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← Back to GamesOct 9, 2022Week 6
OregonOregon
49
-Final
22
ArizonaArizona
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Oregon by 12.9

Home Win Probability

Arizona 22%

Market (consensus)

Arizona +13.5

Edge: Arizona +13.5 (0.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 9, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
OregonOregon
72121049
ArizonaArizona
3103622

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842563-73-143-2110-2113-3513-4922-49
ArizonaOregon

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ARIOREARIOREARIOREARIOREARIOREARIOREARIOREARIOREARIOREARIOREARIOREARIORETO964ydPUNT520ydFG944ydTD575ydPUNT68ydTD790ydPUNT69ydTD986ydTD275ydTD875ydFG556ydTD875ydTO30ydTD439ydTO632ydTD557ydPUNT611ydPUNT34ydFG518ydPUNT32ydTD1085ydPUNT518ydPUNT35ydEND845yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Oregon and Arizona
StatisticOregonArizona
Passing23-2924-42
Pass Yards274241
Rush Yards306115
Total Yards580356
Turnovers03
3rd Down4-810-17
Penalties6-563-11
Possession33:1926:41

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Oregon
passing
Bo Nix
20/25, 265 YDS
rushing
Noah Whittington
6 CAR, 92 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Chase Cota
3 REC, 60 YDS
defense
Arizona
passing
Jayden de Laura
24/42, 241 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jonah Coleman
9 CAR, 74 YDS
receiving
Jacob Cowing
6 REC, 77 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.02

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tanner McLachlan for 15 yds to the Ariz 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Michael Wiley run for 3 yds to the Ariz 43

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Michael Wiley run for no gain to the Ariz 43

3rd & 7Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +3.58

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 37 yds to the Oregn 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Michael Wiley run for 3 yds to the Oregn 17

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Michael Wiley run for 1 yd to the Oregn 16

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 9 yds to the Oregn 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-4 ydsPPA -4.80

Jacob Cowing run for a loss of 4 yards to the Oregn 11 Jacob Cowing fumbled, recovered by Oregn DJ Johnson

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 5 yds to the Oregn 16

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.42

Bucky Irving run for 6 yds to the Oregn 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Bo Nix pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Bo Nix run for 3 yds to the Oregn 25

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 6 yds to the Oregn 31

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Ross James punt for 34 yds, downed at the Ariz 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 8 yds to the Ariz 43

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.20

DJ Williams run for 5 yds to the Ariz 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

DE LAURA, Jayden pass to the right incomplete intended for SINGER, Dorian thrown to the ORE30. PENALTY ORE Holding on BRIDGES, Trikweze enforced 10 yards from the ARI48 to the ORE42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

DJ Williams run for 2 yds to the Oregn 40

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Jayden de Laura run for 6 yds to the Oregn 34

3rd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.74

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 6 yds to the Oregn 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

DJ Williams run for 7 yds to the Oregn 21

3rd & 3Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.62

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Dorian Singer for no gain to the Oregn 21

4th & 3Field Goal Good+38 yds

Tyler Loop 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Bucky Irving run for 5 yds to the Oregn 30

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Bucky Irving run for 2 yds to the Oregn 32

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.22

Bucky Irving run for 3 yds to the Oregn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Bo Nix pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 10 yds to the Oregn 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+55 ydsPPA +4.28

Noah Whittington run for 55 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+39 yds

Andrew Boyle kickoff for 61 yds , Anthony Simpson return for 39 yds to the Ariz 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 5 yds to the Ariz 48

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.71

Michael Wiley run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.52

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 4 yds to the Oregn 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.63

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Michael Wiley for a loss of 3 yards to the Oregn 49

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Kyle Ostendorp punt for 39 yds, downed at the Oregn 10

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.83

Bo Nix run for 9 yds to the Oregn 19

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.04

Bucky Irving run for 7 yds to the Oregn 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Bo Nix pass complete to Chase Cota for 7 yds to the Oregn 33

2nd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Bo Nix pass complete to Sean Dollars for 8 yds to the Oregn 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.25

Noah Whittington run for 15 yds to the Ariz 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +2.20

Bo Nix pass complete to Kris Hutson for 42 yds to the Ariz 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Bo Nix run for 2 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

DJ Williams run for 2 yds to the Ariz 27

2nd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.64

DJ Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ariz 24

3rd & 11Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.42

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Michael Wiley for 16 yds to the Ariz 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Michael Wiley run for 1 yd to the Ariz 41

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

3rd & 9Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.77

Jayden de Laura sacked by Jeffrey Bassa for a loss of 7 yards to the Ariz 34

4th & 16Punt+1 yds

Kyle Ostendorp punt for 53 yds , Kris Hutson returns for 1 yd to the Oregn 14

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.66

Bucky Irving run for 8 yds to the Oregn 22

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Bucky Irving run for 4 yds to the Oregn 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Bucky Irving run for 2 yds to the Oregn 28

2nd & 8Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.18

Bo Nix pass complete to Chase Cota for 30 yds to the Ariz 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 9 yds to the Ariz 33

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.33

Sean Dollars run for 6 yds to the Ariz 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.32

Bo Nix pass complete to Kris Hutson for 18 yds to the Ariz 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Bo Nix pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 6 yds to the Ariz 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Moliki Matavao run for 3 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 8 yds to the Ariz 33

2nd & 2Penalty+15 yds

DE LAURA, Jayden pass to the left incomplete intended for COWING, Jacob broken up by SEWELL, Noah at the ARI32. PENALTY ORE Targeting on MANNING, Dontae enforced 15 yards from the ARI33 to the ARI48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+52 ydsPPA +4.01

DJ Williams run for 52 yds for a TD, (Tyler Loop KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Bo Nix pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 13 yds to the Oregn 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.98

Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 27 yds to the Ariz 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Bo Nix pass complete to Seven McGee for 6 yds to the Ariz 29

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.13

Bo Nix run for 10 yds to the Ariz 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.28

Jordan James run for 11 yds to the Ariz 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jordan James run for 5 yds to the Ariz 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Jordan James run for 2 yds to the Ariz 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Jordan James run for 1 yd for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jonah Coleman for 3 yds to the Ariz 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+43 ydsPPA +4.14

Jonah Coleman run for 43 yds to the Oregn 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+10 yds

OREGON Penalty, Defensive Holding (Jahlil Florence) to the Oregn 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Good+36 yds

Tyler Loop 36 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Bucky Irving run for 3 yds to the Oregn 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.61

Bo Nix pass complete to Chase Cota for 23 yds to the Ariz 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.89

Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 17 yds to the Ariz 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Bucky Irving run for 1 yd to the Ariz 31

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Bo Nix pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.49

Bo Nix run for 11 yds to the Ariz 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

NIX, Bo pass to the right incomplete intended for COTA, Chase thrown to the ARI5. PENALTY ARI Offsides on ECHOLS, Hunter enforced 5 yards from the ARI20 to the ARI15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.51

Noah Whittington run for 12 yds to the Ariz 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Penalty0 yds

ARIZONA Penalty, Offsides (Kyon Barrs) to the Ariz 3

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Bo Nix run for 2 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

3rd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA +0.13

Jayden de Laura pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Bo Nix pass complete to Noah Whittington for 6 yds to the Ariz 33

2nd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.22

Bo Nix pass complete to Seven McGee for 10 yds to the Ariz 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Bo Nix pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +3.08

Bucky Irving run for 23 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jonah Coleman run for 4 yds to the Ariz 29

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jonah Coleman run for 5 yds to the Ariz 34

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.86

Jonah Coleman run for 1 yd to the Ariz 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +2.50

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Dorian Singer for 38 yds to the Oregn 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.19

Jonah Coleman run for 13 yds to the Oregn 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-29 ydsPPA -4.40

Jayden de Laura sacked for a loss of 29 yards to the Oregn 43

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Bo Nix run for 8 yds to the Ariz 49

2nd & 2Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.44

Bo Nix pass complete to Seven McGee for 12 yds to the Ariz 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Bo Nix pass complete to Seven McGee for 6 yds to the Ariz 31

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Noah Whittington run for 6 yds to the Ariz 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Bo Nix run for 25 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jonah Coleman run for 1 yd to the Ariz 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jonah Coleman for 1 yd to the Ariz 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.06

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 11 yds to the Ariz 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.88

Jonah Coleman run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 36

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Kyle Ostendorp punt for 46 yds, downed at the Oregn 18

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Noah Whittington run for 2 yds to the Oregn 20

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Noah Whittington run for 2 yds to the Oregn 22

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Bo Nix pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+33 yds

Ross James punt for 42 yds , Jacob Cowing returns for 33 yds to the Oregn 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.30

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Dorian Singer for 18 yds to the Oregn 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+30 yds

Tyler Loop 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Bucky Irving run for 3 yds to the Oregn 28

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

OREGON Penalty, False Start (Moliki Matavao) to the Oregn 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 4 yds to the Oregn 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Bo Nix pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Adam Barry punt for 58 yds , Jacob Cowing returns for no gain to the Ariz 15

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 7 yds to the Ariz 22

3rd & 3Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.81

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 15 yds to the Ariz 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jonah Coleman run for 5 yds to the Ariz 42

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.44

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 11 yds to the Oregn 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jonah Coleman run for 4 yds to the Oregn 43

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.87

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tanner McLachlan for 11 yds to the Oregn 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

DE LAURA, Jayden pass up the middle incomplete intended for MCLACHLAN, Tanner thrown to the ORE32. PENALTY Before the snap, ORE Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the ORE32 to the ORE27. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.52

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Keyan Burnett for 5 yds to the Oregn 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

COLEMAN, Jonah rush up the middle for no gain to the ORE22 (WILLIAMS, Bennett;SEWELL, Noah). PENALTY ORE Personal Foul on WILLIAMS, Bennett enforced half the distance from the goal, 11 yards from the ORE22 to the ORE11 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Tetairoa McMillan 11 Yd pass from Jayden de Laura (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ty Thompson pass complete to Sean Dollars for 4 yds to the Oregn 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Sean Dollars run for 3 yds to the Oregn 32

3rd & 3Penalty+5 yds

THOMPSON, Ty pass to the right intercepted by TAYLOR, Isaiah at the ARI40 intended for DOLLARS, Sean. Taylor return for 0 yards to the ARI40, End of Play. PENALTY ARI Offsides on BRANCH-HAYNES, Evan enforced 5 yards from the ORE32 to the ORE37 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Ty Thompson pass complete to Sean Dollars for 1 yd to the Oregn 38

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jordan James run for 5 yds to the Oregn 43

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Ty Thompson pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Adam Barry punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jacob Cowing at the Ariz 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Keyan Burnett for 4 yds to the Ariz 20

2nd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Keyan Burnett for 1 yd to the Ariz 21

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Kyle Ostendorp punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Jordan James run for 6 yds to the Oregn 36

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Jordan James run for no gain to the Oregn 36

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.59

Ty Thompson pass complete to Kyler Kasper for 4 yds to the Oregn 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jordan James run for 2 yds to the Oregn 42

2nd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.96

Jordan James run for 13 yds to the Ariz 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +0.84

Jordan James run for 24 yds to the Ariz 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Kneel down by THOMPSON, Ty at ARI23 (team loss of 2).

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Kneel down by THOMPSON, Ty at ARI25 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Oregon

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
69%
35 plays
2nd
43%
7 plays
57%
7 plays
63%
8 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th

Arizona

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
28%
29 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
50%
4 plays
33%
15 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
67%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
4th