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← Back to GamesSep 17, 2022Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Minnesota by 26.2

Home Win Probability

Minnesota 95%

Market (consensus)

Minnesota -28

Edge: Colorado +28 (1.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 17, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
ColoradoColorado
00077
MinnesotaMinnesota
14217749

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-021-035-042-049-7
MinnesotaColorado

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MINCOLMINCOLMINCOLMINCOLMINCOLMINCOLMINCOLCOLMINCOLMINCOLMINCOLTD975ydTO1-14ydTD211ydPUNT517ydTO953ydPUNT35ydTD857ydPUNT35ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT610ydTD891ydPUNT3-8ydTD853ydEND114ydDOWNS1135ydTD1060ydPUNT36ydTD567ydTD1075ydDOWNS1039ydEND1261yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Colorado and Minnesota
StatisticColoradoMinnesota
Passing10-2412-20
Pass Yards90166
Rush Yards136334
Total Yards226500
Turnovers11
3rd Down1-1213-15
Penalties4-354-25
Possession23:5336:07

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Colorado
passing
Owen McCown
4/7, 52 YDS
rushing
Deion Smith
10 CAR, 70 YDS
receiving
Jaylon Jackson
1 REC, 28 YDS
defense
Minnesota
passing
Tanner Morgan
11/16, 157 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Mohamed Ibrahim
23 CAR, 202 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Chris Autman-Bell
3 REC, 58 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.71

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 19 yds to the Minn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.02

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 13 yds to the Colo 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.59

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 15 yds to the Colo 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Trey Potts run for 4 yds to the Colo 24

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Trey Potts run for 3 yds to the Colo 21

3rd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.45

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 9 yds to the Colo 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Colo 10

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Colo 5

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.65

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)

1st & 10Sack-14 ydsPPA -1.28

J.T. Shrout sacked for a loss of 14 yards to the Colo 11

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 9 yds to the Colo 2

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 9 yds to the Colo 2

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.91

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Deion Smith run for 1 yd to the Colo 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.71

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Daniel Arias for 12 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Deion Smith run for 6 yds to the Colo 44

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

COLORADO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Colo 39

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Deion Smith run for 3 yds to the Colo 42

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Deion Smith run for 3 yds to the Colo 42

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Ashton Logan punt for 36 yds , Quentin Redding returns for no gain to the Minn 22

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.88

Trey Potts run for a loss of 4 yards to the Minn 18

2nd & 14Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.23

Tanner Morgan sacked by Josh Chandler-Semedo for a loss of 7 yards to the Minn 11

3rd & 21Rush+34 ydsPPA +3.10

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 34 yds to the Minn 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Trey Potts run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.20

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Dylan Wright for 15 yds to the Colo 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Colo 31

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Colo 29

3rd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 9 yds to the Colo 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MORGAN, Tanner pass to the right complete for 10 yards to AUTMAN-BELL, Chris caught at the COL10 and advanced to the COL10 (MACK, Jeremy), out of bounds. PENALTY UMN Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on CARROLL, Quinn enforced 5 yards from the COL20 to the COL25 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Interception0 ydsPPA -3.97

Tanner Morgan pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Charlie Offerdahl run for 6 yds to the Colo 20

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

COLORADO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Colo 15

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Daniel Arias for 4 yds to the Colo 19

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Ashton Logan punt for 38 yds, downed at the Minn 43

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Minn 47

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.28

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 10 yds to the Colo 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 7 yds to the Colo 36

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.08

Trey Potts run for 7 yds to the Colo 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Trey Potts run for 7 yds to the Colo 22

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Trey Potts run for 2 yds to the Colo 20

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.16

Tanner Morgan run for 2 yds to the Colo 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 18 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)

0th & 0Penalty-5 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Colo 8

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Brendon Lewis run for 5 yds to the Colo 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Ashton Logan punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the Minn 26

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Ashton Logan punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the Minn 26

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Minn 30

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, False Start (Tyler Nubin) to the Minn 25

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 24 yds, downed at the Minn 49

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Deion Smith run for 1 yd to the Minn 48

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.88

Deion Smith run for 18 yds to the Minn 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.60

J.T. Shrout sacked by Danny Striggow for a loss of 9 yards to the Minn 39

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Ashton Logan punt for 30 yds, downed at the Minn 9

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.41

Mohamed Ibrahim run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 7

2nd & 12Rush+32 ydsPPA +2.38

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 32 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.78

Trey Potts run for 8 yds to the Minn 47

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.26

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Minn 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.86

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 8 yds to the Colo 43

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Colo 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.14

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 39 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Dragan Kesich kickoff for 62 yds , Maurice Bell return for 19 yds to the Colo 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Brendon Lewis run for 2 yds to the Colo 24

3rd & 8Rush-9 ydsPPA -0.30

Brendon Lewis run for a loss of 9 yards to the Colo 14

4th & 18Punt+8 yds

Ashton Logan punt for 47 yds , Quentin Redding returns for 8 yds to the Minn 47

4th & 18Punt+8 yds

Ashton Logan punt for 47 yds , Quentin Redding returns for 8 yds to the Minn 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 4 yds to the Colo 49

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.36

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 12 yds to the Colo 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.76

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 9 yds to the Colo 28

3rd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.47

Trey Potts run for 12 yds to the Colo 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.90

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Dylan Wright for 16 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Charlie Offerdahl run for 14 yds to the Colo 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Charlie Offerdahl run for 14 yds to the Colo 39 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Maurice Bell run for 16 yds to the Colo 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Jayle Stacks run for 1 yd to the Colo 42

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Jayle Stacks run for 2 yds to the Colo 44

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Daniel Arias for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.19

Jayle Stacks run for 2 yds to the Minn 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jayle Stacks run for 4 yds to the Minn 44

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.88

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 10 yds to the Minn 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.83

Jayle Stacks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 35

2nd & 11Penalty-10 yds

SMITH, Deion rush to the left for a loss of 1 yard to the UMN36 (SORI-MARIN, Mariano;OLIVER, Braelen). PENALTY COL Holding on FILLIP, Frank enforced 10 yards from the UMN35 to the UMN45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 21Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Deion Smith run for 5 yds to the Minn 40

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete

4th & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Minn 45

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 48

3rd & 2Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.04

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 15 yds to the Colo 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Trey Potts run for 6 yds to the Colo 31

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Trey Potts run for 3 yds to the Colo 28

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.36

Tanner Morgan run for 4 yds to the Colo 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.63

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 18 yds to the Colo 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Trey Potts run for 1 yd to the Colo 5

2nd & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.51

Trey Potts run for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 8

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.95

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Clay Geary for 8 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jayle Stacks run for no gain to the Colo 25

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Brendon Lewis run for 4 yds to the Colo 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jayle Stacks for 2 yds to the Colo 31

4th & 4Punt+6 yds

Ashton Logan punt for 42 yds , Quentin Redding returns for 6 yds to the Minn 33

2nd & 3Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Bryce Williams run for 13 yds to the Colo 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.77

Bryce Williams run for 16 yds to the Colo 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Bryce Williams run for 7 yds to the Minn 40

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.77

Bryce Williams run for 16 yds to the Colo 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Bryce Williams run for 7 yds to the Minn 40

2nd & 3Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Bryce Williams run for 13 yds to the Colo 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.70

Cole Kramer pass complete to Le'Meke Brockington for 9 yds to the Colo 22

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.14

Bryce Williams run for 22 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.83

Charlie Offerdahl run for 13 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Charlie Offerdahl run for 11 yds to the Colo 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.12

Charlie Offerdahl run for 9 yds to the Minn 42

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Charlie Offerdahl run for 2 yds to the Minn 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Deion Smith run for 5 yds to the Minn 35

2nd & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.45

Deion Smith run for 13 yds to the Minn 22 for a 1ST down

2nd & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.45

Deion Smith run for 13 yds to the Minn 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Deion Smith run for 1 yd to the Minn 21

2nd & 9Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.27

Deion Smith run for 17 yds to the Minn 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Austin Smith for 4 yds for a TD, (Cole Becker KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 9 yds to the Minn 34

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.28

Preston Jelen run for no gain to the Minn 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 2 yds to the Minn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Preston Jelen run for 8 yds to the Minn 44

3rd & 2Penalty+15 yds

COLORADO Penalty, Personal Foul (Trevor Woods) to the Colo 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.98

Preston Jelen run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 39

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jordan Nubin run for 4 yds to the Colo 35

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Jordan Nubin run for 3 yds to the Colo 32

4th & 4Sack-4 ydsPPA -2.41

Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Aubrey Smith for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 36

4th & 4Sack-4 ydsPPA -2.41

Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Aubrey Smith for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 36

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 9 yds to the Minn 34

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Owen McCown sacked by Lorenza Surgers for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 35

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Owen McCown run for 2 yds to the Colo 37

3rd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Owen McCown run for 8 yds to the Colo 45

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +2.06

Charlie Offerdahl run for 1 yd to the Colo 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Owen McCown pass complete to Erik Olsen for 3 yds to the Colo 49

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Owen McCown pass complete to Erik Olsen for 6 yds to the Minn 45

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.42

Charlie Offerdahl run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 46

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.42

Charlie Offerdahl run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 46

4th & 2Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.82

Owen McCown pass complete to Caleb Fauria for 15 yds to the Minn 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Owen McCown pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Owen McCown pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Owen McCown pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.76

Owen McCown pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 28 yds to the Minn 3 for a 1ST down

4th & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.76

Owen McCown pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 28 yds to the Minn 3 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Colorado

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
35%
23 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
100%
3 plays
29%
14 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
67%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
62%
34 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
63%
8 plays
22%
9 plays
100%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
8 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
2 plays