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← Back to GamesOct 15, 2022Week 7

House Prediction

Model Margin

Notre Dame by 26.9

Home Win Probability

Notre Dame 93%

Market (consensus)

Notre Dame -16.5

Edge: Notre Dame -16.5 (10.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 15, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
StanfordStanford
733316
Notre DameNotre Dame
007714

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40140-70-107-1314-16
Notre DameStanford

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDSTANDSTANDSTANDSTANDSTANDSTASTANDSTANDSTANDSTANDSTANDSTAPUNT32ydTD866ydPUNT521ydPUNT611ydDOWNS827ydPUNT519ydPUNT717ydPUNT38ydPUNT32ydDOWNS1354ydTO617ydFG618ydPUNT530ydPUNT38ydFG948ydTD675ydDOWNS936ydTD660ydFG1051ydTO854ydPUNT841ydDOWNS615ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Stanford and Notre Dame
StatisticStanfordNotre Dame
Passing26-3913-27
Pass Yards288151
Rush Yards97150
Total Yards385301
Turnovers02
3rd Down7-163-12
Penalties2-123-20
Possession36:0723:53

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Stanford
passing
Tanner McKee
26/38, 288 YDS
rushing
Casey Filkins
32 CAR, 91 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Elijah Higgins
5 REC, 81 YDS
defense
Jacob Mangum-Farrar
0.5 TFL, 1 PD
Notre Dame
passing
Drew Pyne
13/27, 151 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Audric Estime
8 CAR, 57 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Michael Mayer
5 REC, 60 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 15Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Chris Tyree run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 19

2nd & 16Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.18

Drew Pyne pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 8 yds to the NDame 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Drew Pyne pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jon Sot punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Casey Filkins run for 6 yds to the Stanf 40

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Tanner McKee pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.47

Tanner McKee pass complete to Michael Wilson for 13 yds to the NDame 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.85

Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 19 yds to the NDame 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Casey Filkins run for 2 yds to the NDame 26

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.46

Casey Filkins run for 9 yds to the NDame 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.37

Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 15 yds to the NDame 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Casey Filkins run for 2 yds for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Drew Pyne pass complete to Michael Mayer for 9 yds to the NDame 34

2nd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.55

Chris Tyree run for 11 yds to the NDame 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Drew Pyne pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Chris Tyree run for 1 yd to the NDame 46

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Drew Pyne pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jon Sot punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Casey Filkins at the Stanf 20

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Elijah Higgins run for 4 yds to the Stanf 24

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Casey Filkins run for 1 yd to the Stanf 25

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.66

Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 10 yds to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.72

Tanner McKee sacked by Justin Ademilola and JD Bertrand for a loss of 6 yards to the Stanf 29

2nd & 16Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -0.40

Casey Filkins run for a loss of 8 yards to the Stanf 21 Casey Filkins fumbled, recovered by Stanf

3rd & 24Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.08

Tanner McKee pass complete to Michael Wilson for 10 yds to the Stanf 31

4th & 14Blocked Punt0 yds

punt blocked by Prince Kollie blocked by Prince Kollie

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -2.12

Chris Tyree run for 2 yds to the Stanf 30 NOTRE DAME Penalty, Offensive Holding (Michael Mayer) to the Stanf 30

1st & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Chris Tyree run for 7 yds to the Stanf 23

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Drew Pyne pass incomplete

3rd & 1Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.31

Drew Pyne pass complete to Lorenzo Styles for 10 yds to the Stanf 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.50

Chris Tyree run for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 16

2nd & 13Penalty-5 yds

PYNE, Drew pass up the middle complete for 16 yards to MAYER, Michael caught at the STA10 and advanced to the STA0, TOUCHDOWN UND, score nullified by penalty, clock 01:29. PENALTY UND Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on EVANS, Mitchell enforced 5 yards from the STA16 to the STA21 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Drew Pyne pass incomplete

3rd & 18Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.29

Drew Pyne run for 16 yds to the Stanf 5

4th & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -4.09

Jayden Thomas run for no gain to the Stanf 5

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Tanner McKee pass complete to Michael Wilson for 7 yds to the Stanf 12

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Casey Filkins run for 5 yds to the Stanf 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Tanner McKee pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.31

Tanner McKee pass complete to Michael Wilson for a loss of 4 yards to the Stanf 13

3rd & 14Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.19

Tanner McKee pass complete to Michael Wilson for 11 yds to the Stanf 24

4th & 3Punt+7 yds

Ryan Sanborn punt for 48 yds , Brandon Joseph returns for 7 yds to the NDame 35

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Logan Diggs run for 4 yds to the NDame 39

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Logan Diggs run for 4 yds to the NDame 43

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Logan Diggs run for 1 yd to the NDame 44

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +2.39

Audric Estime run for 5 yds to the NDame 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Drew Pyne pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Audric Estime run for 3 yds to the Stanf 48

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Drew Pyne pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jon Sot punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Casey Filkins at the Stanf 9

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.33

Casey Filkins run for no gain to the Stanf 9 Casey Filkins fumbled, recovered by Stanf

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.12

Casey Filkins run for 1 yd to the Stanf 10

3rd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.08

Casey Filkins run for 7 yds to the Stanf 17

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Ryan Sanborn punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Brandon Joseph at the NDame 40

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -2.20

Braden Lenzy run for a loss of 8 yards to the NDame 32

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Drew Pyne pass incomplete

3rd & 18Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.29

Drew Pyne pass complete to Audric Estime for 10 yds to the NDame 42

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jon Sot punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Casey Filkins at the Stanf 18

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Brendon Barrow run for 2 yds to the Stanf 20

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.13

Tanner McKee pass complete to Michael Wilson for 10 yds to the Stanf 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.10

Caleb Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 28

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Tanner McKee pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.47

Tanner McKee pass complete to Michael Wilson for 13 yds to the Stanf 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Tanner McKee pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.25

Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 13 yds to the NDame 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Casey Filkins run for 8 yds to the NDame 38

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Casey Filkins run for 2 yds to the NDame 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Casey Filkins run for 4 yds to the NDame 32

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Tanner McKee pass complete to Caleb Robinson for 4 yds to the NDame 28

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Tanner McKee pass incomplete

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.01

Tanner McKee pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Drew Pyne run for 1 yd to the NDame 29

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Drew Pyne pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.24

Drew Pyne pass complete to Michael Mayer for 11 yds to the NDame 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Drew Pyne pass complete to Lorenzo Styles for 5 yds to the NDame 45

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.88

Drew Pyne pass complete to Braden Lenzy for 6 yds to the Stanf 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.36

Drew Pyne sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the NDame 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Tanner McKee pass complete to Casey Filkins for 7 yds to the NDame 38

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Casey Filkins run for 2 yds to the NDame 36

3rd & 1Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.59

Tanner McKee pass complete to Michael Wilson for 3 yds to the NDame 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Tanner McKee pass complete to Casey Filkins for 6 yds to the NDame 27

3rd & 4Field Goal Good+45 yds

Joshua Karty 45 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Zac Yoakam kickoff for 64 yds , Brendon Barrow return for 12 yds to the Stanf 13

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Casey Filkins run for 3 yds to the Stanf 16

2nd & 7Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.91

Tanner McKee pass complete to Casey Filkins for 22 yds to the Stanf 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tanner McKee pass complete to Caleb Robinson for 5 yds to the Stanf 43

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Tanner McKee pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Tanner McKee pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Ryan Sanborn punt for 41 yds, downed at the NDame 16

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Chris Tyree run for 6 yds to the NDame 22

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Chris Tyree run for 2 yds to the NDame 24

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Drew Pyne pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jon Sot punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Casey Filkins at the Stanf 27

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Casey Filkins run for no gain to the Stanf 27

2nd & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.73

Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 38 yds to the NDame 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Michael Wilson run for 7 yds to the NDame 28

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Tanner McKee run for 2 yds to the NDame 26

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.26

Casey Filkins run for 1 yd to the NDame 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Tanner McKee pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Casey Filkins run for no gain to the NDame 25

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Tanner McKee pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+43 yds

Joshua Karty 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.32

Logan Diggs run for 26 yds to the Stanf 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.71

Drew Pyne pass complete to Michael Mayer for 12 yds to the Stanf 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Logan Diggs run for 6 yds to the Stanf 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Drew Pyne pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.04

Drew Pyne pass complete to Michael Mayer for 21 yds to the Stanf 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Audric Estime run for 10 yds for a TD, (Blake Grupe KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Zac Yoakam kickoff for 64 yds , Brendon Barrow return for 23 yds to the Stanf 24

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Casey Filkins run for 9 yds to the Stanf 33

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.03

Casey Filkins run for 5 yds to the Stanf 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Tanner McKee pass complete to Michael Wilson for 3 yds to the Stanf 41

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Casey Filkins run for 6 yds to the Stanf 47

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.25

Casey Filkins run for 4 yds to the NDame 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Brendon Barrow run for 1 yd to the NDame 48

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Tanner McKee pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Casey Filkins run for 7 yds to the NDame 41

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.81

Casey Filkins run for 1 yd to the NDame 40

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Drew Pyne run for 9 yds to the NDame 49

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.20

Logan Diggs run for 4 yds to the Stanf 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Logan Diggs run for 4 yds to the Stanf 43

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Drew Pyne pass complete to Braden Lenzy for 6 yds to the Stanf 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.56

run for a loss of 4 yards to the Stanf 41 fumbled, recovered by NDame Drew Pyne

2nd & 14Passing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +4.61

Drew Pyne pass complete to Tobias Merriweather for 41 yds for a TD, (Blake Grupe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Casey Filkins run for 6 yds to the Stanf 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.09

Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 10 yds to the Stanf 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Tanner McKee pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.04

Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 10 yds to the NDame 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Tanner McKee run for no gain to the NDame 49

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.95

Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 16 yds to the NDame 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Casey Filkins run for 1 yd to the NDame 32

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

MCKEE, Tanner pass to the left complete for 5 yards to TREMAYNE, Brycen caught at the UND30 and advanced to the UND27 (LEWIS, Clarence), out of bounds. PENALTY Before the snap, STA Illegal Motion on TREMAYNE, Brycen enforced 5 yards from the UND32 to the UND37. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 14Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 2 yds to the NDame 35

3rd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.23

Tanner McKee pass complete to Casey Filkins for 11 yds to the NDame 24

4th & 1Field Goal Good+43 yds

Joshua Karty 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Audric Estime run for 2 yds to the NDame 27

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.58

Audric Estime run for 11 yds to the NDame 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Audric Estime run for 6 yds to the NDame 44

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.73

Logan Diggs run for 2 yds to the NDame 46

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Drew Pyne pass incomplete

4th & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +2.60

Logan Diggs run for 6 yds to the Stanf 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.54

Audric Estime run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 12Penalty+7 yds

PYNE, Drew pass up the middle incomplete intended for THOMAS, Jayden thrown to the STA44. PENALTY STA Pass Interference on MCGILL, Jonathan enforced at the spot of the foul for 7 yards to the STA43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+22 ydsPPA -3.65

Audric Estime run for 22 yds to the Stanf 21 Audric Estime fumbled, recovered by Stanf Jonathan McGill NOTRE DAME Penalty, Defensive Holding (Michael Mayer) declined

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Casey Filkins run for 3 yds to the Stanf 24

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Casey Filkins run for no gain to the Stanf 24

3rd & 7Penalty+4 yds

MCKEE, Tanner pass to the right complete for 4 yards to YUROSEK, Benjamin to the STA24 (LIUFAU, Marist;MORRISON, Benjamin). PENALTY STA Holding UND Holding on SMITH, Chris , Offsetting penalties [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 7Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.85

Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 22 yds to the Stanf 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Casey Filkins run for 2 yds to the Stanf 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.67

Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 12 yds to the NDame 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Casey Filkins run for no gain to the NDame 40

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Casey Filkins run for 1 yd to the NDame 39

3rd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Casey Filkins run for 1 yd to the NDame 38

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ryan Sanborn punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Brandon Joseph at the NDame 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Drew Pyne pass complete to Michael Mayer for 7 yds to the NDame 17

2nd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.14

Drew Pyne pass complete to Logan Diggs for 5 yds to the NDame 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Drew Pyne run for 6 yds to the NDame 28

2nd & 4Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.05

Drew Pyne sacked by Stephen Herron for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 25

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Drew Pyne pass incomplete

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.24

Drew Pyne pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

[NH] Kneel down by STA at UND26 (team loss of 1).

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

[NH] Kneel down by STA at UND27 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Stanford

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
31%
32 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
63%
16 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
100%
4 plays
4th
0%
2 plays

Notre Dame

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
48%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
29%
7 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
100%
1 play
20%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play