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← Back to GamesNov 27, 2022Week 13
LSULSU
23
-Final
38
Texas A&MTexas A&M
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

LSU by 14.3

Home Win Probability

Texas A&M 20%

Market (consensus)

Texas A&M +10

Edge: LSU -10 (4.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 27, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LSULSU
0107623
Texas A&MTexas A&M
71071438

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-710-710-1017-1017-1724-1731-1738-1738-23
Texas A&MLSU

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LSUTALSUTALSUTALSUTATALSUTALSULSUTALSUTALSUTALSUTAPUNT525ydTD1590ydTD1275ydFG1258ydFG1059ydTD972ydPUNT626ydEND1-1ydPUNT31ydTD971ydPUNT36ydTD31ydPUNT928ydTD883ydPUNT3-7ydTD877ydTD675ydPUNT34ydDOWNS638ydEND635yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing LSU and Texas A&M
StatisticLSUTexas A&M
Passing22-3612-18
Pass Yards197155
Rush Yards187274
Total Yards384429
Turnovers10
3rd Down4-1110-15
Penalties5-424-47
Possession28:1931:41

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

LSU
passing
Jayden Daniels
21/35, 189 YDS
rushing
Jayden Daniels
12 CAR, 84 YDS
receiving
Malik Nabers
7 REC, 69 YDS
defense
Texas A&M
passing
Conner Weigman
12/18, 155 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Devon Achane
38 CAR, 215 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Moose Muhammad III
5 REC, 94 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Noah Cain run for 5 yds to the LSU 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.71

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Jack Bech for 15 yds to the LSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Noah Cain run for no gain to the LSU 45

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

John Emery Jr. run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Moose Muhammad III at the TexAM 10

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Devon Achane run for 3 yds to the TexAM 13

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Conner Weigman pass complete to Noah Thomas for 6 yds to the TexAM 19

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Devon Achane run for 8 yds to the TexAM 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.88

Conner Weigman pass complete to Donovan Green for 10 yds to the TexAM 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.04

Devon Achane run for 11 yds to the TexAM 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Conner Weigman run for no gain to the TexAM 48

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.10

Conner Weigman pass complete to Evan Stewart for 9 yds to the LSU 43

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.91

Devon Achane run for 4 yds to the LSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Conner Weigman pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 4 yds to the LSU 35

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Devon Achane run for 5 yds to the LSU 30

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.40

Devon Achane run for 3 yds to the LSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Devon Achane run for 8 yds to the LSU 19

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Devon Achane run for 2 yds to the LSU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Conner Weigman pass complete to Evan Stewart for 7 yds to the LSU 10

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.27

Devon Achane run for 10 yds for a TD, (Randy Bond KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jayden Daniels run for 3 yds to the LSU 28

2nd & 7Penalty+12 yds

Daniels, Jayden pass incomplete, PENALTY TEXASAM pass interference (Jones, Jaylon) 12 yards to the LSU40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LSU.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.12

John Emery Jr. run for 11 yds to the TexAM 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 5 yds to the TexAM 44

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jayden Daniels run for 4 yds to the TexAM 40

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.70

John Emery Jr. run for 2 yds to the TexAM 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Noah Cain run for 6 yds to the TexAM 32 Noah Cain fumbled, forced by Antonio Johnson, recovered by LSU Emery Jones

2nd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.08

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 4 yds to the TexAM 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.42

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 8 yds to the TexAM 20

3rd & 2Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.17

Jayden Daniels run for 16 yds to the TexAM 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

John Emery Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD, (Damian Ramos KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Conner Weigman pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 12 yds to the TexAM 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.12

Conner Weigman pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 18 yds to the LSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Devon Achane run for 5 yds to the LSU 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Devon Achane run for 4 yds to the LSU 26

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.31

Devon Achane run for 4 yds to the LSU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Conner Weigman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Devon Achane run for 3 yds to the LSU 19

3rd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.70

Conner Weigman run for 9 yds to the LSU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Devon Achane run for 3 yds to the LSU 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Conner Weigman pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Conner Weigman pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+25 yds

Randy Bond 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jayden Daniels run for 2 yds to the LSU 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.77

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 13 yds to the LSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.66

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 22 yds to the TexAM 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

John Emery Jr. run for 4 yds to the TexAM 34

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.33

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 10 yds to the TexAM 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Noah Cain run for 2 yds to the TexAM 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Mason Taylor for 6 yds to the TexAM 16

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete

4th & 2Field Goal Good+34 yds

Damian Ramos 34 yd FG GOOD

4th & 2Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Nathan Dibert kickoff for 54 yds , Le'Veon Moss return for 17 yds to the TexAM 28

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.50

Devon Achane run for 29 yds to the LSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Conner Weigman run for no gain to the LSU 43

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.48

Conner Weigman run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 45

3rd & 12Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.87

Conner Weigman run for 12 yds to the LSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.29

Conner Weigman pass complete to Evan Stewart for 13 yds to the LSU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.15

Devon Achane run for 17 yds to the LSU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Devon Achane run for 1 yd to the LSU 2

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

Devon Achane run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 3

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Conner Weigman pass complete to Donovan Green for 3 yds for a TD, (Randy Bond KICK)

3rd & 0Penalty-2 yds

TEXAS A&M Penalty, Offensive Offside (-2 Yards) to the LSU 5

3rd & 8Penalty+15 yds

LSU Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 12 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.11

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 11 yds to the LSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Jayden Daniels pass complete to John Emery Jr. for 3 yds to the TexAM 49

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 49 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 19

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Conner Weigman run for 1 yd to the TexAM 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Conner Weigman pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Conner Weigman pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LSU 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 4 yds to the LSU 33

2nd & 6Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.99

Jayden Daniels run for 16 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jayden Daniels run for 4 yds to the TexAM 47

2nd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.10

Noah Cain run for 12 yds to the TexAM 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jayden Daniels run for 4 yds to the TexAM 31

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 5 yds to the TexAM 26

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

John Emery Jr. run for 7 yds to the TexAM 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.36

Jayden Daniels pass complete to John Emery Jr. for no gain to the TexAM 19

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.97

John Emery Jr. run for 19 yds for a TD, (Damian Ramos KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Devon Achane run for 4 yds to the TexAM 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Devon Achane run for 2 yds to the TexAM 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Conner Weigman pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Gregory Clayton Jr. at the LSU 26

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Noah Cain run for 6 yds to the LSU 32

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Noah Cain run for 3 yds to the LSU 35

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+27 ydsPPA -0.97

Jayden Daniels run for a loss of 8 yards Jayden Daniels fumbled, forced by Edgerrin Cooper, recovered by TexAM Demani Richardson , return for 27 yds, (Randy Bond KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Jayden Daniels pass complete to John Emery Jr. for 8 yds to the LSU 33

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.02

Noah Cain run for 3 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Noah Cain run for 5 yds to the LSU 41

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.11

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 8 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Noah Cain run for 2 yds to the TexAM 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.33

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 8 yds to the TexAM 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Noah Cain run for 4 yds to the TexAM 37

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete

3rd & 6Penalty-10 yds

LSU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TexAM 47

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Moose Muhammad III at the TexAM 17

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.02

Devon Achane run for 9 yds to the TexAM 26

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Devon Achane run for 1 yd to the TexAM 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.98

Amari Daniels run for 11 yds to the TexAM 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Amari Daniels run for 3 yds to the TexAM 41

2nd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.83

Conner Weigman pass complete to Evan Stewart for 13 yds to the LSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +0.88

Amari Daniels run for 23 yds to the LSU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Amari Daniels run for 2 yds to the LSU 21

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.89

Conner Weigman pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 21 yds for a TD, (Randy Bond KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

John Emery Jr. run for no gain to the LSU 25

2nd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.51

Jayden Daniels sacked by Walter Nolen for a loss of 5 yards to the LSU 20

3rd & 15Penalty-10 yds

LSU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the LSU 10

3rd & 25Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.02

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 8 yds to the LSU 18

4th & 17Punt+3 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 47 yds , Moose Muhammad III returns for 3 yds to the TexAM 21 TEXAS A&M Penalty, Illegal Block (15 Yards) to the TexAM 23

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Devon Achane run for 3 yds to the TexAM 26

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Conner Weigman run for 1 yd to the TexAM 27

3rd & 6Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +3.97

Conner Weigman pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 39 yds to the LSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Devon Achane run for 4 yds to the LSU 30

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Devon Achane run for 3 yds to the LSU 27

3rd & 3Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.71

Devon Achane run for 17 yds to the LSU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Devon Achane run for no gain to the LSU 10

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.80

Devon Achane run for 10 yds for a TD, (Randy Bond KICK)

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.15

Jayden Daniels run for 24 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.68

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Noah Cain for 10 yds to the TexAM 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.58

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 18 yds to the TexAM 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Mason Taylor for 4 yds to the TexAM 19

2nd & 6Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.23

Jayden Daniels run for 16 yds to the TexAM 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

John Emery Jr. 3 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Devon Achane run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 24

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Devon Achane run for 3 yds to the TexAM 27

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Devon Achane run for 2 yds to the TexAM 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LSU 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.40

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Noah Cain for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

TEXAS A&M Penalty, Defensive Holding (Tyreek Chappell) to the TexAM 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Jayden Daniels run for 8 yds to the TexAM 32

2nd & 2Penalty+10 yds

TEXAS A&M Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the TexAM 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 27

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete

4th & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.59

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Devon Achane run for 5 yds to the TexAM 32

2nd & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.12

Devon Achane run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 29

3rd & 8Rush+24 ydsPPA +3.34

Devon Achane run for 24 yds to the LSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Devon Achane run for 2 yds to the LSU 45

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Devon Achane run for 2 yds to the LSU 43

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Devon Achane run for 5 yds to the LSU 38

Situational Analysis

LSU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
42%
31 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
70%
10 plays
73%
11 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
60%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Texas A&M

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
47%
30 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
45%
11 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th