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← Back to GamesSep 17, 2022Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Washington State by 22

Home Win Probability

Washington State 90%

Market (consensus)

Washington State -17

Edge: Washington State -17 (5.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 17, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Colorado StateColorado State
00077
Washington StateWashington State
2173738

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284214-021-028-031-031-738-7
Washington StateColorado State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CSWSCSWSCSWSCSWSCSWSCSWSWSCSWSCSWSCSWSCSWSCSWSCSPUNT3-5ydTD446ydPUNT3-5ydTD552ydMISS1048ydTD573ydPUNT1032ydTD1382ydPUNT30ydTO513ydDOWNS45ydEND1-2ydFG770ydDOWNS772ydPUNT33ydPUNT42ydDOWNS541ydDOWNS521ydPUNT30ydTD1070ydTO34ydDOWNS4-5ydTD1074ydEND321yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Colorado State and Washington State
StatisticColorado StateWashington State
Passing25-3524-34
Pass Yards212299
Rush Yards37148
Total Yards249447
Turnovers22
3rd Down2-135-10
Penalties10-765-45
Possession32:3727:23

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Colorado State
passing
Clay Millen
25/35, 212 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Avery Morrow
8 CAR, 28 YDS
receiving
Ty McCullouch
4 REC, 57 YDS
defense
Washington State
passing
Cameron Ward
24/34, 299 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Nakia Watson
8 CAR, 74 YDS
receiving
Donovan Ollie
7 REC, 82 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Avery Morrow run for 2 yds to the ColSt 27

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Avery Morrow run for 2 yds to the ColSt 29

3rd & 6Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.52

Clay Millen sacked by Daiyan Henley for a loss of 9 yards to the ColSt 20

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Paddy Turner punt for 26 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Cameron Ward pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.90

Nakia Watson run for 23 yds to the ColSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Cameron Ward pass complete to Donovan Ollie for 6 yds to the ColSt 17

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.47

Cameron Ward pass complete to Donovan Ollie for 17 yds for a TD, (Dean Janikowski KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Avery Morrow run for no gain to the ColSt 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Clay Millen pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

COLORADO ST Penalty, False Start (Avery Morrow) to the ColSt 20

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Clay Millen pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Paddy Turner punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Cameron Ward pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.43

Cameron Ward pass complete to Robert Ferrel for 26 yds to the ColSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Cameron Ward pass complete to Orion Peters for 1 yd to the ColSt 25

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.54

Cameron Ward pass complete to Donovan Ollie for 12 yds to the ColSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

De'Zhaun Stribling 13 Yd pass from Cameron Ward (Dean Janikowski Kick)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Clay Millen run for 11 yds to the ColSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Jaylen Thomas run for 2 yds to the ColSt 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.74

Clay Millen pass complete to Ty McCullouch for 25 yds to the WshSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Avery Morrow run for 7 yds to the WshSt 30

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Clay Millen pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.68

Clay Millen pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 5 yds to the WshSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

Jaylen Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 26

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Clay Millen pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.14

Clay Millen pass complete to Jaylen Thomas for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 27

4th & 12Field Goal Missed+44 yds

Michael Boyle 44 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Nakia Watson run for 3 yds to the WshSt 30

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.69

Cameron Ward pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 12 yds to the WshSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+39 ydsPPA +1.96

Nakia Watson run for 39 yds to the ColSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Nakia Watson run for no gain to the ColSt 19

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.97

De'Zhaun Stribling 19 Yd pass from Cameron Ward (Dean Janikowski Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Clay Millen pass complete to Tory Horton for 3 yds to the ColSt 28

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

COLORADO ST Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Greg Laday) to the ColSt 23

2nd & 12Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.40

Clay Millen sacked by Quinn Roff for a loss of 8 yards to the ColSt 15

3rd & 20Penalty0 yds

(01:38) MILLEN, Clay pass to the right complete for 8 yards to HORTON, Tory caught at the CSU13 and advanced to the CSU23 (MARSH, Armani), clock 01:38. PENALTY CSU Personal Foul on NAIL, Xavier enforced half the distance from the goal, 8 yards from the CSU15 to the CSU7 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 27Penalty+15 yds

WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Francisco Mauigoa) to the ColSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Jaylen Thomas run for no gain to the ColSt 23

2nd & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.67

Clay Millen pass complete to Jaylen Thomas for 23 yds to the ColSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Clay Millen pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 9 yds to the WshSt 45

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.07

Clay Millen run for 8 yds to the WshSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.37

Clay Millen pass complete to Ty McCullouch for 13 yds to the WshSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.54

Ty McCullouch run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 25

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Avery Morrow run for 1 yd to the WshSt 24

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

COLORADO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 29

3rd & 15Fumble Recovery (Own)-14 ydsPPA -2.58

run for a loss of 14 yards to the WshSt 43 fumbled, recovered by ColSt Clay Millen

4th & 29Punt0 yds

Paddy Turner punt for 25 yds, downed at the WshSt 18

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.51

Cameron Ward pass complete to Robert Ferrel for no gain to the WshSt 18

2nd & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.04

Jaylen Jenkins run for 30 yds to the WshSt 48 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the WshSt 17

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.30

Cameron Ward pass complete to Orion Peters for 8 yds to the WshSt 25

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.99

Cameron Ward pass complete to Leyton Smithson for 4 yds to the WshSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Cameron Ward pass complete to Leyton Smithson for 2 yds to the WshSt 31

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Cameron Ward pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.48

Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 25 yds to the ColSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.67

Cameron Ward pass complete to Donovan Ollie for 17 yds to the ColSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Cameron Ward pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty0 yds

(07:23) WARD, Cameron pass to the right incomplete intended for SMITHSON, Leyton thrown to the CSU2, clock 07:23. PENALTY CSU Pass Interference on GUZMAN, Brandon enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards to the CSU13 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Nakia Watson run for 2 yds to the ColSt 11

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Cameron Ward pass incomplete

3rd & 8Penalty+5 yds

COLORADO ST Penalty, Offsides (Dequan Jackson) to the ColSt 6

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.45

Nakia Watson run for 4 yds to the ColSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Donovan Ollie 2 Yd pass from Cameron Ward (Dean Janikowski Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Keegan Holles run for 2 yds to the ColSt 27

2nd & 8Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.68

Clay Millen sacked by Brennan Jackson and Francisco Mauigoa for a loss of 4 yards to the ColSt 23

3rd & 12Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.07

Clay Millen pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 2 yds to the ColSt 25

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Paddy Turner punt for 53 yds, downed at the WshSt 22

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Cameron Ward run for 3 yds to the WshSt 25

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.29

Cameron Ward pass complete to Donovan Ollie for 10 yds to the WshSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jaylen Jenkins run for 2 yds to the WshSt 37

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Jaylen Jenkins run for 1 yd to the WshSt 38

3rd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-3 ydsPPA -0.48

Cameron Ward run for a loss of 3 yards to the WshSt 35 Cameron Ward fumbled, recovered by ColSt Cam'Ron Carter

2nd & 17Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Clay Millen pass complete to Avery Morrow for 6 yds to the WshSt 36

1st & 10Pass Reception-7 ydsPPA -2.09

Clay Millen pass complete to Melquan Stovall for a loss of 7 yards to the WshSt 42

2nd & 17Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Clay Millen pass complete to Avery Morrow for 6 yds to the WshSt 36

3rd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Clay Millen run for 8 yds to the WshSt 28

4th & 3Sack-2 ydsPPA -2.89

Clay Millen sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 30

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.24

Cameron Ward pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.97

Cameron Ward pass complete to Donovan Ollie for 18 yds to the ColSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +0.99

Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 27 yds to the ColSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Cameron Ward pass incomplete

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Cameron Ward pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Cameron Ward pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+22 yds

Dean Janikowski 22 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Avery Morrow run for 6 yds to the ColSt 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.60

Clay Millen pass complete to Justus Ross-Simmons for 5 yds to the ColSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.85

Clay Millen pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 22 yds to the WshSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Clay Millen pass complete to Avery Morrow for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 43

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Avery Morrow run for 1 yd to the WshSt 42

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Clay Millen pass complete to Tory Horton for 5 yds to the WshSt 37

4th & 5Interception0 ydsPPA -1.80

Clay Millen pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Nakia Watson run for 3 yds to the WshSt 6

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Cameron Ward pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.08

Nakia Watson run for no gain to the WshSt 6

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Nick Haberer punt for 61 yds, downed at the ColSt 33

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

COLORADO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Melquan Stovall) to the ColSt 32

1st & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Clay Millen pass complete to Avery Morrow for 3 yds to the ColSt 35

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Clay Millen pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Clay Millen pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Paddy Turner punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +2.77

Cameron Ward pass complete to Robert Ferrel for 38 yds to the ColSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.26

Cameron Ward sacked by Mohamed Kamara for a loss of 9 yards to the ColSt 40

2nd & 19Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.53

Cameron Ward sacked by Grady Kelly and Mohamed Kamara for a loss of 4 yards to the ColSt 44

3rd & 23Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.06

Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 16 yds to the ColSt 28

4th & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -2.42

Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for no gain to the ColSt 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.76

Clay Millen pass complete to Tory Horton for 19 yds to the ColSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Clay Millen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Clay Millen pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Clay Millen pass complete to Jaylen Thomas for 1 yd to the ColSt 48

4th & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Clay Millen pass complete to Jaylen Thomas for 1 yd to the ColSt 49

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Jaylen Jenkins run for 3 yds to the ColSt 46

2nd & 7Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.76

Cameron Ward pass complete to Billy Riviere III for a loss of 3 yards to the ColSt 49

3rd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Cameron Ward pass complete to Konner Gomness for 1 yd to the ColSt 48

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Nick Haberer punt for 34 yds , David Bailey returns for no gain to the ColSt 49 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Kick Catch Interference on ARCHIE, Armauni enforced (-15 Yards) to the ColSt 30

2nd & 14Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Clay Millen run for 4 yds to the ColSt 44

3rd & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.62

Clay Millen pass complete to Jaylen Thomas for 27 yds to the WshSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Jaylen Thomas run for no gain to the WshSt 29

2nd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.33

Clay Millen sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the WshSt 32

3rd & 13Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Clay Millen pass complete to Ty McCullouch for 8 yds to the WshSt 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Clay Millen pass complete to Tory Horton for 3 yds to the ColSt 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.68

Clay Millen pass complete to Ty McCullouch for 11 yds to the ColSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

(00:01) MILLEN, Clay pass to the right complete for 1 yard to ROSS-SIMMONS, Justus caught at the CSU45 and advanced to the CSU45 (THORNTON, Kyle), clock 00:01. PENALTY Before the snap, CSU False Start on DAVIS, Gray enforced 5 yards from the end of the play at the CSU45 to the CSU40. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.58

Clay Millen pass complete to Tory Horton for 15 yds to the WshSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Clay Millen pass incomplete

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

COLORADO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 14

2nd & 14Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +3.03

Clay Millen pass complete to Justus Ross-Simmons for 14 yds for a TD, (Michael Boyle KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Cameron Ward pass complete to Jaylen Jenkins for 4 yds to the WshSt 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Cameron Ward pass complete to Donovan Ollie for 2 yds to the WshSt 31 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on OLLIE, Donovan ( Yards) declined

3rd & 6Interception0 ydsPPA -0.16

Cameron Ward pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Clay Millen run for 3 yds to the WshSt 18

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Clay Millen run for 5 yds to the WshSt 13

3rd & 2Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.79

Clay Millen sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the WshSt 16

4th & 5Sack-10 ydsPPA -3.52

Clay Millen sacked by Andrew Edson for a loss of 10 yards to the WshSt 26

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Jaylen Jenkins run for 7 yds to the WshSt 33

2nd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.31

Jaylen Jenkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 31

3rd & 5Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.42

Jaylen Jenkins run for 14 yds to the WshSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Kannon Katzer run for no gain to the WshSt 45

2nd & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.60

Kannon Katzer run for 24 yds to the ColSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Jaylen Jenkins run for 1 yd to the ColSt 30

2nd & 9Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.97

Kannon Katzer run for 22 yds to the ColSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Kannon Katzer run for 7 yds to the ColSt 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Kannon Katzer run for no gain to the ColSt 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Kannon Katzer 1 Yd Run (Dean Janikowski Kick)

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.63

Keegan Holles run for 18 yds to the WshSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Tyson Williams run for 3 yds to the WshSt 44

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Keegan Holles run for no gain to the WshSt 44

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Keegan Holles run for no gain to the WshSt 44

Situational Analysis

Colorado State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play
33%
12 plays
38%
8 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
50%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
4th
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play

Washington State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
37%
27 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
64%
14 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play