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← Back to GamesSep 3, 2022Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

San Diego State by 23.2

Home Win Probability

San Diego State 90%

Market (consensus)

San Diego State -6.5

Edge: San Diego State -6.5 (16.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 3, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
ArizonaArizona
10147738
San Diego StateSan Diego State
01010020

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-33-103-1710-1710-3117-3120-38
San Diego StateArizona

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SDSARISDSARISDSARISDSARISDSARISDSARISDSARISDSARIARISDSARISDSARISDSARISDSPUNT36ydFG1666ydPUNT33ydTD740ydFG1148ydTD875ydPUNT30ydTO28ydTD732ydTO31ydTO25ydTD654ydEND1-2ydTD575ydPUNT622ydTD3-2ydPUNT35ydFG837ydTD1175ydPUNT35ydPUNT3-1ydTO1172ydDOWNS872ydEND24yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Arizona and San Diego State
StatisticArizonaSan Diego State
Passing22-357-16
Pass Yards29962
Rush Yards162170
Total Yards461232
Turnovers22
3rd Down6-132-11
Penalties4-356-37
Possession32:3727:23

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Arizona
passing
Jayden de Laura
22/35, 299 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
rushing
D.J. Williams
14 CAR, 88 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jacob Cowing
8 REC, 152 YDS, 3 TD
defense
San Diego State
passing
Braxton Burmeister
5/10, 51 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Cam Davis
8 CAR, 39 YDS
receiving
Kenan Christon
2 REC, 19 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Tyler Loop kickoff for 65 yds , Jordan Byrd return for 21 yds to the SDSt 21

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -0.94

Braxton Burmeister run for a loss of 7 yards to the SDSt 14

2nd & 17Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.23

Chance Bell run for 10 yds to the SDSt 24

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Braxton Burmeister run for 3 yds to the SDSt 27

4th & 4Punt+7 yds

Jack Browning punt for 54 yds , Dorian Singer returns for 7 yds to the Ariz 26

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.93

Michael Wiley run for 8 yds to the Ariz 34

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.96

DJ Williams run for 1 yd to the Ariz 35

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

DJ Williams run for no gain to the Ariz 35

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.81

Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the Ariz 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Rayshon Luke run for 4 yds to the Ariz 42

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.48

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tanner McLachlan for 10 yds to the SDSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Jayden de Laura pass complete to DJ Williams for 9 yds to the SDSt 39

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.19

DJ Williams run for 8 yds to the SDSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.06

Anthony Simpson run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 34

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.42

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 25 yds to the SDSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

2nd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Dorian Singer for 1 yd to the SDSt 8

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+25 yds

Tyler Loop 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Chance Bell run for 3 yds to the SDSt 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete

4th & 7Blocked Punt0 yds

punt blocked by Dalton Johnson blocked by Dalton Johnson

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Rayshon Luke run for 5 yds to the SDSt 35

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.29

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Dorian Singer for 5 yds to the SDSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

DJ Williams run for 4 yds to the SDSt 26

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the SDSt 23

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.45

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 4 yds to the SDSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Michael Wiley for 2 yds to the SDSt 17

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.80

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 17 yds for a TD, (Tyler Loop KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Cam Davis run for 3 yds to the SDSt 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.91

Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 15 yds to the SDSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Braxton Burmeister run for 4 yds to the SDSt 47

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.02

Cam Davis run for 6 yds to the Ariz 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.56

Jordan Byrd run for 10 yds to the Ariz 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Jordan Byrd run for 6 yds to the Ariz 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.12

Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Kenan Christon for 7 yds to the Ariz 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Braxton Burmeister run for 8 yds to the Ariz 16

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

William Haskell pass incomplete

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 21

3rd & 7Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.89

Braxton Burmeister sacked by Jalen Harris for a loss of 6 yards to the Ariz 27

4th & 13Field Goal Good+44 yds

Jack Browning 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Michael Wiley for 7 yds to the Ariz 32

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.23

Michael Wiley run for 3 yds to the Ariz 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Rayshon Luke run for no gain to the Ariz 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.33

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Dorian Singer for 14 yds to the Ariz 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.18

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Dorian Singer for 24 yds to the SDSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+14 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Face mask (14 yards) (Michael Shawcroft) to the SDSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 6 yds for a TD, (Tyler Loop KICK)

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

Chance Bell run for no gain to the SDSt 35

4th & 10Punt+16 yds

Jack Browning punt for 57 yds , Dorian Singer returns for 16 yds to the Ariz 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the Ariz 27

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -0.57

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Dorian Singer for 5 yds fumbled, forced by Cedarious Barfield, recovered by SDSt Cedarious Barfield

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.53

Cam Davis run for 8 yds to the Ariz 24

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Cam Davis run for 1 yd to the Ariz 23

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.26

Braxton Burmeister run for 5 yds to the Ariz 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Chance Bell run for 7 yds to the Ariz 11

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Braxton Burmeister run for no gain to the Ariz 11

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Chance Bell run for no gain to the Ariz 11

4th & 3Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +3.13

Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tyrell Shavers for 11 yds for a TD, (Jack Browning KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jonah Coleman run for 5 yds to the Ariz 30

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Jonah Coleman run for 1 yd to the Ariz 31

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

ARIZONA Penalty, Delay Of Game (Jalen Harris) to the Ariz 26

3rd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA +0.07

Jayden de Laura pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.49

Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Mark Redman for 15 yds to the Ariz 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

BYRD, Jordan rush to the right for a gain of 25 yards to the ARI0, End of Play, clock 02:37. PENALTY SDS Holding enforced 10 yards from the ARI25 to the ARI35 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Interception0 ydsPPA -3.16

Braxton Burmeister pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.48

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 29 yds to the SDSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.49

Jonah Coleman run for 9 yds to the SDSt 16

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.13

Jonah Coleman run for 4 yds to the SDSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Dorian Singer for 8 yds to the SDSt 4

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.08

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 4 yds for a TD, (Tyler Loop KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Tyler Loop kickoff for 61 yds , Jordan Byrd return for 14 yds to the SDSt 18

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

2nd & 7Penalty0 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Noah Tumblin) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

DJ Williams run for no gain to the Ariz 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.54

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 10 yds to the Ariz 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Rayshon Luke run for 3 yds to the Ariz 38

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 25 yds for a TD, (Tyler Loop KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+29 yds

Tyler Loop kickoff for 60 yds , Jordan Byrd return for 29 yds to the SDSt 34

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Chance Bell run for 3 yds to the SDSt 37

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Chance Bell run for 3 yds to the SDSt 40

3rd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.32

Braxton Burmeister run for 11 yds to the Ariz 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Braxton Burmeister run for 2 yds to the Ariz 47

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 3 yds to the Ariz 44

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.06

Braxton Burmeister run for no gain to the Ariz 44

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jack Browning punt for 41 yds, downed at the Ariz 3

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.14

Jonah Coleman run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 1

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

4th & 12Blocked Punt0 yds

punt blocked by blocked by for a TD, (Jack Browning KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Jack Browning kickoff for 65 yds , Anthony Simpson return for 18 yds to the Ariz 18

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

DJ Williams run for 5 yds to the Ariz 23

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt+22 yds

Kyle Ostendorp punt for 47 yds , Jordan Byrd returns for 22 yds to the Ariz 45 ARIZONA Penalty, Illegal Formation (TEAM) to the Ariz 43

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kenan Christon run for 5 yds to the Ariz 38

2nd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.54

William Haskell pass complete to Kenan Christon for 12 yds to the Ariz 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

William Haskell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.77

Cam Davis run for 17 yds to the Ariz 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Cam Davis run for 2 yds to the Ariz 7

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Cam Davis run for 1 yd to the Ariz 6

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

William Haskell run for no gain to the Ariz 6

4th & 6Field Goal Good+23 yds

Jack Browning 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

DJ Williams run for 9 yds to the Ariz 34

2nd & 1Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.73

DJ Williams run for 13 yds to the Ariz 47 for a 1ST down SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Offsides (Keshawn Banks) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.27

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Michael Wiley for 9 yds to the SDSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

DJ Williams run for 7 yds to the SDSt 34

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.02

DJ Williams run for 6 yds to the SDSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

WILEY, Michael rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the SDS27 (TAVAI, Jonah), clock 00:00. PENALTY SDS Offsides on BARFIELD, Cedarious enforced 5 yards from the SDS28 to the SDS23 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.97

Michael Wiley run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 26

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.47

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 10 yds to the SDSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Michael Wiley run for 6 yds to the SDSt 10

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.78

DJ Williams run for 10 yds for a TD, (Tyler Loop KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jordan Byrd run for 6 yds to the SDSt 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.99

William Haskell pass complete to Tyrell Shavers for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

William Haskell pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jack Browning punt for 15 yds

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jack Browning punt for 15 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jonah Coleman run for 5 yds to the SDSt 40

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

3rd & 5Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.13

Jayden de Laura sacked by Justus Tavai for a loss of 6 yards to the SDSt 46

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Kyle Ostendorp punt for 46 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, False Start (Josh Simmons) to the SDSt 15

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Cam Davis run for 1 yd to the SDSt 16

2nd & 14Penalty+15 yds

ARIZONA Penalty, Personal Foul (Christian Young) to the SDSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Kyle Crum run for 8 yds to the SDSt 43

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.20

Jaylon Armstead run for 5 yds to the SDSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jaylon Armstead run for 5 yds to the Ariz 47

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, False Start (Ross Ulugalu-Maseuli) to the SDSt 48

2nd & 10Penalty+10 yds

ARIZONA Penalty, Defensive Holding (Kyon Barrs) to the Ariz 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.87

Kenan Christon run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ariz 27

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

William Haskell pass incomplete

3rd & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Kenan Christon run for no gain to the Ariz 27

4th & 14Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.77

William Haskell run for 15 yds to the Ariz 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA -4.47

Chance Bell run for 4 yds to the Ariz 8 Chance Bell fumbled, recovered by Ariz Kolbe Cage

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

DJ Williams run for 5 yds to the Ariz 13

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

DJ Williams run for 3 yds to the Ariz 16

3rd & 2Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.38

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 38 yds to the SDSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.75

DJ Williams run for 17 yds to the SDSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Jonah Coleman run for 2 yds to the SDSt 27

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jonah Coleman run for 4 yds to the SDSt 23

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Jonah Coleman run for no gain to the SDSt 23

4th & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -3.17

Michael Wiley run for 3 yds to the SDSt 20

4th & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -3.17

Michael Wiley run for 3 yds to the SDSt 20

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Jaylon Armstead run for 2 yds to the SDSt 22

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Jaylon Armstead run for 2 yds to the SDSt 24

Situational Analysis

Arizona

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
52%
29 plays
2nd
67%
6 plays
25%
8 plays
64%
11 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
75%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays

San Diego State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
45%
22 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
25%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play