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← Back to GamesSep 4, 2022Week 1
Colgate
10
-Final
41
StanfordStanford

House Prediction

Model Margin

Stanford by 4.7

Home Win Probability

Stanford 61%

Market (consensus)

Stanford -40

Edge: Colgate +40 (35.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 4, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Colgate
073010
StanfordStanford
72101341

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-721-728-728-1035-1041-10
StanfordColgate

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20STACOLSTACOLCOLSTACOLSTACOLSTACOLSTACOLCOLSTACOLSTACOLSTACOLSTACOLSTACOLSTATD187ydMISS1260ydPUNT519ydPUNT35ydMISS41ydTO529ydTD33ydTD575ydPUNT3-4ydTD872ydPUNT33ydTD856ydEND322ydTO1145ydTO36ydFG847ydPUNT412ydPUNT39ydTD575ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT32ydPUNT36ydTD948ydPUNT32ydEND21yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Colgate and Stanford
StatisticColgateStanford
Passing10-2024-30
Pass Yards59328
Rush Yards159169
Total Yards218497
Turnovers14
3rd Down4-164-9
Penalties6-402-20
Possession32:0627:54

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Colgate
passing
Michael Brescia
9/19, 57 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Max Hurleman
12 CAR, 65 YDS
receiving
Jake Ryan
1 REC, 21 YDS
defense
Stanford
passing
Tanner McKee
22/27, 308 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
E.J. Smith
11 CAR, 118 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
John Humphreys
4 REC, 88 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Spencer Biscoe kickoff for 65 yds , E.J. Smith return for 13 yds to the Stanf 13

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+87 ydsPPA +6.70

E.J. Smith run for 87 yds for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Michael Brescia pass complete to Max Hurleman for 3 yds to the Colg 28

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Max Hurleman run for 3 yds to the Colg 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.37

Michael Brescia pass complete to Max Hurleman for 4 yds to the Colg 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Max Hurleman run for 2 yds to the Colg 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Michael Brescia pass complete to Garrett Oakey for 4 yds to the Colg 41

3rd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.32

Michael Brescia run for 11 yds to the Stanf 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Max Hurleman run for 5 yds to the Stanf 43

2nd & 5Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.94

Michael Brescia pass complete to Jake Ryan for 21 yds to the Stanf 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Michael Brescia pass complete to Jaedon Henry for 3 yds to the Stanf 19

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Michael Brescia pass incomplete

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

COLGATE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 24

3rd & 12Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.59

Michael Brescia run for 9 yds to the Stanf 15

4th & 3Field Goal Missed+33 yds

Spencer Biscoe 33 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 6 yds to the Stanf 26

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.76

E.J. Smith run for 8 yds to the Stanf 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 7 yds to the Stanf 41

2nd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.63

E.J. Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 39

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Tanner McKee pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt+7 yds

Ryan Sanborn punt for 42 yds , Max Hurleman returns for 7 yds to the Colg 26

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Jaedon Henry run for 3 yds to the Colg 29

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Michael Brescia pass incomplete

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

COLGATE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Colg 24

3rd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.11

Michael Brescia pass complete to Garrett Oakey for 7 yds to the Colg 31

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Shelby Pruett punt for 41 yds , returns for no gain to the Stanf 28

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Michael Brescia run for 5 yds to the Stanf 23

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Michael Brescia pass incomplete

3rd & 5Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.49

Michael Brescia sacked by Ricky Miezan and Aeneas DiCosmo for a loss of 4 yards to the Stanf 27

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+45 yds

Spencer Biscoe 45 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.88

E.J. Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 26

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 7 yds to the Stanf 33

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.05

Tanner McKee pass complete to John Humphreys for 10 yds to the Stanf 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Tanner McKee pass complete to E.J. Smith for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+6 ydsPPA -3.22

E.J. Smith run for 6 yds to the Colg 44 E.J. Smith fumbled, recovered by Colg Owen Goss

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jaedon Henry run for 2 yds to the Colg 46

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Michael Brescia pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Michael Brescia run for 6 yds to the Stanf 48

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

COLGATE Penalty, Delay Of Game (Michael Brescia) to the Colg 47

4th & 7Fumble Return Touchdown0 ydsPPA -7.36

Asauni Allen 0 Yd Fumble Return (Spencer Biscoe Kick)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Casey Filkins run for 6 yds to the Stanf 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.60

Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 30 yds to the Colg 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Casey Filkins run for 3 yds to the Colg 36

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.68

Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 10 yds to the Colg 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.72

Tanner McKee pass complete to Michael Wilson for 26 yds for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Max Hurleman run for 2 yds to the Colg 27

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.54

Michael Brescia run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colg 26

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

COLGATE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Colg 21

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Michael Brescia pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Shelby Pruett punt for 51 yds

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Shelby Pruett punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Bryce Farrell at the Stanf 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Tanner McKee pass complete to E.J. Smith for 4 yds to the Stanf 32

2nd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.89

Tanner McKee pass complete to John Humphreys for 15 yds to the Stanf 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.33

Tanner McKee pass complete to Michael Wilson for 25 yds to the Colg 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

E.J. Smith run for 6 yds to the Colg 22

2nd & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 1 yd to the Colg 21

3rd & 3Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.09

Tanner McKee pass complete to Michael Wilson for 16 yds to the Colg 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Casey Filkins run for 4 yds to the Colg 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

E.J. Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Michael Brescia run for 3 yds to the Colg 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Michael Brescia pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Michael Brescia pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+13 yds

Shelby Pruett punt for 41 yds , Casey Filkins returns for 13 yds to the Stanf 44

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

E.J. Smith run for 1 yd to the Stanf 45

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tanner McKee pass complete to E.J. Smith for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.03

Tanner McKee pass complete to John Humphreys for 10 yds to the Colg 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Tanner McKee pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.52

Tanner McKee pass complete to Casey Filkins for 30 yds to the Colg 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

SMITH, E.J. rush to the left for a loss of 2 yards to the COL12 (ALLEN, Asauni). PENALTY STA Face mask on SMITH, E.J. enforced 15 yards from the COL10 to the COL25 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 25Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Tanner McKee pass complete to Michael Wilson for 2 yds to the Colg 23

2nd & 23Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.68

Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 10 yds to the Colg 13

3rd & 13Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +3.33

Tanner McKee pass complete to Michael Wilson for 13 yds for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Joshua Karty kickoff for 61 yds , Treyvohn Saunders return for 13 yds to the Colg 17

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.68

Jaedon Henry run for 11 yds to the Colg 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jaedon Henry run for 5 yds to the Colg 33

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.90

Max Hurleman run for 6 yds to the Colg 39 for a 1ST down

0th & 5End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jaedon Henry run for 2 yds to the Colg 27

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Michael Brescia run for 6 yds to the Colg 33

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA +1.05

Jaedon Henry run for 2 yds to the Colg 35 Jaedon Henry fumbled, recovered by Colg Michael Brescia for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Max Hurleman run for 3 yds to the Colg 38

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Michael Brescia pass complete to Max Hurleman for 6 yds to the Colg 44

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.37

Michael Brescia run for 5 yds to the Colg 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.12

Max Hurleman run for 9 yds to the Stanf 42

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.17

Max Hurleman run for 7 yds to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Michael Brescia pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jaedon Henry run for 5 yds to the Stanf 30

3rd & 5Interception0 ydsPPA -3.40

Michael Brescia pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Tanner McKee pass complete to E.J. Smith for 6 yds to the Stanf 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Tanner McKee pass incomplete

3rd & 4Interception0 ydsPPA -0.39

Tanner McKee pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Michael Brescia pass complete to Garrett Oakey for 7 yds to the Stanf 47

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Max Hurleman run for 7 yds to the Stanf 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.56

Max Hurleman run for 19 yds to the Stanf 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.21

Treyvohn Saunders run for 12 yds to the Stanf 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Max Hurleman run for 1 yd to the Stanf 8

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Michael Brescia run for 1 yd to the Stanf 7

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Michael Brescia pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+25 yds

Spencer Biscoe 25 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Spencer Biscoe kickoff for 63 yds , Bryce Farrell return for 23 yds to the Stanf 25

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.42

E.J. Smith run for 16 yds to the Stanf 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.34

E.J. Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 40

2nd & 11Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.98

E.J. Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 37

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Tanner McKee pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Ryan Sanborn punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jaedon Henry run for 3 yds to the Colg 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Michael Brescia pass complete to Jaedon Henry for 2 yds to the Colg 30

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Michael Brescia run for 4 yds to the Colg 34

4th & 1Punt+1 yds

Shelby Pruett punt for 42 yds , Bryce Farrell returns for 1 yd to the Stanf 25

4th & 1Punt+1 yds

Shelby Pruett punt for 42 yds , Bryce Farrell returns for 1 yd to the Stanf 25

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Casey Filkins run for 5 yds to the Stanf 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.71

Tanner McKee pass complete to E.J. Smith for 15 yds to the Stanf 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+53 ydsPPA +3.06

Tanner McKee pass complete to John Humphreys for 53 yds to the Colg 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Casey Filkins run for 1 yd to the Colg 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Casey Filkins run for 1 yd for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Joshua Karty kickoff for 45 yds , Brendan Cassamajor return for no gain to the Colg 20

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Max Hurleman run for 1 yd to the Colg 21

2nd & 9Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.52

Michael Brescia sacked by Stephen Herron for a loss of 10 yards to the Colg 11

3rd & 19Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.03

Michael Brescia run for 8 yds to the Colg 19

4th & 11Punt+8 yds

Shelby Pruett punt for 54 yds , Casey Filkins returns for 8 yds to the Stanf 35

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

STANFORD Penalty, False Start (Sam Roush) to the Stanf 30

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Caleb Robinson run for 4 yds to the Stanf 34

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Caleb Robinson run for 1 yd to the Stanf 35

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Ari Patu run for 2 yds to the Stanf 37

4th & 8Punt+10 yds

Ryan Sanborn punt for 53 yds , Max Hurleman returns for 10 yds to the Colg 20

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Marco Maldonado run for 3 yds to the Colg 23

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Marco Maldonado run for 1 yd to the Colg 24

3rd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Harry Kirk pass complete to Brady Hutchison for 2 yds to the Colg 26

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Shelby Pruett punt for 37 yds , Bryce Farrell returns for no gain to the Colg 26 COLGATE Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Colg 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.71

Ari Patu pass complete to Mudia Reuben for 13 yds to the Colg 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Caleb Robinson run for 2 yds to the Colg 33

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Brendon Barrow run for 4 yds to the Colg 29

3rd & 4Penalty+5 yds

COLGATE Penalty, Delay Of Game (K2 Dickens) to the Colg 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Ari Patu pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.26

Brendon Barrow run for 7 yds to the Colg 17

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Brendon Barrow run for 2 yds to the Colg 15

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.60

Ari Patu run for 3 yds to the Colg 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Caleb Robinson run for 5 yds to the Colg 7

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.46

Ari Patu pass complete to Mudia Reuben for 7 yds for a TD, (Emmet Kenney PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Zach Osborne run for 3 yds to the Colg 28

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Moises Aracena run for no gain to the Colg 28

3rd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.30

Alex Rosso run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colg 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Shelby Pruett punt for 46 yds , returns for no gain to the Stanf 25

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Shelby Pruett punt for 46 yds , returns for no gain to the Stanf 25

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Arlen Harris run for 2 yds to the Stanf 27

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.54

Arlen Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 26

Situational Analysis

Colgate

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
35%
23 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
20%
15 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
4th

Stanford

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
61%
23 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
71%
7 plays
67%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play