the USC 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 1 yd to the USC 38

2nd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 1 yd to the USC 37

3rd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jayden de Laura run for 4 yds to the USC 33

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.32

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Caleb Williams pass complete to Brenden Rice for 9 yds to the USC 42

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.43

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 1Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.06

Caleb Williams pass complete to CJ Williams for 14 yds to the Ariz 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +0.90

Caleb Williams pass complete to Brenden Rice for 34 yds to the Ariz 10 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Alex Stadthaus kickoff for 62 yds , Anthony Simpson return for 11 yds to the Ariz 14

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.70

Jayden de Laura sacked by Nick Figueroa for a loss of 10 yards to the Ariz 4

2nd & 20Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.20

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 13 yds to the Ariz 17

3rd & 7Pass Reception+73 ydsPPA +4.65

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Dorian Singer for 73 yds to the USC 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Michael Wiley run for 3 yds to the USC 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

4th & 0Penalty-5 yds

ARIZONA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USC 12

4th & 12Field Goal Good+29 yds

Tyler Loop 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+70 ydsPPA +4.19

Caleb Williams pass complete to Kyle Ford for 70 yds to the Ariz 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Travis Dye run for no gain to the Ariz 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 5 yds for a TD, (Denis Lynch KICK)

3rd & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Alex Stadthaus kickoff for 58 yds , Anthony Simpson return for 15 yds to the Ariz 22

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.52

DJ Williams run for 18 yds to the Ariz 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

DJ Williams run for 1 yd to the Ariz 41

2nd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Jayden de Laura pass complete to DJ Williams for 1 yd to the Ariz 42

3rd & 8Penalty-10 yds

ARIZONA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Ariz 32

3rd & 18Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.60

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tanner McLachlan for 13 yds to the Ariz 45

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jayden de Laura punt for 35 yds, downed at the USC 20

1st & 10Rush+53 ydsPPA +3.64

Michael Jackson III run for 53 yds to the Ariz 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Josh Falo run for 5 yds to the Ariz 22

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+39 yds

Denis Lynch 39 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+34 ydsPPA +2.86

Jayden de Laura run for 34 yds to the USC 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+17 ydsPPA -3.59

Jayden de Laura pass intercepted Bryson Shaw return for 17 yds to the Ariz 47

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+47 ydsPPA +3.61

Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 47 yds for a TD, (Denis Lynch KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

ARIZONA Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.66

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 22 yds to the USC 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.39

DJ Williams run for 13 yds to the USC 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

DJ Williams run for 6 yds to the USC 19

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.50

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Dorian Singer for 19 yds for a TD, (Tyler Loop KICK)

2nd & 0Penalty-5 yds

ARIZONA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the USC 8

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Caleb Williams pass complete to Michael Jackson III for 5 yds to the USC 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Aadyn Sleep-Dalton punt for 27 yds, downed at the Ariz 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +1.85

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 37 yds to the USC 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.10

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Michael Wiley for 10 yds to the USC 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Michael Wiley run for 10 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Travis Dye run for 9 yds to the USC 34

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.26

Travis Dye run for 8 yds to the USC 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.09

Travis Dye run for 13 yds to the Ariz 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Caleb Williams pass complete to Michael Jackson III for 6 yds to the Ariz 39

2nd & 4Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.49

Austin Jones run for 15 yds to the Ariz 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Austin Jones run for 2 yds to the Ariz 22

3rd & 8Penalty+11 yds

ARIZONA Penalty, Personal Foul (11 Yards) to the Ariz 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Caleb Williams pass complete to Kyle Ford for 6 yds to the Ariz 5

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.34

Caleb Williams pass complete to Kyle Ford for 5 yds for a TD, (Denis Lynch KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.32

Jayden de Laura pass complete to DJ Williams for 26 yds to the USC 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

DJ Williams run for 3 yds to the USC 46

2nd & 7Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.87

Jayden de Laura sacked by Shane Lee for a loss of 12 yards to the Ariz 42

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

4th & 19Punt+10 yds

Kyle Ostendorp punt for 51 yds , Michael Jackson III returns for 10 yds to the USC 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Caleb Williams pass complete to Terrell Bynum for 7 yds to the USC 24

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Austin Jones run for 2 yds to the USC 26

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.92

Austin Jones run for 5 yds to the USC 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the USC 35

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.48

Caleb Williams pass complete to Brenden Rice for 10 yds to the USC 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Austin Jones run for 3 yds to the USC 48

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Caleb Williams pass complete to Kyle Ford for 6 yds to the Ariz 46

4th & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.38

Caleb Williams run for 7 yds to the Ariz 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

ARIZONA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Ariz 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.47

Travis Dye run for 22 yds to the Ariz 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Travis Dye run for 2 yds for a TD, (Denis Lynch KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Jayden de Laura run for 10 yds to the Ariz 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.63

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Dorian Singer for 18 yds to the USC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.85

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 17 yds to the USC 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 6 yds to the USC 24

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.00

Michael Wiley run for 5 yds to the USC 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty0 yds

ARIZONA Penalty, Illegal Touching ( Yards) to the USC 19

3rd & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.28

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Michael Wiley for a loss of 3 yards to the USC 22

4th & 13Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.38

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Michael Wiley for 14 yds to the USC 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 3 yds to the USC 5

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Dorian Singer for 5 yds for a TD, (Jayden de Laura pass to Jacob Cowing for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Travis Dye run for 5 yds to the Ariz 41

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the Ariz 37

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Travis Dye run for no gain to the Ariz 37

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.72

Caleb Williams run for 3 yds to the Ariz 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.01

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 36

Situational Analysis

USC

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
55%
31 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
30%
10 plays
75%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
71%
7 plays
75%
8 plays
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays

Arizona

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
48%
33 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
50%
4 plays
43%
14 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
38%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play