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← Back to GamesNov 25, 2022Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Arkansas by 7.1

Home Win Probability

Missouri 30%

Market (consensus)

Missouri +3.5

Edge: Arkansas -3.5 (3.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 25, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
ArkansasArkansas
7143327
MissouriMissouri
10109029

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-710-717-1420-1420-2126-2129-2429-27
MissouriArkansas

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ARKMISARKMISARKMISARKMISARKMISARKMISARKMISARKMISARKMISARKMISARKMISARKPUNT3-3ydFG746ydTD975ydTD775ydPUNT32ydTD574ydTD1275ydFG965ydTD1175ydPUNT422ydEND1-1ydTD1075ydTO3-5ydFG717ydFG1047ydPUNT3-5ydFG751ydPUNT726ydPUNT35ydMISS4-2ydPUNT33ydPUNT636ydTO312yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Arkansas and Missouri
StatisticArkansasMissouri
Passing20-2816-26
Pass Yards212242
Rush Yards113226
Total Yards325468
Turnovers20
3rd Down5-125-14
Penalties2-1110-61
Possession28:1931:41

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Arkansas
passing
KJ Jefferson
20/27, 212 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Raheim Sanders
10 CAR, 47 YDS
receiving
Matt Landers
4 REC, 79 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Missouri
passing
Brady Cook
16/26, 242 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Brady Cook
18 CAR, 138 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Dominic Lovett
6 REC, 130 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Raheim Sanders run for no gain to the Ark 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Matt Landers for 4 yds to the Ark 29

3rd & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.49

KJ Jefferson sacked by Isaiah McGuire for a loss of 7 yards to the Ark 22

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 47 yds, downed at the Misso 31

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.31

Brady Cook run for 27 yds to the Ark 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MISSOURI Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ark 47

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Brady Cook run for 5 yds to the Ark 42

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.46

Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 15 yds to the Ark 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Cody Schrader run for 5 yds to the Ark 22

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Nathaniel Peat run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 23

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Brady Cook pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+40 yds

Harrison Mevis 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Ark 27

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Raheim Sanders run for 3 yds to the Ark 30

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.74

KJ Jefferson run for 5 yds to the Ark 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Raheim Sanders run for 3 yds to the Ark 38

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.46

Raheim Sanders run for 8 yds to the Ark 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +1.60

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Matt Landers for 37 yds to the Misso 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.38

KJ Jefferson run for 10 yds to the Misso 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Raheim Sanders run for 1 yd to the Misso 6

2nd & 6Penalty0 yds

MISSOURI Penalty, Offsides ( Yards) to the Misso 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

KJ Jefferson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Cam Little KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Brady Cook pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 12 yds to the Misso 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Brady Cook run for 3 yds to the Misso 40

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Brady Cook pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.50

Brady Cook pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 27 yds to the Ark 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.48

Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 24 yds to the Ark 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 6 yds to the Ark 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Cody Schrader run for 3 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Raheim Sanders run for 4 yds to the Ark 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.39

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Raheim Sanders for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 47 yds, downed at the Misso 26

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Cody Schrader run for 5 yds to the Misso 31

2nd & 5Pass Reception+55 ydsPPA +3.36

Brady Cook pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 55 yds to the Ark 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Cody Schrader run for no gain to the Ark 14

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Brady Cook run for 5 yds to the Ark 9

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.82

Brady Cook run for 9 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

AJ Green run for 3 yds to the Ark 28

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.13

KJ Jefferson run for 7 yds to the Ark 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 4 yds to the Ark 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.22

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Ketron Jackson Jr. for 7 yds to the Ark 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.53

KJ Jefferson sacked by Isaiah McGuire for a loss of 8 yards to the Ark 38

2nd & 18Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +3.36

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 19 yds to the Misso 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.61

KJ Jefferson sacked by Johnny Walker Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 46

2nd & 13Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.60

KJ Jefferson run for 12 yds to the Misso 34

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.58

KJ Jefferson run for 5 yds to the Misso 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Raheim Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 30

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

KJ Jefferson run for 3 yds to the Misso 27

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +3.71

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Matt Landers for 27 yds for a TD, (Cam Little KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brady Cook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.63

Brady Cook run for 11 yds to the Misso 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Brady Cook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Brady Cook run for 17 yds to the Ark 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

COOK, Brady pass to the right incomplete intended for BURDEN, Luther thrown to the ARK5. PENALTY Before the snap, MIZ Illegal Shift on BURDEN, Luther enforced 5 yards from the ARK47 to the MIZ48. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Rush+37 ydsPPA +2.17

Brady Cook run for 37 yds to the Ark 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.32

Brady Cook pass complete to Dominic Lovett for no gain to the Ark 15

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Cody Schrader run for 3 yds to the Ark 12

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Brady Cook run for 2 yds to the Ark 10

4th & 5Field Goal Good+27 yds

Harrison Mevis 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.63

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Matt Landers for 11 yds to the Ark 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Rashod Dubinion run for 4 yds to the Ark 40

3rd & 6Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.69

KJ Jefferson run for 13 yds to the Misso 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Rashod Dubinion run for 3 yds to the Misso 44

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

KJ Jefferson run for no gain to the Misso 44

3rd & 7Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.40

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 21 yds to the Misso 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.14

Rashod Dubinion run for 12 yds to the Misso 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

KJ Jefferson run for 3 yds to the Misso 8

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.62

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Raheim Sanders for 8 yds for a TD, (Cam Little KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Brady Cook pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 14 yds to the Misso 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Brady Cook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.05

Brady Cook run for 9 yds to the Misso 48

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Cody Schrader run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 47

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jack Stonehouse punt for 39 yds, downed at the Ark 14

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

[NHSG] Kneel down by ARK at ARK13 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brady Cook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Brady Cook pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.03

Brady Cook pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 22 yds to the Misso 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Nathaniel Peat run for 2 yds to the Misso 49

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.08

Nathaniel Peat run for no gain to the Misso 49

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Brady Cook pass complete to Mekhi Miller for 6 yds to the Ark 45

4th & 2Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.73

Brady Cook pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 14 yds to the Ark 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Cody Schrader run for 6 yds to the Ark 25

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.04

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 7 yds to the Ark 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

BURDEN, Luther rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the ARK15 (JACKSON, Landon). PENALTY Before the snap, MIZ Illegal Formation on BURDEN, Luther enforced 5 yards from the ARK18 to the ARK23. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.98

Luther Burden III 23 Yd pass from Brady Cook (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Rashod Dubinion run for 1 yd to the Ark 26

2nd & 9Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.63

KJ Jefferson sacked by Martez Manuel for a loss of 6 yards to the Ark 20

3rd & 15Interception0 ydsPPA +0.29

KJ Jefferson pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Brady Cook run for 4 yds to the Ark 25

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Cody Schrader run for 2 yds to the Ark 23

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.56

Brady Cook run for 6 yds to the Ark 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

SCHRADER, Cody rush up the middle for a gain of 17 yards to the ARK0, TOUCHDOWN MIZ, score nullified by penalty, clock 06:55 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY MIZ Holding on TOLLISON, Connor enforced 10 yards from the ARK17 to the ARK27 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.61

Cody Schrader run for 12 yds to the Ark 15

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Cody Schrader run for 3 yds to the Ark 12

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Brady Cook pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+29 yds

Harrison Mevis 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 14 yds to the Ark 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.62

KJ Jefferson sacked by Darius Robinson for a loss of 3 yards to the Ark 36

2nd & 13Rush0 ydsPPA -0.50

Raheim Sanders run for no gain to the Ark 36

3rd & 13Fumble Recovery (Own)+9 ydsPPA +0.44

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Raheim Sanders for 9 yds Raheim Sanders fumbled, recovered by Ark for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Rashod Dubinion run for 8 yds to the Misso 40

2nd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -0.05

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Rashod Dubinion for 6 yds to the Misso 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.01

Rashod Dubinion run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 36

2nd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.57

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 8 yds to the Misso 28

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+46 yds

Cam Little 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Cody Schrader run for 2 yds to the Misso 27

2nd & 8Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.76

Brady Cook sacked by Jashaud Stewart for a loss of 7 yards to the Misso 20

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Brady Cook pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt+11 yds

Jack Stonehouse punt for 44 yds , Bryce Stephens returns for 11 yds to the Ark 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.12

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Trey Knox for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down MISSOURI Penalty, Personal Foul (DJ Coleman) to the Misso 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.38

Raheim Sanders run for 17 yds to the Misso 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.71

KJ Jefferson run for 13 yds to the Misso 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Penalty+3 yds

JEFFERSON, KJ pass up the middle incomplete intended for JACKSON JR., Ketron thrown to the MIZ0. PENALTY MIZ Pass Interference on RAKESTRAW JR., Ennis enforced 3 yards to the MIZ2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

KJ Jefferson run for no gain to the Misso 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Trey Knox run for no gain to the Misso 2

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete

4th & 2Field Goal Good+20 yds

Cam Little 20 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Cody Schrader run for no gain to the Misso 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Brady Cook pass complete to Cody Schrader for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 23

3rd & 12Penalty+1 yds

COOK, Brady pass to the right incomplete intended for BURDEN, Luther thrown to the MIZ25. PENALTY ARK Pass Interference on SANDERS, Drew enforced at the spot of the foul for 1 yards to the MIZ24 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.91

Brady Cook pass complete to Cody Schrader for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 21

2nd & 13Rush+29 ydsPPA +3.22

Cody Schrader run for 29 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

COOK, Brady pass up the middle complete for -4 yards to COOPER, Mookie caught at the MIZ44 and advanced to the MIZ46 (MCGLOTHERN, Dwight). PENALTY MIZ Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on DELGADO, Xavier enforced 5 yards from the ARK50 to the MIZ45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Brady Cook run for 3 yds to the Misso 48

2nd & 12Penalty-5 yds

MISSOURI Penalty, Illegal Substitution (TEAM) to the Misso 43

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Brady Cook pass incomplete

3rd & 17Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.33

Brady Cook run for 8 yds to the Ark 49

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jack Stonehouse punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.29

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Trey Knox for 1 yd to the Ark 11

2nd & 9Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.29

KJ Jefferson sacked by Kristian Williams for a loss of 8 yards to the Ark 3

3rd & 17Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.10

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Trey Knox for 12 yds to the Ark 15

4th & 5Blocked Punt0 yds

punt blocked by blocked by

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Brady Cook run for 2 yds to the Ark 33

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Cody Schrader run for 2 yds to the Ark 31

3rd & 6Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.21

Brady Cook sacked by Drew Sanders for a loss of 6 yards to the Ark 37

4th & 12Field Goal Missed+55 yds

Harrison Mevis 55 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 4 yds to the Ark 41

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete

3rd & 6Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.69

KJ Jefferson sacked by Martez Manuel for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 40

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Cody Schrader run for 5 yds to the Misso 19

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

MISSOURI Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Misso 14

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Cody Schrader run for 6 yds to the Misso 20

3rd & 4Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.41

Brady Cook pass complete to Mekhi Miller for 22 yds to the Misso 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Cody Schrader run for 3 yds to the Misso 45

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Cody Schrader run for 2 yds to the Misso 47

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Brady Cook run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jack Stonehouse punt for 50 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.87

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Trey Knox for 12 yds to the Ark 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA -0.55

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Trey Knox for 4 yds Trey Knox fumbled, recovered by Ark Ricky Stromberg , return for no gain to the Ark 32 , return for no gain to the Ark 32

Situational Analysis

Arkansas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
30%
30 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
40%
10 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
100%
3 plays
4th

Missouri

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
39%
23 plays
80%
5 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
50%
4 plays
40%
15 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
43%
7 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play