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← Back to GamesSep 4, 2022Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Boise State by 2.3

Home Win Probability

Oregon State 45%

Market (consensus)

Oregon State -1.5

Edge: Boise State +1.5 (3.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 4, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Boise StateBoise State
0010717
Oregon StateOregon State
14103734

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284214-017-024-024-327-327-1034-17
Oregon StateBoise State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BSOSBSOSBSOSBSOSBSOSBSOSBSOSBSOSBSOSBSOSBSOSBSOSBSOSBSOSBSOSPUNT31ydTO732ydTO322ydPUNT36ydTO35ydTD253ydPUNT33ydTD460ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT3-14ydTO2-4ydFG43ydPUNT514ydTO3-5ydTO514ydTD498ydDOWNS1061ydTO312ydFG42ydPUNT523ydPUNT315ydFG755ydTD275ydPUNT37ydTD667ydTD565ydTO10ydMISS1026ydMISS1756ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Boise State and Oregon State
StatisticBoise StateOregon State
Passing23-3615-24
Pass Yards185292
Rush Yards126178
Total Yards311470
Turnovers53
3rd Down4-134-13
Penalties5-3510-100
Possession24:5835:02

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Boise State
passing
Taylen Green
19/28, 155 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Taylen Green
11 CAR, 102 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Ashton Jeanty
6 REC, 52 YDS
defense
Oregon State
passing
Chance Nolan
14/23, 251 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Jack Colletto
3 CAR, 44 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Luke Musgrave
6 REC, 89 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Everett Hayes kickoff for 65 yds , Stefan Cobbs return for 26 yds to the BoiSt 26

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Stefan Cobbs

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Riley Smith for 6 yds to the BoiSt 32

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

BOISE ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 27

4th & 9Punt0 yds

James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Anthony Gould at the OrgSt 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Chance Nolan pass complete to Luke Musgrave for 5 yds to the OrgSt 44

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Deshaun Fenwick run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 47

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Tre'Shaun Harrison

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.38

Jack Colletto run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Damien Martinez run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 48

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

OREGON ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Joshua Gray) to the OrgSt 42

2nd & 18Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.66

Chance Nolan pass complete to Luke Musgrave for 27 yds to the BoiSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -4.16

Deshaun Fenwick run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 29 Deshaun Fenwick fumbled, recovered by BoiSt Caleb Biggers

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

George Holani run for no gain to the BoiSt 29

2nd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.84

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to George Holani for 22 yds to the OrgSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.24

Hank Bachmeier pass intercepted Rejzohn Wright return for no gain to the OrgSt 21

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Trey Lowe run for no gain to the OrgSt 21

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Trey Lowe run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 25

3rd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Chance Nolan pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 2 yds to the OrgSt 27

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Luke Loecher punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Stefan Cobbs at the BoiSt 25

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

George Holani run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 28

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

George Holani run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 30

3rd & 5Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.26

Hank Bachmeier pass intercepted Jaydon Grant return for no gain to the OrgSt 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.35

Chance Nolan pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 26 yds to the BoiSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Chance Nolan pass complete to Luke Musgrave for 27 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Everett Hayes kickoff for 60 yds , Stefan Cobbs return for 12 yds to the BoiSt 17

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Hank Bachmeier run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 19

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 22

3rd & 5Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.30

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Billy Bowens for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 20

4th & 7Punt0 yds

James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Anthony Gould at the OrgSt 40

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.50

Damien Martinez run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 38

2nd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Chance Nolan pass complete to Luke Musgrave for 7 yds to the OrgSt 45

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.20

Chance Nolan pass complete to Tyjon Lindsey for 8 yds to the BoiSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+47 ydsPPA +3.61

Chance Nolan pass complete to Tyjon Lindsey for 47 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+8 yds

Everett Hayes kickoff for 65 yds , Stefan Cobbs return for 8 yds to the BoiSt 8

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.43

George Holani run for a loss of 3 yards to the BoiSt 5

2nd & 13Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.09

George Holani run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 4

3rd & 14Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.03

George Holani run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 3

4th & 15Punt0 yds

James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 45 yds, downed at the BoiSt 48

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.97

Anthony Gould run for a loss of 4 yards to the OrgSt 48

2nd & 14Penalty-15 yds

OREGON ST Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the OrgSt 33

2nd & 29Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Chance Nolan pass complete to Trey Lowe for 5 yds to the OrgSt 38

3rd & 24Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Silas Bolden

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Luke Loecher punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Stefan Cobbs at the BoiSt 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Latrell Caples for 4 yds to the BoiSt 14

2nd & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.50

Hank Bachmeier sacked by Riley Sharp for a loss of 7 yards to the BoiSt 6 Hank Bachmeier fumbled, recovered by OrgSt Jack Colletto , return for 0 yards

1st & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Chance Nolan pass incomplete

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Deshaun Fenwick run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 3

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jack Colletto run for no gain to the BoiSt 3

4th & 3Field Goal Good+20 yds

Everett Hayes 20 yd FG GOOD

4th & 7Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Everett Hayes kickoff for 65 yds , Ashton Jeanty return for 22 yds to the BoiSt 22

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

George Holani run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 26

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.94

Taylen Green run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Taylen Green run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 36

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Austin Bolt

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Stefan Cobbs

4th & 7Punt0 yds

James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Anthony Gould at the OrgSt 29

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.29

Chance Nolan pass complete to Anthony Gould for a loss of 5 yards to the OrgSt 24

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Tre'Shaun Harrison

3rd & 15Pass Interception Return+11 ydsPPA +0.26

Chance Nolan pass intercepted JL Skinner return for 11 yds to the OrgSt 16

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.48

George Holani run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 18

2nd & 12Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.45

Taylen Green pass complete to George Holani for no gain to the OrgSt 18

3rd & 12Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.62

Taylen Green pass complete to George Holani for 13 yds to the OrgSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Taylen Green run for no gain to the OrgSt 5

2nd & 0Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 yds

Taylen Green pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 3 yds Ashton Jeanty fumbled, forced by Jaydon Grant, recovered by OrgSt Alex Austin

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Deshaun Fenwick run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 5

2nd & 7Pass Reception+74 ydsPPA +4.44

Chance Nolan pass complete to Anthony Gould for 74 yds to the BoiSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Damien Martinez run for 9 yds to the BoiSt 12

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.00

Deshaun Fenwick run for 12 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Taylen Green pass complete to Latrell Caples for 9 yds to the BoiSt 34

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.03

George Holani run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Taylen Green pass complete to Billy Bowens for 9 yds to the BoiSt 48

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

George Holani run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.22

Taylen Green pass complete to Stefan Cobbs for 26 yds to the OrgSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Taylen Green run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 21

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Taylen Green run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 17

3rd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.23

Taylen Green pass complete to Latrell Caples for 3 yds to the OrgSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Taylen Green pass incomplete

2nd & 10Field Goal Missed+32 yds

Jonah Dalmas 32 yd FG MISSED

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Will Ferrin kickoff for 62 yds , Trey Lowe return for 12 yds to the OrgSt 15

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Damien Martinez run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 23

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.00

Damien Martinez run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+1 ydsPPA -1.07

Chance Nolan pass intercepted Caleb Biggers return for 1 yd to the OrgSt 25

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

George Holani run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 26

2nd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Taylen Green pass complete to Stefan Cobbs for 3 yds to the OrgSt 23

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Latrell Caples

4th & 8Field Goal Good+41 yds

Jonah Dalmas 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Damien Martinez run for 12 yds to the OrgSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.04

Trey Lowe run for 15 yds to the BoiSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

OREGON ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the BoiSt 49

1st & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Trey Lowe run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 45

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Luke Musgrave

3rd & 16Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Damien Martinez run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 43

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Luke Loecher punt for 31 yds, downed at the BoiSt 12

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

OREGON ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Rejzohn Wright) to the BoiSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

George Holani run for no gain to the BoiSt 27

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Taylen Green pass incomplete to George Holani

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Billy Bowens

4th & 10Punt0 yds

James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Anthony Gould at the OrgSt 40

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Deshaun Fenwick run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 43

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

OREGON ST Penalty, False Start (Jake Overman) to the OrgSt 38

2nd & 12Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.90

Chance Nolan pass complete to Luke Musgrave for 19 yds to the BoiSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +2.14

John Dunmore pass complete to Trey Lowe for 41 yds to the BoiSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Penalty-5 yds

OREGON ST Penalty, False Start (Luke Musgrave) to the BoiSt 7

1st & 0Penalty-10 yds

OREGON ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Luke Musgrave) to the BoiSt 17

1st & 0Penalty-10 yds

OREGON ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Taliese Fuaga) to the BoiSt 27

1st & 0Rush+15 yds

Chance Nolan run for 15 yds to the BoiSt 12

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Tre'Shaun Harrison

3rd & 12Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.18

Chance Nolan run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 5

4th & 5Field Goal Good+23 yds

Everett Hayes 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 26

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+74 ydsPPA +6.67

Taylen Green run for 74 yds for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK)

2nd & 9Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Will Ferrin kickoff for 61 yds , Jesiah Irish return for 19 yds to the OrgSt 23

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Chance Nolan run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 27

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Damien Martinez run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 28

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Chance Nolan run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 30

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Luke Loecher punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Stefan Cobbs at the BoiSt 33

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Latrell Caples run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 38

2nd & 5Penalty+15 yds

OREGON ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Ryan Cooper Jr.) to the OrgSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

BOISE ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 48

1st & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Taylen Green pass complete to Riley Smith for 7 yds to the OrgSt 45

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

George Holani run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 43

3rd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.86

Ashton Jeanty run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

BOISE ST Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Garrett Curran) to the OrgSt 40

1st & 15Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +2.03

Taylen Green pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 36 yds to the OrgSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Taylen Green run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Chance Nolan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

Trey Lowe run for no gain to the OrgSt 35

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

BOISE ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Tyric LeBeauf) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Chance Nolan pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 5 yds to the BoiSt 45

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Deshaun Fenwick run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 41

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +3.88

Jack Colletto run for 41 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.92

Taylen Green pass intercepted Alex Austin return for no gain to the OrgSt 45

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Damien Martinez run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 48

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Deshaun Fenwick run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 49

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.65

Trey Lowe run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Chance Nolan pass complete to Luke Musgrave for 4 yds to the BoiSt 41

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Deshaun Fenwick run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 39

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.23

Trey Lowe run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Damien Martinez run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 31

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Deshaun Fenwick run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 27

3rd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.21

Damien Martinez run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 29

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+47 yds

Everett Hayes 47 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Taylen Green run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 33

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Stefan Cobbs

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

BOISE ST Penalty, False Start (Kekaniokoa Holomalia-Gonzalez) to the BoiSt 28

3rd & 11Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.17

Taylen Green pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for no gain to the BoiSt 28

4th & 11Penalty+5 yds

OREGON ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Andrew Chatfield Jr.) to the BoiSt 33

4th & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.32

Taylen Green run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Billy Bowens

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.12

Taylen Green pass complete to Riley Smith for 11 yds to the OrgSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 45

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Taylen Green pass complete to Riley Smith for 5 yds to the OrgSt 40

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.79

Taylen Green run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Taylen Green pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 6 yds to the OrgSt 30

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Taylen Green pass complete to Stefan Cobbs for 6 yds to the OrgSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Taylen Green pass complete to Stefan Cobbs for 4 yds to the OrgSt 20

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Taylen Green pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 6 yds to the OrgSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Taylen Green pass complete to Latrell Caples for 7 yds to the OrgSt 7

2nd & 3Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Taylen Green pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 1 yd to the OrgSt 6

3rd & 2Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.31

Taylen Green sacked by Ryan Cooper Jr. for a loss of 9 yards to the OrgSt 15

4th & 11Field Goal Missed+32 yds

Jonah Dalmas 32 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 19

Situational Analysis

Boise State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
23%
26 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
57%
7 plays
44%
9 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Oregon State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
40%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
2 plays
0%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
57%
7 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play