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← Back to GamesSep 3, 2022Week 1
TCUTCU
38
-Final
13
ColoradoColorado

House Prediction

Model Margin

TCU by 0.4

Home Win Probability

Colorado 45%

Market (consensus)

Colorado +13.5

Edge: Colorado +13.5 (13.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 3, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
TCUTCU
07102138
ColoradoColorado
330713

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-06-76-146-176-246-3113-38
ColoradoTCU

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20COLTCUCOLTCUCOLCOLTCUCOLTCUCOLTCUCOLTCUCOLTCUCOLTCUCOLTCUDOWNS945ydPUNT30ydFG943ydPUNT527ydTD611ydFG1250ydPUNT1035ydDOWNS848ydTD575ydPUNT31ydFG1255ydPUNT634ydTD1080ydDOWNS67ydTD232ydPUNT519ydTD581ydTD875ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing TCU and Colorado
StatisticTCUColorado
Passing15-2326-41
Pass Yards138235
Rush Yards275113
Total Yards413348
Turnovers00
3rd Down5-116-15
Penalties7-605-30
Possession26:4233:18

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

TCU
passing
Chandler Morris
13/20, 111 YDS
rushing
Kendre Miller
8 CAR, 52 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Savion Williams
3 REC, 31 YDS
defense
Dee Winters
2.5 TFL, 1 PD
Colorado
passing
JT Shrout
13/23, 157 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Brendon Lewis
8 CAR, 42 YDS
receiving
Daniel Arias
4 REC, 66 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Maurice Bell for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 39

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Alex Fontenot run for 1 yd to the Colo 40

3rd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.67

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Daniel Arias for 25 yds to the TCU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Brady Russell for 5 yds to the TCU 30

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Brendon Lewis run for 6 yds to the TCU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Deion Smith run for 5 yds to the TCU 19

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Brendon Lewis run for 3 yds to the TCU 16

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.38

Deion Smith run for 1 yd to the TCU 15

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.87

Brendon Lewis run for no gain to the TCU 15

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

Kendre Miller run for no gain to the TCU 15

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Taye Barber

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Taye Barber

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jordy Sandy punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Chase Penry at the Colo 38

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Alex Fontenot run for 4 yds to the Colo 42

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 5 yds to the Colo 47

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.09

Alex Fontenot run for 2 yds to the Colo 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

TCU Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the TCU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Alex Fontenot run for 8 yds to the TCU 28

2nd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA -0.15

Deion Smith run for 11 yds to the TCU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jayle Stacks run for 5 yds to the TCU 12

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete to Caleb Fauria

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

COLORADO Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TCU 17

3rd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.99

Brendon Lewis run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 19

4th & 12Field Goal Good+37 yds

Cole Becker 37 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Kendre Miller run for 7 yds to the TCU 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.63

Chandler Morris pass complete to Derius Davis for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Trent Battle run for 2 yds to the Colo 48

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Kendre Miller

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Quentin Johnston

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jordy Sandy punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Chase Penry at the Colo 10

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Deion Smith run for no gain to the Colo 10

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jack Hestera for 4 yds to the Colo 14

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.83

Brendon Lewis pass complete to R.J. Sneed II for 7 yds to the Colo 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Deion Smith run for 5 yds to the Colo 26

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

COLORADO Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Colo 21

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete to Alex Fontenot

4th & 10Punt Return Touchdown+60 ydsPPA -6.68

Derius Davis 60 Yd Punt Return (Griffin Kell Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Maurice Bell for 4 yds to the Colo 29

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Alex Fontenot run for 4 yds to the Colo 33

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Jayle Stacks run for 3 yds to the Colo 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.04

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Brady Russell for no gain to the Colo 36

2nd & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +3.00

Brendon Lewis run for 24 yds to the TCU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Chase Sowell for 9 yds to the TCU 31

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.43

Alex Fontenot run for 3 yds to the TCU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

COLORADO Penalty, False Start (Tommy Brown) to the TCU 33

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Alex Fontenot run for 5 yds to the TCU 28

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Alex Fontenot run for 4 yds to the TCU 24

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Brendon Lewis run for 4 yds to the TCU 20

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

COLORADO Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TCU 25

4th & 7Field Goal Good+43 yds

Cole Becker 43 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Chandler Morris pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 3 yds to the TCU 28

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Chandler Morris run for 6 yds to the TCU 34

3rd & 1Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.64

Chandler Morris pass complete to Taye Barber for 9 yds to the TCU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.16

Chandler Morris pass complete to Jared Wiley for no gain to the TCU 43

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.10

Chandler Morris pass complete to Blake Nowell for 9 yds to the Colo 48

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.39

Emari Demercado run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 49

4th & 2Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.94

Chandler Morris pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 14 yds to the Colo 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Chandler Morris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Chandler Morris pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.02

Chandler Morris pass complete to Savion Williams for no gain to the Colo 35

4th & 10Penalty-5 yds

TCU Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Colo 40

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Jordy Sandy punt for 39 yds, downed at the Colo 1

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

J.T. Shrout run for 4 yds to the Colo 5

2nd & 6Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.26

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Daniel Arias for 35 yds to the Colo 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Daniel Arias for 4 yds to the Colo 44

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.45

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Chase Penry for 11 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete to Chase Penry

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

COLORADO Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jake Wiley) to the Colo 45

2nd & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

J.T. Shrout run for 4 yds to the Colo 49

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete

4th & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.01

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete

0th & 16End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.98

Kendre Miller run for 22 yds to the TCU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Kendre Miller run for 8 yds to the Colo 45

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

TCU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

TCU Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TCU 45

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Kendre Miller run for 2 yds to the TCU 47

3rd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.31

Chandler Morris pass complete to Geor'Quarius Spivey for 20 yds to the Colo 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

TCU Penalty, Offensive Holding (Brandon Coleman) to the Colo 43

1st & 20Rushing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +4.50

Emari Demercado 43 Yd Run (Griffin Kell Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jack Hestera for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Daniel Arias for 2 yds to the Colo 26

4th & 9Punt+7 yds

Ashton Logan punt for 51 yds , Derius Davis returns for 7 yds to the TCU 30

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Kendre Miller run for 2 yds to the TCU 32

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Chandler Morris pass complete to Kendre Miller for 1 yd to the TCU 33

3rd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.39

Chandler Morris pass complete to Savion Williams for 11 yds to the TCU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Quentin Johnston

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.18

Chandler Morris pass complete to Jared Wiley for 13 yds to the Colo 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Chandler Morris run for no gain to the Colo 43

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Kendre Miller run for 8 yds to the Colo 35

3rd & 2Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.95

Chandler Morris run for 15 yds to the Colo 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Chandler Morris pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 5 yds to the Colo 15

2nd & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.69

Chandler Morris run for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 18

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

TCU Penalty, False Start (Steve Avila) to the Colo 23

3rd & 13Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Chandler Morris pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 8 yds to the Colo 15

4th & 5Field Goal Good+33 yds

Griffin Kell 33 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Deion Smith for 9 yds to the Colo 34

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.26

Deion Smith run for 8 yds to the Colo 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.02

Brendon Lewis run for 12 yds to the TCU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Deion Smith run for no gain to the TCU 46

2nd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.93

Brendon Lewis sacked by Damonic Williams for a loss of 5 yards to the Colo 49

3rd & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.92

Brendon Lewis pass complete to R.J. Sneed II for 10 yds to the TCU 41

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Ashton Logan punt for 41 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.80

Emari Demercado run for a loss of 4 yards to the TCU 16

2nd & 14Rush+33 ydsPPA +3.26

Max Duggan run for 33 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Max Duggan pass complete to Derius Davis for 7 yds to the Colo 44

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.08

Max Duggan run for 3 yds to the Colo 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.43

Emari Demercado run for 11 yds to the Colo 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Trent Battle run for 2 yds to the Colo 28

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Max Duggan pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Max Duggan run for 5 yds to the Colo 23

4th & 3Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.26

Max Duggan pass complete to Savion Williams for 20 yds to the Colo 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Kendre Miller 3 Yd Run (Griffin Kell Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.93

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Brady Russell for 14 yds to the Colo 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.34

J.T. Shrout sacked by Dee Winters for a loss of 12 yards to the Colo 27

2nd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete

3rd & 22Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.00

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Caleb Fauria for 5 yds to the Colo 32

4th & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.31

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Emani Bailey run for 5 yds to the Colo 27

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.79

Derius Davis 27 Yd Run (Griffin Kell Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.89

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Deion Smith for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.30

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 18 yds to the Colo 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 3 yds to the Colo 44

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+5 yds

Ashton Logan punt for 42 yds , Derius Davis returns for 5 yds to the TCU 19

1st & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +2.68

Sam Jackson run for 32 yds to the Colo 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+35 ydsPPA +1.21

Emani Bailey run for 35 yds to the Colo 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Emani Bailey run for 2 yds to the Colo 12

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Sam Jackson run for 5 yds to the Colo 7

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.67

Sam Jackson 7 Yd Run (Griffin Kell Kick)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Charlie Offerdahl run for 6 yds to the Colo 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.60

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 5 yds to the Colo 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.98

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Chase Sowell for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.79

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 13 yds to the TCU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.39

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Jack Hestera for 14 yds to the TCU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.66

Jordyn Tyson 23 Yd pass from J.T. Shrout (Cole Becker Kick)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 24

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.33

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 23

Situational Analysis

TCU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
43%
21 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays

Colorado

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
41%
27 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
63%
8 plays
33%
9 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
2 plays