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← Back to GamesSep 25, 2022Week 4
USCUSC
17
-Final
14
Oregon StateOregon State
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Oregon State by 10.8

Home Win Probability

Oregon State 74%

Market (consensus)

Oregon State +5.5

Edge: Oregon State +5.5 (16.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 25, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
USCUSC
0301417
Oregon StateOregon State
070714

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40147-07-38-1014-17
Oregon StateUSC

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20USCOSUSCOSUSCOSUSCOSUSCOSUSCOSUSCOSUSCOSUSCOSUSCOSUSCOSDOWNS540ydPUNT614ydMISS1471ydTD1080ydPUNT815ydTO539ydFG741ydPUNT726ydEND313ydPUNT824ydPUNT1354ydTO520ydTD726ydMISS1246ydPUNT32ydTO115ydPUNT3-3ydTD222ydTD1184ydTO514ydEND1-2ydUncategorized414yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing USC and Oregon State
StatisticUSCOregon State
Passing16-3617-29
Pass Yards180167
Rush Yards177153
Total Yards357320
Turnovers04
3rd Down9-185-12
Penalties6-466-35
Possession30:1529:45

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

USC
passing
Caleb Williams
16/36, 180 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Travis Dye
19 CAR, 133 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tahj Washington
6 REC, 67 YDS
defense
Oregon State
passing
Chance Nolan
17/29, 167 YDS, 4 INT
rushing
Jamious Griffin
12 CAR, 84 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tyjon Lindsey
5 REC, 44 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+36 ydsPPA +2.95

Travis Dye run for 36 yds to the OrgSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Caleb Williams run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 42

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.21

Caleb Williams pass incomplete USC Penalty, turnover on downs, . PENALTY Illegal Motion ( Yards) declined

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.21

Caleb Williams pass incomplete USC Penalty, turnover on downs, . PENALTY Illegal Motion ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Deshaun Fenwick run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 44

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Chance Nolan pass complete to Anthony Gould for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

OREGON ST Penalty, False Start (Jack Velling) to the OrgSt 45

3rd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.44

Chance Nolan run for 8 yds to the USC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Damien Martinez run for no gain to the USC 47

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Chance Nolan pass complete to Anthony Gould for 3 yds to the USC 44

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Chance Nolan pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Luke Loecher punt for 34 yds, downed at the USC 10

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

Travis Dye run for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 9

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Travis Dye run for 6 yds to the USC 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.90

Caleb Williams pass complete to Brenden Rice for 11 yds to the USC 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Austin Jones run for 5 yds to the USC 40

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Austin Jones run for 4 yds to the USC 44

3rd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.88

Travis Dye run for 12 yds to the OrgSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Caleb Williams run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 38

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Austin Jones run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 36

3rd & 2Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.03

Travis Dye run for 16 yds to the OrgSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Travis Dye run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 19

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.97

Caleb Williams run for 9 yds to the USC 24 for a 1ST down

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+35 yds

Denis Lynch 35 yd FG MISSED

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+35 yds

Denis Lynch 35 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.54

Chance Nolan pass complete to Jack Colletto for 30 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Deshaun Fenwick run for 4 yds to the USC 46

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Deshaun Fenwick run for no gain to the USC 46

3rd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Chance Nolan pass complete to Tyjon Lindsey for 2 yds to the USC 44

4th & 4Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.11

Chance Nolan pass complete to Anthony Gould for 24 yds to the USC 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Deshaun Fenwick run for 1 yd to the USC 19

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Chance Nolan pass complete to Tyjon Lindsey for 7 yds to the USC 12

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.25

run for 3 yds to the USC 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Deshaun Fenwick run for 5 yds to the USC 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Deshaun Fenwick run for 4 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.54

Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 10 yds to the USC 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 9 yds to the USC 44

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.28

Travis Dye run for 2 yds to the USC 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

USC Penalty, Delay Of Game (Terrell Bynum) to the USC 40

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.70

Raleek Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 43

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Aadyn Sleep-Dalton punt for 45 yds

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Aadyn Sleep-Dalton punt for 45 yds

1st & 15Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.72

Jam Griffin run for 11 yds to the OrgSt 21

2nd & 4Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.81

Jam Griffin run for 21 yds to the OrgSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.88

Chance Nolan pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 10 yds to the USC 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Deshaun Fenwick run for 2 yds to the USC 46

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

OREGON ST Penalty, False Start (Tre'Shaun Harrison) to the OrgSt 10

2nd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA -2.71

Chance Nolan pass intercepted

2nd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA -2.71

Chance Nolan pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

USC Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USC 29

2nd & 15Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.16

Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for 22 yds to the OrgSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.95

Travis Dye run for 19 yds to the OrgSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Travis Dye run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 29

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Caleb Williams pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 4 yds to the OrgSt 25

4th & 5Field Goal Good+42 yds

Denis Lynch 42 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.65

Jam Griffin run for 11 yds to the OrgSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.88

Jam Griffin run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 26

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Deshaun Fenwick run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 28

3rd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.27

Chance Nolan pass complete to Tyjon Lindsey for 12 yds to the OrgSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

OREGON ST Penalty, False Start (Heneli Bloomfield) to the OrgSt 35

1st & 15Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.30

Damien Martinez run for 10 yds to the OrgSt 45

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.17

Damien Martinez run for no gain to the OrgSt 45

3rd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Chance Nolan pass complete to Alex Austin for 2 yds to the OrgSt 47

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

OREGON ST Penalty, False Start (Taliese Fuaga) to the OrgSt 42

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Luke Loecher punt for 47 yds, downed at the USC 11

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Luke Loecher punt for 47 yds, downed at the USC 11

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.60

Caleb Williams pass complete to Lake McRee for 8 yds to the USC 19

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.71

Raleek Brown run for 5 yds to the USC 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Chance Nolan pass complete to Anthony Gould for 7 yds to the OrgSt 42

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.35

Deshaun Fenwick run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Chance Nolan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Jam Griffin run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 49

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.37

Chance Nolan pass complete to Tyjon Lindsey for 8 yds to the USC 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Chance Nolan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jam Griffin run for 4 yds to the USC 39

3rd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.47

Damien Martinez run for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 41

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Chance Nolan punt for 40 yds, downed at the USC 1

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.10

Travis Dye run for no gain to the USC 1 Travis Dye fumbled, recovered by USC Bobby Haskins

3rd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.85

Caleb Williams pass complete to Jordan Addison for 17 yds to the USC 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.51

Caleb Williams run for 9 yds to the USC 27

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.06

Travis Dye run for 6 yds to the USC 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

OREGON ST Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Kitan Oladapo) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.16

Caleb Williams sacked by Riley Sharp for a loss of 5 yards to the USC 48

2nd & 15Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.66

Caleb Williams pass complete to Brenden Rice for 12 yds to the OrgSt 40

3rd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.24

Caleb Williams run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Caleb Williams run for no gain to the OrgSt 32

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.24

Austin Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 34

3rd & 12Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.35

Caleb Williams sacked by Kitan Oladapo for a loss of 11 yards to the OrgSt 45

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Aadyn Sleep-Dalton punt for 42 yds, downed at the OrgSt 3

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Deshaun Fenwick run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 5

2nd & 8Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.98

Chance Nolan pass complete to Jack Velling for 19 yds to the OrgSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Deshaun Fenwick run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 27

2nd & 7Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.76

Jam Griffin run for a loss of 4 yards to the OrgSt 23

3rd & 11Interception0 ydsPPA +0.19

Chance Nolan pass intercepted

3rd & 11Interception0 ydsPPA +0.19

Chance Nolan pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Austin Jones run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 24

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Raleek Brown run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 20

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.47

Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 5 yds to the OrgSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

USC Penalty, False Start (Max Williams) to the OrgSt 20

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Travis Dye run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 15

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Caleb Williams pass complete to Brenden Rice for 5 yds to the OrgSt 10

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 7

4th & 2Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.95

Travis Dye 7 Yd Run (Denis Lynch Kick)

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.35

Anthony Gould run for 15 yds to the OrgSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.25

Chance Nolan pass complete to Tyjon Lindsey for 15 yds to the USC 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Chance Nolan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.51

Jam Griffin run for 12 yds to the USC 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Chance Nolan pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 3 yds to the USC 29

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Jam Griffin run for 2 yds to the USC 27

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.78

Chance Nolan pass complete to Silas Bolden for 5 yds to the USC 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Chance Nolan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Jam Griffin run for 3 yds to the USC 19

3rd & 7Penalty-10 yds

OREGON ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tre'Shaun Harrison) to the USC 23

3rd & 11Penalty-5 yds

OREGON ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the USC 28

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Chance Nolan pass incomplete

4th & 16Field Goal Missed+46 yds

Everett Hayes 46 yd FG MISSED

4th & 16Field Goal Missed+46 yds

Everett Hayes 46 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Travis Dye run for 2 yds to the USC 30

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt+6 yds

Aadyn Sleep-Dalton punt for 44 yds , Anthony Gould returns for 6 yds to the OrgSt 32

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.90

Chance Nolan pass intercepted

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

NOLAN, Chance pass to the left incomplete intended for GOULD, Anthony thrown to the USC30. PENALTY USC Pass Interference on WRIGHT, Ceyair enforced 15 yards to the OSU47 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

pass incomplete to Jake Overman

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.35

Travis Dye run for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 3

2nd & 12Penalty0 yds

USC Penalty, False Start (Max Williams) to the USC 1

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 13Rush0 ydsPPA -0.03

Travis Dye run for no gain to the USC 2

4th & 13Punt+13 yds

Aadyn Sleep-Dalton punt for 33 yds , Anthony Gould returns for 13 yds to the USC 22

4th & 13Punt+13 yds

Aadyn Sleep-Dalton punt for 33 yds , Anthony Gould returns for 13 yds to the USC 22

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jam Griffin run for 4 yds to the USC 18

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.68

Jam Griffin 18 Yd Run (Everett Hayes Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 7 yds to the USC 23

2nd & 3Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.26

Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 16 yds to the USC 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Caleb Williams pass complete to Jordan Addison for 4 yds to the USC 43

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

4th & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.92

Caleb Williams run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.90

Travis Dye run for 16 yds to the OrgSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.74

Caleb Williams pass complete to Travis Dye for 9 yds to the OrgSt 25

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.43

Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +3.02

Jordan Addison 21 Yd pass from Caleb Williams (Denis Lynch Kick)

0th & 0Penalty-15 yds

STADTHAUS, Alex kickoff 61 yards from the USC35 to the OSU4, BOLDEN, Silas return of 13 yards to the OSU17 nullified (MOORE, Clyde), clock 01:07. PENALTY USC Unnecessary Roughness on MOORE, Clyde enforced 15 yards after the change of possession from the OSU17 to the OSU32, from the the spot of the ball when the foul occurred. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Chance Nolan pass complete to Silas Bolden for 5 yds to the OrgSt 37

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Chance Nolan pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 9 yds to the OrgSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Chance Nolan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Chance Nolan pass incomplete

3rd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.72

Chance Nolan pass intercepted

No play data available
2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Chance Nolan pass complete to Silas Bolden for 5 yds to the OrgSt 37 Chance Nolan pass complete to Silas Bolden for 5 yds to the OrgSt 37 Chance Nolan pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 9 yds to the OrgSt 46 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

USC

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
26 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
33%
12 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
100%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays

Oregon State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
32%
25 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
67%
6 plays
36%
14 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
1 play
25%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play