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← Back to GamesSep 18, 2022Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Utah by 17.5

Home Win Probability

Utah 87%

Market (consensus)

Utah -22.5

Edge: San Diego State +22.5 (5.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 18, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
San Diego StateSan Diego State
00077
UtahUtah
02114035

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-021-028-035-035-7
UtahSan Diego State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UTASDSUTASDSUTASDSUTASDSUTASDSUTAUTASDSSDSUTASDSUTASDSUTASDSUTASDSSDSUTAPUNT937ydPUNT32ydPUNT3-8ydPUNT523ydDOWNS841ydPUNT36ydPUNT64ydPUNT33ydTD777ydPUNT38ydTD982ydTD427ydEND1-3ydTO512ydTD430ydPUNT3-1ydTD455ydPUNT922ydPUNT518ydDOWNS849ydPUNT34ydTO35ydTD925ydEND626yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing San Diego State and Utah
StatisticSan Diego StateUtah
Passing7-2118-30
Pass Yards60224
Rush Yards113174
Total Yards173398
Turnovers21
3rd Down3-158-15
Penalties9-647-62
Possession28:3831:22

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

San Diego State
passing
Kyle Crum
5/16, 53 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jaylon Armstead
5 CAR, 31 YDS
receiving
Josh Nicholson
2 REC, 23 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Utah
passing
Cameron Rising
18/30, 224 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Tavion Thomas
16 CAR, 59 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Brant Kuithe
5 REC, 64 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Cole Bishop
0.5 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Cameron Rising pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 13 yds to the Utah 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Brant Kuithe

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Utah 40

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.56

Cameron Rising run for 9 yds to the Utah 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Cameron Rising run for 3 yds to the SDSt 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.22

Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 10 yds to the SDSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Brant Kuithe

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Micah Bernard

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Micah Bernard

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jack Bouwmeester punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Jordan Byrd at the SDSt 8

1st & 10Penalty-4 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, False Start (Josh Simmons) to the SDSt 4

1st & 14Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.17

Jaylon Armstead run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 3

2nd & 15Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.07

Braxton Burmeister sacked by Van Fillinger and Karene Reid for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 1

3rd & 17Penalty0 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, False Start (Mark Redman) to the SDSt 1

3rd & 17Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.04

Jordan Byrd run for 9 yds to the SDSt 10

4th & 8Punt+7 yds

Jack Browning punt for 48 yds , Devaughn Vele returns for 7 yds to the Utah 49

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Tavion Thomas run for 7 yds to the SDSt 44

2nd & 3Sack-15 ydsPPA -3.69

Cameron Rising sacked by Michael Shawcroft for a loss of 15 yards to the Utah 41

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Brant Kuithe

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Jack Bouwmeester punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSt 25

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Cam Davis

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.93

Jaylon Armstead run for 14 yds to the SDSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Brionne Penny

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Jaylon Armstead run for 2 yds to the SDSt 41

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Braxton Burmeister run for 7 yds to the SDSt 48

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jack Browning punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Devaughn Vele at the Utah 18

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Tavion Thomas run for 3 yds to the Utah 21

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Brant Kuithe

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.40

Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 9 yds to the Utah 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.01

Jaylen Dixon run for 22 yds to the SDSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Bernard, Micah rush for 7 yards to the SANDIEGOST41, PENALTY UTAH holding (Laumea, Sataoa) 10 yards to the UTAH42, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.15

Micah Bernard run for 10 yds to the SDSt 48

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Cameron Rising pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Cameron Rising pass complete to Micah Bernard for 7 yds to the SDSt 41

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.67

Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Micah Bernard

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.67

Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Micah Bernard

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tyrell Shavers for 6 yds to the SDSt 47

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.24

Jordan Byrd run for no gain to the SDSt 47

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Tyrell Shavers

4th & 4Punt+14 yds

Jack Browning punt for 43 yds , Devaughn Vele returns for 14 yds to the Utah 24

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tavion Thomas run for 4 yds to the Utah 28

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tavion Thomas run for 5 yds to the Utah 33

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.92

Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd to the Utah 36

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Solomon Enis

3rd & 9Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.58

Cameron Rising sacked by Garret Fountain for a loss of 8 yards to the Utah 28

4th & 17Punt+7 yds

Jack Bouwmeester punt for 44 yds , Jordan Byrd returns for 7 yds to the SDSt 35

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Cam Davis run for 2 yds to the SDSt 37

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Cam Davis run for no gain to the SDSt 37

3rd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.35

William Haskell pass complete to Cam Davis for 1 yd to the SDSt 38

4th & 7Punt+9 yds

Jack Browning punt for 48 yds , Devaughn Vele returns for 9 yds to the Utah 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Cameron Rising pass complete to Tavion Thomas for 3 yds to the Utah 26

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Utah 28

3rd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.35

Cameron Rising pass complete to Solomon Enis for 15 yds to the Utah 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.41

Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 20 yds to the SDSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Devaughn Vele

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 7 yds to the SDSt 30

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +3.38

Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 30 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Kyle Crum run for 9 yds to the SDSt 49

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.40

Kenan Christon run for no gain to the SDSt 49

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.33

Kyle Crum run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 48

4th & 2Punt+13 yds

Jack Browning punt for 47 yds , Devaughn Vele returns for 13 yds to the Utah 18

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd to the Utah 19

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

Tavion Thomas run for no gain to the Utah 19

3rd & 9Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.63

Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 8 yds to the Utah 27 for a 1ST down SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Cooper McDonald) to the Utah 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Micah Bernard run for 7 yds to the Utah 49

2nd & 3Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.13

Micah Bernard run for 24 yds to the SDSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.21

Cameron Rising run for 15 yds to the SDSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Micah Bernard run for 2 yds to the SDSt 10

2nd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.52

Tavion Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 13

3rd & 11Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +3.22

Cameron Rising pass complete to Solomon Enis for 13 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK)

3rd & 11Kickoff Return (Offense)+7 yds

Jadon Redding kickoff for 45 yds , Aaron Greene return for 7 yds to the SDSt 27 Aaron Greene fumbled, recovered by Utah Caine Savage

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 5 yds to the SDSt 22

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tavion Thomas run for 5 yds to the SDSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Rising, Cameron rush for no gain to the SANDIEGOST17, PENALTY UTAH illegal shift 5 yards to the SANDIEGOST22, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Cameron Rising pass complete to Solomon Enis for 7 yds to the SDSt 15

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.77

Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 15 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK)

2nd & 8Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Jadon Redding kickoff for 54 yds , Jordan Byrd return for 23 yds to the SDSt 34

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.39

Jordan Byrd run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 31

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kyle Crum pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, False Start (Josh Simmons) to the SDSt 20

2nd & 15Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.19

Jordan Byrd run for 18 yds to the SDSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.99

Kyle Crum sacked by Van Fillinger for a loss of 7 yards to the SDSt 31

2nd & 17Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Jordan Byrd run for 6 yds to the SDSt 37

3rd & 11Pass Interception Return+13 ydsPPA -0.16

Kyle Crum pass intercepted Karene Reid return for 13 yds to the SDSt 30

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Tavion Thomas run for 6 yds to the SDSt 24

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Tavion Thomas run for 3 yds to the SDSt 21

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.19

Tavion Thomas run for 3 yds to the SDSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Tavion Thomas run for 18 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Christon, Kenan rush for loss of 1 yard to the SANDIEGOST24, PENALTY SANDIEGOST holding (Uluave, Alama) 10 yards to the SANDIEGOST15, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Kenan Christon run for 3 yds to the SDSt 18

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Kyle Crum pass incomplete to Josh Nicholson

3rd & 17Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.02

Kenan Christon run for 6 yds to the SDSt 24

4th & 11Punt+17 yds

Jack Browning punt for 48 yds , Devaughn Vele returns for 17 yds to the Utah 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.49

Cameron Rising pass complete to Micah Bernard for 26 yds to the SDSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Micah Bernard run for 1 yd to the SDSt 28

2nd & 9Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.73

Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 25 yds to the SDSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 3 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Jadon Redding kickoff for 65 yds , Brionne Penny return for 16 yds to the SDSt 16

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Cam Davis run for 2 yds to the SDSt 18

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Kyle Crum pass incomplete to Jesse Matthews

3rd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.32

Cam Davis run for 10 yds to the SDSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kyle Crum pass complete to Josh Nicholson for 5 yds to the SDSt 33

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Cam Davis run for 4 yds to the SDSt 37

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.03

Kyle Crum run for 2 yds to the SDSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Kyle Crum pass incomplete to Jesse Matthews

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.83

Jordan Byrd run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 38

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Kyle Crum pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt+11 yds

Jack Browning punt for 55 yds , Tiquan Gilmore returns for 11 yds to the Utah 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 8 yds to the Utah 26

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.40

Chris Curry run for 8 yds to the Utah 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Money Parks

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Jaylon Glover run for 2 yds to the Utah 36

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Solomon Enis

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jack Bouwmeester punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jordan Byrd at the SDSt 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Kyle Crum pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 15 yds to the SDSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Kyle Crum run for 3 yds to the SDSt 43

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jaylon Armstead run for 2 yds to the SDSt 45

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 40

3rd & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +3.80

Jaylon Armstead run for 14 yds to the UTAH 46 for a 1ST down UTAH Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Utah 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, False Start (Jonathan Harrison) to the Utah 36

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Kyle Crum pass incomplete to Brionne Penny

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Cam Davis run for 1 yd to the Utah 35

3rd & 14Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.89

Kyle Crum pass complete to Phillippe Wesley for 9 yds to the Utah 26

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.83

Kyle Crum pass incomplete to Mark Redman

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.83

Kyle Crum pass incomplete to Mark Redman

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Jaylon Glover run for 1 yd to the Utah 27

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jaylon Glover run for 5 yds to the Utah 32

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Bryson Barnes run for 3 yds to the Utah 35

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

UTAH Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Utah 30

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jack Bouwmeester punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jordan Byrd at the SDSt 26

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.07

Kenan Christon run for a loss of 4 yards to the SDSt 22

2nd & 14Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Kyle Crum run for 4 yds to the SDSt 26

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Kyle Crum pass incomplete to Brionne Penny

4th & 10Penalty+5 yds

UTAH Penalty, Delay of Game (Mohamoud Diabate) to the SDSt 31

4th & 5Punt-2 yds

Jack Browning punt for 42 yds , Tiquan Gilmore returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 25 Tiquan Gilmore fumbled, recovered by SDSt Mekhi Shaw

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Kyle Crum run for 1 yd to the Utah 24

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Martin Blake run for 3 yds to the Utah 21

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Kyle Crum pass incomplete to Josh Nicholson

4th & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.32

Kyle Crum pass complete to Brionne Penny for 6 yds to the Utah 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, False Start (Jonathan Harrison) to the Utah 20

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Kyle Crum pass incomplete to Darius De Los Reyes

2nd & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Martin Blake run for 7 yds to the Utah 13

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Martin Blake run for 1 yd to the Utah 12

4th & 7Penalty+7 yds

Crum, Kyle pass incomplete to Penny, Brionne, PENALTY UTAH pass interference (Marks, Faybian) 7 yards to the UTAH5, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SANDIEGOST.

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Martin Blake run for 2 yds to the Utah 3

2nd & 0Penalty-15 yds

Crum, Kyle pass complete to Penny, Brionne for 3 yards to the UTAH0, PENALTY SANDIEGOST personal foul 15 yards to the UTAH18, NO PLAY.

2nd & 0Passing Touchdown+18 yds

Kyle Crum pass complete to Josh Nicholson for 18 yds for a TD, (Jack Browning KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Jaylon Glover run for 9 yds to the Utah 34

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Jaylon Glover run for 2 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jaylon Glover run for 4 yds to the Utah 40

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jaylon Glover run for 4 yds to the Utah 44

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.37

Jaylon Glover run for 3 yds to the Utah 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jaylon Glover run for 4 yds to the SDSt 49

Situational Analysis

San Diego State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
27%
15 plays
0%
4 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
14%
7 plays
43%
7 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
33%
3 plays

Utah

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
44%
27 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
36%
14 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
57%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
2 plays