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← Back to GamesNov 19, 2022Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Florida by 8.1

Home Win Probability

Vanderbilt 29%

Market (consensus)

Vanderbilt +14

Edge: Vanderbilt +14 (5.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 19, 2022

Line Movement

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Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
FloridaFlorida
3361224
VanderbiltVanderbilt
01414331

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-37-37-614-614-1221-1228-1228-1831-24
VanderbiltFlorida

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20VANFLOVANFLOVANFLOVANFLOVANFLOVANFLOVANFLOVANFLOVANFLOVANFLOVANFLOPUNT30ydFG1163ydTO951ydPUNT414ydTD1281ydFG948ydTD37ydPUNT47ydEND318ydTD1175ydTD1266ydTO30ydTD128ydPUNT33ydPUNT517ydTD291ydTO854ydDOWNS47ydFG43ydTD775ydPUNT3-2ydEND857yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Florida and Vanderbilt
StatisticFloridaVanderbilt
Passing25-4310-16
Pass Yards400108
Rush Yards45175
Total Yards445283
Turnovers22
3rd Down4-157-14
Penalties7-804-35
Possession26:3433:26

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Florida
passing
Anthony Richardson
25/42, 400 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Montrell Johnson
11 CAR, 32 YDS
receiving
Daejon Reynolds
8 REC, 165 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Vanderbilt
passing
Mike Wright
10/16, 108 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Re'Mahn Davis
30 CAR, 122 YDS
receiving
Ben Bresnahan
1 REC, 28 YDS, 1 TD
defense
CJ Taylor
0.5 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ray Davis run for no gain to the Vandy 25

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Ray Davis run for no gain to the Vandy 25

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Mike Wright pass incomplete to Gamarion Carter

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Matt Hayball punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Ricky Pearsall at the Fla 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Marcus Burke for 3 yds to the Fla 31

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)+18 ydsPPA +2.26

run for 18 yds to the Fla 13 fumbled, recovered by Fla Montrell Johnson Jr.

3rd & 25Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.63

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 27 yds to the Fla 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Marcus Burke

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 6 yds to the Vandy 39

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Ricky Pearsall run for 3 yds to the Vandy 42

4th & 7Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.37

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 31 yds to the Vandy 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the Vandy 11

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Vandy 9

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Montrell Johnson Jr.

4th & 8Field Goal Good+26 yds

Adam Mihalek 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Ray Davis run for 9 yds to the Vandy 34

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Patrick Smith run for 3 yds to the Vandy 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.42

Mike Wright pass complete to Will Sheppard for 5 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Ray Davis run for 1 yd to the Vandy 38

2nd & 9Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.44

Patrick Smith run for 17 yds to the Fla 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Mike Wright pass incomplete to Will Sheppard

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Ray Davis run for 7 yds to the Fla 38

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Ray Davis run for 1 yd to the Fla 39

4th & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)+15 ydsPPA +2.58

Mike Wright pass complete to Will Sheppard for 15 yds Will Sheppard fumbled, recovered by Fla Jaydon Hill

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.19

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Justin Shorter for 14 yds to the Fla 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Trevor Etienne run for no gain to the Fla 38

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Thai Chiaokhiao-Bowman

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Thai Chiaokhiao-Bowman

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Will Sheppard at the Vandy 19

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.16

Ray Davis run for 26 yds to the Vandy 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Ray Davis run for 1 yd to the Vandy 46

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Ray Davis run for 1 yd to the Vandy 47

3rd & 8Penalty+15 yds

FLORIDA Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Antwaun Powell-Ryland Jr.) to the Fla 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Mike Wright run for 5 yds to the Fla 28

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Patrick Smith run for 3 yds to the Fla 25

3rd & 12Penalty+15 yds

Shotgun Wright,Mike sacked for loss of 11 yards to the Fla46 (Powell-Ryland Jr.,Antwaun) PENALTY Fla Face Mask (Powell-Ryland Jr.,Antwaun) 15 yards from Fla35 to Fla20, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Ray Davis run for 4 yds to the Fla 16

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Ray Davis run for 1 yd to the Fla 15

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.53

Ray Davis run for 6 yds to the Fla 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Ray Davis run for 2 yds to the Fla 11

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Mike Wright run for 1 yd to the Fla 10

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +3.08

Mike Wright pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 10 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+25 yds

Bulovas,Joseph kickoff 65 yards to the Fla00 Etienne,Trevor return 25 yards to the Fla25 (Taylor,CJ) PENALTY Vany Offside offsetting Fla Holding offsetting. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 3 yds to the Fla 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 9 yds to the Fla 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 8 yds to the Fla 45

2nd & 2Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.77

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Thai Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 14 yds to the Vandy 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.40

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 10 yds to the Vandy 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Johnson Jr.,Montrell rush middle for 27 yards gain to the Vany04 (Richard,Ja'Dais), out of bounds PENALTY Fla Illegal Formation 5 yards from Vany31 to Vany36. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the Vandy 31

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Trevor Etienne run for 2 yds to the Vandy 29

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Trevor Etienne run for 2 yds to the Vandy 27

4th & 6Field Goal Good+44 yds

Adam Mihalek 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+32 yds

Adam Mihalek kickoff for 58 yds , Jayden McGowan return for 32 yds to the Vandy 39

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Patrick Smith run for 7 yds to the Vandy 46

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.30

Mike Wright pass incomplete to Will Sheppard

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Mike Wright pass incomplete to Will Sheppard

4th & 3Fumble Return Touchdown0 ydsPPA -7.62

Wesley Schelling 0 Yd Fumble Return (Joseph Bulovas Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 15 yds to the Fla 40 for a 1ST down FLORIDA Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Kingsley Eguakun) to the Fla 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Fla 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.50

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Thai Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 9 yds to the Fla 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Jonathan Odom

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 58 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Mike Wright run for 6 yds to the Vandy 16

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Ray Davis run for 3 yds to the Vandy 19

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.92

Ray Davis run for 9 yds to the Vandy 28 for a 1ST down

0th & 1End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Anthony Richardson run for 7 yds to the Fla 32

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Anthony Richardson run for 1 yd to the Fla 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.02

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Justin Shorter for 12 yds to the Fla 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.09

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 15 yds to the Vandy 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the Vandy 45

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Chris McClellan

3rd & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Justin Shorter for 7 yds to the Vandy 38

4th & 8Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.14

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Justin Shorter for 28 yds to the Vandy 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Trevor Etienne run for 5 yds to the Vandy 5

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Vandy 3

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Montrell Johnson Jr. for 3 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+30 yds

Adam Mihalek kickoff for 61 yds , Jayden McGowan return for 30 yds to the Vandy 34

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Ray Davis run for 3 yds to the Vandy 37

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Mike Wright run for 2 yds to the Vandy 30

3rd & 14Penalty+10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Wright,Mike pass incomplete short right to McGowan,Jayden PENALTY Fla Holding (Burney,Amari) 10 yards from Vany30 to Vany40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Ray Davis run for 3 yds to the Vandy 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.50

Mike Wright pass complete to Ray Davis for 9 yds to the Fla 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Mike Wright pass incomplete to Will Sheppard

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Ray Davis run for 2 yds to the Fla 46

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.45

Mike Wright pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for 12 yds to the Fla 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Wright,Mike pass complete short right to Sheppard,Will for 1 yard to the Fla33 (Dean III,Trey) PENALTY Fla Illegal Substitution 5 yards from Fla34 to Fla29. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA -0.45

Mike Wright pass complete to Justin Ball for 9 yds to the Fla 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.55

Mike Wright sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 22

2nd & 12Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.98

Ray Davis run for 15 yds to the Fla 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Mike Wright run for no gain to the Fla 7

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Mike Wright pass complete to Gavin Schoenwald for 7 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Joseph Bulovas kickoff for 62 yds , Trevor Etienne return for 21 yds to the Fla 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Justin Shorter

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.33

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for no gain to the Fla 24

3rd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA +0.15

Anthony Richardson pass intercepted

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +2.76

Mike Wright pass complete to Ben Bresnahan for 28 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Anthony Richardson run for 2 yds to the Fla 27

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the Fla 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Jonathan Odom

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 34

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Patrick Smith run for no gain to the Vandy 34

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.95

Mike Wright pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 10 yds to the Vandy 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Mike Wright pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 3 yds to the Vandy 47

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Patrick Smith run for 4 yds to the Fla 49

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.06

Mike Wright run for no gain to the Fla 49

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Matt Hayball punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.82

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 17 yds to the Fla 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+74 ydsPPA +6.01

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 74 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Wright,Mike pass complete short right to Bresnahan,Ben for 0 yards to the Vany25 (Miller,Ventrell; Johnson,Tre'Vez) PENALTY Fla Targeting (Miller,Ventrell) 15 yards from Vany25 to Vany40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.07

Ray Davis run for 12 yds to the Fla 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Ray Davis run for 4 yds to the Fla 44

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Ray Davis run for 1 yd to the Fla 43

3rd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.81

Ray Davis run for 11 yds to the Fla 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Patrick Smith run for 3 yds to the Fla 29

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Patrick Smith run for 3 yds to the Fla 26

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.64

Ray Davis run for 5 yds to the Fla 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.37

Mike Wright pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Justin Shorter for 7 yds to the Fla 12

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.20

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the Fla 12

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.26

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Thai Chiaokhiao-Bowman

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Ray Davis run for 1 yd to the Fla 11

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Ray Davis run for 1 yd to the Fla 10

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Ray Davis run for 1 yd to the Fla 9

4th & 7Field Goal Good+27 yds

Joseph Bulovas 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Joseph Bulovas kickoff for 60 yds , Trevor Etienne return for 20 yds to the Fla 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Justin Shorter for 18 yds to the Fla 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.17

Anthony Richardson run for 15 yds to the Vandy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +0.73

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Trevor Etienne for 26 yds to the Vandy 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Jonathan Odom

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Daejon Reynolds

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Dante Zanders

4th & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +3.89

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 16 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Ray Davis run for no gain to the Fla 45

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Ray Davis run for 1 yd to the Fla 44

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Ray Davis run for 3 yds to the Fla 47

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Matt Hayball punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Thai Chiaokhiao-Bowman

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Montrell Johnson Jr.

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.97

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Justin Shorter for 12 yds to the Fla 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Dante Zanders for 3 yds to the Fla 24

2nd & 7Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.28

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Thai Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 34 yds to the Vandy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.70

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Justin Shorter for 8 yds to the Vandy 34

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Dante Zanders

Situational Analysis

Florida

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
26 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
42%
12 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
0%
1 play
29%
7 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
3 plays

Vanderbilt

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
28%
25 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
5 plays
42%
12 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
100%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play